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On the last full trading day before the Christmas holiday, the US stock market is expected to close quietly, despite a relatively busy data day.

Only one day remains until the official start of the 'Santa Claus Rally'—defined by the Stock Trader’s Almanac, this period covers the last five trading days of the current year and the first two trading days of the next year. Considering that the S&P 500 index has performed relatively flat in December, only rising 1.6%, the US stock market undoubtedly needs a boost.

This stands in stark contrast to another stellar month for the precious metals sector: gold rose 9% in December, and silver soared 36%, with both precious metals appearing poised to set new historical highs again on Tuesday.

This further enhances the optimism of gold bulls, as Yardeni Research, an independent investment research firm founded by Wall Street veteran and senior strategist Ed Yardeni, has just raised its target price for gold next year.

Goldman Sachs, the major Wall Street bank, released a commodity report for 2026 on Thursday (December 18), which pointed out that under the basic assumptions scenario, the bank expects gold prices to rise to $4,900 per ounce by December 2026; copper remains favored due to strong demand and supply constraints; in addition, oil prices may experience a decline in 2026.

Gold continues to surge

Goldman's forecast for gold is supported by various factors, including structural central bank demand and cyclical support from interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. In this regard, Goldman recommends maintaining a long-term hold on gold.

Structural central bank demand mainly comes from emerging market central banks that continue to buy gold significantly to hedge against geopolitical risks. Goldman expects that the momentum for central bank gold purchases will remain strong in 2026, with an average monthly purchase volume reaching 70 tons (4 times higher than the average monthly volume of 17 tons before 2022).

December 23rd Gold Technical Analysis

The golden bull market has returned as expected, entering the second phase of a strong upward trend, directly exploding on Monday! The continuous rise throughout the day gave no opportunity for a steady pullback; positions must be taken aggressively with courage. The core iron rule to remember: only long positions, never short against the trend!
Yesterday's bullish target of 4442 was precisely reached, and this morning saw a frenzied surge. Those who held onto their medium to long-term positions can now relax and enjoy the rewards—this is the return of a firm trend! When there’s a pullback, watch for short attacks; during a strong one-sided rise, they will self-destruct. Following the trend is the way to go!
Current momentum remains strong; no need to wait for a deep pullback—rely on the hourly 5-day and at most 10-day lines to follow the trend. In a short squeeze market, one must take the initiative! Support is seen at 4470 and above, 4460 and above, with the key watershed level at 4443—if it doesn't break, hold firm on longs. Initially aim for 4492-4500; if broken, then aim for 4568-4577. In a bullish market, there’s no talk of a top; keep up with the rhythm and steadily reap the rewards!

Can 4492-4500 break through smoothly? Come take a guess!
Friends holding positions, are you enjoying an effortless victory?~

Silver breaks new high confirming the main upward trend, bullish trend is clear, the core strategy is to buy on dips.
Silver bulls are making strong efforts, successfully breaking through previous resistance levels and refreshing historical new highs, with upward space fully opened. The structure of the bullish trend continues to extend, and the strong market pattern has been established.
From a technical perspective, the market completed the breakout with a large bullish candlestick, with abundant bullish momentum, and the continuity of the future trend is beyond doubt; the MACD indicator's fast and slow lines formed a golden cross at a low level, and the bullish signal at the bottom has clearly emerged. A new round of main upward trend is gearing up, and the upward trend will enter an acceleration phase.
Practical advice: Follow the rhythm of the main upward trend, relying on support to layout long positions, enter the market at the 68 line when the opportunity arises, with a stop-loss set at 67.50, and a target looking at the 72 line.

Gold surges past 4380! Violent rise sets a new historical high, targeting 4400 in 2026, with GDP data during Christmas week becoming a key market indicator.
On December 22, during the Asian market's early session, international gold entered a violent surge mode, opening high and directly breaking through 4380 USD/ounce, reaching a maximum of 4390 USD, with an intraday surge of over 50 USD, once again hitting a historical high! This strong upward trend continues from last week's rise, where gold cumulatively increased by 0.89%, closing at 4338.22 USD, with an annual increase of 65%. Even with silver gaining attention, having risen by 132% and reaching a new high of 67.45 USD, gold remains the stabilizing force in the precious metals market.

In the early morning, gold opened high at 4341 USD, briefly retraced to 4337 USD before unleashing full power, consecutively breaking through multiple levels of 4350, 4360, and 4370. Two retracements did not hinder the bullish momentum, ultimately stabilizing around 4384 USD, with intraday fluctuations exceeding 40 USD, showcasing a strong bull market. Technically, the outlook is fully bullish: a three-week consecutive increase firmly above the moving average, long-term bullish momentum is unstoppable; the daily candlestick closed with a doji, showing bullish dominance after high-level fluctuations; the 4-hour moving average shows a golden cross, MACD expanding, breaking the upper Bollinger band, opening up upward space.
In terms of operation, one must avoid chasing high traps. Aggressive traders can enter long positions at the 4354-4358 level, while conservative traders should rely on the 4336 level for layout, aiming for new highs of 4380 and 4397.

Three core logic points solidifying the gold bull market:

1. Macro dividends support: Global low interest rates + currency devaluation, rising expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut rates in 2026, maximizing the attractiveness of zero-interest gold;

2. Exploding demand for safe-haven assets: The deadlock in Russia-Ukraine negotiations and tense Middle East situations lead to global economic uncertainty, making gold the ultimate safe haven;

3. Precious metals interlinking and empowering: Silver hitting new highs, platinum approaching 17-year highs, and the sector rising together, attracting capital back and boosting gold's rebound.
The Christmas holiday will not lack market activity, as the delayed announcement of the third quarter GDP data in the U.S. will land, directly influencing Federal Reserve policy expectations, which is a key variable for short-term market conditions.

Gold futures 4383 current price short

12.19 Gold Morning Market Analysis and Trading Strategy
Gold has shown a double top reversal pattern in the short term, subsequently entering a descending flag consolidation, with highs gradually declining and lows slightly rising. Currently, it is supported at the lower edge of the flag at 4310, at a critical point for direction selection.
When the price surged to a new high of 4374, the peak of the auxiliary indicators was lower than the previous high, forming a top divergence, which prematurely indicated a depletion of bullish momentum and a strong expectation for a short-term correction; the short-term moving averages have changed from a steep rise to a flat turn, while the medium-term moving averages continue to rise, indicating a short-term bearish oscillation and an unchanged medium-term bullish trend.

Trading Recommendation: Lightly short in the resistance range of 4340-4350, with targets successively set at 4310 and 4300-4290; 4300-4290 serves as a key short-term support, and the medium to long-term bullish structure remains intact. Stabilizing here allows for a decisive low-position long position, steadily grasping the trend dividend.

After the largest memory chip manufacturer in the United States provided an optimistic earnings outlook, U.S. stocks rose slightly, helping to curb the previous tech-led sell-off. On a day filled with macro data and central bank meetings, market sentiment improved.

As of the time of writing, Dow futures rose 0.12%, S&P 500 futures rose 0.40%, and Nasdaq futures rose 0.76%.

European stock markets generally rose, pushing the STOXX Europe 600 index up 0.2%, while Asian stock markets declined.

S&P 500 futures rose 0.4%, and Nasdaq 100 futures rose 0.7%, suggesting that after Wednesday's significant sell-off, the benchmark index might experience a brief respite. Micron Technology's stock surged 13% in pre-market trading after the company provided a revenue forecast that exceeded market expectations.

The Bank of England cut interest rates by 25 basis points as expected
The Bank of England lowered the benchmark interest rate from 4.00% to 3.75%, in line with market expectations, after the bank paused its quarterly rate cuts that had been in place since August 2024.

From gold, silver, to platinum and palladium, the domestic precious metals market has experienced a wave of price increases.

On December 17, the main contract for silver futures on the Shanghai Futures Exchange surged over 5%, once again reaching a historical high; the main contracts for platinum and palladium futures on the Guangzhou Futures Exchange saw a strong rise in the afternoon, both hitting the upper limit of price increase, with prices reaching new highs since their listing. Looking at the whole year, the cumulative increase of spot silver, platinum, and palladium this year has reached 128%, 112%, and 80%, respectively, marking a magnificent bull market.

Industry insiders point out that under multiple factors such as the warming expectation of macroeconomic easing, continued tight supply of spot commodities, and resonance of capital sentiment, the logic behind the rise in the precious metals market is continuously strengthening. Among them, silver is considered to be experiencing a typical "short squeeze" market, while platinum and palladium are undergoing a value reassessment supported by supply gaps and industrial demand.

Platinum and palladium futures jointly hit the upper limit, with a cumulative increase of over 16% in three days.

From gold, silver, to platinum and palladium, the domestic precious metal market has sparked a round of price increases.

On December 17, the main contract of silver futures on the Shanghai Futures Exchange surged over 5%, once again setting a new historical high; the main contracts of platinum and palladium futures on the Guangzhou Futures Exchange rose sharply in the afternoon, both hitting the daily limit, with prices reaching new highs since their listing. Looking at the whole year, the cumulative increase in spot silver, platinum, and palladium this year has reached 128%, 112%, and 80%, respectively, marking a magnificent bull market.

Industry insiders pointed out that under multiple factors such as the warming expectation of macroeconomic easing, continued tight spot supply, and resonating capital sentiment, the logic of the precious metal market's rise is continuously strengthening. Among them, silver is considered to be experiencing a typical 'short squeeze' market, while platinum and palladium are undergoing value reassessment under the support of supply gaps and industrial demand.

Platinum and palladium futures jointly hit the daily limit, with a cumulative increase of over 16% in three days.

Once became the "new leader" in the precious metals market!
Platinum takes over with gold and silver soaring, institutions warn

Following gold and silver, platinum has become one of the most watched assets in the market, once becoming the "new leader" in the precious metals market.

Since the beginning of this year, NYMEX platinum futures prices have risen a cumulative 105%, making it the second precious metal to double after silver. From the price trend, since November, NYMEX platinum futures prices have accumulated an increase of over 15%. Looking at a longer period, international platinum prices experienced significant rises in June and September, with increases of 28% and 17%, respectively.

The spot platinum price trend is also strong. On December 17, the spot platinum price surged, once breaking through the $1900/ounce mark.

On some social media platforms, the discussion around platinum has noticeably heated up, with many consumers believing that platinum prices have been "lying" for many years and also hold investment value.

December 18th Gold Market Analysis
The oscillating dividends under the gold bull market, precise layout means guaranteed profits! Yesterday, the 4348 short position achieved perfect gains, today with the dual impact of CPI and Trump's speech, the gold market is about to face epic fluctuations!
At the end of the year, the global precious metals are welcoming a carnival feast, with the Federal Reserve's three interest rate cuts this year, weak US employment data under pressure, the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict + Middle East turmoil continuing to heat up, under the resonance of multiple favorable factors, spot gold surged to a new high of 4348.7 USD, leading with nearly 1% daily increase, silver broke through 66 USD to create a historical peak, platinum simultaneously refreshed a 17-year high, and the precious metals sector collectively strengthened!
Bull market ≠ brainless long positions; oscillation is the main theme! Today's Asian market gold is oscillating narrowly around 4340, completely in line with our previous judgment, the precise short position entered at 4348 yesterday has already made a profit, in the oscillating pullback market, precise points are the key to profitability! The technical outlook is clear: the hourly chart shows a clear downward oscillation pattern, with a small bearish candle at the end reflecting weak sentiment; MACD continues to decline below the zero line, with strong bearish momentum online; EMA7 and EMA30 have formed a dead cross, confirming the downtrend thoroughly, and the short-term adjustment signal is indisputable!
Today's operational strategy is clear and executable: relying on the key resistance levels of 4343 and 4347 to short in batches, with downward targets aimed directly at the support levels of 4317 and 4310, effective support can be used for short-term long positions; pay close attention to today's super market nodes, the delayed US November CPI data + Trump's nationwide speech will debut simultaneously, CPI directly influences the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut rhythm, Trump's speech affects geopolitical and economic policy expectations, and the double impact is bound to ignite gold volatility, operations must strictly control positions, set stop-losses, and closely follow real-time signals to avoid missing opportunities!

Federal Reserve Governor Waller supports further interest rate cuts to return rates to neutral levels, while also indicating that policymakers do not need to rush.\n\nWaller stated on Wednesday that under the scenario of inflation continuing to slow down until 2026, the current monetary policy interest rate level is as much as 100 basis points above the neutral rate. The neutral rate refers to the level at which the Federal Reserve neither restrains growth nor pushes inflation higher.\n\n"Because inflation is still relatively high, we can take our time — there is no need to rush to cut rates," Waller said at the CNBC forum, "We can proceed steadily and bring the policy rate down towards neutral levels."\n\nThis is Waller's first statement since the Federal Reserve's third consecutive rate cut last week.

This year has seen precious metal prices collectively surge, with platinum becoming one of the most watched assets in the market after gold and silver.

Recently, platinum prices have shown strong momentum, with spot platinum prices exceeding $1800 per ounce at one point. As of now, the year-to-date increase in platinum prices has nearly reached 90%, surpassing the year-to-date increase in gold, showcasing a spectacular turnaround.

Is now a good time to invest in platinum? Will platinum jewelry become a new trend that surpasses gold and silver in the future? The reporter has conducted an investigation on this.

Three Rounds of Price Increases

Platinum prices have doubled this year

Since the beginning of this year, NYMEX platinum futures prices have increased by 105%, making it another precious metal to achieve a doubling increase after silver.

Traders say that this round of platinum price growth is driven by multiple factors, including a continued tightening of spot supply, policy direction in the new energy industry, and changes in geopolitical situations.

Every time December approaches, investors look forward to actionable trading advice from Wall Street strategists. This week, the global macroeconomic strategy team at Citigroup is doing just that.

Citigroup strategists have put forward a series of trading recommendations and made predictions on market-related topics such as the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy and aluminum production.

Among the recommended trades is one that leverages bets on artificial intelligence (AI) trading continuing to push the Nasdaq 100 index higher. The team suggests that investors buy out-of-the-money call options on the index that expire in December 2026.

They stated that as long as capital investment continues to grow and the liquidity in the financial system remains ample, investors have enough time to ride the wave during the AI bubble's expansion.

The team indicated in their report: "We believe the AI bubble may further expand in 2026. Large-scale sector rotations occur after the bubble peaks, not before it. While diversification may still be helpful next year, tech stocks should be part of a bullish allocation."

Speaking about the rotation trades that made headlines this month, Citigroup's head of global macro strategy and asset allocation Dirk Willer and his team stated that they expect cyclical sectors like finance to prosper alongside tech stocks.

The precious metals market has seen silver react strongly to the non-farm payroll report, with a highest price of $66.50 yesterday, setting a new historical record. The recent explosive rise of silver has attracted considerable media and financial attention, leading to any positive news for precious metals initially reflecting in silver prices. Although gold has safe-haven properties, it is outpaced by silver; however, due to gold's large volume and its price already being at a historical high, it is less sensitive to positive data news.

Silver possesses both safe-haven and industrial properties. The safe-haven attribute is the core factor driving the recent increase in silver prices. The industrial aspect, considering that about half of silver's annual output is used in photovoltaics and electronics, has also provided some support for the rise in silver prices. For example, in the photovoltaic industry, silver is used as a silver paste in the production of solar cells. Countries around the world are committed to transitioning from traditional fuel vehicles to new energy vehicles, which will reduce oil dependence and increase photovoltaic demand. As a necessary material in the photovoltaic industry, the continuous rise in silver prices is also within expectations.