In the hourly level of Ethereum's market, the price has tested lower several times before quickly pulling back up. Although multiple bearish candlesticks have appeared and briefly dipped below the lower Bollinger Band, each time it has left long lower shadows—this indicates that the downward pressure is diminishing, and the signal that the bottom has stabilized is quite clear, making the overall market relatively stable.
Operational suggestion: Buy around 3300-3280, target 3450-3500
Yesterday the overall market was not very good, it dropped a bit in the early morning, with Bitcoin falling to around 100200, then quickly rising back to 102300. After that, it dropped again but did not break the previous low, and now it is fluctuating around 101100.
From the market chart, it can be seen that the support at the 100000 position is very strong, with two drops not truly breaking through, indicating that there are active buyers below. In the hourly chart, several drops broke through the lower edge of the Bollinger Bands, but quickly returned, leaving a long lower shadow, which means the downward pressure is diminishing, and the signals of support at the bottom are becoming clearer. In the short term, unless there is new bad news leading to a significant drop, the possibility of an increase in the near future is quite large.
Operation suggestion: Buy around 100000-100500, target 102000-103500
Seize the opportunity, go long directly on the callback, and spread out fully!
When GIGG was around 90, decisively go long at the current price, the targets have all been reached, but there was no plan, and no large points were set! #隐私币生态普涨
Looking at the four-hour K-line, it is clear that there has been a continuous decline with large bearish candles, directly breaking through the key short-term moving averages MA5, MA20, and MA60. The short-term market has shifted from rising to falling.
The MACD indicator previously showed a "death cross" at a high position, and the fast line has dropped below the zero axis, entering a bearish market. Moreover, the green bars indicating decline are getting longer, suggesting that further adjustments are necessary, and it hasn't hit the bottom yet.
Operation suggestion: Short near 3440-3420, target 3350-3270
The morning pancake is likely to present a pattern of 'first suppress then rise'. If the momentum is insufficient after the opening and encounters resistance leading to a pullback, one can take a short position with a light position to capture the pullback wave profit; when the price reaches the core support area and bullish signals (such as stabilizing candlesticks, indicator golden crosses, etc.) are clearly released, promptly reverse to follow the long trend, align with the market pulse operations, strictly adhere to risk control discipline, and steadily harvest profits.
sol entered the empty near 191 in the early morning, exited near 185, with more than 5 points of space, making over 5800u! #美财政部比特币战略储备激增 #币安HODLer空投ZBT
Let me talk about today's operations. I made a trade because I had something to do: I shorted Bitcoin at 108900 and exited at 106700, making 2200 points, earning around 2wu. Currently, I have around 6wu left. I will continue to monitor my operations tonight! #币安HODLer空投ZBT #加密市场回调
老唐的思维
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Re-registered an account, transferred 4wu, and is preparing to challenge to 20wu in the short term. If anyone wants to do a capital turnover, they can join Old Tang! #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #Ripple拟建10亿美元XRP储备
Re-registered an account, transferred 4wu, and is preparing to challenge to 20wu in the short term. If anyone wants to do a capital turnover, they can join Old Tang! #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #Ripple拟建10亿美元XRP储备
When Bitcoin and Ethereum were crashing, I chose the altcoin bas, and now there is already 25 times the space! #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #鲍威尔发言
老唐的思维
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$BAS
The more active you are, the more you must seize every rebound. The faster the rebound, the more it falls back! It's a 7-fold return, and returning is reaching the peak! #加密市场反弹
This is the third time writing about this topic this year. The first two times were in March and August, and after finishing each of those, BTC reached a historical high. Not only Bitcoin, but ETH and BNB have also reached historical highs, not to mention the US stock market.
Therefore, I think my previous analyses were not problematic, which gives me the confidence to discuss this topic.
1. Is it a bull market now?
When I tweeted in August, I mentioned that this is not a typical bull market. A true bull market should occur when liquidity is abundant. However, the current liquidity is not great; it is evident from the liquidity data that there is not much difference between now and 2025 or 2022, both being at relatively low levels.
This round of sharp decline is not the end of the bull market, but a reshuffling of the bull market. The bull market is still here!
A real bear market is when no one asks "Is the bull still here?" anymore. Right now, it's just giving those who got on board a better price.
Many people see the sharp declines in BTC, ETH, and altcoins and start shouting "The bull is gone."
But you have to understand that the main reason for this decline is the combination of macro events and a leveraged chain reaction. (The same situation occurred in previous rounds of the bull market!)
The cause is: Trump announced a 100% tariff on China. Global markets panicked instantly, and high leverage + low liquidity triggered a chain liquidation.
The automatic liquidation systems of exchanges like Binance triggered a cascade as they hit the concentration point of leveraged positions. The total liquidation volume of ETH was the highest across the network. Some altcoins, due to poor liquidity, dropped 70–99% in just a few minutes, leaving many people with no leverage even at 1x.
I believe the bull market is still here! This is not a trend reversal!
First, news of tariff trade wars leads global funds to seek safety; ETF funds withdraw in the short term, and institutions hedge rather than retreat. In October, Bitmine's drop led to a frenzy of buying 200,000 ETH, and DATs are currently at a floating loss, but institutions remain calm.
Secondly, the Federal Reserve is still in a rate-cutting cycle, and the long-term trend of liquidity remains loose—this is the foundation of the bull market;
Finally, the long-term upward trend line remains stable, and the long-term trend of BTC has not been broken, and the structure remains healthy.
Short-term liquidation ≠ trend reversal; instead, it fuels a rebound in the medium term.
So I still believe: the bull market is still here. This is just a healthy washout after systemic panic.
$SOL I entered a little over 200 at around 2 AM, unfortunately, I couldn't hold onto the order, and I lost about five or six thousand U. Encountering such students, there is nothing I can do, a small profit of over 5000 U!