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12.17钱莱原油亚盘策略解析：破位下行趋势明朗，反弹即高空契机

日线级别上，原油价格直接下破前期联排支撑区间，K线全程承压于短周期均线下方，震荡下行的趋势特征十分鲜明，后续需重点关注反弹修复后的二次回落机会。

小时线周期走势中，价格经历连续震荡整理后完成小幅技术修复，短周期均线拐头向上发散，短线存在一定反弹空间，但这波反弹难以撼动中期弱势格局。

操作建议：可在57-61区间布局空单，目标下看54-52区间#原油 #黄金

12.17 Money Lai Gold Asia盘 Strategy Analysis

Yesterday, international gold continued to fluctuate at high levels, with a daily line forming a doji pattern. The battle between bulls and bears has temporarily reached a stalemate, and prices are maintaining a range consolidation rhythm. In contrast, the crude oil market is fully dominated by bearish sentiment, with the daily line forming a nearly empty large bearish candlestick, clearly indicating a weak downward trend, and the characteristics of a lack of rebound are prominent. The market is changing rapidly in real time, and specific operations must be based on real-time guidance during the session.

Core view on gold: High-level convergence and energy accumulation, with a strong fluctuation bias under a consolidation pattern, buying on dips.

On the daily level, the gold price continues to compress and fluctuate within the 4270-4350 range, consistently standing firm on the support of short-term moving averages. Several intraday pullbacks have not formed effective continuations, and it is crucial to be alert to the wave-like upward trend after a breakout of the daily level range.
In the 4-hour cycle, the converging triangle pattern's range continues to narrow, and the short-term moving averages have completed a turning upward transformation. The technical signals of a strong fluctuation are becoming increasingly clear, and the balance of power between bulls and bears is gradually tilting towards the bulls.
In the short cycle trend, the K-line relies on short-term moving averages to rise and fluctuate. The short-term adjustments and repairs belong to a healthy rhythm, and the pullback process is the best opportunity to gradually layout long positions.

Gold trading advice
It is recommended to layout long positions in the 4295-4305 range, with a target looking at 4330, 4360#黄金 .

别贪多，十个点位的利润落袋为安，比追着行情跑、最后竹篮打水强得多。交易的轻松，从来不是靠频繁操作，而是靠精准判断+果断执行。#黄金

交易市场从不是温情脉脉的博弈场，而是步步惊心的修罗场。想在这里真正拥有一席之地，唯一的出路就是亲手搭建一套完全属于自己的交易体系——而这条搭建之路，难到足以碾碎绝大多数人的执念与耐心。你要直面每一次亏损带来的真金白银的缩水，更要逼着自己在夜深人静时，狠狠扒开每一笔亏损的伤疤，把开仓时机的偏差、止损点位的疏漏、仓位管理的失衡，甚至是心态波动引发的操作变形，一个个揪出来反复复盘。你要在市场的混沌与不确定里，摸索着用碎片化的经验和教训去填补体系的漏洞，这个过程没有标准答案，每一次修正都像是在黑暗中投石问路，可能刚堵住一个缺口，下一次行情波动又会暴露出新的问题。

更难熬的是，除了资金的损耗，你还要扛住层层叠叠的精神重压：交易失利后的自我怀疑，会一遍遍啃噬你的信心；外界的冷眼与不解，会把你贴上“不务正业”的标签；曾经的亲友会因为你常年沉浸在K线与数据里，慢慢与你疏远；甚至连家人都会对你的坚持提出质疑，那些不经意的抱怨和指指点点，远比行情的暴跌更让人难受。但恰恰是这些沉甸甸的压力，这些无人理解的孤独，这些在亏损与质疑中反复挣扎的日日夜夜，终将沉淀为你前行路上最硬核的动力。当你熬过这些至暗时刻，亲手打磨的交易体系才能真正生根发芽，而你也会在这个过程中，蜕变成一个能在修罗场里站稳脚跟的交易者。#黄金

The students' profit feedback is here! On the path of gold trading, choosing the right method + strict execution will not deceive the results～ I will continue to guide everyone steadily!

黄金一波拉升，1.5手多单赚了1585刀，想知道怎么抓的点位？评论区聊聊 #黄金疯涨

December's gold wash is fierce again, but it cannot withstand the prediction of a precise strategy! Stick to the bullish logic, and finally welcome a wave of rising profits #黄金疯涨

The underlying logic of trading that I have deeply understood in the gold market over the years: only two models determine profits and losses

After years of struggling in the gold trading market, I have long abandoned the complexities of theoretical gimmicks and summarized that the core essence of trading actually consists of only two models. If you can thoroughly understand and decisively execute them, you will grasp the key to profitability.

The first model is precise layout + strict risk control. First, establish a dedicated trading system that suits your own style and formulate a detailed and actionable trading plan. Only enter the market decisively within a reasonable price range that has been validated by both technical and fundamental analysis. At the moment of entering, it is essential to immediately reinforce the risk control line, locking in stop-loss points and position ratios in advance. As long as the market conditions align with the expectations, hold firmly until the target profit level is reached before securing the gains; if there is a misjudgment in direction, do not harbor any lucky thoughts, but strictly exit according to the preset stop-loss to prevent further losses.

The second model is to remain in cash and observe + wait for the right opportunity. If there are no signals that match your trading system, always maintain a cash position, even if seemingly attractive market fluctuations occur. The essence of trading is to earn money within your understanding, not all opportunities belong to you. Rather than making mistakes and incurring losses in unfamiliar market conditions, it is better to patiently wait and act decisively when your exclusive trading opportunity arises.

Many people understand the underlying logic of “buy low and sell high” in trading, but the real difficulty lies in defining “suitable trading opportunities” and identifying the risks and reward spaces behind the market trends. There is no shortcut; it can only rely on day-to-day practical accumulation and technical accumulation. I hope all fellow travelers on the trading journey can stay true to their hearts and steadily advance, encouraging each other! #比特币VS代币化黄金

12.10黄金亚盘交易策略：决议前夕多头不改，依托支撑精准布局

经过昨日的行情验证，黄金多头的强势格局已经无需过多赘述——盘中数次回落都被大阳线快速吞没，买盘承接力度之强，足以彰显市场多头的主导地位。

眼下美联储利率决议进入倒计时，虽然整体趋势依旧偏向看涨，但多年的交易经验让我深知“利好兑现即利空”的市场铁律，必须警惕决议落地后获利盘集中出逃引发的金价回撤，这种潜在风险绝不能掉以轻心。

从技术面来看，此前的关键阻力4195一线，在有效突破后已顺利转化为强支撑，该位置的稳固性直接决定了当前多头结构的完整性，也让日内低多的交易思路具备了坚实的技术依托，整体看涨的核心逻辑并未发生本质改变。

具体交易计划：建议在4210附近进场做多，止损下探至4202关口下方以控制风险，目标可先看至4235一线，同时需紧盯决议公布后的盘面异动，做好仓位动态调整。#比特币VS代币化黄金

12.9 Afternoon Gold Strategy: Triple Bottom Solidifies Support, Decisively Positioning Longs Based on Key Range

On the afternoon of December 9, the gold market maintained a震荡格局 before the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting, but the core logic of mid-term upward movement remained unchanged. The sustained warming of expectations for the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts has consistently provided strong fundamental support for gold prices.

From a technical perspective, the $4170 level has formed a distinctive triple bottom structure. The reliability of this support area has been tested multiple times in the market—during the lunch break, gold prices briefly dipped to this range, but were quickly bought back by bulls, validating the strong resilience of buying pressure here. The price repeatedly tested but failed to effectively break down, which is a typical indication that selling pressure at the bottom has been exhausted and the support base is solid.

Notably, the four-hour cycle chart has simultaneously produced a long lower shadow candlestick. This reversal signal not only resonates with the triple bottom pattern but also intuitively reflects that bearish momentum has begun to wane, while bullish forces are quietly completing the bottom formation and gathering, suggesting that the previous phase of震荡调整 is likely nearing its end.

Considering the combined positive support from fundamentals and stabilization signals from the technicals, gold prices in the afternoon are expected to rely on the strong support near $4170 to regain upward momentum. The primary target above can aim for the $4200 round number; if this resistance is effectively broken, further upward space toward $4215-$4235 can be anticipated.

For afternoon short-term operations, it is recommended to maintain a bullish perspective: one can look to position long when gold prices retrace to the $4163-$4173 range, initially targeting $4205. If it breaks through, then aim for the $4215-$4235 range, while ensuring proper position management #比特币VS代币化黄金 .

12.9 Gold Morning Analysis

The oscillating pattern remains unchanged, gold anchors at the 4180 support level to layout long positions.

The current gold market is still in a state of range-bound oscillation, and last night's market continued this characteristic. Previously, in a presentation shared by Ruisi Finance, I had clearly pointed out the uncertainty of the oscillating market, suggesting that everyone closely monitor the critical resistance range of 4208-4210, seizing the opportunity to exit and observe, securing profits, and this range indeed provided multiple exit opportunities yesterday.

During the late-night period, the gold price experienced a quick pullback, dipping to a low of 4176, but this dip did not break through the core support of the short-term oscillation, nor did it disrupt the overall rhythm of the bullish trend. Our bullish core idea remains unchanged. From the daily market structure, the 4180 level has established a strong support platform, making it a prime point for laying out long positions.

Based on this, the short-term trading strategy for gold on December 9 can be clearly stated as follows: enter long positions around 4182, set a stop loss at 4170, and the profit target can be viewed in two tiers: the first target looks towards the previous resistance level of 4205-4208, while the second target can aim for 4225-4235#比特币VS代币化黄金 .

Qian Lai's heartfelt words: Clearly, I could quietly make a fortune in gold trading, but why do I insist on sharing trading insights?

Fans often privately ask me: "Teacher Qian, you are doing so well in gold trading, wouldn’t it be better to quietly profit and make a fortune? Why do you insist on sharing core points, practical techniques, and trading philosophies without reservation?"

Today, I want to speak frankly — I am not some kind-hearted saint; I have just spent years navigating the gold market and have seen too many traders' painful endings. Over the years, dealing with investors from all over, some have lost everything due to a single misjudgment and heavy losses, some have had to sell their homes and cars at low prices to fill the gaps in their positions, and some have faced family breakdowns due to large trading debts. The gold market inherently carries a cruel survival of the fittest trait; I have stepped into deep pits and stumbled, and I cannot bear to see more people repeat the same mistakes.

But this does not mean I will be "soft-hearted" in the market. When the signals for a major gold trend are clear and the turning points are precisely visible, I will not hesitate to enter the market heavily, firmly seizing the profit opportunities — after all, the essence of trading is the precise game of following market rules. Others' cognitive shortcomings may become my profit opportunities, and my stable income also relies on a deep analysis of the market; there is no need to pretend to be Buddha-like or feign superiority.

My true wish is for ordinary investors, who are already not well-off and are still trying to navigate trading in the dark, to take fewer detours and lose less capital through my sharing, gradually exploring the path to stable profits in gold. Gold trading has never been a solitary battle; it should be a track where like-minded people gather for warmth and empower each other.

If you are also repeatedly hitting walls in gold trading and can't find your direction, feel free to join my sharing sessions, let's avoid pitfalls together, refine our trading systems, and firmly hold the initiative for profits in our own hands. #比特币VS代币化黄金

Qianlai Gold Insights: Breaking the Curse of Real Losses, This Trading Framework is Directly Usable

Having recognized the root cause of the profit gap between simulated and real trading, it is time to use a practical trading framework to address the shortcomings. Combining my years of practical experience, from trend judgment to risk control exit, I will disassemble a complete gold trading system for everyone.

1. First, set the standard: Trend judgment cannot rely on "feelings"

Judging the gold trend must not rely on subjective imagination; the moving average system is the most suitable trend-following tool for the gold market, clearly following the major trend and filtering short-term chaotic fluctuations. However, just having the moving average direction is not enough; I will wait for a clear trend signal to appear on the moving average, then wait for the market to show a clear correction or rebound pattern (not a brief fluctuation of a single candlestick) before considering entry, to avoid being stopped out by short-term spikes.

2. Then, define the details: Entry timing and risk control are both essential

After confirming the trend and pattern, there are two key points to prepare for entry: first is to use pattern analysis to determine the precise entry point, and second is to strictly plan the position size, stop-loss range, profit target, and position adjustment strategy. I have always insisted that the risk of a single trade does not exceed 2% of the account funds, the stop-loss level is set outside the key support/resistance of the pattern, and pre-set profit-taking ladder targets to eliminate ad-hoc decisions during the trade.

3. Key to breaking the deadlock: Fixed trading model

The standardized operational framework I summarize can be directly referenced:

1. Wait for the trend: Confirm the trend with moving averages, do not anticipate tops and bottoms in advance;

2. Wait for the pattern: After the trend is established, wait for a complete correction/rebound pattern;

3. Choose entry points: Enter when the pattern resonates with the moving average, double confirmation improves win rate;

4. Control risk: Lock in position size, stop-loss, and other rules before entry;

5. Take profits: Gradually reduce positions at profit-taking targets, decisively close positions if the trend reverses.

Although this model may miss some opportunities, it can avoid most fatal errors. The essence of trading is to face oneself, overcome psychological shackles, and strictly adhere to discipline to stand firm in the gold market.

Qianlai Gold Clarification: Simulated/Wait-and-See Profits, but Losses in Real Trading? First, Identify the Root Cause

After years of experience in the gold trading circle, the most common confusion I've heard from traders is the "vicious cycle": when operating in a simulated environment, the win rate is astonishingly high, able to accurately grasp even trend turning points; yet when switching to real accounts, either hesitation leads to missing the best entry point, or just entering the market results in immediate losses, with account funds dwindling further.

Many investors, trapped in this disparity for a long time, begin to doubt the market, question analysts, and even completely deny their own trading abilities. But I want to say, this has never been a matter of luck, nor is the market intentionally "targeting" anyone; it is the psychological shackles and the complete trading system that form two core barriers between real trading and observation.

The reason many people stumble is that they cannot escape two fatal misconceptions: first, "selective trading" where they fear entering the market despite seeing the right conditions, and when they finally muster the courage to enter, their trades happen to coincide with a trend reversal; second, there is no clear standard for trend judgment, relying on intuition to place orders, with seemingly accurate predictions lacking any logical support. Only by recognizing these root causes can one specifically break the cycle of losses. #比特币VS代币化黄金

Gold and Oil Intraday Market Analysis and Strategy

The intraday gold market continues to exhibit a narrow range of fluctuations, with the price movement failing to effectively expand. The short positions placed around 416 during the European session have successfully realized some profit. From a technical structure perspective, the gold price is in a state of range convergence on the 4-hour chart, compressed within a narrow range of 4200-4230. The short-term moving averages are showing a flattening trend, indicating a high probability of maintaining a fluctuating pattern in the short term. However, it is worth noting that a hidden upward trendline has quietly formed on the chart, and the pullback strength and continuity during the European session are relatively limited, leading to an overall tendency towards a strong fluctuation pattern. On the hourly level, short-term moving averages are beginning to gradually diverge upwards, and one should be cautious of the adjustment and repair needs of the market.

Gold Trading Suggestion: It is recommended to set long positions in the 4200-4203 range, with a stop loss at 4197 and a target in the 4220-4245 range. Real-time market changes will provide further guidance during the session.

Looking at the oil market, the 4-hour chart shows a continuous decline, with the K-line price directly breaking through the support of the short-term moving averages. The moving average system is gradually beginning to diverge downwards, and short-term trends are showing signs of weakness. During the American session, it is essential to pay close attention to whether the market will first experience a slight rebound for repair before starting a secondary decline. On the hourly level, prices have already broken below the short-term support zone, with the K-line consistently under pressure below the short-term moving averages, maintaining an overall weak running pattern.

Oil Trading Suggestion: It is recommended to selectively set short positions in the 59.7-59.9 range, with a stop loss at 60.5; or wait for the price to drop to the 58.5-58.6 range to attempt setting long positions, with a stop loss at 57.8. Real-time strategies will be dynamically adjusted based on market movements. #比特币VS代币化黄金

Trading Iron Rule: Use rules to tame human nature, rather than fighting against instincts

In the arena of gold trading, too many people take 'overcoming human nature' as the ultimate goal, but this is itself the most anti-human delusion. Greed and fear are not weaknesses that arise from later experiences, but are survival instincts etched deep in human genes — the ancient desire to hoard food, the urge to avoid unknown dangers, have long since settled into our instinctive reactions when facing market fluctuations. You can never completely eradicate these instincts, but you can use a clear and rigid set of trading rules to firmly lock this 'beast' that could break free at any moment in a cage.

Write down the trading iron rules word for word, and post them in the most prominent place on your trading screen, letting those ink marks become your 'tightening spell' when battling with the market. Never overestimate your memory, and don’t place blind faith in your self-control during extreme market fluctuations — when the red and green bars on the candlestick chart are jumping wildly, when the account profit and loss numbers refresh every second, when the surrounding opinions are all promoting 'buying the dip' or 'chasing highs', your rationality will eventually be completely consumed by adrenaline and hormones. In that moment, you are no longer a calm analyst but a puppet controlled by emotions, a single impulsive increase in position or a fortunate holding may lead to all previous profits being wiped out.

And the phrase on the screen, 'Cut losses decisively when breaking the trend line, never hesitate' and 'Reduce position by half immediately when earning 8%, secure the profits', has never been flexible trading advice, but rather the lifeline in gold trading, the last brake that can pull you back when greed takes over and fear spreads. This is not restraint, but protection — in the rapidly changing gold market, rules are the only weapon that can counteract human weaknesses, the only ballast that can help you stand firm in the storm.

Let go of the obsession to 'overcome human nature', learn to tame it with rules, and you will be able to walk more steadily and further on the track of gold trading. #比特币VS代币化黄金