🔥$FIL Consolidating, But I'm Spotting Some Bounce Potential
Price is chopping around in a tight range after the drop, overall still bearish vibe, but a few signs are hinting at possible short-term relief.
1. Volume: The sell-off to these lows came on pretty heavy volume (251M vs usual 50M average) → look like some capitulation. But the most recent candle? Volume collapsed to just 29K, which often signals the selling is getting exhausted.
2. Capital flows: Mixed bag here. Futures saw decent inflows over the last 12h (+1.2M), but longer-term (7d) still heavy outflows (-69.2M). Spot markets are net negative across all timeframes → retail demand is pretty weak right now.
🔥$FIL Consolidating, But I'm Spotting Some Bounce Potential
Price is chopping around in a tight range after the drop, overall still bearish vibe, but a few signs are hinting at possible short-term relief.
1. Volume: The sell-off to these lows came on pretty heavy volume (251M vs usual 50M average) → look like some capitulation. But the most recent candle? Volume collapsed to just 29K, which often signals the selling is getting exhausted.
2. Capital flows: Mixed bag here. Futures saw decent inflows over the last 12h (+1.2M), but longer-term (7d) still heavy outflows (-69.2M). Spot markets are net negative across all timeframes → retail demand is pretty weak right now.
Four Major Methods of Accumulation by Dealers in the Cryptocurrency Market
In the cryptocurrency market, the core logic of the dealer's accumulation is to collect enough chips at a low cost in the low position. Common methods mainly include the following: 1. Horizontal consolidation accumulation: The price fluctuates in a narrow range for a long time, with K-lines mostly showing small downward and upward movements, and trading volume maintained at a low level, wearing down the patience of retail investors to give up their chips. 2. Suppressing accumulation: The dealer creates a panic atmosphere by actively selling chips to drive down the price, forcing retail investors to sell at a loss, and then accumulates chips in batches at low positions. 3. Raising accumulation: When market sentiment warms up, the dealer quickly raises the price to attract follow-up buying while buying in batches during the rise. This method is often seen in popular cryptocurrencies.
Let's briefly talk about how an ordinary retail investor can survive in the cryptocurrency market. First, the first rule is position management. You should never go all in at any time, or say how much money to put in the market and how much to keep out. Treat the money in the market as if it could go to zero. I personally have tens of thousands in my account for trading (which is just an ordinary person), (the key is still to control oneself). Every time I open a position, I must do it gradually. I prefer to use five percent of my position and open with 28 times leverage (this is crucial; always avoid going all in). The second rule is emotional control. You must only open a position when your emotions are stable. Opening a position when you are feeling bad results in a 99% chance of loss. After taking two losses, you definitely shouldn't open any positions for the rest of the day. The third rule is market analysis, which requires you to have your own judgment of the market. This definitely requires learning some basic technical indicators. You should only open positions when the market reaches specific levels; 99% of the time should be spent waiting and 1% of the time opening positions. At that time, we made money, but it was also due to timing and luck. Currently, this market is probably the hardest to play. New retail investors have all been wiped out, and those remaining are either the oldest batch of inexperienced investors or the most experienced operators. Therefore, the current market is about surviving, preserving your capital. The opportunities in the financial market are definitely limitless. Finally, I wish everyone a safe journey.
【Cryptocurrency Journey】💗💗 Self-discipline is the most stable position to navigate fluctuations.
In a 24-hour non-stop market battlefield, the greatest risk is not the fluctuations, but the uncontrollable human nature. True winners use a cold and rational strategy to counter the market's frenzy, and manage their positions to safeguard the bottom line of their assets. The essence of investment is the realization of understanding, and it is also a cultivation of character — only those who can adhere to the rules can seize the opportunities. #巨鲸动向
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Would you like me to elaborate on any of the concepts mentioned, like risk management or decentralized finance?
At the moment of a major breakdown, no matter how strong the support is, it will seem so weak and powerless. Currently, this wave of decline will end and a new wave of rebound will come. The current market can use this low point as a stop loss, focusing on going long. One can try to go long between 2920-2930, with the stop loss at the previous low. Wait for it to form a new peak before looking for high positions to short. Just do it.
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