From Extreme Emotions to Trend Recovery: The Core Observation Points for BTC's Next Phase
After a wave of strong panic selling was cleared, BTC welcomed the anticipated rebound. The speed of this rebound was faster than I expected; I originally thought it would take at least until next week to return above $90,000. It seems that both AI and I have to concede this time, but I'm still happy to lose.
The stabilization of prices has provided the market with a rare breather, especially after experiencing consecutive sell-offs. However, while we are happy, we must be clear that it is still far from the time to shout 'bull market'; the real test may still be ahead.
After rebounding from the support at the green line in the MVRV extreme deviation pricing range, BTC's first resistance level is the upper blue line, which is around - 2std = $98,000. Only if it stands above here and does not break below on a pullback can we consider it a short-term bottoming trend structure.
Previously, when the ETF $BTC was approved, it was considered a historic moment for cryptocurrency, marking Bitcoin's official entry into the mainstream asset category. This process has been pulled back and forth for several years. Now, with Trump in office, cryptocurrency ETFs are becoming increasingly common, like wholesale goods, and are losing their value. {spot}(BTCUSDT)
📈 Let me put it this way today, for the next three months:
· $BTC , aiming for $200,000~$220,000! · $ETH , stabilizing at $12,000~$15,000! · $BNB , breaking through $2,000~$2,500, targeting new highs!
Do you remember when it was over $50,000? Everyone was shouting that it had peaked, and what happened? Bitcoin broke through $120,000! Ethereum panicked at $1,380, and in three months, it directly dropped to $5,200, aiming for $8,000 in the short term and $12,000 in the medium to long term, not a guess! Who cared about BNB when it was bottoming at $200? And now? The trend can no longer be hidden!
Look at history, the rhythm has never deceived anyone: 2017 Bull Market Tail——3 months, from $4,000 to $24,000! 2019 Bear to Bull——3 months, from $3,500 to $15,800! 2021 Bull Market Tail——3 months, from $15,000 to $62,000! 2023 Starting Wave——3 months, from $38,000 to $69,000! 2024 Main Rising Wave——3 months, from $52,000 to $128,000! 2025-2026 Bull Market Tail——3 months, you savor it! You ponder it!
Don't question the logic, the rhythm is greater than everything. Every acceleration phase of each cycle completely erupts within three months. Every instance of FOMO ignites from the darkness that no one believes in.
The current market is a classic case of 'fake weakness, real strength.' ETFs continue to be bought endlessly, liquidity is surging, the Nasdaq has broken previous highs, gold is stagnating at high levels... The Fed says one thing and does another, the truth is the easing of money supply—— This is the starting gesture of the bull market's mad rush! #加密市场回调 #美联储重启降息步伐 #ETH巨鲸增持 #ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察
Thank you BTC! I hoarded Bitcoin for 5 years, and last month I finally sold 0.44 BTC for a total of 50000 USDT to pay the remaining balance for a rental property for retirement. During the crash in November, I bought back at a low price, and in 20 days I have earned back 0.29 BTC. I look forward to getting back the 0.44 BTC soon. The happiness of a Bitcoin hoarder is that as long as the Bitcoin is there, the principal is there, and happiness is stable. The more I hoard, the more secure I feel; the more I hoard, the more I feel like a miser, haha. #囤大饼
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Announcement! 📣 Today's airdrop SSS at 18:00 tonight. About 30U before the market, a total of 16,000 shares. Recently, the airdrop shares have mostly been over 10,000 shares, and we have controlled it, only sending to high-scoring groups! #币安alpha
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Japan plans to reclassify 105 types of cryptocurrencies as financial products AI Summary According to ChainCatcher, Japan's Financial Services Agency plans to reclassify 105 types of cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin and Ethereum, as financial products and bring them under the supervision of the Financial Instruments and Exchange Act. Currently, Japanese residents must report cryptocurrency gains as miscellaneous income, with a maximum tax rate of 55%. After reclassification, the trading gains of these tokens will be taxed as capital gains, with the rate reduced to a uniform 20%, aligning it with the stock trading tax rate. Reports indicate that this proposal is expected to be included in the budget plan for early 2026.