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公众号《土豆币币叨叨》：在币圈近十年从业者，三年职业交易员经验。历经两轮牛熊，自有投研团队，顶级一二级资源，擅长各种现货均线理论分析操作，以及短线合约策略入场布局！
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Babies, come to chat on Binance
Seize future layout opportunities
Share swing and long-term strategies in real time! #主流币轮动上涨
Seize future layout opportunities
Share swing and long-term strategies in real time! #主流币轮动上涨
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The real way to make big money is through long-term trend tracking, not chasing moving average golden crosses and death crosses, but rather value investing!
If you understand AI and blockchain, you should have invested heavily in Nvidia, BTC, ETH, and BNB early on—these are fundamentally strong assets that can last for ten years. Their price increases are not due to beautiful candlestick charts, but rather due to value realization, with long-term moving averages naturally trending upwards. Most people lose money by only following candlesticks instead of assets, chasing high prices and cutting losses at the bottom, repeatedly giving profits to the market makers.
The only reliable technical method is "value regression"—when good assets rise too quickly and drift far from long-term moving averages, reduce your holdings, and buy back when they drop closer to the moving averages. This way, you can hold onto the major trend while also taking advantage of short-term fluctuations. Ultimately, no matter how fancy the charts are, the profits come from real-world value. Only focusing on candlesticks without studying assets means you're always giving money to others.
If you understand AI and blockchain, you should have invested heavily in Nvidia, BTC, ETH, and BNB early on—these are fundamentally strong assets that can last for ten years. Their price increases are not due to beautiful candlestick charts, but rather due to value realization, with long-term moving averages naturally trending upwards. Most people lose money by only following candlesticks instead of assets, chasing high prices and cutting losses at the bottom, repeatedly giving profits to the market makers.
The only reliable technical method is "value regression"—when good assets rise too quickly and drift far from long-term moving averages, reduce your holdings, and buy back when they drop closer to the moving averages. This way, you can hold onto the major trend while also taking advantage of short-term fluctuations. Ultimately, no matter how fancy the charts are, the profits come from real-world value. Only focusing on candlesticks without studying assets means you're always giving money to others.
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It seems that the interest rate meeting is going to be held either today or tomorrow, and the market is performing quite well. Remember to pay attention to yourself; who knows about sell news.
1. $BTC The big pie yesterday and the big pie today are very different. It surged to 94000 in the early morning, and currently, it has started to pull back during the day. Let's see how it goes tonight; recently, the market trends have been influenced by the U.S. stock market opening;
2. $ETH It is indeed performing better than the big pie, currently standing above 3300, continuing to focus on Ethereum;
3. $SOL The rebound strength is decent, and the recent market is also paying attention to the Solana chain, so everyone can take a closer look;
4. Today's CME "Federal Reserve Watch" data: The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut this week is 87.6%; #加密市场反弹
1. $BTC The big pie yesterday and the big pie today are very different. It surged to 94000 in the early morning, and currently, it has started to pull back during the day. Let's see how it goes tonight; recently, the market trends have been influenced by the U.S. stock market opening;
2. $ETH It is indeed performing better than the big pie, currently standing above 3300, continuing to focus on Ethereum;
3. $SOL The rebound strength is decent, and the recent market is also paying attention to the Solana chain, so everyone can take a closer look;
4. Today's CME "Federal Reserve Watch" data: The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut this week is 87.6%; #加密市场反弹
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12.9 Today's market: Why the drop? BTC, SOL, ETH, BNB, RDNT, STABLE, TRUMP, success in horse racing, bibi operation suggestions!
🌍In the past 24 hours, a total of 85,716 people worldwide have been liquidated, with a total liquidation amount of $212 million. The largest single liquidation occurred on Hyperliquid - BTC-USD worth $2.1421 million.
🔥This week's biggest suspense: The Federal Reserve's decision on market direction!
From a data perspective, the turnover rate surged significantly at the market open on Monday, indicating that short-term investors are still very anxious and unstable, with a high turnover rate, which directly suppressed the rise in Bitcoin prices. Short-term players are frequently buying and selling, mainly bearish on the future market; however, the mentality of early holders remains stable, and their positions are steady.
🔥This week's biggest suspense: The Federal Reserve's decision on market direction!
From a data perspective, the turnover rate surged significantly at the market open on Monday, indicating that short-term investors are still very anxious and unstable, with a high turnover rate, which directly suppressed the rise in Bitcoin prices. Short-term players are frequently buying and selling, mainly bearish on the future market; however, the mentality of early holders remains stable, and their positions are steady.
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Dogecoin Technical Analysis: Is DOGE Stuck? This Key Support Provides the Answer!
According to the chart shared by cryptocurrency analyst Cantonese Cat, Dogecoin (DOGE) is currently above the long-term support zone defined by its monthly Ichimoku chart. The analyst noted that DOGE is "testing the lower edge of its monthly Ichimoku cloud layer."
Dogecoin Test Key Monthly Cloud Chart Support
The monthly chart for DOGE shows that the price of Dogecoin is approximately $0.14050, with a cumulative decline of about 3.8% this month. The monthly K-line opened at $0.14599, reached a high of $0.15340, and dipped to a low of $0.13177, overall showing a narrowing volatility but a weak directional trend.
Dogecoin Test Key Monthly Cloud Chart Support
The monthly chart for DOGE shows that the price of Dogecoin is approximately $0.14050, with a cumulative decline of about 3.8% this month. The monthly K-line opened at $0.14599, reached a high of $0.15340, and dipped to a low of $0.13177, overall showing a narrowing volatility but a weak directional trend.
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Yesterday, the genuine Tether offspring Stable was launched, directly pulling a big one, compared to the adopted son XPL which is completely inferior.
1. $BTC has been fluctuating all the way, with quite a large amplitude, between 89000-92000, let's see if anyone continues to buy buy buy;
2. $ETH has continuous good news, whether it's DAT company continuing to buy or ETF applications, performing even stronger than large illnesses; BlackRock has officially submitted an application for a staked Ethereum ETF;
3. $SOL's on-chain market is gradually recovering, those interested can keep an eye on the on-chain as there is really a small chance to make a big profit, and it doesn't require watching the project team's statements;
4. Zcash, StarkWare and other crypto teams will participate in the SEC Financial Monitoring and Privacy Roundtable; is this a good news for the rebound of $ZEC? #隐私币生态普涨
1. $BTC has been fluctuating all the way, with quite a large amplitude, between 89000-92000, let's see if anyone continues to buy buy buy;
2. $ETH has continuous good news, whether it's DAT company continuing to buy or ETF applications, performing even stronger than large illnesses; BlackRock has officially submitted an application for a staked Ethereum ETF;
3. $SOL's on-chain market is gradually recovering, those interested can keep an eye on the on-chain as there is really a small chance to make a big profit, and it doesn't require watching the project team's statements;
4. Zcash, StarkWare and other crypto teams will participate in the SEC Financial Monitoring and Privacy Roundtable; is this a good news for the rebound of $ZEC? #隐私币生态普涨
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12.8 Today's Market: Why the Rise? BTC, SOL, ETH, BNB, ZEC, HYPE, Binance Life, Hakimi Operation Suggestions!
🌍In the past 24 hours, a total of 129,603 people worldwide have been liquidated, with a total liquidation amount of $445 million. The largest single liquidation occurred in Hyperliguid-ETH-USD valued at $17.8128 million.
🔥Great start! Weekday rise, say goodbye to the anxiety of ‘giving away money’～
From the data perspective, the market turnover rate has finally decreased, although weekend factors account for part of it, but it has also played a certain role in cooling market sentiment. Essentially, the current market is similar to last week's situation, with no actual bearish news, and the market still generally expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in December.
However, the recent market adjustment is mainly based on two concerns: first, the expectations for various data are not ideal, and the economy may face a downturn; second, there is insufficient confidence in continuing interest rate cuts in January next year. However, as mentioned earlier, this year there was originally only an expectation of two rate cuts, but in reality, there were four, indicating that the dot plot does not completely predict the future path.
🔥Great start! Weekday rise, say goodbye to the anxiety of ‘giving away money’～
From the data perspective, the market turnover rate has finally decreased, although weekend factors account for part of it, but it has also played a certain role in cooling market sentiment. Essentially, the current market is similar to last week's situation, with no actual bearish news, and the market still generally expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in December.
However, the recent market adjustment is mainly based on two concerns: first, the expectations for various data are not ideal, and the economy may face a downturn; second, there is insufficient confidence in continuing interest rate cuts in January next year. However, as mentioned earlier, this year there was originally only an expectation of two rate cuts, but in reality, there were four, indicating that the dot plot does not completely predict the future path.
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Why is Dogecoin not increasing despite whale accumulation and user influx? What are the key points in the long and short game?
Recently, the Dogecoin (DOGE) market has presented a contradictory situation: on-chain data is releasing positive signals, but market prices have remained stagnant, failing to break through key resistance levels.
🔍 Market Polar Signals
Currently, there are two opposing signals in the Dogecoin market:
1. Bullish Signal: Whale Purchases and Increased Network Activity
On-chain data shows that although prices are sluggish, large fund addresses known as 'whales' are actively accumulating chips. Meanwhile, the number of daily active addresses on the Dogecoin network has surged to 71,589, setting a new high since September. These are typically seen as the foundation of long-term market confidence.
🔍 Market Polar Signals
Currently, there are two opposing signals in the Dogecoin market:
1. Bullish Signal: Whale Purchases and Increased Network Activity
On-chain data shows that although prices are sluggish, large fund addresses known as 'whales' are actively accumulating chips. Meanwhile, the number of daily active addresses on the Dogecoin network has surged to 71,589, setting a new high since September. These are typically seen as the foundation of long-term market confidence.
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This round of the bull market has not seen a large-scale altcoin season; it's not that Web3 is failing, but rather the market has been disrupted by some overvalued bubble projects. The industry itself is fine, and cryptocurrency still has at least a decade of golden development ahead.
For retail investors, the most important thing is not to follow the crowd and buy recklessly, avoiding those projects that only talk big without substance. The two key points worth paying attention to are: technological strength and brand influence. Other metrics like revenue and user numbers can easily be fabricated, just take a glance.
Technology is the hard truth. For example, the technical difficulty of Ethereum can be compared to top database systems, and its valuation is actually quite reasonable. Therefore, one should focus on projects with solid technology and room for development, such as NEAR.
Another path is to buy influence. Coins like Dogecoin and Trump Coin essentially mean buying their notoriety. In the future of information explosion, whoever's brand can capture attention will be valuable.
In summary: either invest in quality projects that can match Ethereum in technology, or invest in coins with strong cultural influence. Other altcoins are best avoided by ordinary investors. #加密市场观察
For retail investors, the most important thing is not to follow the crowd and buy recklessly, avoiding those projects that only talk big without substance. The two key points worth paying attention to are: technological strength and brand influence. Other metrics like revenue and user numbers can easily be fabricated, just take a glance.
Technology is the hard truth. For example, the technical difficulty of Ethereum can be compared to top database systems, and its valuation is actually quite reasonable. Therefore, one should focus on projects with solid technology and room for development, such as NEAR.
Another path is to buy influence. Coins like Dogecoin and Trump Coin essentially mean buying their notoriety. In the future of information explosion, whoever's brand can capture attention will be valuable.
In summary: either invest in quality projects that can match Ethereum in technology, or invest in coins with strong cultural influence. Other altcoins are best avoided by ordinary investors. #加密市场观察
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Meme Coin Alert: Dogecoin (DOGE) Struggles to Rebound! Will it Test the Annual Low of $0.08 Again?
Recently, the market structure of Dogecoin has clearly weakened, and the price has entered a distinct downward channel. The trend shows a series of lower highs and lower lows, with the overall trend continuing downward, and no effective stabilization signals have emerged yet.
As the strength of key support weakens and selling pressure increases, the likelihood of the price testing the annual low near $0.08 again is rising. The market is generally focused on the downside risks faced by this meme coin.
Key trend nodes:
The downtrend continues, with highs and lows gradually moving lower;
The price continues to operate within the downward channel;
If the previous value area low cannot be reclaimed, it may further drop towards the annual low of $0.08.
As the strength of key support weakens and selling pressure increases, the likelihood of the price testing the annual low near $0.08 again is rising. The market is generally focused on the downside risks faced by this meme coin.
Key trend nodes:
The downtrend continues, with highs and lows gradually moving lower;
The price continues to operate within the downward channel;
If the previous value area low cannot be reclaimed, it may further drop towards the annual low of $0.08.
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Dogecoin (DOGE) Accumulating Amid Declines: Is a Bear Market Trap Behind the $23 Billion Market Cap? Can Bulls Break Through?
Despite a market capitalization still reaching $23.28 billion, Dogecoin (DOGE), as the leader of meme coins, is undergoing severe tests: the annual decline has reached 67%, with a further drop of 2.4% in the past 24 hours. Amidst pessimistic sentiment, on-chain data reveals a starkly different narrative — the market may be entering a new accumulation phase.
Contrarian signals under gloomy sentiment.
Bubble risk models show that current market sentiment is in a prolonged state of gloom. Interestingly, this signal is often viewed as a precursor to declines in traditional analysis, but the sustained low values actually indicate that selling pressure is easing.
Contrarian signals under gloomy sentiment.
Bubble risk models show that current market sentiment is in a prolonged state of gloom. Interestingly, this signal is often viewed as a precursor to declines in traditional analysis, but the sustained low values actually indicate that selling pressure is easing.
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Only when there is a significant oscillation wash and sufficient turnover at the bottom (which is the process of the main force quietly accumulating positions) can the market possibly welcome a real strong rebound. If this stage is absent, don't blindly fantasize and daydream, it's likely just a false breakout or a small rebound. Many people are accustomed to analyzing the market through news or macro fundamentals; do you think this method has a high accuracy rate?
In my opinion, the market will ultimately follow its own path, and those "direction judgments" based on subjective expectations are mostly just self-daydreaming, with little practical significance. The real opportunities depend on how price and volume evolve at the bottom.
In my opinion, the market will ultimately follow its own path, and those "direction judgments" based on subjective expectations are mostly just self-daydreaming, with little practical significance. The real opportunities depend on how price and volume evolve at the bottom.
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Dogecoin falls with the market! Technical breakthroughs + on-chain activity, expected to reverse the downtrend, DOGE looking at a 37% increase!
Dogecoin (DOGE) experienced a price pullback on Thursday, but several analysts focused on the market pointed out that multiple key technical and fundamental signals still support its upside potential, with one core technical indicator even suggesting a possible increase of 26% in the future.
Short-term pullback aligns with market trends, speculative sentiment in the futures market cools down
According to the data, as spot prices decline, the speculative interest in Dogecoin has decreased, with its futures open interest dropping by 3.53% in the past 24 hours. This pullback is consistent with the overall adjustment rhythm of the cryptocurrency market, during the same period Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) fell by 1.37% and 1.16% respectively, creating certain pressure on Dogecoin's short-term trend.
Short-term pullback aligns with market trends, speculative sentiment in the futures market cools down
According to the data, as spot prices decline, the speculative interest in Dogecoin has decreased, with its futures open interest dropping by 3.53% in the past 24 hours. This pullback is consistent with the overall adjustment rhythm of the cryptocurrency market, during the same period Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) fell by 1.37% and 1.16% respectively, creating certain pressure on Dogecoin's short-term trend.
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BTC is performing much weaker than I expected. I originally planned to wait and observe around the blue box, but I will make a small move here first.
The overall market trend from December to January looks like a fluctuating rebound, with the peak of the rebound expected around 100,000. The process in between can follow the market trends, allowing for both long and short positions.
The overall market trend from December to January looks like a fluctuating rebound, with the peak of the rebound expected around 100,000. The process in between can follow the market trends, allowing for both long and short positions.
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Whales accumulate over 500 million DOGE! Dogecoin enters a golden accumulation zone, with long-term targets looking at $0.75 to $2!
Dogecoin is currently entering a critical phase, with its price having retreated to the long-term core accumulation area that has shaped previous market cycles. Although the price remains far below historical peaks, this deep correction has brought it into a price range that long-term value investors have historically focused on.
According to the latest data from CoinGecko, Dogecoin is currently priced at $0.1494, with a 24-hour trading volume exceeding $1.25 billion. Analysts are closely monitoring its trend as the current price level is testing a key support zone that has historically attracted capital for buying on dips.
Key technical structure: Bullish order zone becomes the focus for bulls and bears
According to the latest data from CoinGecko, Dogecoin is currently priced at $0.1494, with a 24-hour trading volume exceeding $1.25 billion. Analysts are closely monitoring its trend as the current price level is testing a key support zone that has historically attracted capital for buying on dips.
Key technical structure: Bullish order zone becomes the focus for bulls and bears
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A while ago, everyone was selling out due to panic, and major Wall Street analysts were collectively bearish;
Then, in less than 3 days, Charles Schwab, Vanguard, and Bank of America successively announced that they would open cryptocurrency investment products for clients
The head of the SEC has given several interviews, indicating that the big players in the B circle are coming, and Trump held a meeting and signed an order for no particular reason
Doesn't it feel like retail investors have been played by Wall Street institutions again, with the little chips in hand being cut over and over again,
So hold on tight, the people behind are still on the bus, what are you afraid of...
Then, in less than 3 days, Charles Schwab, Vanguard, and Bank of America successively announced that they would open cryptocurrency investment products for clients
The head of the SEC has given several interviews, indicating that the big players in the B circle are coming, and Trump held a meeting and signed an order for no particular reason
Doesn't it feel like retail investors have been played by Wall Street institutions again, with the little chips in hand being cut over and over again,
So hold on tight, the people behind are still on the bus, what are you afraid of...
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$Binance Sprout
Secondary level opportunities to operate and play on-chain, Binance Sprout can be ambushed a bit, the current market value is around 450,000, the concept is the name of Binance's new education app, which might be the next giggle, so waiting for CZ and Sister One to give it a boost.
Secondary level opportunities to operate and play on-chain, Binance Sprout can be ambushed a bit, the current market value is around 450,000, the concept is the name of Binance's new education app, which might be the next giggle, so waiting for CZ and Sister One to give it a boost.
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Is it a good time to buy DOGE? After consolidation, is an explosion imminent? Key indicators reveal the crucial trends for Dogecoin in 2025.
Dogecoin, born in 2014, has a price pattern that cycles through 'slowly rising - suddenly surging - retracing down'. Now, key indicators have released new signals, helping us understand its possible trends for 2025. Below, I will clearly explain its cyclical patterns, current market situation, and future opportunities and risks in simple terms.
1. Historical patterns: fluctuations follow a certain routine.
The price of Dogecoin does not fluctuate randomly. From 2014 until now, it has completed two full market cycles, each divided into three steps: first a long period of consolidation (accumulation phase), then a sudden surge, and finally a slow retracement. Each cycle has seen particularly remarkable gains.
1. Historical patterns: fluctuations follow a certain routine.
The price of Dogecoin does not fluctuate randomly. From 2014 until now, it has completed two full market cycles, each divided into three steps: first a long period of consolidation (accumulation phase), then a sudden surge, and finally a slow retracement. Each cycle has seen particularly remarkable gains.
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How much is the previous 10,000 yuan equivalent to now?
1978: 10,000 yuan is equivalent to 14.47 million yuan now
1979: 10,000 yuan is equivalent to 12.27 million yuan now
1986: 10,000 yuan is equivalent to 1.78 million yuan now
1987: 10,000 yuan is equivalent to 1.66 million yuan now
1992: 10,000 yuan is equivalent to 930,000 yuan now
1997: 10,000 yuan is equivalent to 262,000 yuan now
1999: 10,000 yuan is equivalent to 110,000 yuan now
2007: 10,000 yuan is equivalent to 59,000 yuan now
2009: 10,000 yuan is equivalent to 31,000 yuan now
2012: 10,000 yuan is equivalent to 19,000 yuan now
2023: 10,000 yuan is equivalent to 4,250 yuan now
The elite class has been diluting the wealth in people's hands through unlimited printing. Holding $BTC and gold can help you avoid the exploitation of the elite class.
1978: 10,000 yuan is equivalent to 14.47 million yuan now
1979: 10,000 yuan is equivalent to 12.27 million yuan now
1986: 10,000 yuan is equivalent to 1.78 million yuan now
1987: 10,000 yuan is equivalent to 1.66 million yuan now
1992: 10,000 yuan is equivalent to 930,000 yuan now
1997: 10,000 yuan is equivalent to 262,000 yuan now
1999: 10,000 yuan is equivalent to 110,000 yuan now
2007: 10,000 yuan is equivalent to 59,000 yuan now
2009: 10,000 yuan is equivalent to 31,000 yuan now
2012: 10,000 yuan is equivalent to 19,000 yuan now
2023: 10,000 yuan is equivalent to 4,250 yuan now
The elite class has been diluting the wealth in people's hands through unlimited printing. Holding $BTC and gold can help you avoid the exploitation of the elite class.
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The Binance Alpha project FIR has exploded in the AI music track!\n\nKay Tse's new song "City Light Chasing Dreams" has reached Top 2 on the Tencent Music chart, with over 100 million plays and impressive copyright revenue. Copyright revenue is expected to exceed 30 million USD by 2026, and by the end of December, the "Copyright Pledge Pool" will be opened, with 50% of the income distributed to FIR liquidity providers in the form of USDT.\n\nCurrently, FIR's market value is only about 6 million USD. With a low market value combined with clear revenue expectations and upward momentum, the value potential is quite intuitive, and consensus is expected to rapidly coalesce.
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