When the market is unclear, taking action is like handing a knife to the dealer. It's better to miss a wave than to recklessly reach out and risk your life.
After the interest rate meeting, the market fell into a temporary situation of positive landing, not to mention that Powell's speech and the dot plot were not as dovish as investors imagined. Overall, there has been some emotional retreat in the risk market, especially since we will soon face a large amount of data and the uncertainty of Japan's interest rate hike. Both parties agree that encrypted assets should be formally included in the U.S. retirement system. Once the SEC and the Department of Labor amend the rules as requested in the letter, the spot ETFs $BTC and $ETH will naturally become compliant assets for 401(k)s, and a long-term, stable, and continuous pension buying power will form a "slow but never-ending" accumulation force.
BTC Yesterday, the idea given for Bitcoin was that it would fluctuate around 89000 to 93900. The fluctuation range yesterday was also around here. Currently, we are getting closer to the time node for a change, but facing the weekend market, it is highly likely that it will first fluctuate and repair. The idea remains unchanged: as long as the 89000 level holds, it can gradually raise the bottom and trigger a small wave of rebound. At the same time, if 93900 does not break, we also need to pay attention to short-term risks, so we will see which direction it goes next, with support at 89000-86800 and resistance at 93900-96000.
ETH Yesterday, the idea given for Ethereum was to pay attention to whether the 3195 level could hold. From the daily level, there was a slight rebound once it reached the relevant position. Currently, as long as 3155 does not break, it will fluctuate upward. The current market needs to pay attention to whether it can continue to raise the top and bottom in the four-hour level to achieve a relatively healthy market. So, in summary, as long as 3155 does not break, we still expect an upward fluctuation, with support at 3155-3080 and resistance at 3360-3438#美联储FOMC会议 .
#ETH 2025/12/10 Intraday market analysis: (Every 4 hours, follow me to keep updated)
Key focus on the Qian Kun line 3315 (lifeline), bullish when the price is above, bearish when the price is below, set stop-loss accordingly! The consolidation range is between 3294-3336, be cautious of needle extensions to 3287-3344! The range has about 40 points for full positions! Trading method: Establish both long and short positions near the Qian Kun line, each setting a 15-point take profit, with stop-loss at the lower Heaven Gate 3336 and Hell Gate 3294!
Bullish market initiation position:
Focus on Heaven Gate 3336, if the 15-minute closing price stabilizes above, this is the initiation point for a one-sided bullish market! If shorting, set stop-loss at 3336-3345. Be cautious of needle 3344 pullbacks, key to watch where the closing position is around 3336? Upper resistance levels: 3365-3397-3432-3460-(be cautious around 3533)
Bearish market initiation position: Focus on Hell Gate 3294, if the 15-minute closing price stabilizes below, this is the initiation point for a one-sided bearish market! If going long, set stop-loss at 3294-3287. Be cautious of needle 3287 rebounds, watch where the rebound closing position is around 3294! Lower support levels: 3270-3236-3211-3176-(3117-3068-3040)
Market changes occur every 4 hours! Pay attention! Key reminder, if there are locked positions in the consolidation area: once the market initiates, directly discard them, and go with the direction of initiation, losses can be recovered, avoid having locked positions, do not lose sight of the small for the large, understand the balance in trading! Never be obsessed with controlling the market! The market educates people in a harsh way! Once the market initiates, it's best to attack positively, avoid chasing peaks and troughs! Until exhaustion! Reversal!
1. Don't be stubborn: 30% position rolling, hold when it drops, lock in profits when it rises, high sell low buy are all traps; 2. Stay away from meme coins and air coins: only focus on the trends of mainstream coins, do not chase rebounds or bottom fish, ride a wave of market trends all the way; 3. Capital management determines life and death: divide the principal into five parts, never go all in! Only add positions when the trend is not broken, supplementing with logic, not emotions.
1. Don't be stubborn: 30% position rolling, hold when it drops, lock in profits when it rises, high sell low buy are all traps; 2. Stay away from meme coins and air coins: only focus on the trends of mainstream coins, do not chase rebounds or bottom fish, ride a wave of market trends all the way; 3. Capital management determines life and death: divide the principal into five parts, never go all in! Only add positions when the trend is not broken, supplementing with logic, not emotions.
Retail investors trading cryptocurrencies have never lost due to technology, but because they are 'too smart'—manipulated by emotions into chaotic operations! While others are busy drawing lines and doing technical trades, I focus on three simple things that I can execute with my eyes closed: $BTC $ETH