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苏八戒

币安人生 Holder
币安人生 Holder
Frequent Trader
4.2 Years
公众号: 007加密指南 |专注宏观地缘政治经济|人性交易心理分析|交易就是人性的放大器,行情来了别慌,方向错了别乱|八折手续费邀请码:29088100
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Trump's "Death Tax Cut" Bill: Is America Playing Bankruptcy? Trump is at it again! This time he is pushing a 'Death Tax Cut' bill, forcing the whole of America to gamble with its fate! $4 trillion in tax cuts, $1.5 trillion in spending drastically slashed, and national debt skyrocketing straight to 2034! Even more surreal — he actually threatened saying 'if the bill doesn't pass, I'll let the U.S. government go bankrupt'! Is this really economic reform, or a suicidal attack? Today, I want to take you through the life-and-death stakes of this 'most insane bill in American history'! #Trump #Tariffs #中视频激励任务
Trump's "Death Tax Cut" Bill: Is America Playing Bankruptcy? Trump is at it again! This time he is pushing a 'Death Tax Cut' bill, forcing the whole of America to gamble with its fate! $4 trillion in tax cuts, $1.5 trillion in spending drastically slashed, and national debt skyrocketing straight to 2034! Even more surreal — he actually threatened saying 'if the bill doesn't pass, I'll let the U.S. government go bankrupt'! Is this really economic reform, or a suicidal attack? Today, I want to take you through the life-and-death stakes of this 'most insane bill in American history'! #Trump #Tariffs #中视频激励任务
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The Chinese-style Mrs. Watanabe has arrivedI believe that the era of Mrs. Watanabe in China has come again. Back in the 1990s, Japan experienced a stock market bubble, followed by a real estate bubble that burst in 1991. Japan then faced a decline in asset prices for nearly two to three decades. Whether it's the stock market or the real estate market, who are the 'Mrs. Watanabes'? They specifically refer to wealthy individuals in Japan, as 80% of Japan's wealth is concentrated among the elderly, because young people in Japan have no money. Moreover, the money among the elderly in Japan is mainly controlled by their wives, not their husbands. Consequently, Mrs. Watanabe, aged over 50, holds 80% of the national wealth of Japan. So what do they do? They find that there isn't much good property to buy in Japan, and the stocks aren’t appealing either, leading them to invest overseas, purchasing USD, assets, American stocks, U.S. bonds, etc. This situation is quite similar to what is happening domestically. For instance, I particularly understand why many of us have recently come to buy Hong Kong insurance; it's because people suddenly realize that before, they were major investors primarily buying properties. Now, they find that properties no longer have a profitable effect, and the savings rate of residents is around 17 billion, but now with the interest rate cuts and reductions in reserve requirements, money will become less valuable, resulting in a domestic asset shortage. While I believe that this year, the A-shares in the domestic stock market also have opportunities, the operation is challenging, and the risks are high. Secondly, the stock market cannot bear such a large amount of capital. Therefore, a lot of money needs to find good targets. You can see why in recent years, Japanese properties, particularly in Tokyo, have been completely purchased by Chinese individuals, including how our Hong Kong savings insurance has been the same. Hong Kong savings insurance is simply where you put 1 million into a Hong Kong insurance company, which then allocates to U.S. stocks, U.S. bonds, Japanese bonds, and Japanese stocks, investing in good assets worldwide. I genuinely believe this is a very good product, and it is guaranteed to preserve capital in the long run. Can you guarantee capital preservation with gold? Not necessarily. Gold has price fluctuations and can be volatile. However, this product is long-term and guaranteed. For example, it might triple your investment in 20 years. For ordinary people, it’s the best lazy investment method for the wealthy.

The Chinese-style Mrs. Watanabe has arrived

I believe that the era of Mrs. Watanabe in China has come again.
Back in the 1990s, Japan experienced a stock market bubble, followed by a real estate bubble that burst in 1991. Japan then faced a decline in asset prices for nearly two to three decades. Whether it's the stock market or the real estate market, who are the 'Mrs. Watanabes'? They specifically refer to wealthy individuals in Japan, as 80% of Japan's wealth is concentrated among the elderly, because young people in Japan have no money. Moreover, the money among the elderly in Japan is mainly controlled by their wives, not their husbands. Consequently, Mrs. Watanabe, aged over 50, holds 80% of the national wealth of Japan. So what do they do? They find that there isn't much good property to buy in Japan, and the stocks aren’t appealing either, leading them to invest overseas, purchasing USD, assets, American stocks, U.S. bonds, etc. This situation is quite similar to what is happening domestically. For instance, I particularly understand why many of us have recently come to buy Hong Kong insurance; it's because people suddenly realize that before, they were major investors primarily buying properties. Now, they find that properties no longer have a profitable effect, and the savings rate of residents is around 17 billion, but now with the interest rate cuts and reductions in reserve requirements, money will become less valuable, resulting in a domestic asset shortage. While I believe that this year, the A-shares in the domestic stock market also have opportunities, the operation is challenging, and the risks are high. Secondly, the stock market cannot bear such a large amount of capital. Therefore, a lot of money needs to find good targets. You can see why in recent years, Japanese properties, particularly in Tokyo, have been completely purchased by Chinese individuals, including how our Hong Kong savings insurance has been the same. Hong Kong savings insurance is simply where you put 1 million into a Hong Kong insurance company, which then allocates to U.S. stocks, U.S. bonds, Japanese bonds, and Japanese stocks, investing in good assets worldwide. I genuinely believe this is a very good product, and it is guaranteed to preserve capital in the long run. Can you guarantee capital preservation with gold? Not necessarily. Gold has price fluctuations and can be volatile. However, this product is long-term and guaranteed. For example, it might triple your investment in 20 years. For ordinary people, it’s the best lazy investment method for the wealthy.
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Bearish
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$BTC {future}(BTCUSDT) $ETH {future}(ETHUSDT) $SOL {future}(SOLUSDT) #比特币VS代币化黄金 Some friends may ask: Why is Japan's interest rate hike an important matter? It's actually related to the yen being a lifeblood package in the global market. Japan has maintained low interest rates for many years, but the interest rates in some major markets in Europe and America are still relatively high, leading to a significant interest rate differential, which creates an arbitrage opportunity. Many funds have gone to Japan to borrow money and invest worldwide. However, now with Japan's interest rates continuously rising while the United States is in a rate-cutting cycle, the interest rate differential between the two is narrowing. For example, if the U.S. lowers rates by 25 basis points in December and Japan raises rates by 25 basis points, the interest rate differential shrinks by 50 basis points, not to mention the existing exchange rate fluctuations. Now not only will new arbitrage funds decrease, but the arbitrage funds that have already borrowed yen for investment may also flow back to Japan, thus reducing market liquidity. Last year, Japan's interest rate hike also caused short-term drastic fluctuations in the market. However, regardless of how things unfold, the Federal Reserve's rate cuts, stopping balance sheet reduction, and the potential for balance sheet expansion can all increase liquidity. So, there's no need to panic just yet, but it is still important to keep an eye on the situation regarding Japan's interest rate hikes.
$BTC
$ETH
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#比特币VS代币化黄金 Some friends may ask: Why is Japan's interest rate hike an important matter? It's actually related to the yen being a lifeblood package in the global market. Japan has maintained low interest rates for many years, but the interest rates in some major markets in Europe and America are still relatively high, leading to a significant interest rate differential, which creates an arbitrage opportunity. Many funds have gone to Japan to borrow money and invest worldwide.

However, now with Japan's interest rates continuously rising while the United States is in a rate-cutting cycle, the interest rate differential between the two is narrowing. For example, if the U.S. lowers rates by 25 basis points in December and Japan raises rates by 25 basis points, the interest rate differential shrinks by 50 basis points, not to mention the existing exchange rate fluctuations.

Now not only will new arbitrage funds decrease, but the arbitrage funds that have already borrowed yen for investment may also flow back to Japan, thus reducing market liquidity. Last year, Japan's interest rate hike also caused short-term drastic fluctuations in the market. However, regardless of how things unfold, the Federal Reserve's rate cuts, stopping balance sheet reduction, and the potential for balance sheet expansion can all increase liquidity.

So, there's no need to panic just yet, but it is still important to keep an eye on the situation regarding Japan's interest rate hikes.
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2025 Latest Virtual Currency Policy Interpretation: Is Personal Virtual Currency Trading Still Legal? This year, the most important policy interpretation regarding cryptocurrency trading has arrived. The meeting on the coordination mechanism for combating virtual currency trading speculation was convened The People's Bank of China and the China Internet Finance Association issued a notice on November 29, 2025, at 20:30, stating that on November 28, 2025, the People's Bank of China held a coordination mechanism meeting to combat virtual currency trading speculation. Officials from the Ministry of Public Security, the Central Cyberspace Affairs Commission, the Central Financial Office, the Supreme People's Court, the Supreme People's Procuratorate, the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Justice, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the National Financial Regulatory Administration, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, and the State Administration of Foreign Exchange attended the meeting.

2025 Latest Virtual Currency Policy Interpretation: Is Personal Virtual Currency Trading Still Legal?

This year, the most important policy interpretation regarding cryptocurrency trading has arrived.
The meeting on the coordination mechanism for combating virtual currency trading speculation was convened
The People's Bank of China and the China Internet Finance Association issued a notice on November 29, 2025, at 20:30, stating that on November 28, 2025, the People's Bank of China held a coordination mechanism meeting to combat virtual currency trading speculation. Officials from the Ministry of Public Security, the Central Cyberspace Affairs Commission, the Central Financial Office, the Supreme People's Court, the Supreme People's Procuratorate, the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Justice, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the National Financial Regulatory Administration, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, and the State Administration of Foreign Exchange attended the meeting.
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Awesome
Awesome
-王某人-
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Thank you @币圈小迷妹哟 and @苏八戒 for not having to set up stalls today #事件合约
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Bearish
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From the Federal Reserve's Beige Book: The U.S. Economy in Deep Recession, Growth Supported Solely by AI Today, leveraging the economic Beige Book released by the Federal Reserve, let’s discuss the current state of the U.S. economy. First, a reminder that U.S. stocks will not be closed all day on Thursday, but will be open for half a day; please pay attention to relevant trading arrangements. Let’s look at a set of key data: The U.S. PMI data for November released on Wednesday was only 36.3, marking a new low since May 2024. This figure indicates that the U.S. manufacturing sector is experiencing a severe recession, with economic activity significantly contracting, putting considerable pressure on employment, orders, supply chains, and business confidence, among other areas. Compared to the downturn in PMI below 50 during the 2008 crisis, the value of 36.3 is even more pessimistic, and further negative signals of economic contraction may emerge. Focusing again on the Federal Reserve's Beige Book, there are five key points worth noting. First, the U.S. labor market has shown little improvement over the past six weeks, with job seekers not making significant progress; second, inflation levels remain high, driven not solely by U.S. tariff policies; third, the consumer market is showing divergence, with ordinary consumer spending decreasing, but affluent groups still supporting strong sales in the high-end retail market; fourth, the impact of government shutdowns extends far beyond the federal employee group, affecting the overall economy more broadly; fifth, the artificial intelligence sector is emerging, driving a surge in investments in related fields, but also leading to hiring contractions in some industries — to put it bluntly, the current U.S. economy relies entirely on the AI sector for support, while other sectors are performing poorly. $ETH {future}(ETHUSDT) $SOL {future}(SOLUSDT) $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT)
From the Federal Reserve's Beige Book: The U.S. Economy in Deep Recession, Growth Supported Solely by AI

Today, leveraging the economic Beige Book released by the Federal Reserve, let’s discuss the current state of the U.S. economy. First, a reminder that U.S. stocks will not be closed all day on Thursday, but will be open for half a day; please pay attention to relevant trading arrangements.

Let’s look at a set of key data: The U.S. PMI data for November released on Wednesday was only 36.3, marking a new low since May 2024. This figure indicates that the U.S. manufacturing sector is experiencing a severe recession, with economic activity significantly contracting, putting considerable pressure on employment, orders, supply chains, and business confidence, among other areas. Compared to the downturn in PMI below 50 during the 2008 crisis, the value of 36.3 is even more pessimistic, and further negative signals of economic contraction may emerge.

Focusing again on the Federal Reserve's Beige Book, there are five key points worth noting. First, the U.S. labor market has shown little improvement over the past six weeks, with job seekers not making significant progress; second, inflation levels remain high, driven not solely by U.S. tariff policies; third, the consumer market is showing divergence, with ordinary consumer spending decreasing, but affluent groups still supporting strong sales in the high-end retail market; fourth, the impact of government shutdowns extends far beyond the federal employee group, affecting the overall economy more broadly; fifth, the artificial intelligence sector is emerging, driving a surge in investments in related fields, but also leading to hiring contractions in some industries — to put it bluntly, the current U.S. economy relies entirely on the AI sector for support, while other sectors are performing poorly. $ETH
$SOL
$BTC
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The Federal Reserve is cutting interest rates, and you might think that they are flooding the market, but in fact, what they have been doing this year is crazy balance sheet reduction and draining liquidity. Europe and Japan are also synchronously carrying out the same operations. It's like a math problem we did as kids, where one side has a faucet running into a pool, while the other side has a more powerful pump draining the water. In the end, the dollars, euros, and yen from around the world will quietly be drained away. Why are they doing this? Because they want to first create a dollar shortage globally, then trigger a crisis in emerging markets, and finally, they can cheaply acquire core assets. The script of the 1997 Asian financial crisis is being replayed; when every country lacks dollars, the capital predators of Wall Street will return with their dollars, purchasing quality assets at bargain prices. What’s even scarier is that this is not just a solo performance by the United States, but rather a joint effort between the US, Europe, and Japan to orchestrate a massive transfer of wealth. The surge in gold prices this year is the most direct evidence of this. Central banks around the world are frantically hoarding gold. When you still think this has nothing to do with you, wealth is already being redistributed without you even realizing it. And this is just the beginning. $XRP {future}(XRPUSDT) $ETH {future}(ETHUSDT)
The Federal Reserve is cutting interest rates, and you might think that they are flooding the market, but in fact, what they have been doing this year is crazy balance sheet reduction and draining liquidity. Europe and Japan are also synchronously carrying out the same operations. It's like a math problem we did as kids, where one side has a faucet running into a pool, while the other side has a more powerful pump draining the water. In the end, the dollars, euros, and yen from around the world will quietly be drained away.
Why are they doing this? Because they want to first create a dollar shortage globally, then trigger a crisis in emerging markets, and finally, they can cheaply acquire core assets. The script of the 1997 Asian financial crisis is being replayed; when every country lacks dollars, the capital predators of Wall Street will return with their dollars, purchasing quality assets at bargain prices.
What’s even scarier is that this is not just a solo performance by the United States, but rather a joint effort between the US, Europe, and Japan to orchestrate a massive transfer of wealth. The surge in gold prices this year is the most direct evidence of this. Central banks around the world are frantically hoarding gold. When you still think this has nothing to do with you, wealth is already being redistributed without you even realizing it. And this is just the beginning.
$XRP
$ETH
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Bearish
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The three major troubles in life 1. Can't let go: unable to let go, forget, and give up. It's all due to heavy attachments. Unable to pass this barrier of oneself. 2. Can't see through: those involved are confused. Unable to see through people's hearts, human nature, and the ways of the world. Just because one is in the midst of it. 3. Can't do well: can't take care of the family, can't do well at work, can't bear the burden of a career. Some things are just good to listen to; how can you know the truth? $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT) $ETH {future}(ETHUSDT)
The three major troubles in life
1. Can't let go: unable to let go, forget, and give up. It's all due to heavy attachments. Unable to pass this barrier of oneself.
2. Can't see through: those involved are confused. Unable to see through people's hearts, human nature, and the ways of the world. Just because one is in the midst of it.
3. Can't do well: can't take care of the family, can't do well at work, can't bear the burden of a career.
Some things are just good to listen to; how can you know the truth? $BTC
$ETH
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Bearish
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Staying ahead of the market
Staying ahead of the market
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Sold for cash, bottom-fished $BTC $ETH
Sold for cash, bottom-fished $BTC $ETH
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The appetite of a little fan: This bowl of noodles can't fit on the screen
The appetite of a little fan: This bowl of noodles can't fit on the screen
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It should be said to focus more on defensive positions, first looking at the vicinity of 89 and 94, then rebounding and consolidating, waiting for the market to choose a direction, only then will we know if there is still more, because near 80,000 there can still be continued market consolidation #美国结束政府停摆 $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT) $ETH {future}(ETHUSDT)
It should be said to focus more on defensive positions, first looking at the vicinity of 89 and 94, then rebounding and consolidating, waiting for the market to choose a direction, only then will we know if there is still more, because near 80,000 there can still be continued market consolidation #美国结束政府停摆 $BTC
$ETH
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Trading is gambling, betting on what you don't know, betting on what you dare not believe. You know where to buy low and where to short; don't the major players and institutions know? Follow the trend; what you think is merely what you think. The logic of the market movements these days: if the king of hell wants him to fall at 3 a.m., he won't hold out until 5 a.m. Tomorrow, I bet on a small rebound. What is the direction? The direction is to take the profit and run; the pattern is doomed.
Trading is gambling, betting on what you don't know, betting on what you dare not believe. You know where to buy low and where to short; don't the major players and institutions know? Follow the trend; what you think is merely what you think. The logic of the market movements these days: if the king of hell wants him to fall at 3 a.m., he won't hold out until 5 a.m. Tomorrow, I bet on a small rebound. What is the direction? The direction is to take the profit and run; the pattern is doomed.
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I don't know if the KOL's post in the square was deleted yesterday?
I don't know if the KOL's post in the square was deleted yesterday?
🎙️ 百亿学宫:KOL主播孵化、解币、戒爆、币圈的稷下学宫柏拉图学院黄埔保定军校……
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Why are countries trying to 'get rid of stablecoins'? Phasing out stablecoins and regulation Is U going to be phased out? Hong Kong is phasing out U, and the EU is also phasing out U. At the same time, Hong Kong is issuing stablecoin licenses, which signifies that Hong Kong's monetary sovereignty is being reclaimed by the state. - After the EU's stablecoin regulation is implemented, the first strike is aimed at U. The Bank of Korea and European exchanges have announced plans to delist or restrict U. Reasons for the EU phasing out U - The EU does not want American companies to control the settlement rights of European digital currencies. U is being treated as a digital dollar in Europe, used for cross-border payments, OTC, and even gray market settlements, which is unacceptable for the EU, like a bomb.

Why are countries trying to 'get rid of stablecoins'?

Phasing out stablecoins and regulation
Is U going to be phased out? Hong Kong is phasing out U, and the EU is also phasing out U. At the same time, Hong Kong is issuing stablecoin licenses, which signifies that Hong Kong's monetary sovereignty is being reclaimed by the state.
- After the EU's stablecoin regulation is implemented, the first strike is aimed at U. The Bank of Korea and European exchanges have announced plans to delist or restrict U.

Reasons for the EU phasing out U

- The EU does not want American companies to control the settlement rights of European digital currencies. U is being treated as a digital dollar in Europe, used for cross-border payments, OTC, and even gray market settlements, which is unacceptable for the EU, like a bomb.
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What a gaze
What a gaze
牧云求财
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Is Ba Jie wearing a red flower?🌸
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It has been proven that a woman, a group of women are very happy together, a group of men are also very happy together, but only a male and a female together have endless quarrels and endless anger. Do you agree? [sneaky smile][sneaky smile][sneaky smile]$
It has been proven that a woman, a group of women are very happy together, a group of men are also very happy together, but only a male and a female together have endless quarrels and endless anger. Do you agree? [sneaky smile][sneaky smile][sneaky smile]$
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