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A huge whale movement exposed! A mysterious big player is frantically swapping positions: within 18 days, 1,632 units of $BTC were all swapped across chains for $ETH !
The latest transaction was just today, where 163 BTC were exchanged for 4,717 ETH all at once through THORChain. This is no ordinary operation — counting from November 25, in just 18 days, a total of 48,364 ETH has been swapped, with an average locked cost of $3,011.
Let's do the math: at the current price, these BTC are worth nearly $105 million! Such large-scale and sustained position swapping is clearly not a retail operation. Is it an institutional reallocation? Or is the whale positioning itself in advance?
Will the ETH/BTC exchange rate be influenced by this wave of operations? Share your thoughts in the comments! 👇
🔥【Magical Market】Interest rate cut probability soars to 90%, yet Bitcoin plunges 8%! What is the market really speculating on?
📉 Data Explosion:
· Polymarket shows: Traders are frantically betting on a 25 basis point rate cut in December, with probabilities breaking 90%!
🎤 Heavyweights Clash:
· Elon Musk hardcore shouts: “Bitcoin is an energy currency, it cannot be printed indiscriminately!” · Analyst Willy Woo pours cold water: “Capital inflows are slowing, Bitcoin may have peaked.” · Grayscale strikes back: The bull market cycle is not over, new highs may be reached next year!
⚡️ Hidden Bombshell: Trump is reported to have “pre-selected” the new Chairman of the Federal Reserve—loyalist economic advisor Kevin Hassett, who may replace Powell in May next year! He has repeatedly criticized the Fed for being “too slow” in cutting rates.
🏦 Institutions are in uproar:
· BlackRock: The future will be “tokenization of everything”, digital wallets will manage all assets. · Traditionalists: Rate cut ≠ Bitcoin must rise, be careful of “good news fully priced in” and stepping on a landmine!
💡 One-sentence Summary: The market is celebrating rate cuts on one hand while voting with their feet on the other. A fierce battle between bulls and bears, central bank leadership changes, cycle controversies... the storm has just begun.
👇 Do you think this wave is an opportunity to get on board, or a signal to escape? Waiting for your comments!
🔥【Will the interest rate cut in December be stable? The ultimate insider information of the Federal Reserve is revealed!】 Everyone is going crazy! The market bets on an 86.4% probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in December, is a major turning point that happens once in two years really coming?
📊 Three solid pieces of evidence confirm the rate cut: ✅ Employment has cooled down—companies' willingness to hire has plummeted, ADP data has been disappointing ✅ Consumption has shrunk—people are tightening their wallets, retail growth is only 0.2% ✅ Inflation has leveled off—PPI hasn't exploded, companies want to raise prices but can't
💥 The market is already celebrating madly in advance: · U.S. stocks have risen for 4 consecutive days in a frenzy · Gold has broken through $4,190 · The dollar index has fallen below the 100 mark
⚠️ But be careful! An ultimate showdown is happening inside the Federal Reserve—4 people support easing, 5 people insist on holding firm! Powell is overwhelmed... what’s more tricky is that inflation is still stuck at a high of 2.7%, is this rate cut really a market rescue or a compromise? Small and medium-sized enterprises are struggling, can a single rate cut really fill the holes of the past two years?
🎯 Next week's battle schedule: · Tuesday, Powell will set the tone himself · Wednesday, ADP employment becomes the only guiding indicator · Friday, the ultimate judgment on core PCE inflation
👉 What do you think? Will December really fire the first shot for the rate cut? Is the market prescient or blindly optimistic? The comment section is waiting for your divine prediction! (Should we chase or throw when gold breaks 4,200? Rush to the comment section for answers!)
It's happening! The Fed's interest rate cut in December is really coming, with the probability soaring to 85%! This is not a guess; the market is voting with real money!
J.P. Morgan pulls off a stunning turnaround, last week insisting that the cut would only happen next year, and now directly betting that action will be taken in December! Why? Insiders at the Fed are collectively hinting: the job market can't hold up anymore; immediate stimulus is a must!
What does this mean? Once the liquidity floodgates open, money will surge like a tidal wave! History tells us that once an interest rate cut cycle starts, risk assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum will be the first to take off!
But remember, don’t get too excited and go ALL IN! The market has already started pricing in expectations, so be careful of the saying “good news can turn into bad news.” If you really want to trade, wait for the official announcement before acting; right now, it’s best to test the waters with a light position.
The cards have been laid out; will you join in on this wave of interest rate cut benefits? Share your thoughts in the comments!
【Is it a Trap or a Bull Run? BTC Breaks 90,000, but I Choose to Short!】
The market is in a frenzy, but I must throw cold water on it: $BTC surged to 90,000, $ETH fell back to 3,000, altcoins are flying around—this is definitely not a bull return, but the last 'trap rebound' of a bear market!
Why do I say this? 1️⃣ BNB hasn't kept up: The leading platform coin is still struggling at 800, indicating that big funds haven't moved at all; 2️⃣ Junk coins are soaring: Coins like BANANA and ORCA are skyrocketing without fundamentals, while strong players like UNI and TAO are silent, a classic bear market pump tactic!
My strategy:
· Conservative: Hold BTC, ETH, BNB, SOL, with UNI and TAO as second choices; · Aggressive: Short BTC/ETH with strict stop-loss; · Ambush: Focus on $UNI, which is about to distribute dividends, with long-term returns possibly exceeding many 'hundredfold air coins'.
Also pay attention to $ZEC, as the whales are heavily leveraged long, which seems aggressive, but beware of 'flash crash liquidation'; retail investors should not follow easily!
I have shorted BTC, with a stop-loss at 92,000 and a target of 85,000. Do you think this wave will go up or down? Comment below!