老白z

日本加息至0.75%（30年新高）对比特币短期构成下行压力：逆转日元套利交易，全球流动性收紧，机构抛售加剧，BTC或跌向8万美元支撑。历史显示，上次加息后BTC曾跌31%。但中长期或反弹：加息后日元若持续疲软，将刺激资金流入美元资产，包括BTC；全球其他央行宽松背景下，日本孤立加息影响有限。总体看，短期偏空、中期偏多。$BTC #比特币流动性 #加息影响

大饼晚间思路
现在大饼日线走势偏弱势震荡，核心看两个方面。
当前底部是在85000，日线收盘跌破这个价，将会下杀到下个低点80000附近。

拉升的话，先碰到88000测试密集区，真要扭转趋势走强，得站稳91000一线才行。

指标也不给力MACD是箜投信号，RSI虽然有点跌不动的迹象，但还没到反转的程度，现在的反弹基本都是跌多了的技术性回抽。

大饼87500-87000附近箜，下看85000-86000$BTC

Last night the price limit was set at 90200, and when the market price approached 86561, I decisively took all profits, making another big gain $BTC

大饼短期弱势震荡偏空，下行风险未消。虽在 86700 有小幅反弹，后续量能匮乏。1 小时均线死叉、KDJ 弱势，日线和 4 小时震荡下行，印证偏弱下探判断。操作上，87000 附近可空，目标85500附近，85500跌破将继续下探84000。$BTC

Pancake evening operation:
Limit price 87200-87700, target 85900.

Currently, the BTC market is such that 86000 is not a bottom at all; it's just a transit station on the way down. Based on the trend during this period, the drop from 120000 is not a simple correction but a complete reversal of the trend. Next, we need to focus on the range of 80000 - 85000, which is a place where a lot of trading has happened before. If this range is broken, then below is all falling space. At this time, one should not think about bottom fishing; blindly entering without clear bottom signals is completely just gambling.

The current position of Bitcoin has not yet touched the bottom of this cycle; the current 85k-87k is merely a transit station in the downward cycle. After a rebound, it will still continue to maintain a downward trend. The decline from the new high of 120000 is a reversal of the cycle. Next, focus on 80k-85k; this range is a dense rebound area from the previous low. It is just a matter of time before this round of decline reaches or breaks the previous low. At this time, do not think about bottom fishing; without clear bottom signals, do not blindly enter the market. $BTC

1小时结构，大饼已经破掉了整理阶段的下边沿，这也意味着，下跌行情得到延续。熊市行情如期到来，白盘大饼开启震荡，在85500到86400区间震荡，目前价格已抵达86400，上方第一压力在87000附近。这个位置给到的话，听话兄弟们无脑冲箜丹！

Rebound temptation! The trend of Bitcoin remains unchanged

The rebound to 85000 is a weak pullback, clearly showing a steep decline in the previous period. The RSI is oversold and the low-level doji is merely a short-term breather, definitely not a reversal signal; the rebound here is an opportunity to trade Bitcoin well.

During the day, focus on the range of 86500-87000 for Bitcoin trading, with the first target at 85500; if this level breaks, it can continue to look down to 84000.
$BTC