龙大大668

@everyone December 2025 Week 3 Cryptocurrency Market Supplementary Analysis

1. Overall Market Sentiment and Trading Characteristics
#1. Market Tone: The current overall condition of the cryptocurrency market is not optimistic, with mainstream currencies led by Bitcoin and Ethereum below key resistance levels, fierce battles between bulls and bears, but insufficient bullish momentum;
2. Sentiment and Transactions: The market fear index continues to rise, overall trading volume is sluggish and weak, and the willingness of capital participation is not strong, further exacerbating the market's oscillation and weak characteristics;
3. Related Indicators to Watch: The US dollar index maintained above 98 can be considered a relatively safe range, and its fluctuations need to be closely monitored, as this indicator significantly impacts the liquidity of the cryptocurrency market.
2. Cross-Market Linkage Alerts
1. Precious Metals Market Fluctuations: Recently, the prices of gold and silver have continued to rise, showing a frenzied upward trend in the market, and there is a high probability that gold will test new highs this week;
2. Linkage Logic: Precious metals and cryptocurrencies belong to intersecting categories of risk assets and safe-haven assets. The strong performance of gold may reflect a migration of market capital's risk aversion preference, and attention should be paid to this trend's impact on capital diversion in the cryptocurrency market, while also considering the overall judgment of the subsequent direction of cryptocurrency combined with the US dollar index trend.

Chainlink (LINK) Market Strategy Review
I. Last Week's Market Review
1. Overall Trend: Last week showed a weak pattern of rising first and then falling, with slight increases on Monday and Tuesday, followed by continuous declines on subsequent trading days, with bearish forces dominating the second half of the week, maintaining a weak tone;
2. Daily Market Performance: On December 15, the intraday increase was about 2.88%, but the price remained below the key resistance level, with limited bullish rebound strength.
II. This Week's Core Trading Parameters
1. This Week's Bull-Bear Line: $13.78 (current price is below this level, with a slight advantage for short-term bears)
2. Bullish Take Profit: $14.52 → $14.97 → $15.7
3. Bearish Take Profit: $13.05 → $12.59 → $11.86
4. Key Support Below: $10 (if this round of market weakens, the probability of touching this level again is quite high)
$III. Bull-Bear Pattern Judgment and Core Operations
1. Short-term Pattern (This Week): $13.78 is the watershed for bulls and bears this week. If it cannot effectively break through and stabilize at this level, short-term operations should focus on shorting at highs; only after a strong breakout at this level can small positions be arranged for short-term longs, while also needing to be wary of the risk of pulling back after a rise;
2. Trend Pattern (Medium to Long-term): The suppression effect of the monthly bull-bear line must be given special consideration. The current technical form shows obvious weak characteristics. If short-term rebounds are weak, the probability of subsequently testing the $10 level is relatively high;
3. Core Operation Tips: Operations must strictly rely on the breakout of $13.78. Short-term longs should be quick in and out, while medium to long-term should mainly observe or short at highs, strictly controlling positions to avoid risks. #LINK

Dogecoin (DOGE) market strategy summary
1. Last week's market review
1. Overall trend: Last week showed a weak pattern of rising first and then falling, with slight increases on Monday and Tuesday, followed by a continuous decline starting Wednesday, maintaining a weak tone throughout the week;
2. Daily market performance: On December 15, the intraday increase was about 2%, but the overall trend showed a rise followed by a retreat, with insufficient bullish rebound momentum, failing to break through the key resistance level.
2. This week's core trading parameters
1. This week's bull-bear line: $0.13988 (current price is below this level, with short positions dominating in the short term)
2. Bull profit-taking: $0.14776→$0.15263→$0.16051
3. Bear profit-taking: $0.132→$0.12713→$0.11925
4. Key resistance level: $0.14382 (Fibonacci 0.382), previously faced multiple attacks and was suppressed, the effectiveness of resistance continues to be validated;
5. Key support below: $0.12363 (Fibonacci 0.236), with a significant probability of a downward probe.
3. Bull-bear pattern judgment and market outlook
1. Bull-bear power comparison: Both short-term and long-term are dominated by bears, with prices consistently under pressure below this week's bull-bear line and Fibonacci 0.382 level, and with more negative news and scarce positive news, further intensifying the market's bearish sentiment;
2. Market outlook: This week is likely to continue a weak oscillating trend, if the upper bull-bear line at $0.13988 and the Fibonacci resistance at $0.14382 remain effective, the probability of probing down to the $0.12363 Fibonacci 0.236 support level is very high;
3. Core operation tips: Before a clear breakout through the key resistance level with significant volume, focus on shorting on rallies, and be wary of the trap of oversold rebounds during the downward process, strictly control position risk. #DOGE

Solana (SOL) Market Strategy Review
1. Last Week Market Review
1. Overall Trend: The market showed a volatile trend of rising first and then falling last week, rising for 3 days and falling for 4 days, ultimately peaking and then retreating, with bearish forces dominating in the later period and a weak tone continuing;
2. Daily Market Performance: The daily increase was about 2.47%, rising by 3-3.2 USD, but the price still has not broken through the key resistance level, with insufficient rebound momentum and a clear characteristic of retreating after reaching a peak.
2. Core Trading Parameters for This Week
1. This Week's Bull-Bear Line: 133.98 USD (Current price has not broken through this point, short-term bearish is dominant)
2. Bullish Take Profit: 140.54 USD → 144.59 USD → 151.15 USD
3. Bearish Take Profit: 127.42 USD → 123.37 USD → 116.81 USD
4. Key Resistance Level: 133.06 USD (Fibonacci 0.236), after touching during the day, it faced strong pressure, validating the effectiveness of resistance; the middle track of the daily Bollinger Bands serves as a trend-based resistance level.
$SOL 3. Technical Characteristics and Bull-Bear Pattern Judgment
1. Technical Indicator Signals: All moving average indicators are in a bearish arrangement sloping from the upper left to the lower right, and prices continuously operate below the middle track of the daily Bollinger Bands, indicating strong bearish sentiment in the market, with a solid bearish pattern;
2. Short-term Pattern (This Week): 133.98 USD is the dividing line for bulls and bears this week. If it cannot effectively break through this point, short-term operations should focus on shorting on rallies; only when there is a substantial breakthrough and it stabilizes at this level can small positions be arranged for short-term longs;
3. Trend Pattern (Medium to Long-term): Medium to long-term bearish forces are stronger than bullish forces, with no clear reversal signals from the technical perspective, and the weak trend remains unchanged, so it is not recommended to hold long positions for the medium to long term.

Ethereum Market Strategy Compilation
Last Week Market Review

1. Overall Trend: Last week exhibited a 'M' shaped trend with an initial increase followed by a decline. The increase was significant, but the subsequent drop was even larger, with the final price nearly closing at the previous week's bull-bear line point, with bears holding a temporary advantage.
2. Daily Market Performance: The intraday increase was about 2.7%, with an increase of 83-84 USD, currently quoted at 3145 USD, but the price has not yet broken through the key resistance level, and short-term rebound momentum is in doubt.

II. Core Trading Parameters for This Week
1. This Week's Bull-Bear Line: 3176.88 USD (current price is below this level, short-term bears still dominate)
2. Bull Take Profit: 3338.7 USD → 3438.67 USD → 3649 USD
3. Bear Take Profit: 3015 USD → 2915 USD → 2753 USD
4. Key Resistance Levels: 3103.16 USD (Fibonacci 0.618), 3171 USD, 3175 USD, multiple key levels form a resonance resistance zone $ETH

III. Bull-Bear Pattern Judgment and Core Operations
1. Short-term Pattern (This Week): The current price is below the 3176.88 USD bull-bear line. If it cannot effectively break through this level this week, the strong short-term bearish pattern will remain unchanged; only by breaking through and stabilizing at this level, while also overcoming key resistance levels such as 3103.16 USD and 3171 USD, will there be a chance of reversal.
2. Trend Pattern (This Month): The key resistance level at the monthly level has not been broken, combined with the resonance resistance at the weekly level, the overall resistance is strong, and no clear reversal signal has appeared in the medium to long term.
3. Core Operation Tips: Focus on the breakthrough of the 3176.88 USD bull-bear line and the effectiveness of resistance at key levels such as 3103.16 USD. Operations should strictly rely on whether the level breaks or not to adjust strategies, avoiding blind chasing of price increases.

Bitcoin Market Strategy Complete Summary
1. Overall Trend: Last week showed a fluctuating downward trend, with prices hovering below $90,000 since Wednesday, ultimately closing below last week's bull-bear line, with bears holding a temporary advantage.
2. Key Resistance Verification: $91,630 (Fibonacci 0.618 golden retracement point) has not been effectively breached, with multiple attempts being suppressed, and no trading day has remained above this level; the monthly bull-bear line has also faced significant pressure, being strongly suppressed after repeated touches last week, validating the effectiveness of the resistance.

2. Core Trading Parameters for This Week
1. This Week's Bull-Bear Line: $90,059 (current price hovers near this level, with intense long-short competition)
2. Long Position Take Profit: $92,752→$94,416→$97,110
3. Short Position Take Profit: $87,366→$85,702→$83,008
4. Key Resistance Level: $91,630 (continues to exert strong pressure this week, unchanged); $90,000 is an important psychological and practical threshold.

3. Long-Short Structure and Year-End Market Prediction

Short-term Structure (This Week): Prices fluctuate around $90,059, the bull-bear line for this week; if it can effectively break through this level, short-term bulls have a slight advantage; conversely, bears dominate the short-term trend.
Trend Structure (This Month): Technically, bears hold a clear advantage, with the monthly bull-bear line never being effectively breached, maintaining a medium to long-term bearish tone.
Year-End Market Characteristics: By December 31, the phenomenon of mutual killing in the options and stock markets will continue to intensify, becoming a core factor driving wide price fluctuations; if $90,000 is lost, it is very likely to fall below the average cost price of some listed companies' holdings, triggering passive selling and further amplifying downward momentum.
Conditions for Going Long: Only when the price effectively remains above $91,630 can short-term long positions be initiated, targeting this week's long take profit range, with strict attention to position and volume changes.
2. Conditions for Going Short: If the pressure at $91,630 remains effective, the strategy should still focus on shorting at highs, based on this resistance level, with the targets below successively focusing on this week's short take profit points. $BTC #比特币波动性

Short-term bullish, can follow in the short term, wait to buy low, medium to long-term strategy is still bearish, sell high, it's that simple! #加密市场反弹 $BTC $ETH $SOL

This week's Ethereum analysis strategy:
The current price of Ethereum is around 3000 to 3100, with key points at 3171 and 3175. If it doesn't hold, short at highs; if it holds, go long. The prerequisite for going long is also to take a look at Bitcoin #ETH走势分析 #美联储降息 $ETH

This week's Bitcoin strategy analysis:
Bitcoin has been suppressed, going up and then coming down. If it stabilizes at 94000, go long; if it doesn't stabilize, don't hesitate and short at the highs. Positive news should be exited in advance $BTC #美联储降息 #

$BTC $ETH $SOL Follow the trend, the villa is by the sea

以上是中长线策略，控制好仓位，适当操作。

以上是中长线策略，控制好仓位，适当操作。

以上是中长线策略，控制好仓位，适当操作。

SOL
Trend Pattern (This Month): Monthly Bull-Bear Line at $147.83 is a strong resistance,
Suggested Trading Strategy:
Bearish Strategy: Short at highs based on the $147.83 monthly bull-bear line and the daily Bollinger Band middle line, set stop loss above $148, first target at $134 bull-bear line, second target at $124.93 for a single take profit;
- Position Management: Current volatility is high, and there is significant divergence between long and short positions, it is recommended to keep overall positions within 10-20%, avoid high leverage operations, and closely monitor the breakout situation of the range box and the trends of mainstream cryptocurrencies. $SOL

Market Operation Suggestions:
Bearish Strategy: Rely on the resistance range of 3103-3175.67 USD to short at high points, with a stop-loss set above 3175.67 USD, first target 2806 USD, second target 2683 USD;
- Position Management: Currently in a key resistance interval, the long-short game is intense, and volatility risk is high. It is recommended to control the overall position within 10-20%, avoid high-leverage operations, and closely monitor Bitcoin trends and the situation of the triple resistance breakthrough.

Review of the previous market situation and core parameters for this week
Key core parameters:
- Bull-Bear Line this week: $89,438 (current price is above this line, short-term bulls have a slight advantage);
- Monthly Bull-Bear Line: $94,045 (after touching twice on December 3rd and 4th, it was suppressed, a strong resistance level);
- Strong resistance points: $91,630 (Fibonacci retracement point) + $94,045 (monthly Bull-Bear Line), forming a double strong resistance zone;
- Bull profit-taking: $93,411 → $95,865 → $99,837;
- Bear profit-taking: $85,466 → $83,012 → $79,039.
II. Core technical logic and long-short game analysis
(A) Comparison of long and short forces
1. Short-term pattern (this week): Current price is above the Bull-Bear Line of $89,438, bulls have a slight advantage, but the rise and fall trend reflects heavy selling pressure above, with limited rebound momentum;
2. Trend pattern (this month): Always constrained by the $94,045 monthly Bull-Bear Line, and the $91,630 Fibonacci point repeatedly under pressure, no effective breakthrough has occurred, and the bearish trend still dominates;
3. Effectiveness of resistance: The double resistance zone of $91,630 and $94,045 has been effective over the past few days, making breakthrough very difficult, with concentrated selling pressure above and firm resistance.
(B) Trigger conditions for long and short
1. Bull reversal conditions: Need to first break through and stabilize above the $91,630 Fibonacci resistance level, then further conquer the $94,045 monthly Bull-Bear Line, accompanied by significantly increased trading volume, to reverse the bearish trend;
2. Bear continuation conditions: If the $91,630 resistance is effective, and the price falls below the Bull-Bear Line of $89,438 this week, it will return to weakness, likely probing again to the profit-taking level for short positions at $85,466.
- Bull strategy: Only when the price stabilizes above $91,630 can a small position be attempted for long, with a stop-loss set below $89,438 (this week's Bull-Bear Line), targeting directly at $93,411 for bull profit-taking;
- Bear strategy: Relying on the $91,630 resistance level to short at highs, with a stop-loss set above $94,045 (monthly Bull-Bear Line), first target $85,466, second target $83,012;

等你哦

Make some money and leave, take your time, you will recover, don't try to eat everything at once

Forget it. It will drop to 220 tomorrow.

Good