BTC静静说
专注于币圈一、二级市场。致力于研究一级市场暴涨币种、二级市场优质潜力币。公棕号：佩佩梭哈
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Today is the 60th day of the bear market.
I have already laid flat and don't dare to bottom-fish. I think the bear market will last at least a year before it bottoms out. 10/11 only liquidated retail investors; next in line for liquidation are whales, institutions, on-chain protocols, miners, stablecoins, and exchanges.
I have already laid flat and don't dare to bottom-fish. I think the bear market will last at least a year before it bottoms out. 10/11 only liquidated retail investors; next in line for liquidation are whales, institutions, on-chain protocols, miners, stablecoins, and exchanges.
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Has Solana's uptrend peaked? Technical pullback begins, and SOL's future momentum faces a critical test!
Solana failed to hold above $144, and the price increase has receded. Currently, the SOL price is below $140, and it may find support around $135.
The SOL price against the US dollar has started to decline, dropping below $140.
The current price is above $135 and also above the 100-hour simple moving average.
On the SOL/USD hourly chart, it broke below the rising trend line near the support level of $144 (data source: Kraken).
If it breaks below the $135 area, this currency pair may expand its downward trend.
The price of Solana has begun a downward pullback.
The price of Solana failed to break through $148 and began to pull back, with a decline exceeding that of Bitcoin and Ethereum. The SOL price once dipped below $145 and $144, entering a short-term bear market zone.
The SOL price against the US dollar has started to decline, dropping below $140.
The current price is above $135 and also above the 100-hour simple moving average.
On the SOL/USD hourly chart, it broke below the rising trend line near the support level of $144 (data source: Kraken).
If it breaks below the $135 area, this currency pair may expand its downward trend.
The price of Solana has begun a downward pullback.
The price of Solana failed to break through $148 and began to pull back, with a decline exceeding that of Bitcoin and Ethereum. The SOL price once dipped below $145 and $144, entering a short-term bear market zone.
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Bitcoin bear market every 4 years
2014 bear market
2018 bear market
2022 bear market
2026____
2014 bear market
2018 bear market
2022 bear market
2026____
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Is it a breakout or a pullback? XRP price has reached a critical point, and the direction is about to be chosen!
XRP price starts to rebound above $2.150. The current price shows positive signs, and if it breaks the key level of $2.250, it may rise significantly.
XRP price starts to rebound above $2.120.
The current price is above $2.150 and the 100-hour simple moving average.
A short-term contracting triangle is forming on the XRP/USD hourly chart, with resistance at $2.20 (data source: Kraken).
If the currency pair stabilizes above $2.250, it may continue to rise.
XRP price is expected to break out upward.
XRP price found support above $2 and began to rebound like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price once climbed above $2.05 and $2.10, entering an upward range.
XRP price starts to rebound above $2.120.
The current price is above $2.150 and the 100-hour simple moving average.
A short-term contracting triangle is forming on the XRP/USD hourly chart, with resistance at $2.20 (data source: Kraken).
If the currency pair stabilizes above $2.250, it may continue to rise.
XRP price is expected to break out upward.
XRP price found support above $2 and began to rebound like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price once climbed above $2.05 and $2.10, entering an upward range.
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XRP reveals a '3-drive reversal' bullish pattern! Technical analysis points to a strong breakout at $2.50!
XRP is testing a key pivot area above $2.00, with two independent frameworks from cryptocurrency analysts Dom (@traderview2) and Osemka (@Osemka8) pointing to potential reversals—clear price levels around $2.00, $2.22, and $2.50 mark the battlefield of this game.
XRP price consolidation is nearing its end
On the 2-day chart of higher time frames, Osemka describes the current structure as a classic sideways consolidation adjustment built on the 2021 high. 'Here are the ranges and price levels to help you understand. We are currently above the 2021 high,' he wrote, adding, 'We have also never seen a decline after such a long sideways consolidation, so I still maintain my view that this is a accumulation range and sideways consolidation adjustment.'
XRP price consolidation is nearing its end
On the 2-day chart of higher time frames, Osemka describes the current structure as a classic sideways consolidation adjustment built on the 2021 high. 'Here are the ranges and price levels to help you understand. We are currently above the 2021 high,' he wrote, adding, 'We have also never seen a decline after such a long sideways consolidation, so I still maintain my view that this is a accumulation range and sideways consolidation adjustment.'
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Recently, the FIR ecosystem has shown an active trading situation on the Alpha platform. This project focuses on the crossover between artificial intelligence and the music industry, and the construction of the ecological system is continuously advancing. Several collaborative music works under its umbrella have received positive market feedback. For example, the single "City Light Chasing Dreams" released by singer Kay Tse has accumulated over 100 million plays on the Tencent Music platform, ranking high on popular charts and bringing continuous and stable copyright income to the project.
The project team recently updated its development roadmap, estimating that by 2026, its annual income related to music copyrights is expected to exceed 30 million USD. At the same time, the platform plans to launch the "Copyright Pledge Pool" service at the end of December, at which point users providing liquidity for FIR-LP will be able to share 50% of the earnings from this fund pool, which will be distributed in USDT.
Currently, FIR's total market value remains around 6 million USD, still in the early project stage. As business progresses, market attention increases, and subsequent functions are gradually launched, this project's valuation may have certain upward potential. Investors are advised to pay attention based on independent judgment and fully recognize the volatility of digital asset prices, and must做好风险管控, make prudent decisions. #fir
The project team recently updated its development roadmap, estimating that by 2026, its annual income related to music copyrights is expected to exceed 30 million USD. At the same time, the platform plans to launch the "Copyright Pledge Pool" service at the end of December, at which point users providing liquidity for FIR-LP will be able to share 50% of the earnings from this fund pool, which will be distributed in USDT.
Currently, FIR's total market value remains around 6 million USD, still in the early project stage. As business progresses, market attention increases, and subsequent functions are gradually launched, this project's valuation may have certain upward potential. Investors are advised to pay attention based on independent judgment and fully recognize the volatility of digital asset prices, and must做好风险管控, make prudent decisions. #fir
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In 2022, the market of the same level first experienced a decline of 50% in a bearish trend, then stabilized and rebounded by 46%. The fluctuations at that time were indeed larger than now...
Meanwhile, something that happened simultaneously: MSTR was oversold...
Recently, I’ve been looking at that market phase during my free time, as purely from a price structure perspective, the two are very similar.
However, the 50% decline at that time has shrunk to the current 36%, so I calculated based on the same proportion. If a similar fractal structure is to develop here, the rebound target would be around 108k...
Both market phases are suppressed by a similar long-term downtrend line, and a true rebound occurs after the trend line is broken.
Therefore, the trading strategy has slightly changed; I will first patiently wait for a volatile rebound until the price gradually surpasses 10w, before considering starting a long-term short grid.
In 2022, I was tricked by the range breakout here, buying 20 BTC at that time, and later suffered a significant loss when stopping out at 38000. This time, I definitely won’t follow the exact same script, but the pattern of transitioning from a trending market to a large range oscillation should remain unchanged.
Continuing to wait~
Meanwhile, something that happened simultaneously: MSTR was oversold...
Recently, I’ve been looking at that market phase during my free time, as purely from a price structure perspective, the two are very similar.
However, the 50% decline at that time has shrunk to the current 36%, so I calculated based on the same proportion. If a similar fractal structure is to develop here, the rebound target would be around 108k...
Both market phases are suppressed by a similar long-term downtrend line, and a true rebound occurs after the trend line is broken.
Therefore, the trading strategy has slightly changed; I will first patiently wait for a volatile rebound until the price gradually surpasses 10w, before considering starting a long-term short grid.
In 2022, I was tricked by the range breakout here, buying 20 BTC at that time, and later suffered a significant loss when stopping out at 38000. This time, I definitely won’t follow the exact same script, but the pattern of transitioning from a trending market to a large range oscillation should remain unchanged.
Continuing to wait~
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12.03 All-in Morning Report：
Just want to say that suddenly all the good news has come out, and it seems like it's been a long time since we've seen a big coin rise 10% in a day.
1. $BTC's rally is accompanied by overwhelming good news; we will see if this time it is a V-shaped reversal or just a rebound, a day of 8000 dollars' increase after a long time;
2. $ETH follows the big coin's rally; the DAT companies that have recently bought are increasing again, with enough arguments to persuade shareholders to continue buying;
3. $SOL becomes the strongest rebounder once again; we will see if it can sustain, as there have been quite a few recoveries on-chain recently;
4. Bitfinex alpha: From a time perspective, the crypto market is approaching a phase bottom;
5. U.S. Bank allows wealth advisors to suggest clients allocate up to 4% of their assets in Bitcoin;
6. Flow Foundation: Developing a native on-chain credit market protocol;
7. Bybit, in collaboration with Mantle and Aave, launches a global institutional-grade on-chain liquidity network;
8. X Money is recruiting a technical director for its payment platform, and Solana is reacting positively to this;
9. MicroStrategy CEO: Does not rule out the possibility of lending Bitcoin to enhance financial flexibility;
10. On December 3, according to the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) 'FedWatch' data, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 89.2%, and the probability of maintaining the interest rate is 10.8%;
Just want to say that suddenly all the good news has come out, and it seems like it's been a long time since we've seen a big coin rise 10% in a day.
1. $BTC's rally is accompanied by overwhelming good news; we will see if this time it is a V-shaped reversal or just a rebound, a day of 8000 dollars' increase after a long time;
2. $ETH follows the big coin's rally; the DAT companies that have recently bought are increasing again, with enough arguments to persuade shareholders to continue buying;
3. $SOL becomes the strongest rebounder once again; we will see if it can sustain, as there have been quite a few recoveries on-chain recently;
4. Bitfinex alpha: From a time perspective, the crypto market is approaching a phase bottom;
5. U.S. Bank allows wealth advisors to suggest clients allocate up to 4% of their assets in Bitcoin;
6. Flow Foundation: Developing a native on-chain credit market protocol;
7. Bybit, in collaboration with Mantle and Aave, launches a global institutional-grade on-chain liquidity network;
8. X Money is recruiting a technical director for its payment platform, and Solana is reacting positively to this;
9. MicroStrategy CEO: Does not rule out the possibility of lending Bitcoin to enhance financial flexibility;
10. On December 3, according to the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) 'FedWatch' data, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 89.2%, and the probability of maintaining the interest rate is 10.8%;
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Dogecoin's continuous decline, how much faith do you have left? Is this pullback really an opportunity to 'buy the dip'?
Like major assets in the cryptocurrency space, as the overall weakness in the cryptocurrency market intensifies, Dogecoin (DOGE) is also facing new selling pressure, causing this digital currency to fall below several key technical levels.
This decline occurs against a backdrop of capital outflows, a weak market structure, and waning speculative interest, raising questions about whether a deeper correction is underway.
Dogecoin has broken below a critical support level, and selling pressure continues to escalate
After breaking below the upward trend line on the hourly chart, Dogecoin fell below a significant support area, continuing a multi-day downtrend. The current price is below the 100-hour simple moving average, close to $0.13, with MACD momentum increasing in the bearish zone and RSI remaining below 50.
This decline occurs against a backdrop of capital outflows, a weak market structure, and waning speculative interest, raising questions about whether a deeper correction is underway.
Dogecoin has broken below a critical support level, and selling pressure continues to escalate
After breaking below the upward trend line on the hourly chart, Dogecoin fell below a significant support area, continuing a multi-day downtrend. The current price is below the 100-hour simple moving average, close to $0.13, with MACD momentum increasing in the bearish zone and RSI remaining below 50.
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About Time:
Time never speaks, yet answers all questions. The best time to plant a tree was ten years ago, the second best time is now.
Do not let your tomorrow self hate your today self. Time does not stay, seasons flow, only effort can make the most of time.
Live each day as if it were your last. Time is the best filter, and years are the truest discernment.
Do not dwell on the past, do not get distracted in the present, do not welcome the future. The today you waste is the tomorrow that those who have passed away long for.
Seize the moment, give it your all. Time sees all efforts.
Time never speaks, yet answers all questions. The best time to plant a tree was ten years ago, the second best time is now.
Do not let your tomorrow self hate your today self. Time does not stay, seasons flow, only effort can make the most of time.
Live each day as if it were your last. Time is the best filter, and years are the truest discernment.
Do not dwell on the past, do not get distracted in the present, do not welcome the future. The today you waste is the tomorrow that those who have passed away long for.
Seize the moment, give it your all. Time sees all efforts.
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“Whale Silence, Retail Frenzy? Under Currents in Dogecoin, a Historic Turning Point Approaches!”
The price of Dogecoin has fallen below $0.15, mainly due to a decrease in whale transactions and pessimistic sentiment among retail investors in the futures market. Although it has seen a slight increase of 4% this week, on-chain data shows a reduction in activity from large holders, putting pressure on the value of this 'meme coin' amid a generally sluggish market.
The trading volume of Dogecoin whales has plummeted from 285 transactions to below 38 in two months, indicating a decline in interest from institutional investors.
Retail traders have limited funds, dominating the futures market, which leads to slow price fluctuations.
Market sentiment is bearish, with the public sentiment index at 1.31, while savvy investors remain slightly bullish, sending mixed signals for a market recovery.
The trading volume of Dogecoin whales has plummeted from 285 transactions to below 38 in two months, indicating a decline in interest from institutional investors.
Retail traders have limited funds, dominating the futures market, which leads to slow price fluctuations.
Market sentiment is bearish, with the public sentiment index at 1.31, while savvy investors remain slightly bullish, sending mixed signals for a market recovery.
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In the past year or two, I believe that for most ordinary people, the best approach is to buy index funds of the Sci-Tech Innovation Board/ChiNext, either through staged purchases or regular investments, holding them for a year. Wait for two or three years before selling in parts, leaving a small portion.
Then keep some funds for daily expenses.
The remaining funds should be used to buy Bitcoin, holding for more than 5 years!
Basically, you can outperform 90% of most people!
Then keep some funds for daily expenses.
The remaining funds should be used to buy Bitcoin, holding for more than 5 years!
Basically, you can outperform 90% of most people!
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The PUMP mentioned a couple of days ago has also seen a slight increase!
Yesterday's peak rose by 15%, and after a pullback, it has started to climb again today. The short-term target of 0.33 remains unchanged, but brothers in the contract remember to set your breakeven points. This increase has already brought in a good profit, so it can be cashed out in batches!
At this stage, the market is volatile, so be cautious with altcoins and try to stick with the mainstream!
Yesterday's peak rose by 15%, and after a pullback, it has started to climb again today. The short-term target of 0.33 remains unchanged, but brothers in the contract remember to set your breakeven points. This increase has already brought in a good profit, so it can be cashed out in batches!
At this stage, the market is volatile, so be cautious with altcoins and try to stick with the mainstream!
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Stablecoin issuers have also become half central banks—
According to official data estimates, Tether, the issuer of the world's largest stablecoin USDT, holds 116 tons of gold, valued at about 14 billion USD:
The current holdings of Tether are comparable to the official reserves of countries like South Korea, Hungary, or Greece, making it the largest single holder of gold outside of major central banks.
In just the third quarter, Tether purchased about 26 tons of gold, accounting for 2% of the total global gold demand during that period, equivalent to 12% of known central bank purchases.
So, why did Tether increase the gold reserve ratio of USDT after the bill was passed?
Can someone explain this issue!
According to official data estimates, Tether, the issuer of the world's largest stablecoin USDT, holds 116 tons of gold, valued at about 14 billion USD:
The current holdings of Tether are comparable to the official reserves of countries like South Korea, Hungary, or Greece, making it the largest single holder of gold outside of major central banks.
In just the third quarter, Tether purchased about 26 tons of gold, accounting for 2% of the total global gold demand during that period, equivalent to 12% of known central bank purchases.
So, why did Tether increase the gold reserve ratio of USDT after the bill was passed?
Can someone explain this issue!
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Whether Bitcoin has been seized is still unknown.
However, on-chain data shows that Arthur Hayes, known as 'Old Black', has indeed been frequently buying altcoins ETHFI, ENA, and PENDLE.
In the past 24 hours, approximately worth 2.5 million US dollars.
However, on-chain data shows that Arthur Hayes, known as 'Old Black', has indeed been frequently buying altcoins ETHFI, ENA, and PENDLE.
In the past 24 hours, approximately worth 2.5 million US dollars.
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"Stability" is the biggest cognitive trap for ordinary people.
What many people pursue as stability is essentially reliance on an unchanging environment that makes them increasingly mediocre. However, this kind of stability becomes fragile when the external environment changes. True stability is "anti-fragility":
Tolerance for error: There must be cash flow and asset reserves that can withstand "table flipping"
Portability: Personal abilities can be valued by more new systems
Reflexivity: The ability to gain development and benefits amidst chaos.
What many people pursue as stability is essentially reliance on an unchanging environment that makes them increasingly mediocre. However, this kind of stability becomes fragile when the external environment changes. True stability is "anti-fragility":
Tolerance for error: There must be cash flow and asset reserves that can withstand "table flipping"
Portability: Personal abilities can be valued by more new systems
Reflexivity: The ability to gain development and benefits amidst chaos.
See original
PENDLE
Short-term spot layout:
PENDLE's current price can be a buying point for a short-term swing trade, target 3.8-4!
4H level chart, waiting for the breakout of the adjusting parallel channel, and the accelerated rise that follows the breakout!
Short-term spot layout:
PENDLE's current price can be a buying point for a short-term swing trade, target 3.8-4!
4H level chart, waiting for the breakout of the adjusting parallel channel, and the accelerated rise that follows the breakout!
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In just a week, market optimism has flooded in!\nChina-U.S. relations have improved!\nNVIDIA is ready to supply chips to China!\nThe probability of interest rate cuts in December has risen to 83%!\nThe U.S. AI Genesis mission has started!\nEverything has returned to a familiar vibe, and the market can continue to revel for a while!
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In four days, $BTC has almost risen by 9000 USD
However, everyone seems to be very cautious
At least they are acting very cautiously
Those who bought the dip dare not say it out loud, while those who are out of the market pretend to be calm →_→
However, everyone seems to be very cautious
At least they are acting very cautiously
Those who bought the dip dare not say it out loud, while those who are out of the market pretend to be calm →_→
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The altcoin market has basically failed to keep up with the pace, and overall remains in a state of decline. Even the privacy sector, which briefly broke through last Monday, is also in a correction phase over the weekend. #ZEC has dropped from a high of $718 to around $485, and the entire sector has collectively weakened.
#STRK has directly halved in value over three days, and market sentiment is once again under pressure. The public chain track is even more brutal, with a general pullback of over 20%. Whether it's Hype, Pump, or emerging public chains like Aster, they have all almost laid flat, showing no resistance.
Currently, the altcoin market is experiencing a complete bleed, with funds continuously flowing out. Most projects, regardless of their fundamentals, cannot escape selling pressure. The overall liquidity in the market is still in a state of exhaustion. What we can do now is to patiently wait and not act rashly, cherishing the U we have in hand.
#STRK has directly halved in value over three days, and market sentiment is once again under pressure. The public chain track is even more brutal, with a general pullback of over 20%. Whether it's Hype, Pump, or emerging public chains like Aster, they have all almost laid flat, showing no resistance.
Currently, the altcoin market is experiencing a complete bleed, with funds continuously flowing out. Most projects, regardless of their fundamentals, cannot escape selling pressure. The overall liquidity in the market is still in a state of exhaustion. What we can do now is to patiently wait and not act rashly, cherishing the U we have in hand.
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