韭菜爱玩

Posts! Posts! Posts! Important things are said three times!
Every post I make, read it carefully
Because every word is money, whether you understand it or not is your fate, only providing strategies and timing #BNBChainMeme热潮 $BNB for reference only.

#ETH If the price effectively falls below $4,080, it may trigger an accelerated decline. You can consider shorting it with a target of $4,000 or even $3,800. However, this is a counter-trend operation with extremely high risks and requires quick entry and exit.

#ETH走势分析 If the price first falls back to the support area of $4,080-$4,100 and shows signs of stabilization (for example, a long lower shadow on the 15-minute chart or a bullish engulfing pattern), consider taking a light long position, with a target of $4,250-$4,300 and a stop loss set below $4,050.
If the price rebounds to the resistance area of $4,280-$4,330 and shows signs of stagnation (such as a long upper shadow or reduced trading volume), consider taking a light short position, with a target of $4,100-$4,050 and a stop loss set above $4,350.
If the price effectively breaks below $4,080, it may trigger an accelerated decline, consider chasing the short position, with a target of $4,000 or even $3,800, but this is a counter-trend operation, with extremely high risk, so quick entry and exit is required.

#ETH走势分析
Bearish Signal: Some views suggest that the downtrend channel has not been broken, resistance near $4,380 limits the rebound space, and the recent transfer of a large amount of ETH to cold wallets by whales may indicate selling risk, while retail investors are showing strong bottom-fishing sentiment, suggesting that the market consensus bottom may not have been reached.
#ETH走势分析
Bullish Signal: Some analyses also mention that $4,150 has strong support, coinciding with previous lows, and there has been a bullish engulfing pattern recently, indicating potential rebound opportunities.

Regulatory Risk: If the SEC rejects the staking ETF proposal, ETH could drop to $3,800. #ETH走势分析

#ETH走势分析 If the closing price fails to hold steady between $4,200 and $4,300 for three consecutive days, or if the price falls below $3,980 on a single day with significant volume, a top will be confirmed.

Follow "leeks" and don't get lost.

LD Capital founder Yi Lihua believes that $5,000 is the key target for breaking new highs, but one must be wary of pullbacks along the way.

$ETH

The top region of #ETH突破4000 is between $4,200 and $4,500; a pullback must hold above $3,980.
Termination signal for the upward trend: If ETH has three consecutive daily closing prices that cannot hold above $4,200–$4,300, or if it drops below $3,980 with high volume in a single day, then a top formation is confirmed.
Conditions for trend continuation: Weekly closing price breaks above $4,300 with adequate volume (daily average volume 120%+), then we look towards $4,500–$5,200.
Core reminder:
The current rise of ETH is driven by interest rate cut expectations and institutional ETF inflows, not a technically healthy bull—if after the September Federal Reserve policy is implemented, the volume does not follow up, $4,200 may become a temporary peak. Strictly manage positions to avoid trading during low liquidity hours in the Asian session! $ETH

Trading Strategy Quick Reference Table
| Strategy Type | Operation Direction | Entry Price | Target Price | Stop Loss Price | Applicable Group |
|---------------|---------------------|------------------|-----------------|------------------|-------------------|
| Bullish | Buy in batches | $3550-$3580 | $3640-$3700 | <$3540 | Conservative/Trend Traders |
| Bullish | Lightly chase long | After stabilizing at $3700 | $3775-$3800 | <$3680 | Aggressive/Breakout Traders |
| Bearish | Short in batches | $3715-$3775 | $3600-$3550 | >$3780 | Short-term Experts/Counter-Trend Traders |

The current market is highly competitive between bulls and bears. It is recommended that ordinary investors focus on "light positions for short-term trading", paying close attention to the breakout direction of the 3550 support and 3775 resistance, and adjust strategies in a timely manner. $ETH

🔴 Short Selling Strategy (High Risk, Suitable Only for Short-term Experts)
Entry Timing and Price Levels:
- Short Selling in Resistance Zone: $3715-3775 (Bollinger Band Upper Limit + Previous High Pressure), accumulate positions gradually at highs.
- Overbought Signal Confirmation: Enter when RSI > 70 and a long upper shadow candlestick appears.
- Target Profit Levels:
- First Target $3600-3580 (4-hour MA30 Moving Average).
- Second Target $3500-3460 (Daily Neckline Level).
- Stop Loss Setting: Break above $3780 or 3%-5% position stop loss.

1. Strong bullish trend but accumulation of overbought risks
- ETH has risen over 3% intraday, breaking through the key resistance level of $3700, with a clear short-term bullish trend.
- Contradictory technical signals:
- Positive signals: The 4-hour candlestick shows a "bullish engulfing" pattern, trading volume is increasing, and the MACD histogram shortening indicates enhanced bullish strength.
- Risk signals: The RSI has exceeded 70, entering the overbought zone, indicating the possibility of a pullback; some periods show a divergence between price and volume (price increases but trading volume decreases), reflecting weakened upward momentum.
2. Bearish crisis and institutional arbitrage risks
- Recently, retail investors have pushed up perpetual contract demand through high leverage long positions, while institutions are profiting from the "shorting perpetual contracts + holding spot to hedge" strategy, with funding rates potentially reaching an annualized 10.5%.
- Potential crash risk: If funding rates turn negative or the market shifts, institutional arbitrage positions may withdraw, potentially causing a sharp decrease in liquidity, leading to a chain liquidation. ETH, due to its higher leverage, may face greater downside risk than BTC.
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📊 Operational strategy and key price levels
🟢 Bullish strategy (cautious participation, strict stop-loss required)
Entry timing and price levels:
- Ideal support zone: $3550-3580 (daily MA7 moving average + previous high converting to support), can build positions in batches.
- Aggressive long: If it holds above $3700 and breaks through $3715 with volume, can follow in light positions, targeting $3775-3800.
- Target profit-taking levels:
- Short-term target $3640-3684 (previous high resistance).
- After breaking $3715, look for $3775-3800.
- Stop-loss settings: Below $3540 (below support) or 3%-5% stop-loss on positions.

#ETH走势分析 Combined with the post I just sent, here’s a mnemonic for you:
Support to buy, break to chase; light positions, strict stop-loss; watch for upgrades, wait for breakout
$ETH
Understood, profit easily and effortlessly

#ETH走势分析 Key support level and entry timing
Conservative strategy: Buy when the price falls back to the support level
Support range: $2655-2670 (low point tested many times recently, strong technical support).
Entry conditions:
The price falls to the $2655-2670 range;
The trading volume shrinks first (reduced selling pressure) and then suddenly increases (buying intervention);
The MACD indicator appears a golden cross (the white line crosses the yellow line) or the RSI rebounds from below 30 to above 45.
Stop loss setting: below $2620 (about 2% below the support area).

Aggressive strategy: break through resistance and chase the rise
Resistance level: $2720-2730 (short-term pressure area above the current price).
Entry conditions:
The price quickly breaks through $2720 and the trading volume increases (30% higher than the average of the previous 3 hours);
The K-line forms a "yang engulfing" or "morning star" pattern (bullish signal).
Stop loss setting: below $2,680 (about 1.5% below the entry point).

2. Target and profit plan
First target: $2,750-2,780 (short-term resistance zone, partial profit can be taken).
Second target: $2,800-2,850 (medium-term resistance, if it breaks through, it can continue to hold).
Long-term potential: If the Pectra upgrade (mainnet fork in March) goes smoothly, it may hit more than $3,000.

Risk control and precautions
Leverage recommendations:
Conservative strategy: 3-5 times (medium volatility, controllable risk);
Aggressive strategy: no more than 5 times (to prevent sudden fluctuations and liquidation).
Position management:
Total position ≤ 10% (for example: a $10,000 account, a maximum investment of $1,000);
Batch position building: 50% for the first purchase, and 30% after breaking through $2,750. $ETH

#bybit被盗 BlockBeats news, on February 22, SlowMist founder Yu Xian posted a message saying, "Although there is no clear evidence now, from the Safe multi-signature method and the current coin laundering method, it looks like North Korean hackers. $ETH

Just tonight, ETH has fallen sharply. The reason is that the official bybit wallet was stolen. "The most knowledgeable hackers only want ETH. Isn't it obvious who has value?" "After the exchange was stolen, don't you have to buy all of it back? A large amount of buying is on the way. #bybit被盗 $ETH

#ETH走势分析 Just after publishing the strategy article on shorting ETH, it started to fall directly $ETH

#ETH走势分析 I posted an article about ETH short selling strategy. Friends who don’t have any idea can go and have a look. $ETH

I don't know if any fans have persisted and set the stop loss above 2770 according to this step #ETH走势分析