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The recent market in the cryptocurrency world has been quite sluggish, the market has fully digested the expectation of interest rate hikes in Japan, and this bad news will become a factor for market recovery.

The recent new stocks in the Hong Kong market are not doing well, there have been quite a few that have broken their offering price recently.

I am personally following two stocks, one is JD Industrial which has slightly broken its offering price. I just checked another one, Hashkey, which has also broken its offering price at 6.68, and only had a slight increase in the night market, with a total transaction volume of just tens of millions above the cost price, then it broke its offering price.

However, there are financing costs for new listings in the Hong Kong market, and the platform will charge a certain fixed fee.
So most of the new listings have incurred losses.

JD Industrial had a public subscription of 60.5 times, international 7.88 times. Hashkey had a retail subscription of 393.7 times, international 5.46 times.

Scarcity is what creates value; for instance, I noticed that Xiaomi peppers have risen to 70 yuan per kilogram, and it seems that vegetable prices have increased significantly, while the pork market, which is severely competitive, is very bleak.

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The stock market is the same, too many competitors and those not making profits are prone to break their offering prices, although it cannot be ruled out that there might be strategies to buy low and sell high, but the vast majority of valuable stocks are reflected in grabbing shares; if there is no grabbing situation at the opening, it indicates that the market is not optimistic, and only when the price reaches the right position is there an opportunity.

#加密市场观察 #巨鲸动向 #ETH走势分析
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You can only reflect on the path you've taken and adjust your future direction after taking the wrong road and stepping into traps.

So, do not be afraid of losing, nor should you fear suffering. Those who have been refined by pain often see more clearly and live more consciously.

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On Wednesday, the U.S. stock indices saw the Nasdaq index drop by 1.2% during the day, the S&P 500 index dropped by 0.8%, and gold rose by 0.7% to $4,333 per ounce.

In November, the U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 64,000, higher than the expected 50,000;

The U.S. unemployment rate in November was 4.6%, higher than the expected 4.4%, marking the highest level since September 2021.

At the beginning of January, the new Federal Reserve head will be announced, which could be seen as a positive factor by the end of December. Currently, candidates such as Hassett, Waller, and Walsh all support significant interest rate cuts, which would please Trump.

Old friends bear their own losses. Gold has experienced an approximately 100% increase, strongly attracting capital from the cryptocurrency market. Previously, institutions pursuing volatility favored the crypto market, but this year gold has taken the place of the crypto market. Currently, institutions expect gold to rise by about 20% next year, which may reduce its capital attraction, hoping the crypto market can recover some of its losses. At the same time, be aware of risks.

Japan's interest rate hike is a negative factor, as it caused significant drops when raised in July last year, while the impact of the hike in January this year was minor. This Friday, the market is already betting close to 100% on the expected rate hike.
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With Japan's interest rate hike, the higher the market's betting expectations, the more it indicates the extent of pre-digestion. Currently, the market expects a 98% probability of a rate hike, indicating that most of the impact has already been digested. There is still a need to guard against negative impacts, such as the Bank of Japan providing expectations for other rate hikes beyond this one (currently, the market expects the Bank of Japan to hike once next summer).

Attention should be paid to Thursday night's CPI, as it may affect the market. A decrease in CPI is a positive signal, while an increase in CPI is a negative signal.
共建币安广场聊天
Thank you for your support all the way, wishing old friends financial freedom in the new cycle, keep it up 👍

#加密市场观察 #巨鲸动向 #ETH走势分析
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GM, good morning 🧧🧧🧧

@CZ : In this industry, the opportunities for a comeback are more than in any other industry.

Haste makes waste. There's an important point that has been shared: having a full position (7-10 times) is the same as having two or three times the result, because when you have a full position and lose, the loss of principal is too great, and then you can't open the same position again, making it very difficult to recover.

#巨鲸动向 #加密市场观察 #ETH走势分析
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How much can you earn by investing 1 million three years ago? #美联储降息

Invested 1 million in FIL, now remaining 80,000

Invested 1 million in ICP, now remaining 30,000

Invested 1 million in EOS, now remaining 250,000

Invested 1 million in LUNA, now remaining 0.5 yuan

Invested 1 million in XCH, now remaining 20,000

Invested 1 million in STEPN, now remaining 50,000

Invested 1 million in FTT, now remaining 0

#加密市场反弹 #加密市场观察
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In the crypto circle, incidents of this kind of explosion occur every cycle. In the last round, even the top four mining pools in the world experienced explosions, amounting to hundreds of billions, and many hoarding OGs suffered significant losses because they trusted the pool managers to deposit coins at low interest rates. (Please note that what I said is not even high interest)
Change is the only constant. To be safe, one must take action, embrace the risks of trading, manage risks, and not just invest in a seemingly stable project and then lie flat.

Many projects that seem stable are actually not stable, because the logic behind them might make you speechless; you have no idea what they are doing with your money to offer you 4% interest.

Previously shared, there are two ways to be safe in this circle:

1. Absolute fund security, but you have to bear the risk of decline: holding Bitcoin in a cold wallet.

2. Relatively safe, bearing the risk of fluctuations, while also enjoying the benefits of fluctuations: a portion is used for leveraged trading, especially for trades that hedge against downward risks.

The rest, such as mining (which is now absolutely prohibited, only allowed abroad); on-chain DeFi, which carries great risk; and stable investment products from small and medium exchanges, which also carry great risk.

@神话BTC This round has given birth to many stable X projects, and this bear market will only explode more thoroughly; many exchange financial products are also at risk, as even a small liquidity crisis can wipe you out, and many exchanges during a bear market could even be "hacked" to zero.

The bubble will definitely burst, and I hope we are not the ones left holding the bag.

$BTC $ETH $SOL #加密市场反弹 #ETH走势分析
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Zhejiang merchants are deeply involved in the Xiangyuan series financial product redemption crisis

Many people have lost money because the yield is around 4-5%, which has relaxed everyone.

In 2019, many local banks also had this level of deposits.

Financial products still carry considerable risk, especially those with high thresholds, like some trust products that often fail.

Many people make money based on luck, so it's easy to be harvested in fields they are not good at, like investment and wealth management, which is a lifelong learning field where we must always pay attention to risk control.

Observation and due diligence are very important. I often see people comparing prices when shopping online, looking at what different platforms offer, and even if buying on JD, they want to use JD coupons, on Taobao use Taobao Alliance, and on Pinduoduo use DuoDuo Jinbao, earning their own shopping rebates. However, when it comes to investments, they often don’t have time to read through the explanatory materials and directly invest their hard-earned savings.
For this kind of financial management, it mainly depends on where the investment is directed and the personal strength of the boss. Just seeing three listed companies and the so-called state-owned background is not enough to conclude that their strength is solid; one needs to dig deeper.

I usually look at the bank's assessments. The current reality is that banks find it very easy to lend to state-owned enterprises but are more cautious with private enterprises. For instance, if you are a corporate legal person, obtaining some high-end credit cards is much more difficult than for ordinary workers.
@珍妮BTC So when investing, try to avoid private enterprises as banks do not trust them; how can you dare?

I can only say too young too simple
@神话BTC The luck mentality is too serious; there aren't that many black swans; in most cases, what we face are gray rhinos.

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I may not necessarily be right, even if I am very confident about some content. I am not close friends with these people, and I have no interest in changing them. Sometimes, I even have a morbid curiosity in watching these skeptics meet misfortune.

$BTC $ETH $SOL #加密市场反弹 #ETH走势分析
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Let's talk about the depreciation of the U.
Actually, most of the time, the trend of U still follows the US dollar.
(The US dollar hasn't really dropped much)

However, there are times when it deviates,
because U is more "free" than the US dollar, without central bank backing, so it can temporarily diverge with supply and demand.
A bit more expensive, a bit cheaper, it's all quite normal.

Recently, U has dropped below 7. Essentially, I think it's just one thing,
there are more people selling U in the market, and the demand for cash out has increased.
Adding some emotions and small events can lead to temporary cheapness.

This is not a systemic problem, nor a long-term trend; it's more of a fluctuation caused by short-term supply and demand.
When the demand is high, the premium comes up.
It's also a very normal fluctuation.

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So I mentioned not to exchange all your CNY for U.
The structure of cash allocation is very important,
different pockets for different money, with different functions and risks, combined for more stability.

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Binance Wallet On-Chain Trading Experience Competition, join the trading competition, share 100 BNB

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【Binance Wallet Open US Stock Token Free Travel】

It's better to act early

1) 10 years ago, registering for Gmail was easy; I created several accounts, but now the registration difficulty has increased sharply.

2) Two years ago, opening an account with Hong Kong and US stock brokers was easy, but now it is completely prohibited.

3) Ten years ago, you could open a Hong Kong bank account with 50,000, and branches in first and second-tier cities in mainland China could directly open accounts; now you must go specifically to Hong Kong.

4) One year ago, you could open an online account with Singapore banks, but now it is completely prohibited.

🟧 Binance Wallet can directly trade US stocks: On-chain stock functionality is fully open.

Binance Wallet provides a completely different path: users can trade on-chain stocks directly with U, without complex account opening, and there are no geographical restrictions. If you don’t have a Binance Web3 wallet, you can register for one.

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What is often prohibited is beneficial; I strongly agree with this. Since the goals are clear and there are things that must be done, act early and do not procrastinate. Future changes are always unexpectedly overwhelming.

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【Binance Wallet Opens Up Free Travel for US Stock Tokens】

🟧 Binance Wallet can directly trade US stocks: On-chain stock functionality is fully open
In the latest update, Binance Wallet has added an entry point for trading 'On-chain Stocks', allowing users to use stablecoins (like USDT) to directly purchase tokenized assets that represent real US stocks on-chain.
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Binance Wallet offers a completely different path: Users can trade on-chain stocks directly with U, no complicated account opening, no regional restrictions, and in some regions, on-chain trading does not constitute an obligation to report foreign income.
For millions of users with US stock allocation needs, this means a brand new viable channel has emerged.

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The US stock market on-chain was envisioned a long time ago, that any traditional product could be tokenized.
But recently, it seems to me that the focus of everyone's discussion has shifted a bit.

Many people are fixated on 'no need for real-name registration' and 'can avoid taxes', but the value of on-chain US stocks has never been here.

It is not meant to replace US stocks, but to bring 'US stock prices' into a more free system.

I think the coolest part is that it can be used as DeFi collateral, which traditional brokers can never achieve.

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In the future, on-chain US stocks can be used as collateral to borrow U, for wealth management, automated strategies, and various arbitrage opportunities.
This will change some of the flow paths of capital.

It can also be transferred or gifted like U, which is almost impossible in traditional markets.
You send an Apple stock red envelope to someone, and your friend receives a stock red envelope. In a group, you can raffle off NVDA, and family members can directly transfer stocks.
Just like the current token play.

You can also engage in US stock perpetual contracts at 100x…
Anyone globally can enter the on-chain US stock system,
without opening an account, without a bank, without identity, without capital controls.
You only need a wallet. This is a potential 'incremental market'.

But to be realistic, most people entering the crypto space are definitely not doing it to buy US stocks.
In several past bull markets, the profit margins in the crypto market were huge, and taking risks was 'worth it'.

Now, the risks are still considerable, yet one must take these risks to buy an on-chain version of 'US stocks',
where returns, volatility, and storytelling have all become traditionalized, making it actually less appealing for newcomers.

There are also wallet management, deposits and withdrawals, on-chain operations…
which may even discourage many ordinary people.

The value of on-chain US stocks does not lie in 'how much they resemble stocks', but in how they have become a more useful asset component.
For example, composable, collateralizable, automatable, transferable, and global.

In traditional finance, US stocks are a type of 'product'. In the on-chain world, US stocks become 'LEGO bricks'.

There are too many things to assemble, and many plays have yet to be invented.
The entire track is still very early, with regulatory aspects and asset security being very uncertain.

However, if you are optimistic about this direction, companies like HOOD, ONDO, etc., can be added to your watchlist.

Binance web3 wallet can trade on-chain US stocks now

Although it is currently a fee-free phase, future fees should also be minimized!
Similarly, the US stock strategy is also synchronized to the US stock channel for partners with usage links...

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Galaxy Digital founder: Bitcoin could return to 100,000 dollars by the end of the year, but there will be significant selling pressure at that time

Previously helped a mysterious ancient giant whale liquidate 80,000 BTC OTC platform
Galaxy Digital founder Mike Novogratz stated:
He still firmly believes that Bitcoin can return to 100,000 dollars by the end of the year

But there will be significant selling pressure at that time
Because the "1011" crash has a mid-term psychological impact on the market
Accompanied by clear cryptocurrency policies and the entry of traditional financial giants

The market will deeply differentiate in the future, and tokens that can provide value will be favored

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Brothers and sisters;
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