东哥001小奶狗

Investing in cattle is a good choice👍

The big brother was fired by the company, and now no one wants him 🤦‍♂️

$BTC $ETH $ZEC This week welcomes the strongest central bank showdown in the world!
The Federal Reserve is cutting interest rates (positive) VS Japan is raising interest rates (negative), is Bitcoin, the 'digital gold', entering its shining moment? The white swan of the crypto world has arrived.

This December, the heart of the global financial market is being tightly controlled by two central banks — on one side, the Federal Reserve is fully expected to cut rates, while on the other side, the Bank of Japan is sending strong signals for rate hikes. A shocking reversal of 'loose in the US and tight in Japan' is igniting a new capital layout.

🏦 Federal Reserve: Rate cuts 'sugar rush' imminent, crypto market holding its breath.

The market has almost written '25 basis points rate cut in December' into the script, with probabilities soaring close to 90%. Weak employment data has become the strongest support, and Wall Street banks are also turning their guns, predicting that easing is on the way.

· What does this mean for Bitcoin? Historical experience shows that rate cuts = increased liquidity = risk assets celebration. The narrative of Bitcoin as 'digital gold' is further solidified, seen as a tool for hedging against monetary easing. The UAE sovereign wealth fund has already invested hundreds of millions of dollars in Bitcoin ETFs, which is a strong signal.
· But why is there short-term indecision? The market has already digested the good news in advance, and now fears that the Federal Reserve will play 'hawkish rate cuts' (cutting but stating that there will be no further cuts). Thus, Bitcoin is stuck oscillating around the $90,000 mark, with the fear and greed index lingering in 'fear', as everyone waits for concrete evidence to materialize.

💴 Bank of Japan: The 'negative interest rate era' ends, global arbitrage trading faces reconstruction.

On the other hand, the situation has drastically changed! The Governor of the Bank of Japan has released a strong signal, with market bets on its December rate hike probability soaring to over 76%. Core inflation continues to exceed expectations, giving the central bank the confidence to move away from negative interest rates.

· The market erupted instantly: The yen surged sharply, Japanese stocks plummeted, and Japanese government bond yields soared to multi-year highs.
· Nuclear-level impact: If Japan really raises rates, the 'yen arbitrage trading' (borrowing cheap yen to invest globally) that has lasted for decades may trend reversely, facing a reorganization of global capital flows!

· Trend-wise, the tide of global monetary policy shift has arrived, with Bitcoin moving from a fringe asset to the center stage of mainstream allocation. This 'water level change' led by central banks may push the crypto market to unprecedented heights.

In summary: The Federal Reserve is ready to inject liquidity, while the Bank of Japan is preparing to withdraw liquidity.

Starved for a week just to take a life photo with CZ😄

【Breaking】The truth behind the cryptocurrency crash is out! The eye of the storm is actually in Japan!💥
This morning's plunge must have left you dumbfounded, right? $ETH $DOGE $BTC is a sea of red. The bearish news spread like wildfire, exploding in the square. But don’t be afraid, the bull is still here; the tapering will stop on December 1, Ethereum will upgrade on the 3rd, and the Federal Reserve will hold an interest rate cut meeting on the 10th!!

First, let’s dispel a few rumors:
❌ "China suddenly has bad news?" — This is just an old story about a bank suppressing virtual currencies, and it was digested over the weekend!
❌ "Powell suddenly resigns?" — Ridiculously fake, his term is stable until May next year!

🚨 The real culprit is here: the Bank of Japan!
This morning at 7 AM, the Bank of Japan suddenly announced a rate hike. The exchange rate then shook violently, and the timeline of the cryptocurrency crash matches perfectly.

Why is it so destructive?
You can think of it as "the last low-cost liquidity dam in the world" — previously, it was all about flooding the market, and now it suddenly starts to drain! Once liquidity tightens, high-risk assets like Bitcoin and altcoins get hit hard immediately.

What to watch next?
Focus shifts instantly:
👉 Will the U.S. Treasury and the Federal Reserve just sit and watch? Will they intervene to slow down Japan's draining?
If this "tap" really tightens, the global market, especially cryptocurrencies, must be ready to weather the winter.

In summary: #加密市场回调
Today, the cryptocurrency market is just the "collateral damage" in this storm, with the real "eye of the storm" in Tokyo. Next, keep a close eye on the game between Washington and Tokyo!

China's First Official Definition of Stablecoins: The Fantasy is Over, the Path is Clear

On November 28, 2025, a meeting involving the Ministry of Public Security, the Cyberspace Administration, the Central Financial Office, the two Supreme Courts, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, and the Financial Regulatory Bureau was held, officially clarifying the legal status of stablecoins: "Stablecoins are a form of virtual currency," and they are included in the regulatory framework for "illegal financial activities involving virtual currency."

This means that the ambiguous space surrounding stablecoins in the industry over the past few years has completely disappeared. Any attempts to evade regulation through technological innovation, cross-border payments, or small-scale pilot programs are no longer realistically possible. The regulatory logic is very straightforward: the potential risks of stablecoins mainly focus on money laundering, fraud, and cross-border capital flow, and technological value cannot change their legal attributes. As long as the business chain involves users, funds, servers, or promotions within China, it will fall into the category of illegal financial activities, with no "B-end exceptions" or "technical company exemptions."

For entrepreneurs, this policy definition is both bad news and a clear signal:
Bad news—The development space for stablecoins in mainland China is completely closed, and there is no policy window for any grey explorations.
Good news—The direction of the industry is clear, and there is no need to waste time and resources on ambiguous boundaries.

The only feasible path is a complete overseas layout: overseas legal entities, overseas bank accounts, overseas audits, overseas users, and overseas regulatory licenses, and no involvement in any links within China.

From today on, the fantasy of stablecoins in mainland China is over, and the industry needs to shift from "testing possibilities" to "overseas implementation." The regulatory attitude is now clear: risk first, innovation second. For entrepreneurs, recognizing the red lines and quickly adjusting directions is the only viable strategy.

Attention! The domestic cryptocurrency market is once again experiencing "tremors"! Are you scared?

Stay calm, as I say, this wave is just routine operations.
Every year there are similar messages, and the actual impact is not that great anymore.

💥 All virtual currency activities are classified as "illegal financial activities"!
Effective immediately, digital currency transactions are no longer protected by law,
the courts will no longer accept relevant "evidence".

🧱 Experienced players know the situation, but newcomers are in trouble:
The path to exchange RMB for U is getting narrower,
those who do not understand the industry want to cash out? If you're not careful, it's illegal!

🤑 To put it bluntly, the state just doesn't want to see funds—whether black or white—
continuously flowing out through U.
As for why everyone is still desperately exchanging U... those who know, know, no need to elaborate.

⚠️ Brothers, be sure to be cautious!
Don't forget the lesson from "9.4" in 2017,
and now another wave of superficial measures... it's really hard to put into words.

🌊 In the face of the trend, going against it = a mantis trying to stop a car.
And ultimately, those who bear the burden are always the common people.
$ETH $DOGE $BTC #加密市场反弹

Virtual currency is not currency and is not allowed to circulate domestically.
The meaning is:
Don't think the domestic situation will be relaxed; it's impossible in the short term.
Because once it's loosened, it opens the door for capital outflow.
So this is to tell everyone: 'Don't hold onto illusions.'
'Virtual currency-related businesses are all illegal financial activities.'
This means:
Doing these things domestically:
Development, operation, maintenance, community, events, meetings...
All belong to 'illegal.'
But the reality is:
As long as you don't draw attention, don't deceive people, and don't engage in large-scale capital flow, they generally won't specifically cause you trouble.
This is the idea of 'the people do not raise issues, the officials do not investigate.'
'Stablecoin risk is the highest'—this is the core.
Why?
Because stablecoins bypass foreign exchange controls, equivalent to:
Quietly building a 'small dollar system that is not regulated' domestically.
This is the most sensitive to the country, so the inspections are the strictest.
To summarize whether the impact is big or not:
The reason for the small impact:
Everything that can be managed has already been managed.
Industry people are all overseas.
The market has long given up hope on mainland policies.
Capital and transactions are mainly overseas.
This time it is a statement of attitude, not a devastating blow.
But points you need to pay attention to:
Do not publicly promote cryptocurrency domestically.
Do not flaunt wealth.
Do not create hype.
Do not participate in gray OTC or score running.
Do not engage in large-scale cross-border capital flows.
Self-media content should not touch the red line.
Low profile is the best safety.
The last sentence summarizes:
This policy will not crash the market, nor will it change the bull or bear, but continues to emphasize one thing:
'Prohibition domestically, active overseas' will be a long-term state.
Can play, can play,
But—
Be low-key, pay attention to boundaries, do not touch gray lines,
This is the correct posture.

The Chinese government calls for caution when traveling to Japan; however, Feng Wei from Fudan University has publicly recommended that Chinese students go to Japan at this time and referred to this act of defying the Chinese government as 'patriotic.' This is the most severe instance of patriotism being discredited! The government's call is not a ban, but rather a reminder based on the actual risks faced by Chinese citizens traveling to Japan in recent years. In 2024, related consular assistance cases increased by 15% compared to the previous year, involving security disputes, visa traps, etc. The essence is to remind everyone to protect their own safety. Feng Wei's so-called 'patriotism' is fundamentally untenable; he has made many statements distorting history and ignored the historical facts of Japan's colonial rule over Taiwan. This reverse operation seems more like a bid for attention rather than genuinely considering the students' welfare. Studying or traveling to Japan is a personal choice, but opposing official safety warnings under the guise of 'patriotism' will only mislead others. In 2023, 32 Chinese students fell victim to a scam involving Japanese language schools due to believing false recommendations. As scholars in higher education, they should convey rational understanding rather than confuse right and wrong. As a top university, Fudan University’s teachers' statements should conform to public order and morality, rather than create cognitive chaos. So-called 'patriotism' has never been about being unconventional in opposition; it is about respecting facts and protecting the interests of others. Misleading statements that ignore safety risks not only violate public order and morality but also betray the public's trust in scholars. The core of patriotism is to respect rules and cherish the safety of others, rather than treating opposition to official warnings as 'individuality.' Scholars' statements should have boundaries; they should not distort concepts or mislead the public for the sake of attention, otherwise, it will only undermine their own credibility and tarnish the term 'patriotism.'

Can Japan hit the Fujian ship?
In the past, we always studied how to strike American aircraft carriers, but now Japan is constantly shouting about hitting Chinese aircraft carriers, and before we know it, we have also become 'imperialists.' To get back to the point, Japan has been shouting about the Fujian ship lately, first saying 'prioritize sinking the Fujian ship,' and now saying 'has the ability to sink the Fujian ship.' One question remains: can Japan actually hit the Fujian ship? The author believes: theoretically, there is a possibility, but the difficulty is immense. The Fujian ship formation is roughly as follows: the Fujian ship itself will carry dozens of J-15T (dozens of aircraft), J35 (dozens of aircraft), J-15D electronic aircraft (several), KJ-600 (several), and Z-20 anti-submarine helicopters (several); in terms of escorts: there will be 1-2 nuclear submarines 100-200 kilometers in front of the Fujian ship, responsible for anti-submarine and vigilance; around the aircraft carrier, there will be 1-2 055 destroyers, 2-3 052D destroyers, about 2 054B frigates, and 1 091 or 093 comprehensive supply ship, making a total of more than ten vessels forming a formation. ▲ Fujian ship @ China Military Industry Video Screenshot For Japan to strike the Fujian ship, there are roughly the following four methods:
1. Use submarines to attack from underwater Japan only has conventional submarines. In the 'Comparison of Sino-Japanese Submarine Forces,' it has been mentioned that conventional submarines have a fatal weakness: they cannot balance speed and range. At a speed of 20 knots, they run out of power in one or two hours, and their combat power is completely not on the same level as nuclear submarines, making it impossible to fight. If Japan wants to use submarines to attack the Fujian ship, there is only one possibility: lying in ambush at a fixed point, just when the Fujian ship passes by, just when our nuclear submarines are not present, just when we have not activated anti-submarine measures, then Japanese submarines would have the opportunity... So many 'just right' scenarios are obviously not significant.
2. Japan uses fighter jets for a surprise attack During the Falklands War, Argentina's 'Super Etendard' aircraft flew at ultra-low altitude and fired 'Exocet' missiles that hit the HMS Sheffield, which was due to British negligence; otherwise, it would have been impossible. Over 40 years ago, it was still like this. Today, in the face of various surveillance means such as sonar, radar, early warning aircraft, and satellites underwater and on the surface, using fighter jets for a surprise attack is ineffective, whether they are flying at ultra-low altitude or not. Just as they take off, the aircraft and missiles on the Fujian ship will intercept them. Before Japanese fighter jets reach the attack point, they will be destroyed.
3. Use coastal missiles to attack Regarding Japan's missile attacks, the Fujian ship formation is composed of 055, 052D, and 054B, forming at least three layers of interception networks from far to near, with a close-in Phalanx interception system, and China's LY-1 laser interception system has also been installed on ships, which has been tested to destroy a missile in under five seconds. Therefore, for Japanese missiles to break through such a tight multilayered defense network is not easy. The only situation we need to pay attention to is that Japan launches dozens or even hundreds of missiles in a saturation attack. The Russia-Ukraine War and the recent Israel-Middle East conflict have shown that no matter how advanced the interception system is, it cannot fully cope with saturation attacks. Even if Israel has built a five-layer interception network consisting of Iron Dome, Patriot, David's Sling, THAAD, and Arrow 3, it still can't hold up. However, will we bring the Fujian ship into Japan's firepower circle? When an aircraft carrier is in combat, it must remain outside the opponent's firepower circle and then use missiles and aircraft for penetrating strikes, just like when the American aircraft carrier faced the Houthis, it must have remained outside their firepower coverage. When facing China, it must at least keep the aircraft carrier 3000 kilometers away. Similarly, when facing Japan, the Fujian ship will definitely stay at least 1000 kilometers away.
4. Use surface warships for strikes This point is similar to the previous use of fighter jets for attacks; they will not wait for Japanese warships to reach the attack point. China's nuclear submarines, 055, 052D, J-15T, J35, etc., will intercept and destroy Japanese warships. In the 'Sino-Japanese Power Comparison,' it has been introduced that Japan's fleet is significantly inferior to China's in both quantity and quality. In terms of quantity, Japan has about 103 vessels, while China has four to five hundred; in terms of advancement, the 055 is the strongest warship globally, and the fully equipped Fujian ship cannot be compared to the 26,000-ton Kaga. Japan's Aegis does not have an advantage over the 052D and 054B; in terms of firepower, China has the YJ series of hypersonic missiles with a range exceeding 1500 kilometers, which Japan cannot match. With both quantity and quality inferior, how can they strike? Unless Japan is determined to attack the Fujian ship, concentrating a large number of warships regardless of the cost. Even so, not to mention whether Japanese warships can withstand China's firepower strikes and defense networks, even if they truly sink the Fujian ship, the cost will certainly be the total annihilation of the Japanese navy. Such a cost-exchange ratio is clearly not worthwhile, and unless they are completely foolish, no one would do such a thing.
It’s like if we, with our current strength, insist on going to the middle of the Pacific for a naval showdown with the United States. Ultimately, we could take down a couple of their aircraft carriers, but the cost to ourselves would be too great; we wouldn’t choose that. Therefore, the final result is that Japanese submarines can only rely on luck, surface warships and air force have no opportunity, and coastal firepower cannot reach; Japan only has a theoretical possibility of hitting the Fujian ship, which is practically very difficult. Even if it were achieved at any cost, the cost to themselves would be unbearable. Lastly, let's reiterate that we need not be arrogant towards Japan, but we must have confidence, which is based on an analysis of objective strength. We should not always have an 'anti-Japan, anti-U.S.' mentality; many people's so-called caution is merely turning fear into caution and cowardice into carefulness, which is unnecessary. Not only is it unnecessary, but excessive caution can also lead to missed opportunities.

Damn! China, is it going to start cracking down on $BTC again❓

The People's Bank of China is taking the lead, and the media business newspaper immediately followed suit😂

Beijing Business Daily's Liu Sihong, why is the reporting speed so fast?

Because he has been criticizing Bitcoin for the past 10 years

After blackening it for 10 years, still trying hard to blacken it, truly persistent😓
{future}(BTCUSDT)

Damn! China, is it going to start cracking down on $BTC again❓

The People's Bank of China is taking the lead, and the media business newspaper immediately followed suit😂

Beijing Business Daily's Liu Sihong, why is the reporting speed so fast?

Because he has been criticizing Bitcoin for the past 10 years

After blackening it for 10 years, still trying hard to blacken it, truly persistent😓
{future}(BTCUSDT)

The Russia-Ukraine conflict has ended, the Middle East has calmed down, and the whole world has already freed its hands, while China and Japan are staging another confrontation!
To put it bluntly, once China and Japan go to war, Russia can deepen its control over the Northern Territories, and the United States will be even happier, not only watching Japan exhaust China's finances but also taking advantage of the situation to sell arms to Japan and make a huge profit.
The Northern Territories, as a long-standing sore spot between Russia and Japan, cover an area of less than 5,000 square kilometers, yet due to their unique geographical location, they have become a strategic stronghold that both sides are unwilling to let go of. After the Yalta Conference in 1945, the Soviet Union took over these four islands, and after the collapse of the Soviet Union, Russia seamlessly took over, treating this area as a gateway to the Far East.
Since the 1980s, Japan has established "Northern Territories Day," holding national conferences every year to call for the return of the islands. Several prime ministers, from Yoshiro Mori to Shinzo Abe, have negotiated with Russia, and even Abe wanted to use the signing of a peace treaty as a condition to reclaim all four islands, but Russia has always responded with the same line, stating that this is a historical conclusion from World War II, leaving no room for negotiation.
In recent years, Russia has not been idle. It has built a complete "military city" on Kunashir Island and Iturup Island, with over 150 military facilities and has stationed the 18th Machine Gun Artillery Division, later also sending new patrol boats, and even planning to deploy the "Bastion - E" and "Bastion - P" anti-ship missile systems. These two systems can form a 350-kilometer firepower network specifically targeting maritime targets.
Once China and Japan go to war, Japan's energy will be completely tied down on the East Asian continent, and its already strained military forces will be fully used to deal with China, leaving no surplus troops or focus to entangle with Russia over the Northern Territories.
Previously, in 2022, Japan followed the West to sanction Russia, and Russia immediately stopped peace treaty negotiations and withdrew from discussions on jointly developing the four islands. If China and Japan start fighting now, Russia will only be even less polite, and may take the opportunity to increase its troop presence on the islands and improve its military bases, turning Iturup Island's natural deep-water port into a supply point for the Pacific Fleet.
By then, even if Japan wants to protest, it will be powerless. Russia will effectively use the conflict between China and Japan to solidify its control over the Northern Territories.
The United States is the purest beneficiary in this potential conflict, watching China and Japan mutually exhaust each other while profiting from arms sales.
The 1951 Treaty of Mutual Cooperation and Security between Japan and the United States has long paved the way for America's arms business. The treaty explicitly states that the U.S. can station troops in Japan and provide military support at Japan's request, which means that as soon as China and Japan go to war, the U.S. can justifiably sell weapons to Japan.
In recent years, the United States has already begun to warm up, signing three large-scale military purchase contracts with Japan in just over a year. First, it sold 400 "Tomahawk" cruise missiles, then approved the sale of 150 "Standard"-6 missiles worth $900 million, and later added 16 extended-range joint air defense missiles, costing $39 million.
These weapons are not just for show; "Tomahawk" can hit targets over 1,600 kilometers away, and "Standard"-6 can engage in air defense, anti-ship, and missile defense, perfectly meeting Japan's needs to respond to so-called "regional threats."
The U.S. tasted the sweetness from the Russia-Ukraine conflict, with Raytheon Technologies seeing a 20% profit increase from arms sales. Now, if China and Japan go to war, Japan's demand for arms will only grow exponentially. Japan's military spending has already surged to the third highest in the world in recent years, and once the fighting starts, to counterbalance China, it will spend even more money on advanced American weapons, from F-35 fighter jets to missile defense systems, forcing American defense contractors to ramp up production overnight.
More importantly, the U.S. doesn't even have to get involved directly; as long as it sits behind the scenes providing weapons and advice to Japan, it can watch China exhaust its finances in response to the conflict while Japan empties its treasury to procure arms, allowing the U.S. to reap the benefits, weakening both regional powers while profiting in real money. Naturally, the U.S. is happy to see this win-win business.
Japan, caught in the middle, appears to be proactive but is actually the biggest pawn, having to deal with China while also keeping an eye on the Northern Territories, but these two matters cannot be balanced at all.
Japan previously wanted to pressure Russia through economic cooperation, but after sanctioning Russia in 2022, even the fishing rights of its fishermen in the Northern Territories were suspended. Now, if it goes to war with China, Japan's military and economy will be dragged into a quagmire.
The arms sold to Japan by the United States have always been expensive, and they come with various political conditions. The more Japan buys, the more it is tied to the U.S. war machine, ultimately allowing the U.S. to manipulate it.
Meanwhile, Russia is taking advantage of Japan's inability to manage both fronts, gradually strengthening its actual control over the Northern Territories, from inspections by leaders to the deployment of advanced weapons, each step consolidating the established facts. By the time Japan finishes the war and realizes what's happening, the Northern Territories will have already become a firmly held territory of Russia, making any reclamation efforts even more difficult.
This potential confrontation between China and Japan is fundamentally a strategic opportunity for both Russia and the United States, one seizing the chance to resolve historical territorial issues and the other profiting immensely from arms sales, while Japan is merely a tool being used, likely to end up with nothing for its efforts.

Organ trafficking is a serious crime. It should be severely punished!

Yunnan anti-drug, Beijing anti-drug, Tianjin anti-drug, Jiangxi anti-drug, Guangxi anti-drug and other official accounts have all been canceled... What is the reason for this? [Question]

Yunnan anti-drug, Beijing anti-drug, Tianjin anti-drug, Jiangxi anti-drug, Guangxi anti-drug and other official accounts have all been canceled... What is the reason for this? [Question]