Laraine Nuner CwGW

$BTC is calculated based on a 4-year cycle.
7/10/2025: 126,200
+365 days
During the period of 1/10/2026-1/11/2026, it's time to buy 🥰🥰🥰
Dif : -5000 to -5300
Estimated :32,000-35,000

Dif :-5700 to -6000
- 74.8% = 31,800
-76.1% = 30,200
-77.4% = 28,500

Estimated bottom 28,000-30,000
Images and personal judgments should not be considered as investment advice.
The buying zone will be at 2 parallel lines below if correct.

Update the CME gaps for $btc and $ETH . These CME gaps will eventually be filled, but who knows when.

$BTC
😅 stop lightly 1 beat sw without force then go back to 85,000-85,200. (Enter buy dip zone) trade safely.
Zone 88,900 sl right here. It is 4h support. Breaking through is exhausting

$BTC 88,900 around here will stop and sw. So nothing has happened yet.
Thus, with the boundary of the next day and the weak force of the region 89,000 has hit the first beat.

Average levels: plans for you

6/12:
90,000-93,000

7-8/12:89,000-94,000

9-10/12:90,500-95,000

11-12/12: 91,000-96,000

(89,000+96,000)/2=92,500 average price with profit next week.
Buy below or at the lower boundary
close at the upper boundary or higher

For example: buy below or at the lower boundary.

89,000 middle boundary buy here or buy -2%
89,000*2%=1780
89,000-1,7800=87,200 (buy below lower boundary 2%)

This means we will buy from 87,200-89,000 as the lower boundary area.

And close above from 95,000-96,000 +2%
Okay.

Those who follow safety can watch -3%,-4% starting to buy from the area 89,000
For example: -3%(89000)=-2760
(89,000-2760=86330 start buying.
-4%(8900)=-3560
89,000-3560=85440 buy
-buy more if negative because next week there will be another upward movement before Christmas.

Short term 1h-2h alt and btc are entering a correction phase. After the hot increase.

Full data, guys

Data just updated
-32k in jobs: causing a dump of 1.8% adjustment very volatile. There is a profit at the dump, which could also cause a retest at 89,000.
Still quite volatile in the next hour.
Weak job data supports the cuts. Although bad for the market, the forecast for 10/12 for the Fed is good.
The current time should observe the market. It is a bit shaky.

$BTC The monthly chart is still a bearish signal
The dif at the peak is: 17,xxx according to Mr. B
Currently, the dif: has not dropped strongly yet
The current dif is at 14,xxx macd (-not too negative)
But the signal confirms a long-term decline.
After a while, the dif will drop strongly, separating the dif and dea further apart.

As the price increases, but the dif decreases more than 14,xxx or the macd becomes more negative than the current -1,5xxx, it is known that the higher it goes, the more it needs to be closed.

The dif could go negative about -5000 in the long term ahead

Gold trading is still better. Gold closing with a green weekly candle is still better and more stable.
The selling force at this peak area has weakened compared to the previous period. The complex geopolitical developments are helping gold stabilize more.
The trend remains bullish as gold holds steady around 4100.

Stuck in the clouds, everyone. If the retest fails to break the clouds within 48 hours, it will still be the same boundary.
You should be careful not to touch the red clouds, that's where you stop 😁

This may be the final distribution rhythm before Christmas and the first and second quarters of next year. The final shark hunting season. Good luck to everyone.

I briefly explain this forecast:
Market signals at >=50 indicate slightly stable but slow conditions.
The market is pricing in the overall ISM forecast.

- ISM Services PMI (total): 52.4 (stable growth). Forecast 52.1 (weak and slowing down).
- ISM Prices Paid: 70 (high inflation) but inflation in service products is hot but not as hot as core inflation, no forecast yet.
- ISM New Orders: maintaining the forecast at 56.2, supporting GDP to avoid recession if Fed cuts rates significantly.
- ISM Employment: 48.2 weak, raising expectations for rate cuts.
- Overall PMI 54.8>5.0 ==> supporting GDP to avoid recession.
This forecast indicates that services have slightly increased prices. Employment is low.

If ISM (total): < 51.8, then the economy is slowing, weak employment, weak production ==> helping the Fed achieve a soft landing ==> Fed cuts rates by 0.25 (90%) ==> USD weakens ==> gold and $BTC increase by 5-6% to 97k-100k.

If ISM (total): > 52.5, the economy is stronger ==> Fed is hawkish ==> USD strong ==> adjustment to 91k (35%).
This probability ranges from adjustment to neutral because as mentioned, it is just inflation driven by service costs. If the data is released as above, we need to watch PCE and upcoming NFP.
If PCE remains stable, the Fed can still cut rates.

The short-term trend for tonight at 22:00 has the potential for $btc to rise immediately to 97,100. With this forecast.
But we always know this is the usual way MM buys news and sells the truth.
And btc has risen from 83,700 since yesterday, a 10k price increase.

There will be an adjustment around the 97,100 zone, a strong resistance and profit-taking area.

Tonight's news

- weak economy, job reduction: 70% cut in interest rates (0.25%)
- services: prices increase, spending decrease, prolonged inflation risk 30% at the Fed if hawkish

The plan is still working well.
Yesterday, for the first time, U.S. economic data was published. Through PMI and ISM, we can reassess the entire U.S. economy when recent data is lacking.
In summary: the economy has slightly weakened, supporting the Fed's interest rate cut $BTC has increased by 11% for the first time, driven strongly by a clearer perspective since the shutdown

- strong resistance: 97,400-100,000
Nearby resistance: 89,900
-80,100-80,000: critical support, if this support is lost, the area 65,000-69,000 may be tested again as it is the last support before a prolonged bear market.
Above 79,100-80,100 still breathing
Sell orders are still slightly ahead. But in the area 85,300-85,600, the bulls are also participating in the order book.

The situation is quite complicated. Slightly leaning towards the bears.

January-February:
64,300-69300-72700-74300-80,600
Write it down in the notebook, guys, to review later.

$BTC The MACD signal has now been confirmed more clearly.
The monthly band has been set: buy at the lower band and take profit at the upper band. If anyone intends to trade, sell before Christmas

Quarter 1 prediction