樂團和聲-蝉噪 Cicada Noise

那个laf是资金盘

#空投 Look at this post, I feel like I don't need to work anymore. I've been scrolling for a few days, and it seems like I'm about to lose 50u!

可拉倒吧！难刷死了

额！太复杂了，没看清

#空投 May I ask if the official can please have some reliable staff?
What is the exact time to participate?

那个最后一个任务怎么做啊？

Attacking the cryptocurrency circle?

CicadaNoise Important Risk Reminder #加密市场观察

This week, the intensity of speculation in the cryptocurrency market is too high (On Wednesday, after the US stock market, Nvidia's earnings report will be released, and on Thursday, the number of initial jobless claims for the week and the non-farm payroll report for September will be published. This week marks the first week after the government officially ended the shutdown, and economic data has been lacking for a long time. The impact of this week's data on the market will be much higher than usual), it is recommended that everyone try to reduce large position contracts for speculation. Even for current holdings, one should set stop-loss limits based on their 'capital sunk cost ratio (i.e., how much capital loss is within one's acceptable range).' The winds are high and the waves are rough; let's hold on to the green mountains before discussing the beautiful wines and ladies of tomorrow!

#BTC This morning has already dipped to 93000 (the starting point of this round of increase), and market sentiment remains pessimistic.

Optimistic Scenario:
If the support range of 93000-91000 can be maintained in the next two days, the first focus will be on the breakthrough of the 98000 level. If the breakthrough is successful, the profit-taking target for the week can be set in the range of 103000-107500, with 107500 being the strongest speculative node for the upward trend.

Pessimistic Scenario:
If the 98000 cannot be broken in the next two days, or if it breaks but cannot exceed 103000 within this week, then the trend for next week does not look optimistic. It may directly drop to 81000-75000 due to further fermenting panic sentiment.

The bull market continues! 3 reasons, clear at a glance #加密市场回调

Last night, MicroStrategy transferred 58.915 million BTC to a new wallet, triggering panic speculation in the market and among some bloggers about MicroStrategy starting to 'collapse', which is illogical speculation.
Note that MicroStrategy's stock price is highly correlated with BTC's price; a BTC crash = a crash in MicroStrategy's stock price. Why would one judge that a first-class company with a top shareholder team would engage in self-destructive behavior?
Thus, as the 'sell coin' story spread more aggressively, Michael Saylor (founder of MicroStrategy) sent out two posts on X.

Looking back at the weekly level, the main force's accumulation started in May 2022 and lasted for 6 months. The speed of chip release (observing trading volume) is very slow. If the bull market ends here, the cost-effectiveness for world-leading institutions like BlackRock is not high. Of course, we cannot rule out the possibility that the bull market ends here!

#BTC
Currently, the entire market is still primarily focused on shorting. Coin-based contracts are the main battlefield for large players to go long, but the open interest has clearly decreased, while U-based contract open interest continues to grow during the decline, indicating that the number of shorts is still on the rise.
At the same time, last night BTC has already gained liquidity around the 95000 line. There is no liquidity worth acquiring in the range from 95000 to 93000. For the main force at present, the more cost-effective choice is actually to push up, acquire short liquidity, and increase the number of longs.
The first rebound target of the day is the 97500 line.

Why did Federal Reserve officials deliberately adopt a hawkish stance collectively after the U.S. government confirmed the end of the shutdown?

Last night, several Federal Reserve officials collectively took a hawkish stance, timed delicately right after the U.S. government confirmed the end of the shutdown. #BTC subsequently experienced a significant drop, but found noticeable buying support at 98000.
This morning, #BTC appears to be trending upwards, and after breaking through 101800, it will challenge 103307. It is highly likely to enter a consolidation phase around 103307. If it retraces and does not fall below 102550, the target will be set at 105650!
#ETH did not break below the previous low last night, and today's first target is 3303. If successfully broken, it is highly likely to reach 3384. Day traders can place an order at 3202 (spot can enter at market price), with a stop loss at 3144. After reaching 3384, sell 50% of the position, and after setting a breakeven for the remaining part, the target can be set at 3506, with a weekly target of 3909. #美国结束政府停摆

Today may be the most certain opportunity for a turnaround in November

The U.S. House of Representatives passed a bill to end the government shutdown, and Trump will sign the Senate's temporary funding bill at 9:45 PM Eastern Time. Theoretically, the U.S. will end the government shutdown today. The story of the “government shutdown” leading to liquidity tightening will come to a close. It is expected that the market will face absolute liquidity benefits from interest rate cuts and the cessation of balance sheet reduction starting December 1, gradually returning to the logic of "using liquidity to flood the risk market with trading".

#BTC
Today is inclined to fluctuate upward, focusing on observing the breakthrough situation at the 103500 level during Asia trading hours. If the breakthrough is successful and re-establishes above the hourly EMA200, one can consider going long, taking profit at half at 105200 and the remaining position at 107000.
However, if the breakthrough fails and falls back below 101500, the trading logic of good news turning into nothing cannot be ruled out, with a potential drop to 98333, or even 93403. I have placed spot buy orders near both of these levels.

#BTC Latest Developments!
The U.S. government's shutdown process did not see any updates last night. After reaching #BTC at 106600, it quickly faced pressure and pulled back to the hourly EMA200. However, it subsequently rebounded in line with the performance of U.S. stocks, effectively demonstrating a recovery tendency in market sentiment and demand. Currently, #BTC is attempting to move higher again. Today, attention should be paid to the breakout situation between 106600 and 107500. If the breakout is confirmed successful, an attempt can be made to pull back and look for buying opportunities on the right side.

Energetic Monday

#BTC Strongly broke through the 104202 resistance in the early morning, currently standing above the hourly EMA200. After entering the Asian session, buying has further strengthened. Today's outlook is bullish, and the focus will be on the breakthrough at the 107500 level. Once broken, the target will be the 110000 mark.
#BNB #ETH also showing strength. Today's altcoin market should generate good returns, so everyone pay attention to group messages!

During the day session, there are renewed expectations that the U.S. government may end the shutdown as early as the morning of the 10th. Both Japanese and U.S. bond yields have seen significant increases, with the 5-year Japanese bond yield rising by 2 basis points to 1.265%, the highest level since July 2008. In the short term, this can be viewed as major capital leaving the bond market and betting on a significant rebound likely to occur after the government ends the shutdown, enhancing risk appetite. However, at the same time, this signal also reminds the market of the possibility of a rate hike by the Japanese yen, and future market volatility and amplitude are expected to continue to expand!
Tg: @Cicadanoise_karin

#eth, #bnb and #fil
#BNB has almost replaced Ethereum as the leading altcoin
If there is a pullback around 909 today, consider adding to the spot position; there is a high probability of a rise before the weekly closing at 8 AM on Monday, which can help avoid the risk of the weekly MACD forming a death cross, leading to excessive selling pressure. The #Binance system remains the focus of upcoming bets.

#FIL can be traded with low leverage near the pullback to 2.3, TP1:3.1, TP2:5.8, TP3:10.3, pattern.
Traders can set their target at 17.

#ETH has continued to decline for ten weeks; the buying volume during last week's drop was considerable, and it has now entered the spot buying range. If the market pulls back again, positions can be added between 3030-2870.
For those who want to discuss together, feel free to add me on tg: @Cicadanoise_karin

About the pancake
#BTC has maintained a sideways trend as expected yesterday, receiving support near 101707. Looking at the morning session, today’s fluctuations are biased downwards.
The breakout situation at the upper edge of the 1-hour VEGAS channel is the key focus for upcoming #BTC trading; institutional traders will add the first position after confirming a breakout near 104202. If it can break through EMA200 and reach above 105000, they will continue to increase their positions. After #BTC breaks 107000, the next target will be the 110000 level.

What about the market outlook?
Handsome Guy A: From the chart, it looks like there will be another significant drop in the next couple of days.
Handsome Guy B: It should, we need to take it seriously and clean up; I'm still very optimistic!
Handsome Guy A: Yeah!

Has the week-long bear market come to an end? How will BTC perform this weekend?

The order at 99800 was filled for #BTC's spot, and as predicted yesterday, it slightly rose to around 104000. The #ETH spot received at 3275 also yielded nearly 160 points in profit, and the #BinanceLife spot profit has already exceeded 20%. Congratulations to those who followed along.
Currently, we are entering the weekend's low liquidity phase again, and #BTC is likely to hover under the strong resistance at 104202, accumulating short positions. The market in the next couple of days will mainly rely on #ETH and #BNB for momentum, with #ETH accumulating a considerable number of short positions, temporarily setting the target at 3600, while it's relatively easy for #BNB to move upwards, with a short-term target set at 1016.

In the coming week, the #BNB ecosystem is likely to announce significant news, with three possibilities:
1. #BinanceLife launches Binance spot
2. A new staking pool for #BNB
3. #ASTER's listing system

It's worth mentioning that Coinbase has added #ASTER to its listing roadmap. With HYPE attracting attention due to large whale contracts on-chain, as the on-chain trading platform heavily promoted by BSC, #ASTER should perform well in the near future.

Additionally, note that #ZEC and #FIL are not suitable for shorting; both have been dormant since 22 and only recently resurfaced. Their chips are entirely controlled by the main players, making it a perfect hunting ground, with too high risks.

Will you short #zec and #fil? The dog farm is waiting with a sickle!

#sapien reached the first target position

Views on mainstream coins and some strong altcoins!
#BTC did not reach yesterday's rebound target, but as expected, it pulled back to the 102022-99800 range. During the pullback, it did not break the previous low, receiving solid buying support. With Trump making calls and no significant macroeconomic negatives besides the government still being shut down, we can maintain a moderately optimistic outlook for the future market. Today's judgment leans towards volatility, slightly upward. Short-term traders can take profits on half of yesterday's spot purchases at 102909, with the remaining half's profit target set at 104202. If it dips below 100808 again today, a new low may occur, and the spot order at 99800 from yesterday can temporarily remain unchanged,
#ETH hit a low of 3245.5, with an order at 3275 successfully entering, showing slight gains.
#ZK hit TP1 (0.73) at 1:00 AM,
#GIGGLE reached TP2 (263.33) yesterday evening at 18:30, already closing 1/3 of the position, and the remaining part is trying to wait for a new high. Although there was a pullback in the early morning, it did not hit the stop loss, and the remaining part can expect a new high.

Today's recommended strong coins are #STORJ and #SAPIEN.
#STORJ, spot, EP:CP, add position 0.159, TP:0.21, SL:0.152, take profit 0.21.
#SAPIEN, spot, EP:CP-0.319, TP1:0.39, TP2:0.464, SL:0.297.