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Analysis of Bitcoin Market on August 3
Combined with the last view, Bitcoin went down as expected and opened to around 61,500. The US stock market suffered setbacks. According to previous statistics, the US stock market fell sharply before each of the three recent US elections, 2012-2016-2020, because uncertainty led to capital risk aversion.
From the monthly line, Bitcoin moved down and continued to look down. The rebound was not strong. Of course, there must be a rebound in the middle, but it was still high. For me, it was to look at the previous low and look at it step by step. First look at 60,000, then look at 53,000.
From the weekly line, Bitcoin first looked at the support of 58,000, and then look at 53,000.
The monthly and weekly lines are both general directions and medium- and long-term investment cycles
For the intraday market, we combine the support of the general direction and the support of the intraday, that is, support pressure to make trading orders. I would also like to say that Ethereum is around 2900, Bitcoin is still 61500, BNB is still 540, and Sol is still around 150. In the past, when Ethereum was around 2900, the others had already dropped a lot, so this wave of market may not be there yet, so be cautious. If it corresponds to Bitcoin, Ethereum is estimated to reach 2600 or below, purely personal opinion.
At present, I continue to hold long positions in exchange rates, increase positions when they fall (position management is very important), short positions in Sol (already in batches to stop profit), short positions in Bitcoin (also in batches to stop profit)
#美联储何时降息？ #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #美国政府转移BTC
Combined with the last view, Bitcoin went down as expected and opened to around 61,500. The US stock market suffered setbacks. According to previous statistics, the US stock market fell sharply before each of the three recent US elections, 2012-2016-2020, because uncertainty led to capital risk aversion.
From the monthly line, Bitcoin moved down and continued to look down. The rebound was not strong. Of course, there must be a rebound in the middle, but it was still high. For me, it was to look at the previous low and look at it step by step. First look at 60,000, then look at 53,000.
From the weekly line, Bitcoin first looked at the support of 58,000, and then look at 53,000.
The monthly and weekly lines are both general directions and medium- and long-term investment cycles
For the intraday market, we combine the support of the general direction and the support of the intraday, that is, support pressure to make trading orders. I would also like to say that Ethereum is around 2900, Bitcoin is still 61500, BNB is still 540, and Sol is still around 150. In the past, when Ethereum was around 2900, the others had already dropped a lot, so this wave of market may not be there yet, so be cautious. If it corresponds to Bitcoin, Ethereum is estimated to reach 2600 or below, purely personal opinion.
At present, I continue to hold long positions in exchange rates, increase positions when they fall (position management is very important), short positions in Sol (already in batches to stop profit), short positions in Bitcoin (also in batches to stop profit)
#美联储何时降息？ #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #美国政府转移BTC
Analysis of Bitcoin Market on August 1
Last night, stimulated by the Fed meeting, the market fell by more than 2,000 points. In the past two days, it fell below 65,000, and this round of rebound ended, opening a new wave of decline.
Let's look at the monthly line first. It is easy to see that the highs are constantly moving down, the monthly K-line is constantly moving down, and the lows are also constantly moving down, so the pressure from above is too heavy, so the monthly line range is 70,000-53,000, which is the direction of the monthly line. The closer to these two ranges, the greater the chance of winning by shorting and longing.
Let's look at the weekly line again. The support line of the weekly line is near 58,000, which has strong support. So at present, I personally look at 58,000 first, and then look at the market trend, whether it ends the decline or continues to fall. So at present, it is bearish, there will be a rebound in the middle, and there are supports and gaps near 63,000 and 61,000.
I personally have small contracts and heavy spot positions. #美国政府转移BTC #美联储何时降息？ #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ {future}(BTCUSDT)
Last night, stimulated by the Fed meeting, the market fell by more than 2,000 points. In the past two days, it fell below 65,000, and this round of rebound ended, opening a new wave of decline.
Let's look at the monthly line first. It is easy to see that the highs are constantly moving down, the monthly K-line is constantly moving down, and the lows are also constantly moving down, so the pressure from above is too heavy, so the monthly line range is 70,000-53,000, which is the direction of the monthly line. The closer to these two ranges, the greater the chance of winning by shorting and longing.
Let's look at the weekly line again. The support line of the weekly line is near 58,000, which has strong support. So at present, I personally look at 58,000 first, and then look at the market trend, whether it ends the decline or continues to fall. So at present, it is bearish, there will be a rebound in the middle, and there are supports and gaps near 63,000 and 61,000.
I personally have small contracts and heavy spot positions. #美国政府转移BTC #美联储何时降息？ #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ {future}(BTCUSDT)
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🔥🔥🔥 Breaking News #ETH🔵 ETF launching Tuesday, July 23rd.
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This is not a punishment, this is a reward
Pickle Cat
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At this moment, it is more necessary not to trade. The market in the second half of the year is too uncertain. I will not take big risks anymore. I will slowly wait for opportunities. If I dare to open contracts within this half year, I will punish myself by not going on a date with the girl for a month. @K线教主宝宝 what do you think of this punishment?
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Can we set up a branch office in Nanjing! Let's make money together
Good morning everyone～
It's another busy day～
Recently, the flu has been serious and many employees have taken leave～
Everyone, take care of your health! 🌟
Some people say that getting airdrops is too difficult, and they have to create accounts, complete tasks, and do a lot～
Where is the difficulty? It's clearly laziness.
Is it hard to spend time? Is it hard to learn? Want to make money but too lazy! It needs to be addressed!
Airdrops are a very low-cost risk 'gambling' method in the cryptocurrency space.
The only way is to quantify it. Deploying different high-quality projects is the only way out.
In the end……
If you don't have talent, then just keep repeating
#空投入门
In this world, some people are born smart and can learn quickly; some have extraordinary talents and can easily reach heights that others find hard to attain.
But more people don’t have any so-called talent, just a little bit of ordinary effort and continuous accumulation through repetition.
Not having talent is not scary; what’s scary is that you don’t even have the patience to repeat.
You're not excellent enough, not because you lack talent, but because you haven’t practiced enough.
Many people like to attribute failure to 'I have no talent,' but what truly determines how far a person can go is never talent, but the repeated practice that comes after.
It's another busy day～
Recently, the flu has been serious and many employees have taken leave～
Everyone, take care of your health! 🌟
Some people say that getting airdrops is too difficult, and they have to create accounts, complete tasks, and do a lot～
Where is the difficulty? It's clearly laziness.
Is it hard to spend time? Is it hard to learn? Want to make money but too lazy! It needs to be addressed!
Airdrops are a very low-cost risk 'gambling' method in the cryptocurrency space.
The only way is to quantify it. Deploying different high-quality projects is the only way out.
In the end……
If you don't have talent, then just keep repeating
#空投入门
In this world, some people are born smart and can learn quickly; some have extraordinary talents and can easily reach heights that others find hard to attain.
But more people don’t have any so-called talent, just a little bit of ordinary effort and continuous accumulation through repetition.
Not having talent is not scary; what’s scary is that you don’t even have the patience to repeat.
You're not excellent enough, not because you lack talent, but because you haven’t practiced enough.
Many people like to attribute failure to 'I have no talent,' but what truly determines how far a person can go is never talent, but the repeated practice that comes after.
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Master, go to 3080 to pick up more
K线教主宝宝
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The leader adjusts, one of the strongest central types. As of now, the 30f second buy has not been released, but the overall idea is to buy on dips. If it’s not hedging, I don’t understand why one would still think about shorting...
$ETH
$ETH
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S
IRYSUSDT
Perp
Closed
PNL
+128.31USDT
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Several times in the wave! Quite tough#pippin
S
PIPPINUSDT
Perp
Closed
PNL
-2.30USDT
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New Brother
男神天花板新哥
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The market is getting better and better,
Ten thousand Bitcoin red envelopes are here,
Reply: New Brother Automatically receive, brothers let's get rich together.
Ten thousand Bitcoin red envelopes are here,
Reply: New Brother Automatically receive, brothers let's get rich together.
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Big Cousin
CZ
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GM, I logged in, balance went up. 😁 Happy ATH.
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Did not understand
CryptoChan
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【BTC On-chain Indicator Update】
After achieving break-even in 2016, Bitcoin reached its peak profit-to-loss ratio 673 days later, with a 2-day discrepancy from the peak in 2017.
After achieving break-even in 2019, Bitcoin reached its peak profit-to-loss ratio 650 days later, with a 2-day discrepancy from the peak in the first half of 2021.
After achieving break-even in 2023, Bitcoin reached its peak profit-to-loss ratio 676 days later (another peak formed on September 19, 2025).
After achieving break-even in 2016, Bitcoin reached its peak profit-to-loss ratio 673 days later, with a 2-day discrepancy from the peak in 2017.
After achieving break-even in 2019, Bitcoin reached its peak profit-to-loss ratio 650 days later, with a 2-day discrepancy from the peak in the first half of 2021.
After achieving break-even in 2023, Bitcoin reached its peak profit-to-loss ratio 676 days later (another peak formed on September 19, 2025).
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Already empty
诗魂
--
$ETH
{future}(ETHUSDT)
Why is ETH bearish?
In fact, it's not just ETH that's bearish; major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, SOL, and DOGE are also bearish.
Among them, ETH is the weakest, with the largest drop, breaking the bullish-bearish dividing line, and the weekly chart is forming a peak, making a downward ABC wave.
On the four-hour chart, ETH has already shifted from a bullish wave structure to a bearish wave structure, which indicates a bearish outlook, so why not short it?
Some people have a screw loose; the day before yesterday, they suggested entering a short position at 4130-4140, and it was sent out at 11 am, with a stop loss at 4210. They thought the oscillation after the drop would easily create a pattern to wash out this position, and at 11:48, they mentioned adding to the position at 4250, in batches. It wasn't until 2:30 in the afternoon that it hit 4210, peaking at 4230. So how detailed should I be for you to understand?
Is 4140 the top for the short? I see it dropping to 3500; is 4140 the top? Muscles don't grow on a soft body, and profits are not something you can shout out with your mouth.
If you can't add to your position at 4250, just wait for a retest after breaking below 4000 to add to your position in the direction of the trend. Then, wait for the weekly chart to exert force and a bearish candle will reach 3500.
{future}(ETHUSDT)
Why is ETH bearish?
In fact, it's not just ETH that's bearish; major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, SOL, and DOGE are also bearish.
Among them, ETH is the weakest, with the largest drop, breaking the bullish-bearish dividing line, and the weekly chart is forming a peak, making a downward ABC wave.
On the four-hour chart, ETH has already shifted from a bullish wave structure to a bearish wave structure, which indicates a bearish outlook, so why not short it?
Some people have a screw loose; the day before yesterday, they suggested entering a short position at 4130-4140, and it was sent out at 11 am, with a stop loss at 4210. They thought the oscillation after the drop would easily create a pattern to wash out this position, and at 11:48, they mentioned adding to the position at 4250, in batches. It wasn't until 2:30 in the afternoon that it hit 4210, peaking at 4230. So how detailed should I be for you to understand?
Is 4140 the top for the short? I see it dropping to 3500; is 4140 the top? Muscles don't grow on a soft body, and profits are not something you can shout out with your mouth.
If you can't add to your position at 4250, just wait for a retest after breaking below 4000 to add to your position in the direction of the trend. Then, wait for the weekly chart to exert force and a bearish candle will reach 3500.
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How much will it drop?
The white line part is the descending impulse wave, Push 1 is basically finished, rebound pressure position 113662-115280 #BTC #ETH
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Brother Soul, at what point should we start shorting?
诗魂
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$ETH
{future}(ETHUSDT)
eth has dropped below 4400, where 4400 is the position of the ema200 daily moving average.
The previous moving average was above 4200, and it didn't break below the eam200 daily moving average regardless of how it was inserted. This time, however, it has genuinely broken the moving average with a real entity naked candle.
Since July 2nd, eth has risen above 2500, and it has not fallen below the moving average since then. This is the first real entity break below the moving average in nearly three months, and it is a significant break. The daily and weekly candles, especially the weekly ones, are starting to evolve into bearish naked candles as indicators of a top.
Breaking below the eam200 daily moving average here essentially represents the boundary between bull and bear markets or between long and short positions, completely standing on the bear side now. The pin here reaching 4000 will definitely have an upward retracement rebound. In fact, breaking below the moving average indicates that it has been consistently bearish, and even saying that if it doesn’t break above 4350-4380, the current position of the moving average could potentially turn bearish. Therefore, there will definitely be a retracement rebound followed by a bearish outlook, and one should go short consistently.
The support below the weekly and daily candles is at 3500, with the wave pattern turning into a downward wave eight, which is now the abc rebound, and then the new downward wave eight follows.
So, we need to find a bearish signal below the moving average to short into, aiming towards the position of 3500. This time, the significance of the ema200 daily moving average is quite substantial, as it may mark the beginning of the transition from a bull market to a bear market.
{future}(ETHUSDT)
eth has dropped below 4400, where 4400 is the position of the ema200 daily moving average.
The previous moving average was above 4200, and it didn't break below the eam200 daily moving average regardless of how it was inserted. This time, however, it has genuinely broken the moving average with a real entity naked candle.
Since July 2nd, eth has risen above 2500, and it has not fallen below the moving average since then. This is the first real entity break below the moving average in nearly three months, and it is a significant break. The daily and weekly candles, especially the weekly ones, are starting to evolve into bearish naked candles as indicators of a top.
Breaking below the eam200 daily moving average here essentially represents the boundary between bull and bear markets or between long and short positions, completely standing on the bear side now. The pin here reaching 4000 will definitely have an upward retracement rebound. In fact, breaking below the moving average indicates that it has been consistently bearish, and even saying that if it doesn’t break above 4350-4380, the current position of the moving average could potentially turn bearish. Therefore, there will definitely be a retracement rebound followed by a bearish outlook, and one should go short consistently.
The support below the weekly and daily candles is at 3500, with the wave pattern turning into a downward wave eight, which is now the abc rebound, and then the new downward wave eight follows.
So, we need to find a bearish signal below the moving average to short into, aiming towards the position of 3500. This time, the significance of the ema200 daily moving average is quite substantial, as it may mark the beginning of the transition from a bull market to a bear market.
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Hurry up and follow!
Nuts坚果
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Little Guo really gives benefits to xdm! Live stream on Sunday afternoon to draw an iPhone 17 Air!! Hurry up to follow, only three days left! Hurry up to follow!
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Don't be discouraged, Soul Brother, you are stronger than any KOL.
诗魂
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$ETH
{future}(ETHUSDT)
Come scold me a few times, everyone.
I feel like I'm an idiot.
{future}(ETHUSDT)
Come scold me a few times, everyone.
I feel like I'm an idiot.
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Good afternoon
Good afternoon
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It's already exploded.
ETH has two long positions worth over 100 million dollars, such aggressive moves are definitely going to get liquidated first!
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Set stop loss at what value
财经牛阿牛
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Furious Bull Market!!! #加密市场回调 #BTC再创新高
$SOL 195 has already notified Jia Cang, target 230-300
{spot}(SOLUSDT)
$SOL 195 has already notified Jia Cang, target 230-300
{spot}(SOLUSDT)
2
Prelude to Takeoff Brothers Let's Go 130,000 See #BTC🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
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Wealth Doubling
交易员张张子
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Today is a good day, the BNB that has been continuously supported has reached a historical high, and the plaza fans have also broken 60,000, truly double happiness 🎊
Sending a BNB red envelope to my brothers, wishing that the other coins you bought also continue to reach new highs and increase in value!
For the brothers who haven't received commission rebates yet, invitation code: BNB789
Sending a BNB red envelope to my brothers, wishing that the other coins you bought also continue to reach new highs and increase in value!
For the brothers who haven't received commission rebates yet, invitation code: BNB789
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