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On Wednesday, the U.S. stock indices saw the Nasdaq index drop by 1.2% during the day, the S&P 500 index dropped by 0.8%, and gold rose by 0.7% to $4,333 per ounce.

In November, the U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 64,000, higher than the expected 50,000;

The U.S. unemployment rate in November was 4.6%, higher than the expected 4.4%, marking the highest level since September 2021.

At the beginning of January, the new Federal Reserve head will be announced, which could be seen as a positive factor by the end of December. Currently, candidates such as Hassett, Waller, and Walsh all support significant interest rate cuts, which would please Trump.

Old friends bear their own losses. Gold has experienced an approximately 100% increase, strongly attracting capital from the cryptocurrency market. Previously, institutions pursuing volatility favored the crypto market, but this year gold has taken the place of the crypto market. Currently, institutions expect gold to rise by about 20% next year, which may reduce its capital attraction, hoping the crypto market can recover some of its losses. At the same time, be aware of risks.

Japan's interest rate hike is a negative factor, as it caused significant drops when raised in July last year, while the impact of the hike in January this year was minor. This Friday, the market is already betting close to 100% on the expected rate hike.
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With Japan's interest rate hike, the higher the market's betting expectations, the more it indicates the extent of pre-digestion. Currently, the market expects a 98% probability of a rate hike, indicating that most of the impact has already been digested. There is still a need to guard against negative impacts, such as the Bank of Japan providing expectations for other rate hikes beyond this one (currently, the market expects the Bank of Japan to hike once next summer).

Attention should be paid to Thursday night's CPI, as it may affect the market. A decrease in CPI is a positive signal, while an increase in CPI is a negative signal.
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Sun Yuchen and Zhao Changpeng appeared in Pakistan! Local time on December 11, TRON founder Sun Yuchen and Binance founder Zhao Changpeng appeared in Pakistan
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On December 11, the Pakistan Virtual Assets Regulatory Authority (PVARA) officially issued local compliance licenses to Binance and HTX, or more precisely, 'No Objection Certificates' (NOC). This means that these two largest cryptocurrency exchanges in the world have obtained a legal 'birth certificate' in this country with a population of 240 million.

According to the latest data from 2025, Pakistan is already one of the top 35 countries in the world by TRON user count. I was also wondering, in a developing country, where does so much cryptocurrency trading come from? Later, when I looked at the data, I was stunned: in Pakistan alone, the monthly settlement volume of stablecoins on the TRON blockchain (that is, USDT) actually exceeded $600 billion.

What does $600 billion mean? This is higher than the GDP of many countries. Pakistan, Nigeria, Argentina, these countries may sound like they have backward financial infrastructure, but precisely because they are backward, and due to the collapse of fiat currency trust, the acceptance of cryptocurrency among the public is much higher than in Europe and America. This is the real incremental market.

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