A周婉盈

The Binance chat room has launched a new private chat feature, making communication more convenient from now on!

The operation guide is as follows, easily start a one-on-one conversation:
• Enter the feature page by searching for 'chat room'
• Click the '+' icon in the upper right corner and select 'Add Friend'
• Enter the other person's chat ID in the search box (for example, mine: a4wtf4h4rt)
• After finding me, immediately send a friend request!

Looking forward to seeing you in the friend list, let's discuss the market together!
$ETH $SOL #鲍威尔发言

The value keeps rising, and I really can't hide this happiness! This feeling is great!

Still the familiar taste, the familiar direction, the familiar breakthrough goal, heading south with more than 2400 points of space, are you still looking to go long?
$SOL #比特币VS代币化黄金 #美SEC推动加密创新监管

To protect your investment capital, you cannot rely solely on intuition; the key is to set up a "safety line".

Yesterday, many friends received the "Risk Avoidance Guide"; this is like adding a sturdy outer door to your assets.

But what happens after entering the market? When market fluctuations occur, fear and greed are like two hidden unstable factors in the room. If you rely entirely on manual operation, it's like personally carrying these risks into action.

How can you add a "safety line" to your operations?

1. Set up automatic stop-loss: When the price reaches the preset position, the system will automatically execute a sell to avoid expanding losses due to "waiting a little longer".
2. Control each position: Invest only a fixed percentage of the total capital (for example, 2%) each time to prevent the risk of "one-time betting".
3. Limit trading time: Operate only during specific time periods to avoid making impulsive decisions due to "constantly watching the market".

These "safety lines" actually form the basis of systematic trading. While they cannot predict future market conditions, they can effectively prevent you from suffering significant losses due to today's impulsiveness.

It's worth considering: what "safety lines" have you set for your investment strategy?
$SOL #美SEC推动加密创新监管

Major developments! After six months, the Reserve Bank of India has once again implemented a rate cut, primarily due to inflation data dropping to its historic low.

This policy shift is not only an important step to activate domestic economic growth but also a strategic response to the impact of increased tariffs by the United States.

As the monetary environment becomes more accommodative, there may be new trends in international capital allocation. As a non-traditional asset class, the allocation value of cryptocurrencies is expected to become more pronounced, and investors should closely monitor the potential opportunities embedded in the evolution of market liquidity.
$ETH #比特币VS代币化黄金

On the morning of the 12.5th, Auntie suggested

Auntie is also short, suggesting to short after a rebound to around 3210-3240, with a target down to 3120-3060. If it breaks, continue to look down to 3000.
$ETH #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #ETH走势分析

Analysis of Ideas on the Morning of the 12.5th

In the early morning, the Bitcoin price came under pressure and fell, briefly dropping below the 91000 mark before a quick rebound. However, the selling pressure above remains evident, with multiple attempts to break through the key resistance at 94000 failing.

The daily chart shows a bearish candle formation. In terms of key positions, the main support during the day is focused on the 90000-90600 area, while strong resistance is still concentrated at the integer level of 94000. Technical indicators show that although there are signs of increased volume on the daily chart, it remains constrained by the zero-line pressure; the volume on the 4-hour chart continues to weaken, and the market is generally in a consolidation pattern, indicating a short-term need for adjustment. Therefore, it may be considered to take short positions during rebounds at higher levels.

Trading Suggestions
Short positions can be initiated around the 93000-93500 area during a rebound, with a target looking down at 91500-90800.
$SOL #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #ETH走势分析

Analysis from Auntie on the morning of the 12.4th

There are many Aunties as well, it is recommended to buy back around 3180-3150, with a target looking at 3260-3340, and if it breaks through, continue to look at 3450.
$ETH #ETH巨鲸增持 #ETH走势分析

Morning Analysis on December 4th

Last night, the US stock market initially fell but then recovered, with most stocks rising in the late trading stage. Meanwhile, mainstream digital asset prices encountered resistance after reaching new highs, with Bitcoin peaking around 94185, and Ethereum climbing to around 3216. Currently, both are still operating within a high range.

From a technical perspective, Bitcoin's daily level correction is basically in place, and the short-term low has been initially confirmed, overall showing a healthy rebound trend. After stabilizing at the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, it first produced a sequence of two consecutive bullish candles, followed by a brief consolidation with a doji candle. The overall trend shows a slight breakout, with a short-term bullish tendency, but a strong one-sided trend has not yet formed. Observing the 4-hour chart, the price has shown a V-shaped rebound after hitting a bottom; if it can effectively break through the previous key resistance at 95000 during the day, the bullish trend is expected to continue; otherwise, the market will likely maintain a strong oscillation, gradually moving upwards. In terms of operations, it is recommended to mainly focus on long positions during pullbacks.

Trading Suggestions
Buy on dips around 93000-92500, targeting 94200-95000, and if broken, continue to look for 96.
$SOL #美联储重启降息步伐 #美SEC推动加密创新监管

The secondary wife synchronizes with the big pancake rebound, and the 15-minute chart shows that the bullish momentum is still present, but it is not advisable to chase high directly:

• Pay attention to the linked support zone of 3160-3180 (corresponding to the Bitcoin range of 91,000-92,000);
• The primary resistance is at 3250, and if broken, it can look towards 3280. If it first surges and then retreats, it is recommended to stay on the sidelines;
• The current trend is in a "rectangular consolidation after a V-shaped rebound," which is a continuation pattern—considering entry after a pullback to the support area is more prudent.
Overall rhythm follows Bitcoin; as long as the support holds, it can be held, and it is advisable to reduce positions when touching the resistance zone.
$ETH #币安区块链周 #ETH巨鲸增持

Looking back at the market performance of 2022 at the same level, the market first experienced a long period of decline and volatility, with a cumulative drop of about 50%. It then stabilized and bottomed out, followed by a rebound of approximately 46%. The overall volatility at that time was indeed higher than the current one.

At the same time, related assets also showed a synchronous overselling phenomenon.

Recently, I often review that period of market movement, as the current price structure bears a high similarity to what occurred then.

However, compared to the previous 50% drop, the current round of adjustment is about 36%. If we make a proportional calculation, assuming the market follows a similar structural fractal, the potential rebound target this time may look towards around 108K.

Both market segments were constrained by a long-term downward trend line, and true trend reversals occurred only after effective breakthroughs of that trend line.

Therefore, I have made some adjustments to my trading strategy: I will first patiently wait for the market to oscillate and rebound until the price gradually stabilizes above the 100,000 mark, before considering deploying long-term short strategies or grid layouts.

In 2022, I misjudged due to a false breakout within a range, leading to significant losses after heavily entering the market. This time, the market may not completely replicate history, but it is often the case that after a trend ends, it transitions into a large range of oscillation, which is expected to continue.
$ETH #币安区块链周 #美SEC推动加密创新监管

Ethereum has also formed a W-bottom structure and achieved an effective breakthrough of the descending trend line. If it can further break through the key resistance level of the neckline above, it is expected to open up greater upward space.
$ETH #ETH巨鲸增持 #加密市场观察

From the trend, the price has significantly rebounded from the previous low, with a considerable cumulative increase. It is currently in a high-level consolidation phase. If it can effectively stabilize in the current area, it is likely to further test upward pressure; if the momentum is insufficient afterward, it may retrace to confirm support.

The current pattern shows a gradually rising bottom with oscillating upward characteristics. The market performance has partially reflected expectations for improvement in the future liquidity environment. It is advisable to maintain patience and pay attention to opportunities brought by periodic corrections, avoiding chasing after prices during short-term surges.
$BTC #币安区块链周 #加密市场观察

In December, the global financial market may face "triple pressure," with the risk of liquidity tightening significantly increasing!

In simple terms, this means that available funds in the market may quickly shrink, and investors may panic sell assets for cash, leading to widespread pressure on asset prices.

The main driving factors are already clear: first, even if the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates on December 11, its stance is likely to remain "hawkish" and will not truly shift towards easing; instead, it may emphasize persistent inflation and hint at a slower pace of rate cuts next year. This "verbal tightening" will boost the dollar and suppress asset prices;

Second, the Bank of Japan is very likely to start raising interest rates on December 19, with market expectations now exceeding 85%. This marks a turning point in its long-term ultra-loose policy, prompting funds that previously engaged in global arbitrage using low-cost yen to flow back to Japan, directly withdrawing a significant source of liquidity from the market.

More troublesome is that at the end of the year, during the Christmas holiday, mainstream trading institutions in Europe and the United States will be closed, leading to a significant decrease in market participation. Liquidity is already weak, and if selling pressure emerges at this time, it could easily trigger a chain reaction that amplifies price fluctuations.

The impact path on specific assets is as follows: U.S. stocks have already shown signs of fatigue (e.g., the Dow has recently seen consecutive declines) under the hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve. If this is compounded by Japan's rate hike and the absence of liquidity during the holidays, interest rate-sensitive sectors (such as technology stocks) may lead the decline, and the S&P and Nasdaq may further adjust;

Gold may not necessarily play a hedging role during the liquidity tightening phase, as the market may sell off all liquidable assets, while a strong dollar and rising real interest rates will also weaken its appeal, and prices may fall below important technical support;

Cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin often experience increased volatility during the process of fund withdrawal. With weakened institutional liquidity support during the holidays and an unclear regulatory environment, downward pressure on prices may be greater than that on traditional assets.

In summary, the market in December will face the combined effects of "reduced funds, deteriorating expectations, and exhausted liquidity." Asset volatility is not an isolated event but a systematically interconnected pressure. Investors need to be wary of resonance risks and prepare in advance for responses.
$BTC #BinanceBlockchainWeek

Everything is progressing steadily in November. May this calm rhythm be maintained until the end of the month. Occasionally, I read messages from a few readers discussing their current confusion and choices, and I am glad that my words have once reflected some light. Always open to communication, may we grow together.
$ETH #BinanceBlockchainWeek #加密市场回调

On the morning of the 12th, the Auntie suggested

The Auntie is also short, suggesting a rebound to around 2820-2850 to go short, with a target looking down at 2700-2600, defending 30 points.
$ETH #ETH走势分析 #ETH巨鲸增持

On the morning of February 12, analysis of thoughts

Last night, after a rebound reached around 86800, there were multiple instances of pullback actions. The market tested downwards again, with the lowest point reaching around 83800. Although there has been a slight rebound in the current market, the strength is weak, and overall it is still fluctuating around 87000.

From the current market perspective, the bullish momentum is obviously insufficient, and the repair of the market lacks continuity. The daily line has once again fallen back with consecutive bearish candles, and the overall trend has always been constrained by the middle track. After reaching the pressure level during the upward attack, it quickly fell back, failing to form an effective breakthrough. The downward trend with increased volume yesterday further confirms the continuation of the correction trend. In summary, the core idea for future market layout is still to focus on shorting on rebounds.

Operational suggestion: Short around 86900-87400, with targets looking down at 85500-84500. If it breaks down, continue to look down at 82000
$SOL #加密市场回调 #美SEC推动加密创新监管

A new opportunity window is opening! There are few seats left for precise layout, and we welcome those who are proactive to seize it together!

No post-event analysis! Share forward-thinking, clear planning, and specific steps in advance, with transparent operations throughout!

Thanks to the partners who have accompanied us along the way. During this brief adjustment phase, maintain a steady mindset, and we have finally waited for the market to start! If you want to continue seizing future opportunities, hurry up and secure the last seats! $ETH #ETH巨鲸增持

Currently, the moving average systems of each cycle show a bearish divergence, coupled with a continuous shrinkage in volume, which fails to provide effective support for prices, significantly increasing the risk of further declines in the future market. Therefore, operations should follow the trend, patiently waiting for prices to rebound near resistance levels before selecting the timing to short.
$ETH #加密市场反弹

On the morning of November 28, SOL suggestion

SOL has recently maintained a weak trend. The long upper shadow K-line that was formed yesterday is a clear signal indicating that the rebound encountered strong selling pressure, and the bullish strength is difficult to sustain. Although the MACD indicator has narrowed in the negative territory, suggesting a possible technical rebound in the short term, this does not change the overall situation dominated by bears in the market.

The long upper shadow confirms the effectiveness of the resistance above, leading to a rapid weakening of the rebound momentum; while the improvement in MACD can only be seen as a short-term technical correction, the current market has not provided reliable evidence for the end of the bearish trend.

Operation suggestion
Short at around 143-147 during the rebound, with a target looking down at 136-130.
$SOL #加密市场反弹 #美SEC推动加密创新监管