裸k阿龙
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Has Bitcoin really entered a bear market? Yet I’m preparing to buy the dip--2025.12.11 Bitcoin market analysis
The day before yesterday, I placed several orders, following the first point, and all short orders were filled. When the market dropped significantly at night, I made a substantial profit. At that time, I was seeking stability and didn't place any left-side orders, resulting in missing the market movement. I felt quite frustrated during the day yesterday. Last night, before going to bed, I noticed that Bitcoin looked quite weak and thought it could only bounce back to 92000, but when I woke up at night, it had directly broken through and triggered my stop loss. So everyone should understand that both left and right sides have their pros and cons. For instance, on the left side, if you identify several levels of resistance, you don’t know which one will be effective. If you place orders too low, you might miss out on the significant movement, and sometimes you get hit. If you place orders too high, you might miss the market as well. Additionally, sometimes the market moves at night, and you can't keep watching the screen, so you can only place left-side orders. The right side is certainly more stable, but sometimes it spikes up and then drops, making the entry point worse when you wait for the candle to close. Ah, trading is really quite difficult. Brothers, do you think it’s hard? Let’s interact in the comments section.
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#BTC has reached a major peak, with sufficient evidence.
120,000 is the historical peak of this cycle. Perhaps it will hit a new high later, causing losses for those who shorted at 124,500, or it may reach a new high and trap another batch of people. I think it will only go up to about 130,000 at most. Believe it or not, we will wait and see; the following market will verify my words. The data analyzed below is sourced from Coinbase's BTC spot chart.
Before starting this article, let's clarify two points; these two points are very important: First, the monthly level bottomed out in December 2022, and the bull market started vigorously in January 2023. Now, 32 candlesticks have passed, which is two years and eight months. Everyone agrees that it's a slow bull, right? Second, the price increase: the lowest price in the bear market was 15,460, and the current highest price is 124,533, which is an increase of 8.05 times, equivalent to a rise of 7.05 times. So, we are currently at a high position, and there should be no doubt about that. Alright, remember these two premises.
Before starting this article, let's clarify two points; these two points are very important: First, the monthly level bottomed out in December 2022, and the bull market started vigorously in January 2023. Now, 32 candlesticks have passed, which is two years and eight months. Everyone agrees that it's a slow bull, right? Second, the price increase: the lowest price in the bear market was 15,460, and the current highest price is 124,533, which is an increase of 8.05 times, equivalent to a rise of 7.05 times. So, we are currently at a high position, and there should be no doubt about that. Alright, remember these two premises.
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You haven't met me, go read my pinned article
I admit defeat, every direction I've chosen is wrong. I've lost over 80,000 after playing for three months 😂 I'm done, everyone else get rich.
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2025.12.19 Bitcoin Morning Analysis.
Naked K looks at the market, hitting the essence directly.
1. Monthly Line. The monthly line support is 82550, last month it pierced and closed up, this month during the day, as long as the monthly close does not break, there will definitely be another round of market. Moreover, I can conclude now that the closing will not break; here, you can just mindlessly buy the spot, at least 40-50%. Don't listen to others shouting that the bear market is coming, looking at this indicator or that indicator is useless. Structure is king; I only look at this. What are the results of the monthly line and weekly line, and what is the neckline position, has it broken? Those shouting bear market understand nothing.
2. Weekly Line. Previously, the weekly line support at 85179 has been tested three times without breaking; now we are in the middle of the day, testing again. Today, there is also negative news about Japan's interest rate hike, so today's daily K and this week's weekly close are crucial. In my view, the probability of breaking 80,000 is very low now; there may be a chance to test the monthly line support again during the day.
3. Daily Line. The previous few lines were performing quite well, but the closing just now is not great, with a long upper shadow. However, there is a good side, where first, the weekly support has not broken, and second, the bulls can already organize forces to counterattack upward, although they have been suppressed. In short, as long as the support does not break, you cannot be bearish. After today, there will be no significant news affecting the market, making it easier to trade. Although I don’t study news, the news cannot reverse the market, but it still has some influence, which must be acknowledged.
My suggestion is that BTC, ETH, SOL, BNB can be casually bought now. If you are still afraid of the wolf in front and the tiger behind, then it’s better to exit the crypto circle; it's not suitable for trading. BTC will definitely have a rebound, and my expectation for the height is around 110,000. Whether it can reach that, we will see step by step. The timeline is roughly a rise in January and February, a peak in March, and a start to end the bull market with a downward plunge in April. In the future, I will only share the market view 1-2 times a week, and I won't mention other coins, so don’t ask; I don’t support long-term free riding.
Naked K looks at the market, hitting the essence directly.
1. Monthly Line. The monthly line support is 82550, last month it pierced and closed up, this month during the day, as long as the monthly close does not break, there will definitely be another round of market. Moreover, I can conclude now that the closing will not break; here, you can just mindlessly buy the spot, at least 40-50%. Don't listen to others shouting that the bear market is coming, looking at this indicator or that indicator is useless. Structure is king; I only look at this. What are the results of the monthly line and weekly line, and what is the neckline position, has it broken? Those shouting bear market understand nothing.
2. Weekly Line. Previously, the weekly line support at 85179 has been tested three times without breaking; now we are in the middle of the day, testing again. Today, there is also negative news about Japan's interest rate hike, so today's daily K and this week's weekly close are crucial. In my view, the probability of breaking 80,000 is very low now; there may be a chance to test the monthly line support again during the day.
3. Daily Line. The previous few lines were performing quite well, but the closing just now is not great, with a long upper shadow. However, there is a good side, where first, the weekly support has not broken, and second, the bulls can already organize forces to counterattack upward, although they have been suppressed. In short, as long as the support does not break, you cannot be bearish. After today, there will be no significant news affecting the market, making it easier to trade. Although I don’t study news, the news cannot reverse the market, but it still has some influence, which must be acknowledged.
My suggestion is that BTC, ETH, SOL, BNB can be casually bought now. If you are still afraid of the wolf in front and the tiger behind, then it’s better to exit the crypto circle; it's not suitable for trading. BTC will definitely have a rebound, and my expectation for the height is around 110,000. Whether it can reach that, we will see step by step. The timeline is roughly a rise in January and February, a peak in March, and a start to end the bull market with a downward plunge in April. In the future, I will only share the market view 1-2 times a week, and I won't mention other coins, so don’t ask; I don’t support long-term free riding.
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The square has been muted for three days, on the 17th, I already led the loyal fans to buy the dip. The pinned article is very clear, I am not a stubborn person; the market is changing. Did Japan's interest rate hike necessarily lead to a drop? Oh, it fell the last two times, so it must fall this time too. That's like trying to find a sword in the boat. Can you make money trading coins based on news? The candlestick chart encompasses everything; all information is reflected in the candlestick chart. Can you understand it? Buying the dip and selling at the top is A Long's strong point. The next bull market is when the real results come in. Those who follow A Long will definitely not be disappointed; those who are observing can continue to observe. When will the last round of the bull market end? When to open long-term short positions?
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Crash
Continue to smash, the target starting with 7 remains unchanged.
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Ridiculously wrong, you won't wait for it anymore
Rate hike is a clear signal, the focus is on the Japanese Ministry of Finance's outlook for interest rates in Japan 🇯🇵 for the next six months to a year. Since it is a clear signal, the market will be relatively complex. The phased bottom for ETH is expected to occur around 2500-2700. At that time, there will be a good upward trend. Last Thursday, ETH hit a profit target of 3400, and then I called for a short position. The expectation is to buy ETH near 2500. This bottom for ETH will be very complex. If tomorrow morning the rate hike triggers a downward spike, it is essential to buy immediately. There will likely be a significant bullish candle to end this downtrend. Currently, the main players will not take days to grind the bottom like before, as the market is trending straight up and down. Those who understand know what I am talking about. Don't argue with me about where to pick up goods; trading is flexible and requires strategy based on the daily market situation.
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With so much money, why play mainstream and settle for trash knockoffs, I’m impressed.
$PIPPIN I was wondering why it suddenly increased so much; it turns out that Mr. K was forced to reduce his position.
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2025.12.14 Bitcoin market supplement explanation. I said that Bitcoin might go to 96000, but the probability is low, don't go all-in on spot. Because even if it reaches the upper edge of the wedge, it will still go near 80,000. The wedge is a continuation pattern, not a reversal pattern; this 20-day consolidation is not a bottom structure, this must be clear. Then, there is a double top structure on the daily chart, with two engulfing patterns, and the bears are very strong. The doji star I mentioned this morning was a stop-loss signal, which is a bit one-sided. It could also be a continuation, since it's the weekend, the main force is resting, and they won't continue to push down for now, right? If it is to go up, the first daily resistance it faces is 90634.92513. If these two levels cannot be touched, how can we talk about reaching 96000? Also, just recently, the 4-hour close, doji star, three lines rebounding, cannot even overcome the small bearish line from last night at 8 PM, the bulls are obviously fatigued. So combined with the overall trend, the probability of going down is high, and it should start to drop tonight. I have already shorted Bitcoin, with a stop loss at 90900, and the risk-reward ratio is very high.
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BTCUSDT
Perp
Closed
PNL
+101.54USDT
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2025.11.14 Bitcoin morning analysis. On the daily chart, Bitcoin has formed a small double top here, with support at the neckline level of 89262. However, the recent closing is a doji star, indicating a stop-loss signal. As long as the neckline is not broken, it won't drop significantly for now. Looking closely, there is also an ascending wedge. On the 4-hour chart, there was a spike on the left, and at 4 o'clock, there was another spike, forming a small double bottom. In this case, the probability of continuing to move towards the upper boundary increases, with a target likely around 96000. But be aware, the ascending wedge in a downtrend is a continuation pattern, meaning that the final adjustment will still maintain the original trend. Some people say I change too quickly; it's not that I change fast, but the market is changing. It's important to adjust direction promptly, and I'd rather take a small loss than stubbornly hold on. The ultimate target is still around 80,000. Woke up in the night to use the bathroom, and noticed something was wrong with the market; several short positions were closed, resulting in a total loss of a few dozen dollars. Just added Ethereum again, focusing on the strongest positions.
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ETHUSDT
Perp
Closed
PNL
+29.34USDT
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Go up every day and empty out, why don't you open a single, I want to see how much of a win rate you have, pretentious stuff
颜驰Bit
--
We are not on the same level of understanding
Some people are born with insight, some gain insight through experience, and some never gain insight in their lifetime
🎈Understanding to a certain extent is a blessing; if you can't awaken someone, that's their fate.
After watching the ending of Duke and Yi Ge, my understanding of this phrase deepened.
Looking at the world with compassion, there are many pitiful people in the world.
Looking at the world through cause and effect, there is not a single pitiful person in the world...
ps: If you haven't even finished reading this trading book, yet you fantasize about understanding what others say about trading, then you are this B, no one can help you~🤷🏻♀️
Some people are born with insight, some gain insight through experience, and some never gain insight in their lifetime
🎈Understanding to a certain extent is a blessing; if you can't awaken someone, that's their fate.
After watching the ending of Duke and Yi Ge, my understanding of this phrase deepened.
Looking at the world with compassion, there are many pitiful people in the world.
Looking at the world through cause and effect, there is not a single pitiful person in the world...
ps: If you haven't even finished reading this trading book, yet you fantasize about understanding what others say about trading, then you are this B, no one can help you~🤷🏻♀️
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The most pretentious is you, not even daring to trade yourself. Do you dare to open a live account? Without rebates, can you still lose money trading on your own?
颜驰Bit
--
We are not on the same level of understanding
Some people are born with insight, some gain insight through experience, and some never gain insight in their lifetime
🎈Understanding to a certain extent is a blessing; if you can't awaken someone, that's their fate.
After watching the ending of Duke and Yi Ge, my understanding of this phrase deepened.
Looking at the world with compassion, there are many pitiful people in the world.
Looking at the world through cause and effect, there is not a single pitiful person in the world...
ps: If you haven't even finished reading this trading book, yet you fantasize about understanding what others say about trading, then you are this B, no one can help you~🤷🏻♀️
Some people are born with insight, some gain insight through experience, and some never gain insight in their lifetime
🎈Understanding to a certain extent is a blessing; if you can't awaken someone, that's their fate.
After watching the ending of Duke and Yi Ge, my understanding of this phrase deepened.
Looking at the world with compassion, there are many pitiful people in the world.
Looking at the world through cause and effect, there is not a single pitiful person in the world...
ps: If you haven't even finished reading this trading book, yet you fantasize about understanding what others say about trading, then you are this B, no one can help you~🤷🏻♀️
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2025.12.13 Bitcoin Market Analysis
Naked eyes on the market, hitting the essence directly. Yesterday's article was pinned; for those who haven't read it, go take a look. I shut down my positions and went all in on spot, but later thought it was a bit aggressive, so I exited to preserve capital. Last night, I shorted again and made some profit.
The daily close just formed a engulfing type of evening star, with a small double top forming. This line closed quite well, and this is good for the bears. Why is it good? Because the probability of launching upwards from here is very low. The weekly line also has two days left to close, and it won't be good either. Based on my market feeling and experience, a backtest of 85000 may not hold, and there is a high probability that we will test the weekly support at 78500.
The daily close just formed a engulfing type of evening star, with a small double top forming. This line closed quite well, and this is good for the bears. Why is it good? Because the probability of launching upwards from here is very low. The weekly line also has two days left to close, and it won't be good either. Based on my market feeling and experience, a backtest of 85000 may not hold, and there is a high probability that we will test the weekly support at 78500.
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Are you still waiting to hit zero? The trading volume is so high, the dealer's chips are all out.
The voice questioning me has come again.
298 days, which day is not?
If it's just for that 3 times 5 times, why are you buying lunc?
Buying $LUNC is for freedom.
Long live freedom!!!
298 days, which day is not?
If it's just for that 3 times 5 times, why are you buying lunc?
Buying $LUNC is for freedom.
Long live freedom!!!
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2025.12.11 Bitcoin Morning Analysis
Naked k looks at the market, hitting the essence directly, news can be misleading, but k-lines do not lie.
Last night, the boots dropped, interest rate cuts were realized, and the big pie also punctured upwards as expected. There haven't been any good news recently, and on the 19th, there will be a Bank of Japan interest rate hike, which is negative news. Let's boldly short, as the market also points in the direction of shorting. Please see today's market analysis below; I won't talk about the weekly chart, let's start directly from the daily chart:
1. Daily chart, once again, it shot a needle towards the weekly pressure of 94261, closing as an inverted hammer, also known as a tombstone line. The appearance of this k-line below the pressure level is a definite signal to short. Yesterday I mentioned that the daily line was a medium bullish line; placing a short order was still somewhat on the left side, but with today's line closing, if you don't short, you're not doing justice to yourself. Yesterday in the group, I provided several coin positions, and all the orders were filled, all making a profit.
Last night, the boots dropped, interest rate cuts were realized, and the big pie also punctured upwards as expected. There haven't been any good news recently, and on the 19th, there will be a Bank of Japan interest rate hike, which is negative news. Let's boldly short, as the market also points in the direction of shorting. Please see today's market analysis below; I won't talk about the weekly chart, let's start directly from the daily chart:
1. Daily chart, once again, it shot a needle towards the weekly pressure of 94261, closing as an inverted hammer, also known as a tombstone line. The appearance of this k-line below the pressure level is a definite signal to short. Yesterday I mentioned that the daily line was a medium bullish line; placing a short order was still somewhat on the left side, but with today's line closing, if you don't short, you're not doing justice to yourself. Yesterday in the group, I provided several coin positions, and all the orders were filled, all making a profit.
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I have my own homepage
Pull me into the group, please. Thank you.
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The group QR code has been placed in the latest article. Family members who haven't joined the group should hurry and scan the code to join the group.
$BTC 2025.12.10 Bitcoin morning analysis.
Yesterday afternoon I felt something was off with the market, so I notified fans in the group to close all short positions, and I also posted a reminder in the square, not sure if anyone saw it, but it was timely. The reason I didn't enter a long position is that everything was at resistance levels, and I don't go long at resistance. Last night's rally was good, it seems to have reached a point, and shorting from here would be safer. Next time you listen to my analysis:
1. Weekly. It is in a downtrend, with resistance at 94261, and last night it tested the resistance but did not break through, while there is support at 85179. Moreover, last week showed a high-volume doji, which indicates a bearish outlook. Just a reminder, 85179 is not necessarily the bottom; it could very well break through on the second test.
2. Daily, the recent close was a medium bullish candle, with a slightly long upper shadow, but the body is longer than the upper shadow, indicating a neutral stance; the reversal signal is not strong, so it’s better to wait a bit before shorting. The reason for not shorting immediately will be clear from the 4-hour analysis.
3. 4-hour. The candle at midnight had a larger trading volume than the one at 20:00, but the body is much shorter, indicating volume stagnation and a potential top. Additionally, the 4:00 candle engulfed the bullish candle, forming a bearish engulfing pattern. So, this 4-hour top is quite clear. However, don’t rush to short, because this 4-hour uptrend has a bottom structure; there is a very clear W bottom on the left side, and it won’t just reverse directly. It will likely test the support at 91968 and then rebound to form a double top or triple top structure. Therefore, if you have long positions, you can wait for it to rebound to 93800 or 94260 to exit, and shorts can also wait at these two levels.
Yesterday, the small secretary in the square informed me that I could open the group, and I have already added 200 people and created the group, now waiting for the platform's review. Aaron does not look at indicators, only studies volume and price, using naked candles to clear the fog, grasping the trend and finding the bottom and top has some skill. You can check the pinned articles. If you want to achieve results in the next bull market, it’s definitely right to follow me. Also, I have started to carry out trades; yesterday smart money also opened up, real trading, although the returns and win rates are not great, but being able to trade in real markets surpasses many image-editing experts, as it’s all real. One more thing, we are waiting to short, and we need to find weak coins to trade. Currently, the order from weak to strong is bnb, sui, sol, btc, eth, especially this eth, which is too strong; we should avoid shorting it.
Yesterday afternoon I felt something was off with the market, so I notified fans in the group to close all short positions, and I also posted a reminder in the square, not sure if anyone saw it, but it was timely. The reason I didn't enter a long position is that everything was at resistance levels, and I don't go long at resistance. Last night's rally was good, it seems to have reached a point, and shorting from here would be safer. Next time you listen to my analysis:
1. Weekly. It is in a downtrend, with resistance at 94261, and last night it tested the resistance but did not break through, while there is support at 85179. Moreover, last week showed a high-volume doji, which indicates a bearish outlook. Just a reminder, 85179 is not necessarily the bottom; it could very well break through on the second test.
2. Daily, the recent close was a medium bullish candle, with a slightly long upper shadow, but the body is longer than the upper shadow, indicating a neutral stance; the reversal signal is not strong, so it’s better to wait a bit before shorting. The reason for not shorting immediately will be clear from the 4-hour analysis.
3. 4-hour. The candle at midnight had a larger trading volume than the one at 20:00, but the body is much shorter, indicating volume stagnation and a potential top. Additionally, the 4:00 candle engulfed the bullish candle, forming a bearish engulfing pattern. So, this 4-hour top is quite clear. However, don’t rush to short, because this 4-hour uptrend has a bottom structure; there is a very clear W bottom on the left side, and it won’t just reverse directly. It will likely test the support at 91968 and then rebound to form a double top or triple top structure. Therefore, if you have long positions, you can wait for it to rebound to 93800 or 94260 to exit, and shorts can also wait at these two levels.
Yesterday, the small secretary in the square informed me that I could open the group, and I have already added 200 people and created the group, now waiting for the platform's review. Aaron does not look at indicators, only studies volume and price, using naked candles to clear the fog, grasping the trend and finding the bottom and top has some skill. You can check the pinned articles. If you want to achieve results in the next bull market, it’s definitely right to follow me. Also, I have started to carry out trades; yesterday smart money also opened up, real trading, although the returns and win rates are not great, but being able to trade in real markets surpasses many image-editing experts, as it’s all real. One more thing, we are waiting to short, and we need to find weak coins to trade. Currently, the order from weak to strong is bnb, sui, sol, btc, eth, especially this eth, which is too strong; we should avoid shorting it.
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Extra, extra! Brothers, after much hardship, the group over here at Binance is set up. Finally, no more wandering! Aaron's fans, please scan the code to join the group!
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$BTC 2025.12.10 Bitcoin morning analysis.
Yesterday afternoon I felt something was off with the market, so I notified fans in the group to close all short positions, and I also posted a reminder in the square, not sure if anyone saw it, but it was timely. The reason I didn't enter a long position is that everything was at resistance levels, and I don't go long at resistance. Last night's rally was good, it seems to have reached a point, and shorting from here would be safer. Next time you listen to my analysis:
1. Weekly. It is in a downtrend, with resistance at 94261, and last night it tested the resistance but did not break through, while there is support at 85179. Moreover, last week showed a high-volume doji, which indicates a bearish outlook. Just a reminder, 85179 is not necessarily the bottom; it could very well break through on the second test.
2. Daily, the recent close was a medium bullish candle, with a slightly long upper shadow, but the body is longer than the upper shadow, indicating a neutral stance; the reversal signal is not strong, so it’s better to wait a bit before shorting. The reason for not shorting immediately will be clear from the 4-hour analysis.
3. 4-hour. The candle at midnight had a larger trading volume than the one at 20:00, but the body is much shorter, indicating volume stagnation and a potential top. Additionally, the 4:00 candle engulfed the bullish candle, forming a bearish engulfing pattern. So, this 4-hour top is quite clear. However, don’t rush to short, because this 4-hour uptrend has a bottom structure; there is a very clear W bottom on the left side, and it won’t just reverse directly. It will likely test the support at 91968 and then rebound to form a double top or triple top structure. Therefore, if you have long positions, you can wait for it to rebound to 93800 or 94260 to exit, and shorts can also wait at these two levels.
Yesterday, the small secretary in the square informed me that I could open the group, and I have already added 200 people and created the group, now waiting for the platform's review. Aaron does not look at indicators, only studies volume and price, using naked candles to clear the fog, grasping the trend and finding the bottom and top has some skill. You can check the pinned articles. If you want to achieve results in the next bull market, it’s definitely right to follow me. Also, I have started to carry out trades; yesterday smart money also opened up, real trading, although the returns and win rates are not great, but being able to trade in real markets surpasses many image-editing experts, as it’s all real. One more thing, we are waiting to short, and we need to find weak coins to trade. Currently, the order from weak to strong is bnb, sui, sol, btc, eth, especially this eth, which is too strong; we should avoid shorting it.
Yesterday afternoon I felt something was off with the market, so I notified fans in the group to close all short positions, and I also posted a reminder in the square, not sure if anyone saw it, but it was timely. The reason I didn't enter a long position is that everything was at resistance levels, and I don't go long at resistance. Last night's rally was good, it seems to have reached a point, and shorting from here would be safer. Next time you listen to my analysis:
1. Weekly. It is in a downtrend, with resistance at 94261, and last night it tested the resistance but did not break through, while there is support at 85179. Moreover, last week showed a high-volume doji, which indicates a bearish outlook. Just a reminder, 85179 is not necessarily the bottom; it could very well break through on the second test.
2. Daily, the recent close was a medium bullish candle, with a slightly long upper shadow, but the body is longer than the upper shadow, indicating a neutral stance; the reversal signal is not strong, so it’s better to wait a bit before shorting. The reason for not shorting immediately will be clear from the 4-hour analysis.
3. 4-hour. The candle at midnight had a larger trading volume than the one at 20:00, but the body is much shorter, indicating volume stagnation and a potential top. Additionally, the 4:00 candle engulfed the bullish candle, forming a bearish engulfing pattern. So, this 4-hour top is quite clear. However, don’t rush to short, because this 4-hour uptrend has a bottom structure; there is a very clear W bottom on the left side, and it won’t just reverse directly. It will likely test the support at 91968 and then rebound to form a double top or triple top structure. Therefore, if you have long positions, you can wait for it to rebound to 93800 or 94260 to exit, and shorts can also wait at these two levels.
Yesterday, the small secretary in the square informed me that I could open the group, and I have already added 200 people and created the group, now waiting for the platform's review. Aaron does not look at indicators, only studies volume and price, using naked candles to clear the fog, grasping the trend and finding the bottom and top has some skill. You can check the pinned articles. If you want to achieve results in the next bull market, it’s definitely right to follow me. Also, I have started to carry out trades; yesterday smart money also opened up, real trading, although the returns and win rates are not great, but being able to trade in real markets surpasses many image-editing experts, as it’s all real. One more thing, we are waiting to short, and we need to find weak coins to trade. Currently, the order from weak to strong is bnb, sui, sol, btc, eth, especially this eth, which is too strong; we should avoid shorting it.
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Method 3 is indeed a breakthrough pullback, continuing to rise
$BTC 2025.12.9. Supplementary Explanation of the Big Pie
The daily chart of Bitcoin shows two obvious bottoms, and it has closed above the weekly support level. One is in the form of an engulfing morning star, and the other is an engulfing bullish pattern. Both engulfing patterns indicate strong momentum. The neckline is at 91316, and after breaking through, there are two places for a pullback: one is the neckline, and the other is the opening price of the large bullish candle that broke the neckline.
For this big pie, the neckline was missed, and the opening price of the large bullish candle was not reached. Since it did not reach support, I am bearish, thinking it should at least go down to 862. However, it has been slow to drop, perhaps this time it will not follow the usual pattern. The reason I suddenly have this feeling is that Ethereum and BNB are performing very well on the daily chart, showing a standard breakthrough of the neckline and a pullback. Whether it can pull back without breaking and continue to rise really depends on the big pie. However, this pattern could also change into two other variations, and I will illustrate that for everyone shortly. Additionally, it is currently facing resistance, so it is not suitable to go long. After thinking it over, I felt it necessary to share this with everyone to prevent anyone from losing money by shorting based on my morning article. Someone might say, "You're too wishy-washy, studying naked candles every day, and still having fans short on such an obvious double bottom breakout of the neckline."
Ah, this market is really hard to navigate; either set a good stop-loss and bet on one side, or observe for now and not make any moves.
The daily chart of Bitcoin shows two obvious bottoms, and it has closed above the weekly support level. One is in the form of an engulfing morning star, and the other is an engulfing bullish pattern. Both engulfing patterns indicate strong momentum. The neckline is at 91316, and after breaking through, there are two places for a pullback: one is the neckline, and the other is the opening price of the large bullish candle that broke the neckline.
For this big pie, the neckline was missed, and the opening price of the large bullish candle was not reached. Since it did not reach support, I am bearish, thinking it should at least go down to 862. However, it has been slow to drop, perhaps this time it will not follow the usual pattern. The reason I suddenly have this feeling is that Ethereum and BNB are performing very well on the daily chart, showing a standard breakthrough of the neckline and a pullback. Whether it can pull back without breaking and continue to rise really depends on the big pie. However, this pattern could also change into two other variations, and I will illustrate that for everyone shortly. Additionally, it is currently facing resistance, so it is not suitable to go long. After thinking it over, I felt it necessary to share this with everyone to prevent anyone from losing money by shorting based on my morning article. Someone might say, "You're too wishy-washy, studying naked candles every day, and still having fans short on such an obvious double bottom breakout of the neckline."
Ah, this market is really hard to navigate; either set a good stop-loss and bet on one side, or observe for now and not make any moves.
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