MUHAMMAD ALI SHANI

✅ الاتجاه العام

الاتجاه محايد مائل للهبوط الهادئ وليس صعودًا واضحًا.

السعر يتحرك جانبياً فوق EMA10 و EMA30 لكن بدون قوة شرائية.

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📊 تحليل المتوسطات EMA

في الصورة:

EMA5 = 92,402

EMA10 = 92,349

EMA30 = 91,893

ماذا يعني هذا؟

تقاطع EMA5 فوق EMA10 = إشارة صعود ضعيفة.

لكن السعر فوقهم بشكل بسيط جدًا، يعني لا يوجد اندفاع صعودي حقيقي.

EMA30 مرتفع بشكل بطيء → السوق لا يزال غير جاهز لصعود قوي.

📌 النتيجة:
✔ هناك ميل بسيط صعودي
✖ لكنه غير قوي ولا يعطي تأكيد شراء كبير

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📉 تحليل الشموع

آخر 6 شموع متقاربة جدًا → ضعف حركة.

ذيول علوية طويلة → المقاومة قوية عند 92,700 – 93,000.

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📊 تحليل MACD و Volume

الـ MACD في الصورة منخفض جدًا وقريب من الخط الصفري → لا اتجاه واضح.

حجم التداول (Volume) منخفض ومتراجع → السوق بدون زخم
وهذا يمنع أي صعود قوي.

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🎯 المستويات المهمة

مقاومات:

93,000 (أقوى نقطة – رفض السعر عدة مرات)

93,500

دعوم:

92,000

91,450

90,800 (كسره يعني هبوط واضح)

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❗ هل هناك صعود الآن؟

🔴 الإجابة المختصرة: لا يوجد صعود قوي حالياً.

يوجد ميل بسيط صاعد… لكن

المقاومة تمنع السعر من الارتفاع

والحجم ضعيف

والسوق متذبذب أفقي

✨ الصعود الحقيقي يبدأ فقط إذا أغلق السعر فوق 93,000 – 93,200

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🟢 أفضل حركة للتداول الآن

إذا كنت تريد شراء مضاربة قصيرة:

شراء فقط إذا صعد السعر فوق 93,000

هدف: 93,400 – 93,700

وقف خسارة: تحت 92,000

إذا هبط تحت 92,000:

➡️ يبدأ اتجاه هابط
➡️ احتمال النزول حتى 91,450 – 90,800

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📌 خلاصة سريعة

✔ السوق الآن جانبي
✔ لا صعود واضح
✔ فرص الصعود = ضعيفة حتى اختراق 93,000
✔ خطر الهبوط = متوسط إذا كسر 92,000

🔍 Brief technical analysis

📈 Potential bullish signals

The price is about to test the resistance level ~93,000 dollars, and if it breaks through successfully, it may target higher levels (like 95–100 thousand).

Some analyses suggest a positive bounce and short upward movement after returning above 92,000.

📉 Signals for consolidation or decline

Currently trading within a sideways range and pressing against resistance, with no clear strong upward momentum.

The market is still moving within a volatile range but shows clear buying strength on shorter time frames, and with each rebound, we get indications that buyers are still maintaining control so far. Based on liquidity movement and current candles, these are the best suggested buying areas today:

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🟠 First: Bitcoin BTC

Bitcoin is trading near 92,400 – 92,600 with slight profit-taking pressure, but it remains above the moving averages, indicating continued upward momentum.

📌 This is a quick speculative recommendation only because the market is volatile, you need to be quick to exit.

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✅ 1) BTC — Bitcoin

Current price: 90,114

Buy entry now is suitable as long as the price is above 89,900

Target 1: 90,600
Target 2: 90,900

Stop loss: 89,750

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✅ 2) ETH — Ethereum

Current price: 3,182

Buy entry area: between 3,170 – 3,185

Target 1: 3,220
Target 2: 3,245

Stop loss: 3,150

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✅ 3) SOL — Solana

The Bitwise Asset Management (BITW) Digital Currency Index Fund has transitioned from over-the-counter trading to the NYSE Arca exchange, enhancing investment options in digital currencies for traditional investors. This shift allows for diversified exposure to key digital currencies and is expected to attract more institutional investors despite ongoing market volatility. The Bitwise Asset Management (BITW) Digital Currency Index Fund is moving from the over-the-counter trading market to the NYSE Arca exchange, a step that enhances the introduction of digital currency exposure into the mainstream trading infrastructure. As of Tuesday, BITW has officially upgraded to the NYSE Arca exchange — one of the electronic markets of the New York Stock Exchange for exchange-traded products — where it will trade as an exchange-traded product, according to the company's announcement. BITW was launched in 2017 and provides diversified exposure to the largest 10 digital currencies by market capitalization, including Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Solana (SOL), and XRP (XRP). The fund is rebalanced monthly to reflect changes in the broader digital currency market. The fund's listing on NYSE Arca places a product linked to digital currencies on a major and regulated securities exchange, which is the same type of platform where traditional exchange-traded funds (ETFs) trade. This move is expected to reduce barriers for investors who may hesitate to engage with digital currency platforms. Matt Hougan, the CEO of investment at Bitwise, said, "Most investors we meet are convinced that digital currencies are here to stay, but they don't know who the winners will be or how many will succeed." He added, "The index approach is a way for people to invest in the idea without needing to predict the future." Source: Matt Hougan. Bitwise was one of the first entities approved to launch a Bitcoin spot exchange-traded fund in January 2024. The Bitwise Bitcoin ETF Trust (BITB) was among the fastest 25 exchange-traded products to reach $1 billion in assets, achieving this milestone almost a month after its launch. Related: Bitwise applies for a stablecoin and token ETF with the SEC. Institutional Adoption and Market Volatility. Institutional interest in digital assets has rapidly expanded since the approval of Bitcoin spot exchange-traded funds in the U.S. in early 2024. The more open stance of the Trump administration toward digital currencies has also accelerated the pace of adoption by increasing regulatory interest, enacting new legislation, and providing federal mandates to support industry development. At the same time, institutional investors received a reminder of the sector's latent volatility, which remains high even as larger and more stable market participants enter. The digital currency markets experienced their largest liquidation event ever on October 10, when nearly $19 billion in positions were liquidated. The resulting turmoil during the following month led to sharp withdrawals and significant outflows from exchange-traded products linked to digital currencies. However, inflows have returned in the past two weeks, with exchange-traded product inflows exceeding $1.7 billion during that period, according to CoinShares data. Inflows for exchange-traded products focused on digital currencies have been positive for two consecutive weeks. Source: CoinShares

The latest S-1 filing submitted to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission has brought Ethereum back to the center of market speculation. A recent document from the SEC shows that BlackRock's iShares division has officially filed to launch a staked Ethereum ETF, a move that will give traditional investors access not only to exposure to ETH's price but also to staking yields through a regulated product. The new ETF structure brings staking into traditional finance. The proposed fund, called the iShares Staked Ethereum Trust ETF (ETHB), differs from previous Ethereum applications because it integrates staking at the core of its design. According to the S-1 filing, the ETF will hold Ether directly while delegating most of its balance to external validators, allowing staking rewards to add to the fund's net asset value. This approach allows institutions to access the yield component of ETH without having to deal with the on-chain staking infrastructure themselves. Related reading: Industry leader shares why Ethereum's price is reaching $12,000. This structure is seen as positive for Ethereum, as it shows that major asset managers like BlackRock are looking beyond just price exposure and moving towards products that reflect how Ethereum operates after its transition to proof of stake. The first indication of BlackRock's interest in ETH staking was in July when it filed to add ETH staking to the iShares Ethereum Trust (ETHA). It appears that the fund issuer is now taking proactive steps regarding the staking fund by recently filing an independent application. According to SEC procedures, the new application begins a review period, although the timeline for official approval does not start until the exchange responsible for listing the ETF submits Form 19b-4. If approved, the ETF could impact the circulating supply of Ethereum over time. The plan is to stake between 70% and 90% of the fund's ETH, meaning significant inflows will direct more Ether to long-term staking, reducing the amount available for trading on the open market. What could this mean for ETH price predictions? The potential smaller liquid supply would contribute to an increase in ETH's price, especially during periods of rising demand for ETH. The demand itself does not change ETH's price in the short term, nor does it signal any immediate regulatory approval. Related reading: Ethereum buyers have returned to the field under $3,400; here’s the size of their purchases. What the demand offers is a clearer picture of how ETH will be integrated into the next generation of institutional investment products. The ETH staking ETF will cement staking as an investment feature and increase the types of investors who consider the altcoin a long-term investable asset. Any ultimate impact on Ethereum's price will depend on how the approval process unfolds and how much capital flows into the product once it launches. BlackRock's current footprint in the Ethereum ETF space shows how impactful those inflows can be. The iShares Ethereum Trust (ETHA) consistently outperforms other issuers of spot funds, including during the past twenty-four hours when ETHA recorded inflows of $23.66 million compared to Grayscale's $11.83 million, while others saw no inflows at all. Once approved, shares of the iShares Ethereum Staking Trust are expected to trade on Nasdaq under the symbol ETHB.

Specifically, Glassnode data shows that over 3.5 billion XRP tokens were on exchanges in early November. This figure was 4 billion tokens in October, with the asset's price declining. However, November saw a sharp drop, with exchange reserves decreasing by 2 billion from over 3.5 billion to around 1.5 billion. Mike noted that whales used 1 billion tokens over three weeks, reducing the number of XRP available for immediate sale. Notably, this coincides with the launch of the U.S. XRP square index funds! XRP reserve on exchange/Glassnode. However, recent withdrawals ensured that for the first time this year, the exchange reserve fell below the price trend. This trend shows a strong absorption in supply, which usually precedes price increases. The withdrawal ignites a narrative shock to supply. Interestingly, Mike sees this as a bullish sentiment for XRP. He sketches a scenario where pent-up demand for the coin leads to a shortage among major suppliers. It is worth mentioning that most of the recent demand came from exchange-traded funds, which have become the fastest U.S. products to surpass $1 billion in assets under management after Ethereum and Bitcoin. SoSoValue data shows that the funds recorded a cumulative net inflow of $944 million from four asset managers. Mike suggested that these requests for exchange-traded funds, institutional acquisition, asset use case, and XRP burning, among others, would drain XRP supplies. This would make it unavailable to exchanges, over-the-counter desks, and "dark pools." This view aligns with the growing sentiment in the community that an XRP supply shock is imminent. Analyst Pompious pointed out six reasons why XRP could become scarce in recent forecasts, also noting most of these factors. Co-founder of EasyA, Cook, shares the same sentiment, as he uses decentralized finance to ignite this scarcity. At the same time, Mike suggested that this shock would have a positive impact on the price of XRP. He asked whether XRP would dip further, as some suggest, if there is a use case that maintains its price.

Ethereum enters the last month of the year in a state of deliberate consolidation, balanced between clear technical levels. The current price movement reflects a market searching for direction, while cautiously holding above critical support levels as it gathers the momentum needed to challenge the upper resistance. The overall trend on higher timeframes remains constructive in nature, but short-term decisiveness relies on a confirmed breakout from the current range.

As the cryptocurrency market experiences a slight rebound, traders face a phase considered the most dangerous during this week. Despite Bitcoin (BTC) rising to levels of $90,200, the technical and behavioral indicators for whales show that this increase is just a breather before the collapse.

🔻 Bitcoin (BTC) — target: $88,000

The last candles on the chart are very strong, and this means that the sellers are still in control.

2️⃣ The volume during the drop is high

When the volume increases during the drop, this is evidence that the drop is 'real' and not just a fluctuation.

3️⃣ The clear break of the level 90,190$

This was an important support, and breaking it is considered an additional bearish signal.

4️⃣ No strong reversal candle has appeared yet

The Bitcoin market is experiencing a clear fluctuation in the last few hours after its sharp drop towards the $90,790 area and then a strong rebound again above $91,600. This rebound indicates strong buying at critical support levels, with a noticeable increase in trading volume (VOL), reflecting a strong battle between bulls and bears.

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🔍 Technical analysis of the current image

The market is currently going through a clear phase of instability. The rapid drop to 87,700 followed by a strong rebound above 89,000 says one thing:

✔ There is real buying power coming in every time the price drops

✔ But liquidity is still weak to start a big upward wave

Bitcoin is now under pressure from three factors:

1. Liquidating positions with leverage — this makes any rise fragile and quick to fall.

📉 What happened?
The price of Bitcoin experienced a rapid drop to $87,719 during a strong single candle, followed by a rocket-like rebound that brought the price back above approximately $89,200.
This scenario clearly shows that there is strong buying from whales after a liquidation move for reckless leveraged traders.
📊 What do the indicators say on the chart?
✔ 1. Averages MA7 / MA25 / MA99

BTC is currently moving in a sensitive area between support at 91,800 and resistance at 93,300, and the chart shows that the price has rebounded strongly after a rapid drop, indicating readiness for a significant move ahead.

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📊 Technical analysis of Bitcoin (BTC)

🔵 1. The main support

The last bottom at 91,801 BTC represents a strong buying area.

The price rebound from it clearly reflects the entry of buyers.

$BTC Liquidation balance / Drop trap)**
The whales quickly lowered the price to 91,700 for:
They are hunting stop losses (Stop Loss)
They are liquidating high leverage positions (Long Liquidations)
They are removing traders from the market
And after the liquidation...
They quickly raised the price to 92,500$
And this means they gathered cheap liquidity from the bottom.
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2️⃣ This type of movement indicates that the drop was artificial and not real

The market is now experiencing one of the most dangerous moments in months, as major currencies are witnessing a rapid and escalating decline that reflects a clear panic in the market.
Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana are losing their pivotal supports all at once, opening the door for a deeper correction wave that could extend for several days.

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🔻 Bitcoin BTC at $83,800 — critical support collapse

Bitcoin (BTC) continues its attempts to hold above the $91,000 area after a wave of strong volatility in recent days, recording a high of $92,000 and a low of $90,400 within 24 hours. This clear fluctuation reflects a sharp struggle between buyers and sellers, but technical indicators on the short time frame show the beginning of a gradual improvement in momentum.