闭环资本

Bank of Japan's interest rate hike countdown: Ethereum plummets on the eve of the storm
Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda has just released a key signal: the meeting on December 19 may initiate an interest rate hike, which will be the largest move since 1995. The market is already in an uproar, but the most dangerous aspect may not be the stock market, but the cryptocurrency market, especially Ethereum.
The probability of this interest rate hike has soared to over 80%, likely increasing by 25 basis points, or even aggressively by 50 basis points. Why is ETH the first to be affected? Behind this is the collapse of the largest yen arbitrage trading, where investors borrow nearly zero-cost yen and rush into high-yield assets such as U.S. stocks and cryptocurrencies. As ETH is the hardest hit area for DeFi leverage, once arbitrage retreats, it will face a chain of liquidations.
History always rings alarm bells: in July 2024, when the Bank of Japan raised interest rates, Bitcoin plummeted 23% in one day, and over 20 billion was liquidated across the network. This time is different, as the market has partially priced in advance, and the unliquidated leveraged contracts have decreased by 40% from their peak, but the risks have not diminished at all. Data shows that nearly 1 billion in leveraged positions still hang in the air, while Ethereum's key support level is at 2600. Once it falls below this level, it could trigger a highly risky avalanche sell-off.
Ethereum's weakness lies in the DeFi ecosystem: layers of leverage accumulation and concentrated institutional holdings make it more sensitive than BTC and SOL. If the interest rate hike is confirmed on December 19, the wave of arbitrage trading closures may sweep across the market in an instant; however, if it is unexpectedly delayed, short covering may lead to a rebound. Nevertheless, do not blindly bottom-fish; before the meeting, any leveraged position is like walking on thin ice #日本加息 #以太坊合约 $ETH

Weekend consolidation, waiting for Sunday to continue the spike $ETH
#ETH走势分析

The cryptocurrency world is the only place in the world where you don't have to flatter anyone or be submissive; as long as you have the right mindset and a disciplined working style, you can make money. The market is a place for personal growth; after 7 years of navigating the market, my understanding of the world has completely changed. I am very grateful to the market; for me, it feels more like a career, continuously refining and progressing through ups and downs, overcoming the shortcomings of human nature. The world is a circle, and it will ultimately close. #币圈 #闭环集团 $BTC $ETH

高度控盘，拿捏人性的

还有机会，早上撤资了700多万