叶南佳
微博：叶南佳-Jia
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Let me talk about the upcoming trends of $BTC and $ETH . I personally believe that there will continue to be a decline, so pay attention to the support level at 88750!
From the market structure, Bitcoin and Ethereum are still in a downward channel. Although there has been a short-term rebound and correction, the trend has not reversed. The overall rhythm remains — rebound means short, waiting for a drop.
Currently, Bitcoin is fluctuating below the middle line of the downward channel, with multiple days of rebounds hitting resistance near 104200. After testing 99000 yesterday, a double bottom rebound formed, but after attacking 104000, it quickly fell back, and the rebound remains weak.
The short-term range is expected to fluctuate between 98500 and 104200. If it fails to break through and stay above 104200, the rhythm will still be to short on rebounds.
If it breaks below 97600, it will open up space below, possibly testing 92700, or even filling the gap between 88700 and 89000.
Reference range:
Short position idea: 102500–103000 area
Target range: 100600–99300
If it breaks below 92700, it will be a signal for a phase transition to bearish. If it can hold this range and gain strong support near 88K for a rebound, then there is still hope for challenging a new high of 130000!
Ethereum's trend is linked with Bitcoin, with a slightly faster rhythm. After testing the pressure above 3450 yesterday, it fell back, continuing a weak structure today. The short-term rebound is low in volume, indicating limited capital support.
Reference range:
Short position idea: 3450–3470 area
Target range: 3260–3180
If it breaks below 3160, it will open up space below, with further support to pay attention to the 2870 area.
The overall rhythm maintains a bearish outlook, focusing on laying out short positions around the pressure zone, confirming on the right side before following up.
Currently, the market is still in a phase of downward movement. If BTC can hold above 92700 and show a strong reversal structure, there is still a chance to challenge the high of 130000 again; however, if it effectively breaks below 92700, it means the market may officially enter a 'bear market', so pay attention to the support at 88750.
Summary:
A rebound does not mean a trend reversal; support not breaking is the bottom. Rules may be broken, but the market rhythm does not lie.
#隐私币生态普涨 #美国ADP数据超预期
From the market structure, Bitcoin and Ethereum are still in a downward channel. Although there has been a short-term rebound and correction, the trend has not reversed. The overall rhythm remains — rebound means short, waiting for a drop.
Currently, Bitcoin is fluctuating below the middle line of the downward channel, with multiple days of rebounds hitting resistance near 104200. After testing 99000 yesterday, a double bottom rebound formed, but after attacking 104000, it quickly fell back, and the rebound remains weak.
The short-term range is expected to fluctuate between 98500 and 104200. If it fails to break through and stay above 104200, the rhythm will still be to short on rebounds.
If it breaks below 97600, it will open up space below, possibly testing 92700, or even filling the gap between 88700 and 89000.
Reference range:
Short position idea: 102500–103000 area
Target range: 100600–99300
If it breaks below 92700, it will be a signal for a phase transition to bearish. If it can hold this range and gain strong support near 88K for a rebound, then there is still hope for challenging a new high of 130000!
Ethereum's trend is linked with Bitcoin, with a slightly faster rhythm. After testing the pressure above 3450 yesterday, it fell back, continuing a weak structure today. The short-term rebound is low in volume, indicating limited capital support.
Reference range:
Short position idea: 3450–3470 area
Target range: 3260–3180
If it breaks below 3160, it will open up space below, with further support to pay attention to the 2870 area.
The overall rhythm maintains a bearish outlook, focusing on laying out short positions around the pressure zone, confirming on the right side before following up.
Currently, the market is still in a phase of downward movement. If BTC can hold above 92700 and show a strong reversal structure, there is still a chance to challenge the high of 130000 again; however, if it effectively breaks below 92700, it means the market may officially enter a 'bear market', so pay attention to the support at 88750.
Summary:
A rebound does not mean a trend reversal; support not breaking is the bottom. Rules may be broken, but the market rhythm does not lie.
#隐私币生态普涨 #美国ADP数据超预期
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Opportunities and risks coexist, rational layout, timing determines returns. In the second half of 2025, we will embark on a new journey together!
Chat Room ID: l79z7uty
#加密市场回调
Chat Room ID: l79z7uty
#加密市场回调
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US market heavyweight data released
Key economic data published, overall showing signs of weakening employment + cooling consumption:
🔹 US November unemployment rate
Released at 4.6%, higher than the expected 4.4%
Employment pressure is rising, leaning towards a loose expectation
🔹 US November seasonally adjusted non-farm payroll
Released at +64,000, higher than the expected +50,000
Employment resilience remains, but growth rate is limited
🔹 US October retail sales month-on-month
Released at 0%, lower than previous value and expectation
Consumption momentum has clearly slowed
This set of data is not simply "one-sided strong or weak", but a typical signal of differentiation: employment is not out of control, but the trend of economic cooling persists.
For the cryptocurrency market, the key lies not in the data itself, but in how the market continues to price liquidity expectations.
Short-term fluctuations and sell-offs are likely, but as long as the loose expectations are not overturned, the mid-term structure still requires patience.
Data is just the fuse, the direction depends on capital choices.
#美联储降息 #加密市场观察
$BTC $ETH $ZEC
Key economic data published, overall showing signs of weakening employment + cooling consumption:
🔹 US November unemployment rate
Released at 4.6%, higher than the expected 4.4%
Employment pressure is rising, leaning towards a loose expectation
🔹 US November seasonally adjusted non-farm payroll
Released at +64,000, higher than the expected +50,000
Employment resilience remains, but growth rate is limited
🔹 US October retail sales month-on-month
Released at 0%, lower than previous value and expectation
Consumption momentum has clearly slowed
This set of data is not simply "one-sided strong or weak", but a typical signal of differentiation: employment is not out of control, but the trend of economic cooling persists.
For the cryptocurrency market, the key lies not in the data itself, but in how the market continues to price liquidity expectations.
Short-term fluctuations and sell-offs are likely, but as long as the loose expectations are not overturned, the mid-term structure still requires patience.
Data is just the fuse, the direction depends on capital choices.
#美联储降息 #加密市场观察
$BTC $ETH $ZEC
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Tonight at 21:30, the US market will welcome a crucial data window
The market will digest multiple key US economic data points simultaneously, with short-term volatility expectations clearly rising 👇
🔹 US November Unemployment Rate
Market expectation 4.4%
If the unemployment rate continues to rise → strengthens expectations of economic cooling
If it is lower than expected → USD strengthens, risk assets face pressure
🔹 US November Non-Farm Payrolls (Adjusted)
Expected +50,000
This is a core indicator for assessing the resilience of US employment and future policy expectations
Weak data is beneficial for a rebound in risk assets
Strong data requires caution for short-term pullbacks
🔹 US October Retail Sales Month-on-Month
Previous value 0.2%, expected 0.1%
If consumer data continues to weaken, it will increase market pricing for economic slowdown
Logically, the crypto market is much more sensitive to “liquidity expectations” than to any single data point. Even if the data is weak and sentiment fluctuates sharply in the short term, as long as the market continues to price in “loose expectations not ending,” the mid-term structure will not easily deteriorate.
However, it is essential to be cautious during the data release phase, as there often appears a trend of sweeping liquidity first, then choosing a direction. Many pullbacks are not trend reversals but rather a cleaning of sentiment and positions.
Therefore, at this point in time, I am more inclined to:
Not chase data, not seize the first wave;
Wait for the market to release the “noise” completely, then observe whether the structure has been genuinely damaged;
In a trending market, pullbacks themselves are opportunities, but the premise is that the position and rhythm are right;
Data determines sentiment, liquidity determines direction.
For the crypto market, understanding “expectations” is more important than guessing data!
#美联储降息 #加密市场观察
$BTC
$ETH
$ZEC
The market will digest multiple key US economic data points simultaneously, with short-term volatility expectations clearly rising 👇
🔹 US November Unemployment Rate
Market expectation 4.4%
If the unemployment rate continues to rise → strengthens expectations of economic cooling
If it is lower than expected → USD strengthens, risk assets face pressure
🔹 US November Non-Farm Payrolls (Adjusted)
Expected +50,000
This is a core indicator for assessing the resilience of US employment and future policy expectations
Weak data is beneficial for a rebound in risk assets
Strong data requires caution for short-term pullbacks
🔹 US October Retail Sales Month-on-Month
Previous value 0.2%, expected 0.1%
If consumer data continues to weaken, it will increase market pricing for economic slowdown
Logically, the crypto market is much more sensitive to “liquidity expectations” than to any single data point. Even if the data is weak and sentiment fluctuates sharply in the short term, as long as the market continues to price in “loose expectations not ending,” the mid-term structure will not easily deteriorate.
However, it is essential to be cautious during the data release phase, as there often appears a trend of sweeping liquidity first, then choosing a direction. Many pullbacks are not trend reversals but rather a cleaning of sentiment and positions.
Therefore, at this point in time, I am more inclined to:
Not chase data, not seize the first wave;
Wait for the market to release the “noise” completely, then observe whether the structure has been genuinely damaged;
In a trending market, pullbacks themselves are opportunities, but the premise is that the position and rhythm are right;
Data determines sentiment, liquidity determines direction.
For the crypto market, understanding “expectations” is more important than guessing data!
#美联储降息 #加密市场观察
$BTC
$ETH
$ZEC
See original
$ETH , stunned by the impact?
Affected by macro data expectations (non-farm/inflation expectations) and the overall weakening of risk assets, there has been a noticeable retreat of funds seeking safety, with ETH's daily drop exceeding 6%, and bullish sentiment quickly cooling. Before key data is released, the market tends to first kill valuations and then look for direction, and short-term caution is still needed to prevent a second dip or repeated back-and-forth.
On the daily chart, it has currently broken below the previous consolidation range, the Bollinger Bands are opening downwards, and the trend has clearly weakened; on the 4-hour chart, it is in a low-level sideways trend after a sharp decline, which is a technical correction after a drop, not a reversal; the rebound in the short cycle lacks sufficient volume, and is more about short covering.
Resistance: 3000, 3080–3120
Support: 2870, 2800
Operational Suggestions
Single Position Idea: 3000–3050
Stop Loss: Above 3120
Target: 2870, 2800, 2780
Multiple Position Idea: Near 2870 to stop the decline
Target: 2980–3020
Stop Loss: Below 2800
Currently, it is a sentiment-driven market; do not chase longs, do not bottom-fish!
Be cautious of sharp swings and false breakouts before and after data releases!
ETH has entered a weak phase after breaking down, with 3000 above being a resistance zone, prioritize short on rebounds, and only do quick in-and-out for low longs.
#美联储降息 #加密市场观察
$ZEC
$BEAT
Affected by macro data expectations (non-farm/inflation expectations) and the overall weakening of risk assets, there has been a noticeable retreat of funds seeking safety, with ETH's daily drop exceeding 6%, and bullish sentiment quickly cooling. Before key data is released, the market tends to first kill valuations and then look for direction, and short-term caution is still needed to prevent a second dip or repeated back-and-forth.
On the daily chart, it has currently broken below the previous consolidation range, the Bollinger Bands are opening downwards, and the trend has clearly weakened; on the 4-hour chart, it is in a low-level sideways trend after a sharp decline, which is a technical correction after a drop, not a reversal; the rebound in the short cycle lacks sufficient volume, and is more about short covering.
Resistance: 3000, 3080–3120
Support: 2870, 2800
Operational Suggestions
Single Position Idea: 3000–3050
Stop Loss: Above 3120
Target: 2870, 2800, 2780
Multiple Position Idea: Near 2870 to stop the decline
Target: 2980–3020
Stop Loss: Below 2800
Currently, it is a sentiment-driven market; do not chase longs, do not bottom-fish!
Be cautious of sharp swings and false breakouts before and after data releases!
ETH has entered a weak phase after breaking down, with 3000 above being a resistance zone, prioritize short on rebounds, and only do quick in-and-out for low longs.
#美联储降息 #加密市场观察
$ZEC
$BEAT
See original
Non-farm data not released, the market leads: $BTC short-term key points fully analyzed
Tonight, the U.S. November seasonally adjusted non-farm payroll data will be released, and the market consensus expectation is relatively low, but there remains uncertainty.
If the non-farm data is stronger than expected, the U.S. dollar and U.S. Treasury yields will strengthen, putting pressure on risk assets, and BTC may not rule out a second dip; if the data is weaker, it will be conducive to repairing interest rate cut expectations, and BTC may see a technical rebound. Before and after the data is released, there is significant short-term capital speculation, which can easily lead to rapid back-and-forth movements and false breakouts.
On the daily chart, it has broken below the previous oscillation range and remains in a downward channel overall; after a large volume drop on the 4-hour chart, it has entered a low-level consolidation with limited rebound strength; the short cycle is in a weak pullback, and the trend has not yet reversed.
Resistance: 87200, 88500
Support: 85000, 83800
Trading Suggestions
Single order idea: 87200–88000
Stop loss: above 89200
Target: 85000, 83800
Multiple order idea: stabilizing around 85000
Target: 86500–87500
Stop loss: below 84200
With non-farm data approaching, BTC is in a weak recovery phase after breaking down, do not chase the rebound, still focus on short positions as the main strategy.
#美联储降息 #加密市场观察
$ETH
$ZEC
Tonight, the U.S. November seasonally adjusted non-farm payroll data will be released, and the market consensus expectation is relatively low, but there remains uncertainty.
If the non-farm data is stronger than expected, the U.S. dollar and U.S. Treasury yields will strengthen, putting pressure on risk assets, and BTC may not rule out a second dip; if the data is weaker, it will be conducive to repairing interest rate cut expectations, and BTC may see a technical rebound. Before and after the data is released, there is significant short-term capital speculation, which can easily lead to rapid back-and-forth movements and false breakouts.
On the daily chart, it has broken below the previous oscillation range and remains in a downward channel overall; after a large volume drop on the 4-hour chart, it has entered a low-level consolidation with limited rebound strength; the short cycle is in a weak pullback, and the trend has not yet reversed.
Resistance: 87200, 88500
Support: 85000, 83800
Trading Suggestions
Single order idea: 87200–88000
Stop loss: above 89200
Target: 85000, 83800
Multiple order idea: stabilizing around 85000
Target: 86500–87500
Stop loss: below 84200
With non-farm data approaching, BTC is in a weak recovery phase after breaking down, do not chase the rebound, still focus on short positions as the main strategy.
#美联储降息 #加密市场观察
$ETH
$ZEC
See original
$ETH ｜The rebound is false, the decline is real
The strategy is given in advance:
3140–3180 short
The market directly realized:
3177 → 2988
The structure remains unchanged, the trend is downward.
Now is not the bottom buying area.
Once 2955 breaks, look down to 2900.
Only recognize the direction, do not follow emotions.
#美联储降息 #加密市场观察
$BTC
$ZEC
The strategy is given in advance:
3140–3180 short
The market directly realized:
3177 → 2988
The structure remains unchanged, the trend is downward.
Now is not the bottom buying area.
Once 2955 breaks, look down to 2900.
Only recognize the direction, do not follow emotions.
#美联储降息 #加密市场观察
$BTC
$ZEC
See original
$BTC ｜90000 is the top, not the bottom
The opinion is given in advance:
89800–90200 short in batches
Target 88500, 87500
The market has no dragging water:
89940 → 866001
Now is not the time to catch the bottom.
Once it falls below 86000, look down to 84500.
Remember one thing:
The trend is downward, and rebounds are positions for bears.
#美联储降息 #加密市场观察
$ETH
$ZEC
The opinion is given in advance:
89800–90200 short in batches
Target 88500, 87500
The market has no dragging water:
89940 → 866001
Now is not the time to catch the bottom.
Once it falls below 86000, look down to 84500.
Remember one thing:
The trend is downward, and rebounds are positions for bears.
#美联储降息 #加密市场观察
$ETH
$ZEC
See original
$BTC ｜90000 is not an opportunity, it's a test
The viewpoint leads, not waiting for confirmation:
89800–90200 short in batches
Target 88500 / 87500
The market is very direct:
89940 → 88590
It's not a guess, it's a rhythm.
Weak rebound at high positions,
The sentiment is retreating before the data,
A rise is just giving positions to the bears.
Looking back now, it's all very simple,
The difficult part is having the courage to short in advance.
#美联储降息 #加密市场观察
$ETH
$ZEC
The viewpoint leads, not waiting for confirmation:
89800–90200 short in batches
Target 88500 / 87500
The market is very direct:
89940 → 88590
It's not a guess, it's a rhythm.
Weak rebound at high positions,
The sentiment is retreating before the data,
A rise is just giving positions to the bears.
Looking back now, it's all very simple,
The difficult part is having the courage to short in advance.
#美联储降息 #加密市场观察
$ETH
$ZEC
See original
$ETH ｜The direction is correct, the drop is realized
Advance shorts, no ambiguity:
3140–3180 short in batches
Target 3080 → 3020
The price moves decisively: 3177 drops straight to 3073
It's not emotion, it's structure.
The view for the future remains unchanged:
A rebound only gives opportunities to the bears, do not chase longs.
Those who understand the structure,
Only wait for the price to give answers.
#美联储降息 #ETH走势分析
$BTC
$ZEC
Advance shorts, no ambiguity:
3140–3180 short in batches
Target 3080 → 3020
The price moves decisively: 3177 drops straight to 3073
It's not emotion, it's structure.
The view for the future remains unchanged:
A rebound only gives opportunities to the bears, do not chase longs.
Those who understand the structure,
Only wait for the price to give answers.
#美联储降息 #ETH走势分析
$BTC
$ZEC
See original
The market is not large, but $ETH is waiting for a result.
The daily line is in a technical correction after a decline, still operating below the middle track of the Bollinger Bands, and the trend has not fully strengthened. After a low rebound on the 4-hour chart, it has entered a consolidation phase, with average volume, belonging to a震荡结构 during the rebound. After a short-term surge in 15 minutes, the momentum has slowed down, be cautious of a pullback confirmation.
Resistance: 3150, 3200
Support: 3080, 3020
Operation Suggestions
Short selling idea: 3140–3180 sell in batches
Stop loss: above 3220
Targets: 3080, 3020, 3000
Long buying idea: 3020–3050 stabilize can attempt
Targets: 3120–3180, 3250
Stop loss: below 2980
Currently, it is a rebound repair market, do not chase high, do not hold large positions. If it effectively stabilizes above 3200, the short selling strategy needs to be adjusted. ETH is in a rebound and consolidation phase after a decline, with clear resistance above 3150, treating the rebound as bearish, and only short-term low buying is considered.
#美联储降息 #美联储FOMC会议
$BTC
$ZEC
The daily line is in a technical correction after a decline, still operating below the middle track of the Bollinger Bands, and the trend has not fully strengthened. After a low rebound on the 4-hour chart, it has entered a consolidation phase, with average volume, belonging to a震荡结构 during the rebound. After a short-term surge in 15 minutes, the momentum has slowed down, be cautious of a pullback confirmation.
Resistance: 3150, 3200
Support: 3080, 3020
Operation Suggestions
Short selling idea: 3140–3180 sell in batches
Stop loss: above 3220
Targets: 3080, 3020, 3000
Long buying idea: 3020–3050 stabilize can attempt
Targets: 3120–3180, 3250
Stop loss: below 2980
Currently, it is a rebound repair market, do not chase high, do not hold large positions. If it effectively stabilizes above 3200, the short selling strategy needs to be adjusted. ETH is in a rebound and consolidation phase after a decline, with clear resistance above 3150, treating the rebound as bearish, and only short-term low buying is considered.
#美联储降息 #美联储FOMC会议
$BTC
$ZEC
See original
90000 is not an opportunity, it is a test: $BTC What should be done in the short term?
Today's market focuses on key macro indicators such as US Core PCE and retail sales data. If Core PCE is higher than expected, inflation pressure will rise again, and the expectation for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates will cool, putting pressure on risk assets, leaning bearish on BTC; if the data is lower than expected, it will be favorable for the rebound of easing expectations, and BTC may welcome a rebound for repair.
At the same time, some geopolitical risks show signs of easing, and the risk aversion sentiment marginally retreats, weakening the sentiment support for Bitcoin.
Before and after the data release, it is necessary to be cautious of volume fluctuations and false breakthroughs.
The daily chart is in a weak rebound structure after a high-level retreat, still constrained by the middle track of the Bollinger Bands; the 4-hour level maintains a range oscillation between 87500 and 90200, with insufficient volume; the short-term rebound is approaching pressure, and momentum is beginning to decline.
Pressure: 90000–90200, 91000
Support: 88500, 87500
Trading Suggestions
Short Strategy: 89800–90200 Sell in batches
Stop Loss: Above 91000
Target: 88500, 87500
Long Strategy: If it stabilizes around 87500, you can try
Target: 89000–89800, 92500
Stop Loss: Below 86800
In summary:
With macro data imminent, BTC is in a high-level oscillation leaning bearish structure, do not chase long above 90000, rebound is more suitable for shorting, waiting for the data to give direction.
#美联储降息 #美联储FOMC会议
$ETH
$ZEC
Today's market focuses on key macro indicators such as US Core PCE and retail sales data. If Core PCE is higher than expected, inflation pressure will rise again, and the expectation for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates will cool, putting pressure on risk assets, leaning bearish on BTC; if the data is lower than expected, it will be favorable for the rebound of easing expectations, and BTC may welcome a rebound for repair.
At the same time, some geopolitical risks show signs of easing, and the risk aversion sentiment marginally retreats, weakening the sentiment support for Bitcoin.
Before and after the data release, it is necessary to be cautious of volume fluctuations and false breakthroughs.
The daily chart is in a weak rebound structure after a high-level retreat, still constrained by the middle track of the Bollinger Bands; the 4-hour level maintains a range oscillation between 87500 and 90200, with insufficient volume; the short-term rebound is approaching pressure, and momentum is beginning to decline.
Pressure: 90000–90200, 91000
Support: 88500, 87500
Trading Suggestions
Short Strategy: 89800–90200 Sell in batches
Stop Loss: Above 91000
Target: 88500, 87500
Long Strategy: If it stabilizes around 87500, you can try
Target: 89000–89800, 92500
Stop Loss: Below 86800
In summary:
With macro data imminent, BTC is in a high-level oscillation leaning bearish structure, do not chase long above 90000, rebound is more suitable for shorting, waiting for the data to give direction.
#美联储降息 #美联储FOMC会议
$ETH
$ZEC
See original
$BTC surged and then fell back, the range is still the main theme
BTC surged to the 93500 level but couldn't hold, experiencing a short-term pullback, and is currently oscillating around 92000 again. The 4H level is still running above the middle Bollinger band, but the upper band is under clear pressure, and the trading volume has not effectively increased, indicating a consolidation after a rebound rather than a one-sided acceleration; the 15-minute high has pulled back, and the MACD momentum has weakened, making the cost-performance ratio of chasing long positions not high in the short term. Although the daily chart maintains a repair structure, the trend has not completely strengthened, and more time is needed to exchange for space.
Overall, BTC is in a high-level oscillation digestion phase, not chasing highs or being aggressive, waiting for the key range to give direction.
Resistance: 93500, 94500
Support: 90500, 89200
Operational Thoughts:
A bearish approach near the resistance level during the rebound, considering low long positions when testing the support level, mainly focusing on high selling and low buying within the range, waiting for an effective breakthrough to follow the trend.
#加密市场反弹 #美联储FOMC会议
$ETH
$ZEC
BTC surged to the 93500 level but couldn't hold, experiencing a short-term pullback, and is currently oscillating around 92000 again. The 4H level is still running above the middle Bollinger band, but the upper band is under clear pressure, and the trading volume has not effectively increased, indicating a consolidation after a rebound rather than a one-sided acceleration; the 15-minute high has pulled back, and the MACD momentum has weakened, making the cost-performance ratio of chasing long positions not high in the short term. Although the daily chart maintains a repair structure, the trend has not completely strengthened, and more time is needed to exchange for space.
Overall, BTC is in a high-level oscillation digestion phase, not chasing highs or being aggressive, waiting for the key range to give direction.
Resistance: 93500, 94500
Support: 90500, 89200
Operational Thoughts:
A bearish approach near the resistance level during the rebound, considering low long positions when testing the support level, mainly focusing on high selling and low buying within the range, waiting for an effective breakthrough to follow the trend.
#加密市场反弹 #美联储FOMC会议
$ETH
$ZEC
See original
The direction is right, and the results will never be poor.
Yesterday, $ETH suggested a long position in the range of 3260–3300, with a clear structure and rhythm. The market moved from 3295 all the way up to 3428, fully realizing the short-term bullish momentum.
Currently, the position profit has reached +46,344 USDT, with a return rate exceeding 4126%+ ——
Trading with the trend is that straightforward.
The market never speaks, but it tells you with its movements:
Understanding the structure and executing properly leads to profits naturally.
#加密市场反弹 #比特币VS代币化黄金
$BTC
$ZEC
Yesterday, $ETH suggested a long position in the range of 3260–3300, with a clear structure and rhythm. The market moved from 3295 all the way up to 3428, fully realizing the short-term bullish momentum.
Currently, the position profit has reached +46,344 USDT, with a return rate exceeding 4126%+ ——
Trading with the trend is that straightforward.
The market never speaks, but it tells you with its movements:
Understanding the structure and executing properly leads to profits naturally.
#加密市场反弹 #比特币VS代币化黄金
$BTC
$ZEC
See original
Federal Reserve Decision Night: Focus on 4180, this is the key
Tonight's focus is on the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut decision, with the market's expectation of a 25bp cut nearly unanimous. Before the results are announced, gold is still fluctuating within a structural range, and 4180 remains a strong support level that has been validated multiple times; if it holds steady, this will be the watershed for market sentiment.
On the upside, watch for 4220 (previous high pressure) and 4250 (structural strong pressure), whether it breaks through will determine the subsequent rhythm.
If a typical "good news realization" occurs, gold may show a trend of initially rising and then falling; if the wording is more conservative, it may even touch the 4120—4100 area in the short term.
If the meeting content is neutral, a continuation of a small range fluctuation of 20–30 dollars should not be ruled out, waiting for guidance for the next stage.
Tonight's general direction depends on the attitude given by the Federal Reserve.
$BTC
$ETH
$ZEC
#加密市场反弹 #比特币VS代币化黄金
Tonight's focus is on the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut decision, with the market's expectation of a 25bp cut nearly unanimous. Before the results are announced, gold is still fluctuating within a structural range, and 4180 remains a strong support level that has been validated multiple times; if it holds steady, this will be the watershed for market sentiment.
On the upside, watch for 4220 (previous high pressure) and 4250 (structural strong pressure), whether it breaks through will determine the subsequent rhythm.
If a typical "good news realization" occurs, gold may show a trend of initially rising and then falling; if the wording is more conservative, it may even touch the 4120—4100 area in the short term.
If the meeting content is neutral, a continuation of a small range fluctuation of 20–30 dollars should not be ruled out, waiting for guidance for the next stage.
Tonight's general direction depends on the attitude given by the Federal Reserve.
$BTC
$ETH
$ZEC
#加密市场反弹 #比特币VS代币化黄金
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$ETH Strong return, bull momentum regains dominance
ETH surged strongly tonight from the 3090 level to 3397, with a noticeable increase in strength compared to BTC, entering a high-level consolidation after a short-term surge.
After a quick rise in 15 minutes, the pullback stabilized at the moving average, characteristic of a strong market consolidation; the 4-hour chart has regained the middle Bollinger band, and the MACD momentum continues to expand, indicating a clear restoration of the bullish structure; the daily chart has also shown a second stabilization, continuing the rebound trend. Overall, ETH still maintains a strong oscillation upward, with pullbacks being the main rhythm, and the focus is on buying on dips.
Support: 3260 / 3180
Resistance: 3390 / 3480
Operation suggestions
Steady buying: 3260–3300
Target: 3380, 3450
Chasing: Lightly buy after effectively breaking 3395
Target: 3460
This strong surge in ETH has boosted market sentiment, and the bullish structure is currently intact. As long as it does not drop below the middle band, the probability of a continued rebound is higher. In terms of operation, maintain a focus on buying on dips and treating it with a consolidation mindset, avoiding blind shorts.
#加密市场反弹 #美联储FOMC会议
$BTC
$ZEC
ETH surged strongly tonight from the 3090 level to 3397, with a noticeable increase in strength compared to BTC, entering a high-level consolidation after a short-term surge.
After a quick rise in 15 minutes, the pullback stabilized at the moving average, characteristic of a strong market consolidation; the 4-hour chart has regained the middle Bollinger band, and the MACD momentum continues to expand, indicating a clear restoration of the bullish structure; the daily chart has also shown a second stabilization, continuing the rebound trend. Overall, ETH still maintains a strong oscillation upward, with pullbacks being the main rhythm, and the focus is on buying on dips.
Support: 3260 / 3180
Resistance: 3390 / 3480
Operation suggestions
Steady buying: 3260–3300
Target: 3380, 3450
Chasing: Lightly buy after effectively breaking 3395
Target: 3460
This strong surge in ETH has boosted market sentiment, and the bullish structure is currently intact. As long as it does not drop below the middle band, the probability of a continued rebound is higher. In terms of operation, maintain a focus on buying on dips and treating it with a consolidation mindset, avoiding blind shorts.
#加密市场反弹 #美联储FOMC会议
$BTC
$ZEC
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$BTC Strong rebound enters a period of consolidation
BTC today surged strongly from 89868 to 94555, and after profit-taking at high levels, it entered a narrow range of fluctuations. Although momentum on the 15-minute level has retreated somewhat, the moving averages still maintain a bullish arrangement, and the short term is characterized by high-level consolidation after a rapid surge; the 4-hour chart has re-established itself above the middle Bollinger band, with a clear improvement in the bullish structure, and MACD momentum continues to expand, with the trend shifting from weak rebound to a slightly strong oscillation upward; the daily chart shows a second stabilization pattern, with two consecutive days of positive closes, enhancing the confirmation of the bottom.
Overall, BTC is still in the continuation phase of the rebound; a short-term pullback presents an opportunity, with a more prudent approach to participating on dips rather than chasing at high levels.
Support: 91800, 90500
Resistance: 94000, 95500
Operational Advice
Cautious Long: 91800–92500 adding positions gradually
Target: 93800, 94800
Aggressive Long: Lightly chase after breaking 94550
Target: 95500
BTC has emerged from previous low ranges, and the trend is entering a slightly strong rhythm. Currently, treating the structure as surge—consolidation—surge again is more reasonable; short-term fluctuations are digesting momentum, not indicating a weakening.
#加密市场反弹 #美联储FOMC会议
$ETH
$ZEC
BTC today surged strongly from 89868 to 94555, and after profit-taking at high levels, it entered a narrow range of fluctuations. Although momentum on the 15-minute level has retreated somewhat, the moving averages still maintain a bullish arrangement, and the short term is characterized by high-level consolidation after a rapid surge; the 4-hour chart has re-established itself above the middle Bollinger band, with a clear improvement in the bullish structure, and MACD momentum continues to expand, with the trend shifting from weak rebound to a slightly strong oscillation upward; the daily chart shows a second stabilization pattern, with two consecutive days of positive closes, enhancing the confirmation of the bottom.
Overall, BTC is still in the continuation phase of the rebound; a short-term pullback presents an opportunity, with a more prudent approach to participating on dips rather than chasing at high levels.
Support: 91800, 90500
Resistance: 94000, 95500
Operational Advice
Cautious Long: 91800–92500 adding positions gradually
Target: 93800, 94800
Aggressive Long: Lightly chase after breaking 94550
Target: 95500
BTC has emerged from previous low ranges, and the trend is entering a slightly strong rhythm. Currently, treating the structure as surge—consolidation—surge again is more reasonable; short-term fluctuations are digesting momentum, not indicating a weakening.
#加密市场反弹 #美联储FOMC会议
$ETH
$ZEC
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Yesterday saw another strong surge, everything is as expected.
The drop was quickly followed by a rise, and the bullish structure remains solid.
Tonight there is a Federal Reserve decision, and the overall direction continues to look bullish;
but we must also be wary of a rapid drop after good news is realized— the trend is strong, but we cannot lose our risk awareness.
Today's strategy: 4195-4175 support for longs.
Targets are 4230, 4240, 4255.
Previous resistance has turned into support, the structure remains unchanged, and the trend is still bullish.
The 4220 resistance level, which was repeatedly emphasized yesterday, allowed for profitable exits for long positions. By following the rhythm, the results will naturally be good.
$BTC
$ETH
$ZEC
#比特币VS代币化黄金 #黄金
The drop was quickly followed by a rise, and the bullish structure remains solid.
Tonight there is a Federal Reserve decision, and the overall direction continues to look bullish;
but we must also be wary of a rapid drop after good news is realized— the trend is strong, but we cannot lose our risk awareness.
Today's strategy: 4195-4175 support for longs.
Targets are 4230, 4240, 4255.
Previous resistance has turned into support, the structure remains unchanged, and the trend is still bullish.
The 4220 resistance level, which was repeatedly emphasized yesterday, allowed for profitable exits for long positions. By following the rhythm, the results will naturally be good.
$BTC
$ETH
$ZEC
#比特币VS代币化黄金 #黄金
See original
The rhythm is nailed down tightly.
Today, both long and short positions came back and steadily secured profits: +2230, +1730, +1242 … the results speak for themselves.
The market doesn't require guessing; let the structure speak;
Trading doesn't rely on luck; victory comes from rhythm.
$BTC
$ETH
$ZEC
#比特币VS代币化黄金 #黄金
Today, both long and short positions came back and steadily secured profits: +2230, +1730, +1242 … the results speak for themselves.
The market doesn't require guessing; let the structure speak;
Trading doesn't rely on luck; victory comes from rhythm.
$BTC
$ETH
$ZEC
#比特币VS代币化黄金 #黄金
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