crypto及时雨

Chen Zhi, born on December 16, 1987, in Fujian, went to Cambodia to start a business in 2009 and later became the owner of the Prince Group. He set up many fraud parks in Cambodia, forcing people inside to engage in global online scams through a Ponzi scheme, accumulating vast wealth, most of which is the hard-earned money and kidney money of Chinese people.

A few days ago, he was indicted by the U.S. Department of Justice, and approximately 127271 bitcoins were seized, which, at the current market value, amounts to a staggering 15 billion USD, equivalent to about 106.9 billion RMB. There are only a total of 21 million bitcoins globally, and this time he harvested 1/165 of the world's total. This should be the fastest way for the U.S. to fill its fiscal gap.

Chen Zhi is currently on the run, so the question arises: the biggest selling point of bitcoin is decentralization + security. Now that the person is not caught and the coins are gone... where is the security? The original intention of bitcoin was indeed decentralization, but it did not consider that people would trade on commercial platforms. As long as platforms like Binance cooperate with the U.S. government, they can locate addresses and buyers.

Additionally, there is another case involving a Chinese woman, Qian Zhimin, who, in her early years in China, used digital currency as a guise to raise funds, quickly attracting 43 billion in just three years. She later attempted to transfer 43 billion RMB to the UK through bitcoin, but unexpectedly, it was confiscated in one go by the UK. Many people blindly believe that bitcoin cannot be frozen; how can it not be frozen? If a person is arrested and put in custody, and is asked to provide their account and password, will you give it or not?

Coins can be decentralized, but people cannot be decentralized.

As a professional investor, one must understand how to control their emotions. In most cases, gamblers at the gaming table are not just battling the casino, but also fighting against their own emotions and psychology. Before engaging in a gamble, one must first build their mindset, aiming to clearly provide some limitations when they are calm: these limitations include: a phased betting strategy, time management, key factors and cycles of ups and downs, winning strategies, losing strategies, worst-case scenarios, and final outcomes. Only when the mind is calm can one fully dominate their fate, striving to avoid arbitrary actions during moments of panic and brief unexpected situations.

So far, we have not really used any economic or military means to sanction Japan.
However, once this outlet of Takashi Sanae is opened, if our countermeasures this time are not strong enough, subsequent troubles will follow one after another.
We must be alert to the broken window effect and resolutely counter the Japanese right wing.
It's time to initiate the embargo!! ​

Brother
I have an ancient coin from over a decade ago
I bought it for 126,000 a month ago
Now I'm offering it to you at a 20% discount, do you want it?
This coin has at least ten times the potential in the future ​

Use personal liquidation experiences to warn everyone not to touch altcoin exchanges
Bitget and Gate are both garbage exchanges
Doing rebate trading is like drawing water with a bamboo basket
High slippage in trading
High internal operability

The decline of profits in the crypto circle is very obvious
In the past, going long led to liquidation
As long as you continue to go long, floating clouds increase positions
The price of Bitcoin keeps making new highs
The account assets also keep increasing

Now if you increase your position in floating clouds again
You have gone bankrupt 99 times and there will be another 100 times
Because it hasn't been continuously rising

In the past, you could open a bot for more long positions
Making 10,000 to 18,000 USDT a day was easy
Now if you go in, the next day your principal of 100,000 USDT is all lost

In the past, even if you opened an altcoin dog
Losing 99 of them could still find one that increased a hundredfold
So there were still people making money
Now both those trading Bitcoin and those trading altcoins are losing money
The scariest part is that the bear market has just begun!

Actually, you should uninstall crypto exchanges
Especially altcoin exchanges that could explode anytime
At least wait for more than a year before returning
During this period, maintain regular investments in CRCL
Pay attention to the growth of stablecoin issuance
Look at gold, US stocks, and other high-growth industries
Such as AI glasses in the A-share market to see if there are any changes in leading stocks

At this time, all suggestions from the eternal profit bloggers should be blacklisted, especially the 'night owls' and those two idiots.

《Protecting the Body and Learning Value Investment, Do Not Participate in Price Fluctuation Games》

Anchor to value to navigate through market storms. The wild fluctuations of Bitcoin and commodity futures not only devour wealth but also drain the body and mind. The root cause lies in attaching the investment anchor point to short-term price fluctuations rather than the core value of the asset. True stable investment should focus on vibrant enterprises, delve into fundamentals, and stay away from leverage traps.

Instead of fixating on price candlesticks, study enterprise value to avoid being swept up by short-term emotions. Price fluctuations are essentially market noise, while a company's business model, profit logic, and core competitiveness are the foundation for risk resistance. Understanding how a company creates value and sustains profitability will prevent panic-driven decisions in response to short-term volatility, reducing blind operations of chasing highs and cutting losses.

Delving into fundamentals can yield long-term certainty in returns. Vibrant enterprises will continuously appreciate with industry growth. The essence of value investment is to grow alongside quality enterprises rather than gamble on short-term ups and downs. More importantly, staying away from leverage can eliminate the risk of “zeroing out overnight.” A calm mindset enables rational decision-making, safeguarding both wealth and mental and physical health.

The essence of investment is to exchange knowledge for returns, rather than relying on luck for wins and losses. Anchoring to enterprise value and filtering out fluctuation interference is the key to achieving long-term stability in the market.

The mistake that most people who lose money in trading make is that they are unwilling to wait when entering the market. Every time they get trapped, they quickly run away after breaking even, over and over again.

You just want to improve your life through trading and make some extra money. So let me give you a piece of advice: give up technical analysis trading and wholeheartedly find a trading pattern that suits you. Only seize the opportunities that belong to your pattern, and your trading world will change dramatically!

The so-called trading pattern is simply a fixed method of operation. You don't need a hodgepodge of theoretical systems; it's just purely about playing probabilities, but the effect far exceeds those complex so-called trading techniques that sound impressive!

How to develop this pattern? My suggestion is to review your past trades, find the trading opportunities where you used to make money most easily, and then formalize and summarize their performance characteristics in the market. Then, document and solidify this; this is your trading pattern! The rest is just waiting for your pattern to appear, and then it's about placing orders, holding positions, and exiting! Repeat this process over and over!

This is not about technique; it's just a skill. You don't predict or follow; you're simply betting on price movements through a fixed signal! You only need to operate according to the pattern signals and do a good job of risk control, and that’s it!

All other theories are just fairy tales to you! Because you know that the market fluctuates randomly, and no one can boast about stabilizing profits through technology!

Whether you can achieve stable profits completely depends on the market trends during your trading cycle and whether they happen to match the skills or techniques you are using! If they match, then it's stable; if they don't match, no technique or skill will help you!

In the cryptocurrency world, there is no fixed formula for breaking free from losses; the core depends on the holding structure, currency trend, depth of losses, and market expectations, requiring targeted strategy selection.

Common methods for breaking free can be summarized into four categories:

- Quick cuts: When the currency shows a clear downward trend, decisively stop losses and exit to avoid further losses;
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- High sell low buy: In a volatile market, seize wave opportunities by gradually reducing positions and opportunistically adding positions to average down costs;
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- Averaging down: Gradually increasing purchases during price corrections to lower the overall average holding price (be wary of the risk of trend reversal);
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- Short hedging: In the futures market, shorting the same or related currencies to hedge against losses in the spot market.

The key premise for breaking free is having a clear mindset and decisive actions: avoid blindly chasing gains and cutting losses, and refrain from greed, fear, and the anxiety of gain and loss; it is necessary to reasonably manage positions, strictly adhere to profit-taking and stop-loss rules, and not overly rely on technical indicators or news, making decisions based on personal judgment.

The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile; breaking free is never about passive waiting, but rather a process of flexible adaptation and rational trade-offs. Only by maintaining a steady mindset and precise strategies can one successfully break free.

This round of market is different from the last wave, this bull market has no money in the whole world!

A friend has been in Japan for many years, and a few days ago we talked about the economic environment, discussing Japan's consumer loans.
He said that consumer loans here in Japan are particularly outrageous, and he suspects that most Japanese people do not know how to calculate....

He said that consumer loans in Japan have truly been played in various ways, with the most famous being the "revolving installment plan." How great is this invention? No matter how much you spend on your credit card, you only need to set a fixed monthly repayment amount, and the bank will calculate a repayment plan for you, including fees, interest, and repayment months.
Doesn't it sound quite normal?
But then think about the logic behind it. For example, if you spend 100,000 yen and repay 20,000 yen each month, doesn't that sound easy? Then if you spend another 50,000 yen, you still need to repay 20,000 yen each month, which for many young people, especially those who are not very good at math, feels like they have not increased their burden at all.
In such cases, many people unwittingly accumulate debts far beyond their repayment capabilities, and the interest on these revolving loans is generally over 15%. By the time the bank notifies you to increase the fixed repayment amount, it has usually accumulated to a very large number, and what you are usually repaying is mostly interest.

Many young people see themselves repaying, but in reality, they are purely repaying interest, and the repayment period and the fixed amount of the revolving installment plan keep increasing, until it eventually collapses....

This market is too difficult.

Many people want to quickly buy the dip, but I regret to inform you that it won't be quick. Bitcoin will return to its average value, whether it eventually reaches 60,000 or 40,000. The time frame is at least half a year to about a year. Moreover, struggling back to 100,000 from the lowest point will take at least one to two years; the cycle is long.

Never throw away the bloody chips before dawn!

A bull market is never a straight shot up; when prices are soaring, it might suddenly take a big dive; a bear market doesn’t always fall endlessly, that slow and steady decline is the most frustrating for patience.

But you have to remember: all major drops are for "washing out" the retail chips, washing away those who chase the rise and rush to sell during the fall, but it won’t wash away those who truly believe in it. The chips you are holding tightly now will have those who are bearish crying and begging to buy back at a high price in the future!

In a market where trust has collapsed, liquidity is something that can vanish in an instant.
If you look at the market now, the candlesticks are dead, the transactions are fake, and only the hearts of the people are trembling.

New money dares not enter, old money has long been scared away, and what remains are those who are unwilling to leave... staring at the screen, staring at hope, yet no one dares to act.

The night of 1011 was, to put it bluntly, a turning point for the entire cryptocurrency world.
It wasn't just a simple liquidation, but a destruction of faith.
How many people witnessed the exchanges encountering problems, systems crashing, positions being liquidated, and then the officials trying to close the case with a simple statement about excessive volatility.
This thing cannot be compensated for with money, because trust, once broken, is like glass shattering on the ground; no matter how much you try to piece it together, it can never reflect that original light again.

So the market you see now seems to be still moving, but in reality, it has long been empty.

Coins are still running on the chain, but people's hearts are long gone.
Behind every transaction, there is not enthusiasm, but
testing; with every rebound, there is not confidence, but reflection.
Everyone is waiting for others to enter the market first; no one wants to be the one left holding the bag, and this is the most terrifying death loop.

The previous cryptocurrency market was driven by greed, now it is shackled by fear.
When trust is gone, and the stories cannot be told anymore, liquidity will turn into a desert.

You ask if this is the aftermath of 1011?
Not just that, but it is the shadow left by that disaster, making the entire market afraid to believe that the words 'fairness' still exist.

As long as this shadow does not dissipate, this 'bear market' will not end.........

Investing should generally avoid leverage; these are hard-earned lessons.

With a capital of 100 million, 10 million in financing, it can surprisingly be lost.
This is a recent share from Dan Bin a few years ago.
It’s about one of his friends.
Because he bought Yitai B, the stock price fell from over 10 to 1 yuan, resulting in a margin call.

Recently, there has been a significant fluctuation in cryptocurrencies, and a friend said he used 1x leverage and still got liquidated. 1x, can you believe it? That can also lead to liquidation. But it’s just so helpless; such low-probability events can happen.
It’s still better to buy directly, making it less likely to lose the principal.

Hedge Risk

I admit that during this bull market cycle, the wrong operation was buying 20% of the position in altcoins at the tail end of the bull market.

The 20% position in altcoins has a floating loss of 10%, equivalent to a total position drawdown of 2%. Now I can only accept the loss and cut my position to leave the market.

I really have no confidence in altcoins.

If I don't cut, the bear market will only continue to decline more and more. There are too many altcoins in the market; when they drop, there will be no bottom, only more and more declines.

It is really difficult for people to earn money outside of their understanding.