刘公子交易思维

Every time at the beginning of the month, the market goes crazy like a mad cow, and then crashes in the middle of the month. Many times, this has been the script. Just now, the specific new high of Bitcoin was only a few hundred points away. This wave has left the market stunned; behind the madness, the crisis is even greater. The technical aspect is still ineffective, and those who followed the trend have completely exited the market. Let others chase after it; we will hit short hard!

123500 short, the first target is 115000, the second target is 105000.

Ether short around 4600, targeting 3600!

At the beginning of September, I was still saying that October would enter the tail end of the bull market, and now it has already started!

History will remember today. The technical aspects have completely failed. If you are trading short-term, remember not to hold positions overnight. Today, the decision in the European and American markets will reveal whether the market sentiment continues to rise or takes a path of fluctuation and decline. We will know tonight!

I see a huge opportunity!

If you want to seize the position, just go in and short. It's never just a gamble; profits and losses come from the same source!

After chasing long positions, you can't hold them for too long. Right now, only chasing long positions aligns with the public's psychology (this is worth deeper consideration).

The big pancake is quietly building up strength, but it can't be seen right now. Only when the tide goes out do we know who is swimming naked!

After a rise, there will be a pullback, giving those who shorted a little sweetness, then forming a main shorting thought. Shorting will profit, and when there's profit, they will continue to look for positions to enter. Over time, a huge potential 'door' market will form, until a window period, taking away a wave!

This way of thinking addresses the big direction and big space; Young Master Liu has not lost his hand yet. Now, looking back, I wonder if my view is similar to when it was around 11W-12W, always bearish, just that before it was bearish, now it’s bullish!

Those with different thoughts can share them in the comments!

This is my bullish perspective, a brief discussion, quietly waiting for the subsequent trend evolution. If it can come true, just give a thumbs up, no need to find me!

In the afternoon, a bullish outlook for Ethereum was also presented, with the position at the 2900 line, which was still quite disappointing, only rising by 100 points!

When the big pancake opinion was issued in the afternoon, it was still at 86000. At this time, the price returned to around 90,000, rising by 4000 points. At this critical moment, we still need to pay attention to Liu Gongzi's thoughts. Stay tuned!

The sluggishness of Ethereum is more serious than that of Bitcoin, and we can no longer see the previous level of enthusiasm. It won't rise sharply in the short term; buy the spot, and see 3500!

I have anticipated how the situation would be if it fell; two months ago, before the waterfall, I anticipated that I needed to buy during the sluggish times!

The longer the sluggishness lasts, the fewer people will buy in, and that's when it will rise!

The market is shrouded in gloom, but that doesn't mean the next two months will have the same performance as the beginning of the month. The target for Bitcoin within a month is 100000, and it is estimated that even when this level is reached, a trend short position should not be established!

In response to the calls of many fans, here is the opinion on BTC published yesterday morning, as well as an outlook on the general direction. Everyone can take a look, at that time the BTC price was 85500, there is a screenshot! #加密市场观察

After the evening gold price rose, the timely 4330 short was given, and it just fell to 4293. Those who followed should pay attention to exit and take profit!

Summary: Since last Friday's waterfall until now, another tenfold account has been born. The price has fluctuated back and forth without any major breakthroughs, while Liu Gongzi has been laying out on the left side, committed to chasing big spaces!

The current price order given yesterday afternoon: 4350 to short, target at 4290!

The market dropped to 4270, a decline of 80 points, this brilliant layout is not bad, right!

Gold Weekly Summary and Outlook for Next Week:

Since the interest rate cut, the price of gold created a surreal scene on Friday, marking a 'black swan' event with many chasing the rise in the evening. Even those who were hesitant to chase saw a lot of bullish voices appearing in the market, even with a few points or tens of points of retracement!

These should be the ones who saw the interest rate cut and entered long positions smoothly, charging forward with the market, only to realize after a high dive that this is one of the most brutal situations in the market. The downward trend brings a lot of confusion, leaving you with hardly any time to think!

I would rather observe than chase the highs. I would be entering shorts with a trial-and-error approach on short-term trades, not holding positions. I lost twice; the last time I entered at 4345, and when the bears started to exert pressure, I added to my short position at 4320, exiting near 4300!

After a quick drop, there was an immediate rebound to 4320, where I entered short again, and I also shared my thoughts publicly at this time, aiming for 4270, which was nearly an 80-point drop on the short position!

At midnight, I was given two more longs, entering at 4275 and quickly exiting when it rebounded to around 4286. The last time was at 4260, which also reached the target, providing a 30-point space for the long position. Currently, I hold two base positions, and the rest have exited!

Due to a large number of bulls being trapped in the market, I expect it won't rise too much in the short term and will likely be accompanied by volatile declines. Therefore, during the Asian and European sessions on Monday, the focus should be on high shorts. Entering long positions should only occur after a retracement. If the market continues to remain sluggish, then entering long should be postponed, concentrating efforts on shorting!

As for those trapped in positions, after a rebound, it is an opportunity to escape. If you can't escape, you should reduce your positions. This way, after the retracement, you can continue waiting for opportunities or aggressively add to your positions, at least maintaining multiple layers.

The current price of 4260 is high, and it has rebounded to 4280, 20 points, exit, and enjoy the weekend!

At this moment, outside it is covered in white snow, sitting on the balcony watching the first snow, planning gold strategies, busy and cheerful, capturing trading signals, quite pleasant, partners in the south cannot experience this scene!

After the pancake article was published bullishly, it rose by two thousand points

The current price given in the morning is 4245 short, and it has now dropped to around 4210, leaving a space of over 40 points!

As mentioned in the morning review, after the interest rate cut, it is not a time for celebration. Special attention is needed, mainly focusing on high shorts during the day. After two hours, it dropped by more than 40 points. How is this wave? The current price gives a clear and straightforward idea!

The crypto market has also encountered a waterfall, but it is not recommended to chase shorts anymore; it is better to set up longs on the left side!

A wave of short positions were taken during the day, and the public strategy shared at noon also indicated entering short positions. The short at the 4215 line has currently dropped to 4195, a 20-point move!

Gold Afternoon Review and Trading Strategy:

In the early morning and at noon, another wave of high shorts was executed, while waiting for opportunities to arise; opportunities are never in short supply!

Yesterday afternoon, the post indicated 4170 could reach 4220, and the target was met. It was also mentioned that the focus should be on going long until the evening. Now, it appears that the market is still following this strategy!

Due to the Federal Reserve meeting in the early morning, the market generally expects a 25 basis point interest rate hike. This expectation has been heavily speculated upon, but I think it’s no longer important. What really matters is the speech during Powell's press conference regarding the interest rate path for 2026, which is the actual window affecting the future direction!

In summary: Next, a high short can be executed, then switch to a long position, and focus on high shorts again in the early morning; do not chase highs!

Mr. Liu believes that regardless of how the gold trend unfolds in the future, whether it is preventive rate cuts or aggressive rate cuts, he is more optimistic about the occurrence of bearish trends and market crashes. The 4000 line is a watershed; caution should be exercised when chasing highs or during market surges!

Euro-American Market Operation Strategy:

Short near the 4215 line, targeting 4160, then decide to go long based on market changes, or enter long positions early!

Yesterday, the view of continuing to be bullish was still being shared, and today it has risen by five thousand points, with Ethereum being even stronger, up 9%!

During the downturn, did you dare to believe I saw 100,000-110,000? Those who didn't buy the spot are still regretting it, while those who are short at low levels are continuing to add positions. This is the current state of the market!

Continue to be bullish; this is the last opportunity to go long in the transition from bull to bear!

In the morning, I first shorted from near 4205 to 4165, and in the afternoon, I went long at 4170. These two public strategies are consistent with the market trend and are based on the position at that time!

It first dropped by 30 points, then the European session rose by 35 points. Isn't that a perfect strategy?

4170 more orders, current price 4203, 33 points, all exit, short line just a few hours, take dozens of points, continue winning streak, continue to seek victory steadily!