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熊势为王的猫

日内波段操盘手!公众号,熊猫日内波段交易,币安聊天室ID xiongmao2
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Bullish
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Bearish
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The big one is coming, this time Japan's interest rate hike is comparable to the crash on October 11. Those going long should be cautious. The Bank of Japan's decision to raise interest rates at the monetary policy meeting on December 18-19 will mark a historic turning point in its monetary policy, signaling the end of the 'cheap money' era for the last major economy in the world. This shift will profoundly impact the cryptocurrency market through a complex chain of events. Once the Bank of Japan raises interest rates, it will directly lead to: Soaring financing costs: The cost of borrowing yen will no longer be cheap, and the profit margin for arbitrage trading will be significantly compressed or even turn into losses. Increased exchange rate risk: Interest rate hikes usually lead to the appreciation of the yen, and those shorting the yen will face foreign exchange losses. This will force global investors to synchronize their positions: Sell cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin → exchange for USD → then use USD to buy yen to repay loans. Due to the good liquidity and high volatility of the cryptocurrency market, it often becomes the preferred target for arbitrage funds when they withdraw. The chain reaction includes: Market-wide declines and soaring volatility: A large amount of selling can trigger a significant price drop. For example, after the Bank of Japan signaled an interest rate hike, Bitcoin once plummeted over 5% in a single day. High-leverage positions leading to a series of liquidations: The cryptocurrency market is embedded with a large amount of leverage, and a rapid price drop can trigger forced liquidations of derivative contracts. Recently, under the expectation of an interest rate hike, nearly $1 billion in leveraged positions was liquidated within 24 hours, easily creating a 'downward-liquidation-further decline' death spiral. 🔄 Medium-term evolution: Risk repricing and internal differentiation After a short-term panic sell-off, the market will enter a medium-term digestion and rebalancing phase. At this time, significant internal differentiation will appear within cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin's 'safe-haven' attribute may be tested: Historical data shows that after an initial drop due to tightened liquidity, Bitcoin sometimes exhibits relative resilience and even rebounds first. This is because, during geopolitical tensions or when the credit of sovereign currencies is impaired, Bitcoin's narrative as a 'super-sovereign' store of value gains attention. The global macro uncertainty brought by Japan's interest rate hike may reinforce some investors' views of Bitcoin as a hedging tool. $BTC $ETH #BNBChain生态代币普涨 #加密市场观察
The big one is coming, this time Japan's interest rate hike is comparable to the crash on October 11. Those going long should be cautious.
The Bank of Japan's decision to raise interest rates at the monetary policy meeting on December 18-19 will mark a historic turning point in its monetary policy, signaling the end of the 'cheap money' era for the last major economy in the world. This shift will profoundly impact the cryptocurrency market through a complex chain of events.
Once the Bank of Japan raises interest rates, it will directly lead to:

Soaring financing costs: The cost of borrowing yen will no longer be cheap, and the profit margin for arbitrage trading will be significantly compressed or even turn into losses.
Increased exchange rate risk: Interest rate hikes usually lead to the appreciation of the yen, and those shorting the yen will face foreign exchange losses.
This will force global investors to synchronize their positions: Sell cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin → exchange for USD → then use USD to buy yen to repay loans. Due to the good liquidity and high volatility of the cryptocurrency market, it often becomes the preferred target for arbitrage funds when they withdraw. The chain reaction includes:
Market-wide declines and soaring volatility: A large amount of selling can trigger a significant price drop. For example, after the Bank of Japan signaled an interest rate hike, Bitcoin once plummeted over 5% in a single day.
High-leverage positions leading to a series of liquidations: The cryptocurrency market is embedded with a large amount of leverage, and a rapid price drop can trigger forced liquidations of derivative contracts. Recently, under the expectation of an interest rate hike, nearly $1 billion in leveraged positions was liquidated within 24 hours, easily creating a 'downward-liquidation-further decline' death spiral.
🔄 Medium-term evolution: Risk repricing and internal differentiation
After a short-term panic sell-off, the market will enter a medium-term digestion and rebalancing phase. At this time, significant internal differentiation will appear within cryptocurrencies.
Bitcoin's 'safe-haven' attribute may be tested: Historical data shows that after an initial drop due to tightened liquidity, Bitcoin sometimes exhibits relative resilience and even rebounds first. This is because, during geopolitical tensions or when the credit of sovereign currencies is impaired, Bitcoin's narrative as a 'super-sovereign' store of value gains attention. The global macro uncertainty brought by Japan's interest rate hike may reinforce some investors' views of Bitcoin as a hedging tool. $BTC $ETH #BNBChain生态代币普涨 #加密市场观察
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Last night the 3050 support was broken, the lowest point dropped to 2996 and rebounded to 2976. Currently, the market will oscillate around 2980-3040. Those who prefer a conservative approach may hold off on trading until a trend line appears. The market can go either up or down, and it is not recommended for beginners to trade $BTC $ETH #加密市场观察 #特朗普加密新政 .
Last night the 3050 support was broken, the lowest point dropped to 2996 and rebounded to 2976. Currently, the market will oscillate around 2980-3040. Those who prefer a conservative approach may hold off on trading until a trend line appears. The market can go either up or down, and it is not recommended for beginners to trade $BTC $ETH #加密市场观察 #特朗普加密新政 .
熊势为王的猫
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Bullish
The position at 3050 is being tested; whether it can break depends on the long-short ratio $BTC $ETH #特朗普加密新政 #比特币波动性
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On the 12.3, a short position was opened at 3119, an additional position was added at 3230, with an average price around 3151, a position of about 3000u. I exited tonight with a profit of 15600u. There are pictures as proof, and I have posts to verify this. How can we discuss this operation? Talking big is useless; making money is what matters. Just follow the strategy. Binance sweep $BTC $ETH #ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察
On the 12.3, a short position was opened at 3119, an additional position was added at 3230, with an average price around 3151, a position of about 3000u. I exited tonight with a profit of 15600u. There are pictures as proof, and I have posts to verify this. How can we discuss this operation? Talking big is useless; making money is what matters. Just follow the strategy. Binance sweep $BTC $ETH #ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察
熊势为王的猫
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Tonight's precise needle insertion, where did this wave see? The evening U.S. stock market opened with a decline to 3030, the U.S. stock market opened with a stretch of 115 points, reaching 3145, and started to pull back, the short position given is 3119, this wave of profits can be taken, or continue to hold?$BTC $ETH #ETH走势分析
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Following up on the previous post, I have already closed the position, but I incurred an additional loss of 5000u. Anyone who listened to me and closed near 3010 could have lost 5000u less at 40 points, but what's important is that I closed the position. I made a profit of 5000u from the hedge. If you're stuck and don't know how to start hedging, feel free to reach out to me, or I can help you check if the position is safe $BTC $ETH #加密市场观察 #美SEC推动加密创新监管
Following up on the previous post, I have already closed the position, but I incurred an additional loss of 5000u. Anyone who listened to me and closed near 3010 could have lost 5000u less at 40 points, but what's important is that I closed the position. I made a profit of 5000u from the hedge. If you're stuck and don't know how to start hedging, feel free to reach out to me, or I can help you check if the position is safe $BTC $ETH #加密市场观察 #美SEC推动加密创新监管
熊势为王的猫
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Bearish
There have been too many people stuck these days, and I can clearly feel that this brother has been with me for a long time. However, a few days ago, he opened a short position on his own. Fortunately, he told me about it. I'm just afraid of those who open a position, get the direction wrong, and don't dare to speak up. The maximum loss was 25,000 USDT on this short position, but it has been resolved now, and I made 10,000 USDT on the hedge. I just got back to break-even. If you are also stuck and don't know how to operate the hedge or at what position to exit, you can come to me for help to take a look at $BTC $ETH #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #美联储降息预期升温 .
See original
There have been too many people stuck these days, and I can clearly feel that this brother has been with me for a long time. However, a few days ago, he opened a short position on his own. Fortunately, he told me about it. I'm just afraid of those who open a position, get the direction wrong, and don't dare to speak up. The maximum loss was 25,000 USDT on this short position, but it has been resolved now, and I made 10,000 USDT on the hedge. I just got back to break-even. If you are also stuck and don't know how to operate the hedge or at what position to exit, you can come to me for help to take a look at $BTC $ETH #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #美联储降息预期升温 .
There have been too many people stuck these days, and I can clearly feel that this brother has been with me for a long time. However, a few days ago, he opened a short position on his own. Fortunately, he told me about it. I'm just afraid of those who open a position, get the direction wrong, and don't dare to speak up. The maximum loss was 25,000 USDT on this short position, but it has been resolved now, and I made 10,000 USDT on the hedge. I just got back to break-even. If you are also stuck and don't know how to operate the hedge or at what position to exit, you can come to me for help to take a look at $BTC $ETH #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #美联储降息预期升温 .
熊势为王的猫
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Bullish
Many people have been trapped in the past couple of days, but I didn't expect so many. Most of those trapped in ETH are basically around the 2880-2950 range. The rebound in the past couple of days has been relatively strong, and it is currently at the 3090 position. This position is currently in a tug-of-war between bulls and bears. The weekend fluctuations won't be too large, and the probability of sideways movement is relatively high. If you are also trapped, you can contact me for assistance. If there is enough margin call, it can be resolved next week $BTC $ETH #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #ETH走势分析 .
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I posted an hour ago, saying that ETH should pay attention to the rebound, and those shorting should be cautious of profit taking. The panda only believes in its own judgment. Just in time, the ETH long strategy provided was to enter above 3100, and I didn't run away at 3150 in time, losing only 10 points, but still made a profit of 3500U. This operation took 30 minutes, from 20,000 to $BTC $ETH . What are you waiting for? #加密市场观察 #特朗普加密新政
I posted an hour ago, saying that ETH should pay attention to the rebound, and those shorting should be cautious of profit taking. The panda only believes in its own judgment. Just in time, the ETH long strategy provided was to enter above 3100, and I didn't run away at 3150 in time, losing only 10 points, but still made a profit of 3500U. This operation took 30 minutes, from 20,000 to $BTC $ETH . What are you waiting for? #加密市场观察 #特朗普加密新政
熊势为王的猫
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Bullish
The four-hour trend of ETH is a standard N-shaped rebound trend. Those shorting should pay attention to profits to prevent the rebound rise $BTC $ETH #ETH走势分析 #代币化热潮
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Many people have been trapped in the past couple of days, but I didn't expect so many. Most of those trapped in ETH are basically around the 2880-2950 range. The rebound in the past couple of days has been relatively strong, and it is currently at the 3090 position. This position is currently in a tug-of-war between bulls and bears. The weekend fluctuations won't be too large, and the probability of sideways movement is relatively high. If you are also trapped, you can contact me for assistance. If there is enough margin call, it can be resolved next week $BTC $ETH #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #ETH走势分析 .
Many people have been trapped in the past couple of days, but I didn't expect so many. Most of those trapped in ETH are basically around the 2880-2950 range. The rebound in the past couple of days has been relatively strong, and it is currently at the 3090 position. This position is currently in a tug-of-war between bulls and bears. The weekend fluctuations won't be too large, and the probability of sideways movement is relatively high. If you are also trapped, you can contact me for assistance. If there is enough margin call, it can be resolved next week $BTC $ETH #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #ETH走势分析 .
See original
The four-hour trend of ETH is a standard N-shaped rebound trend. Those shorting should pay attention to profits to prevent the rebound rise $BTC $ETH #ETH走势分析 #代币化热潮
The four-hour trend of ETH is a standard N-shaped rebound trend. Those shorting should pay attention to profits to prevent the rebound rise $BTC $ETH #ETH走势分析 #代币化热潮
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AIA is about to return to 0. Did you get harvested by AIA this time? Under the guise of AI, how many cabbages have been cut? The cryptocurrency world always has opportunities; what it lacks is courage and awareness. Looking back at the wealth-making coins of the second half of the year, MYX AIA ZEC GIGGLE, did you seize these coins? You can comment and type out $BTC $ETH #ETH走势分析 #BNBChain生态代币普涨 .
AIA is about to return to 0. Did you get harvested by AIA this time? Under the guise of AI, how many cabbages have been cut? The cryptocurrency world always has opportunities; what it lacks is courage and awareness. Looking back at the wealth-making coins of the second half of the year, MYX AIA ZEC GIGGLE, did you seize these coins? You can comment and type out $BTC $ETH #ETH走势分析 #BNBChain生态代币普涨 .
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If this is true, then the arrival of Japan's interest rate hike on the 18th-19th will mark the beginning of a significant drop in the stock market and cryptocurrency. Looking back at previous data, every time Japan raised interest rates, it basically influenced a downward trend. This rate hike is claimed to be the largest in history $BTC $ETH #美联储重启降息步伐 #美SEC和CFTC加密监管合作 .
If this is true, then the arrival of Japan's interest rate hike on the 18th-19th will mark the beginning of a significant drop in the stock market and cryptocurrency. Looking back at previous data, every time Japan raised interest rates, it basically influenced a downward trend. This rate hike is claimed to be the largest in history $BTC $ETH #美联储重启降息步伐 #美SEC和CFTC加密监管合作 .
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Yesterday, the ETH price fluctuated little, dropping to a low of 3065. This drop was quite deep, but this round of increase is not over yet. Today it rebounded to 3160. As the weekend approaches, the fluctuations won't be too large, $BTC $ETH #美联储重启降息步伐 #ETH走势分析
Yesterday, the ETH price fluctuated little, dropping to a low of 3065. This drop was quite deep, but this round of increase is not over yet. Today it rebounded to 3160. As the weekend approaches, the fluctuations won't be too large, $BTC $ETH #美联储重启降息步伐 #ETH走势分析
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Tonight's precise needle insertion, where did this wave see? The evening U.S. stock market opened with a decline to 3030, the U.S. stock market opened with a stretch of 115 points, reaching 3145, and started to pull back, the short position given is 3119, this wave of profits can be taken, or continue to hold?$BTC $ETH #ETH走势分析
Tonight's precise needle insertion, where did this wave see? The evening U.S. stock market opened with a decline to 3030, the U.S. stock market opened with a stretch of 115 points, reaching 3145, and started to pull back, the short position given is 3119, this wave of profits can be taken, or continue to hold?$BTC $ETH #ETH走势分析
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The Nvidia earnings report has not yet arrived, and the market has started to panic again this morning. Last week's turmoil saw hundreds of thousands liquidated, and yesterday another 150,000 fell. Those who have survived to today are the tough ones dancing on the edge of a knife. The most critical aspect revolves around two timed bombs early Thursday morning, Are they two barrels of gasoline or two bottles of lifesaving water? Two major events on Thursday: (1) 3:00 AM Federal Reserve meeting minutes, the market is most concerned about whether interest rates will be cut in December? As long as the minutes release a dovish signal, liquidity can save the market once. But if it leans hawkish, you know, risk assets will have to kneel first. (2) 5:00 AM Nvidia earnings report This is the thermometer for global AI enthusiasm. If revenue and net profit fall short of expectations, it means the AI bubble may begin to burst, and Nvidia could drop directly by 10%, The US stock index may simultaneously drop by 3%, and BTC is highly likely to fall below 90,000 again. The market is now waiting for judgment. Brothers, do not make any moves in the next two days; being stable in the eye of the storm is more important than anything else $BTC $ETH #RWA热潮 #香港稳定币新规
The Nvidia earnings report has not yet arrived, and the market has started to panic again this morning. Last week's turmoil saw hundreds of thousands liquidated, and yesterday another 150,000 fell. Those who have survived to today are the tough ones dancing on the edge of a knife.
The most critical aspect revolves around two timed bombs early Thursday morning,
Are they two barrels of gasoline or two bottles of lifesaving water?
Two major events on Thursday:
(1) 3:00 AM Federal Reserve meeting minutes, the market is most concerned about whether interest rates will be cut in December?
As long as the minutes release a dovish signal, liquidity can save the market once. But if it leans hawkish, you know, risk assets will have to kneel first.
(2) 5:00 AM Nvidia earnings report
This is the thermometer for global AI enthusiasm. If revenue and net profit fall short of expectations, it means the AI bubble may begin to burst, and Nvidia could drop directly by 10%,
The US stock index may simultaneously drop by 3%, and BTC is highly likely to fall below 90,000 again.
The market is now waiting for judgment. Brothers, do not make any moves in the next two days; being stable in the eye of the storm is more important than anything else $BTC $ETH #RWA热潮 #香港稳定币新规
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It's happening! The Federal Reserve suddenly convened an emergency meeting at 2 AM, and global capital will be restless tonight! 🚨 Just received news — the Federal Reserve has suddenly called an emergency meeting, at 2 AM Beijing time on the 18th, with a lightning decision in just 1 hour! This is not an ordinary meeting, but a "crisis-level" operation breaking the norm, and a global liquidity nuclear bomb is about to detonate! 🔥 Four abnormal signals sounding the alarm: • The debate over interest rate cuts is heated: 50 basis points or 75 basis points? The hawks and doves are in a face-off. • 29.4 billion in liquidity is already in place, and an even larger easing plan is on the way. • Two consecutive days of secret meetings, the repurchase mechanism is showing red lights. • A swift decision in 1 hour, crisis level confirmed! What's even more explosive is that U.S. pre-market crypto stocks have collectively skyrocketed — mining machines and exchanges are taking off across the board! Those folks on Wall Street are betting real money! This rhythm is exactly like the prelude to the last bull market: stocks move first, and the crypto circle follows closely! 💥 Why say ETH is aiming for 10,000 U? • The king of public chains + ecosystem explosion + staking rewards, all are points of explosion. • In December, Gas fees will drop significantly, and on-chain MEME coins will directly benefit. • Institutions are quietly accumulating, smart money never waits for the crowd to surge. But risks must also be made clear: Internal divisions within the Federal Reserve are severe, and policies may turn sharply. Beware of a "good news fully priced in" pullback; high-leverage players must manage their positions! There are only a few hours left until the meeting results, is it a desperate counterattack or a bull trap? Fasten your seatbelt, hold steady on ETH core positions; once the violent market starts, the speed will be so fast it will make you question life! 💬 Quick report from the comments: Are you bullish or bearish? Are you preparing to buy the dip or reduce positions tonight? The long and short showdown is about to break out $ETH $BTC #币安合约实盘 #美国加征关税
It's happening! The Federal Reserve suddenly convened an emergency meeting at 2 AM, and global capital will be restless tonight! 🚨

Just received news — the Federal Reserve has suddenly called an emergency meeting, at 2 AM Beijing time on the 18th, with a lightning decision in just 1 hour! This is not an ordinary meeting, but a "crisis-level" operation breaking the norm, and a global liquidity nuclear bomb is about to detonate!

🔥 Four abnormal signals sounding the alarm:

• The debate over interest rate cuts is heated: 50 basis points or 75 basis points? The hawks and doves are in a face-off.

• 29.4 billion in liquidity is already in place, and an even larger easing plan is on the way.

• Two consecutive days of secret meetings, the repurchase mechanism is showing red lights.

• A swift decision in 1 hour, crisis level confirmed!

What's even more explosive is that U.S. pre-market crypto stocks have collectively skyrocketed — mining machines and exchanges are taking off across the board! Those folks on Wall Street are betting real money! This rhythm is exactly like the prelude to the last bull market: stocks move first, and the crypto circle follows closely!

💥 Why say ETH is aiming for 10,000 U?

• The king of public chains + ecosystem explosion + staking rewards, all are points of explosion.

• In December, Gas fees will drop significantly, and on-chain MEME coins will directly benefit.

• Institutions are quietly accumulating, smart money never waits for the crowd to surge.

But risks must also be made clear:

Internal divisions within the Federal Reserve are severe, and policies may turn sharply. Beware of a "good news fully priced in" pullback; high-leverage players must manage their positions!

There are only a few hours left until the meeting results, is it a desperate counterattack or a bull trap? Fasten your seatbelt, hold steady on ETH core positions; once the violent market starts, the speed will be so fast it will make you question life!

💬 Quick report from the comments: Are you bullish or bearish? Are you preparing to buy the dip or reduce positions tonight? The long and short showdown is about to break out $ETH $BTC #币安合约实盘 #美国加征关税
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The continuous decline over the past two days has made those who dare to bottom fish brave. The strategy given this afternoon was perfectly direct, and there is a possibility of another dip tonight. Bulls, please note that the focus this month is on shorting, and prices will only continue to drop. The long position at $BTC $ETH #代币化热潮 #RWA热潮 3500-4000 is the only way to save you, which is to pull the average price. If you are also stuck, come find me, and I will show you.
The continuous decline over the past two days has made those who dare to bottom fish brave. The strategy given this afternoon was perfectly direct, and there is a possibility of another dip tonight. Bulls, please note that the focus this month is on shorting, and prices will only continue to drop. The long position at $BTC $ETH #代币化热潮 #RWA热潮 3500-4000 is the only way to save you, which is to pull the average price. If you are also stuck, come find me, and I will show you.
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Trump's tariffs may be abolished; will the stock market soar? 🔥 Last night, my mind was blown! While watching the U.S. Supreme Court's doubts about Trump's tariffs, I started to think — if these tariffs are really overturned, will the stock market take off? As a result, when I checked this morning, the stock market did not disappoint, reacting strongly, with many sectors starting to rise. In simple terms, the "global tariffs" that Trump implemented are considered somewhat illegal by the U.S. Supreme Court. Once this news broke, the stock market reacted as if it had been given an adrenaline shot, with the S&P 500 index rising nearly 1%. Think about it, over the years, businesses have suffered greatly under this tariff policy, with product costs skyrocketing and profits shrinking. If this tariff policy is abolished, how much can businesses save, with costs significantly reduced, and profit expectations naturally increasing, allowing the stock market to benefit from this wave of dividends. Especially for multinational giants like Apple and General Motors, they have been struggling to balance costs and tax burdens. If the tariffs are lifted, they can operate at a lower cost, and the market cannot help but react to this "policy dividend." Some friends working in hedge funds are also discussing this matter, saying that once the tariff issue is resolved, the stock market will experience a strong rebound, especially in the consumer goods sector, which is already digesting this positive news in advance. Companies like Stanley Black & Decker and Ford have already started to see their stock prices rise. However, everyone should be cautious about one point: if the court ultimately declares the tariffs illegal, the over $100 billion in tariff payments that need to be refunded is not a small amount. In that case, this would not only be good news for the stock market but could also inject a "cash shot in the arm" for businesses. So, in the coming days, everyone needs to keep a close eye on market trends and not rush to make decisions. If Trump's tariffs are abolished, the stock market may explode, and missing out would really be regrettable! $ETH $BTC #加密市场回调 #隐私币生态普涨 {future}(ETHUSDT)
Trump's tariffs may be abolished; will the stock market soar? 🔥

Last night, my mind was blown! While watching the U.S. Supreme Court's doubts about Trump's tariffs, I started to think — if these tariffs are really overturned, will the stock market take off? As a result, when I checked this morning, the stock market did not disappoint, reacting strongly, with many sectors starting to rise.
In simple terms, the "global tariffs" that Trump implemented are considered somewhat illegal by the U.S. Supreme Court. Once this news broke, the stock market reacted as if it had been given an adrenaline shot, with the S&P 500 index rising nearly 1%. Think about it, over the years, businesses have suffered greatly under this tariff policy, with product costs skyrocketing and profits shrinking. If this tariff policy is abolished, how much can businesses save, with costs significantly reduced, and profit expectations naturally increasing, allowing the stock market to benefit from this wave of dividends.
Especially for multinational giants like Apple and General Motors, they have been struggling to balance costs and tax burdens. If the tariffs are lifted, they can operate at a lower cost, and the market cannot help but react to this "policy dividend."
Some friends working in hedge funds are also discussing this matter, saying that once the tariff issue is resolved, the stock market will experience a strong rebound, especially in the consumer goods sector, which is already digesting this positive news in advance. Companies like Stanley Black & Decker and Ford have already started to see their stock prices rise.
However, everyone should be cautious about one point: if the court ultimately declares the tariffs illegal, the over $100 billion in tariff payments that need to be refunded is not a small amount. In that case, this would not only be good news for the stock market but could also inject a "cash shot in the arm" for businesses.
So, in the coming days, everyone needs to keep a close eye on market trends and not rush to make decisions. If Trump's tariffs are abolished, the stock market may explode, and missing out would really be regrettable!

$ETH $BTC #加密市场回调 #隐私币生态普涨
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