juice13

In the cryptocurrency world for seven years, I have learned to keep my mouth shut.

In 2023, an older sister listened to my advice and bought Ethereum. After a 50% increase, she kept asking, "Should I sell?"

I advised her to HODL, but she kept asking, and I understood: she only wanted me to nod. I said, "Sell it." She placed the order in seconds, and later ETH doubled again. When she asked me about coins, I reminded her of the dinner debt that had been overdue for two years, and from then on, she fell silent.

Entering the scene in 2018, seven years have passed. The higher my level, the fewer friends I have. Thousands of fans, endless likes, yet not a single one truly understands.

They ask, "What do you think of this altcoin?" I reply, "I don’t know." They are shocked, thinking I’m playing coy. But I genuinely don’t know. To study a project, one must look at the whitepaper, unlock schedules, on-chain data, and a month is considered fast. When they ask how much it can rise, I still don’t know. Experts are not fortune-tellers.

I advised relatives to buy BTC in a bull market, and they said, "Wait for the MEME to break even." I smiled wryly, "By the time you break even, Layer 2 will be on its third generation." They acknowledge you as an expert, yet want you to play by the logic of a novice: only buy at low prices, only buy what they are stuck with, only sell when they want to sell. It's like a wife who can't drive but directs the experienced driver every day.

Someone followed my trade, boasted in the group after making a profit, even leveraged to surpass me. Next time they ask, I counter, "What do I gain?" Three years without a red envelope, I’m tired of it. I stay up late analyzing data while they go all-in in five minutes and blame me when they get liquidated. Help once, bear a lifetime of burden.

There was a time when ETH's pattern was perfect; I advised a friend to liquidate, saying there were anomalies on-chain. Later, it really crashed. He avoided the loss but never contacted me again, thinking I was in the know. Another time, I helped a friend double her SOL and escape at the peak; she blamed me for not calling it at the highest point. I was speechless.

Later, when a friend asked about profits, I screenshot my wallet, and we parted ways forever. They said I was showing off; back then, they had villas and luxury cars while I worked odd jobs. Who's showing off?

The loneliness of the cryptocurrency world is that you increase your position in a bear market while others cut their losses; when you escape at the peak, others say you’re just lucky. No more advice, no more explanations.

After seven years, I have learned to keep my mouth shut. If you also look at on-chain data and calculate unlocks, we don’t need to talk to understand each other. @juice13

A fan who trades spot asked me: Master, why are you always so leisurely, only making three or four waves a year, yet you can always double your money?

I pushed my teacup aside and shared the following with him.

First, enlarge the cycle. Treat all fluctuations below the daily line as noise; the 4-hour chart is only for viewing structure, while the real signals for betting must appear on the daily or even weekly charts.

Use very light positions for trial trades, like throwing stones to ask for directions. Once the weekly close confirms the direction, gradually increase the positions, placing stop-losses just outside the opposing low points on the weekly K—wide enough for the market to breathe freely and wide enough for oneself to sleep well.

From opening to closing, it takes at least a month.

During this time, I don’t watch the market; I only spend three minutes after the daily close to compare with my plan: where am I in the current segment, is it a trend continuation or a consolidation? Just having it in mind is enough.

The rest of the time is spent reading, working out, coding, and even taking on a part-time job, treating trading as a side business.

People around me only know I “make some investments”; no one knows I actually hold a seven-figure position.

They can’t hold on because all they see are floating profits and losses.

I only see the life and death of trends: as long as the structure isn’t broken, I treat this position as if it doesn’t exist.

Nine out of ten small stop losses are in vain, but the tenth can recover all costs in one go, plus an entire year’s living expenses. Big money is given by the market, not pointed out by fingers.

Afraid of being anxious? Then start with 0.1 lots and double up as you go. Lower the frequency, and the leverage can naturally increase; if the frequency is high, even gods can’t save you. Remember, no matter how sharp a system is, it can’t withstand high-frequency wear and tear.

Capture three or four waves in a year, with each wave targeting 50%; when compounded, that’s a double.

Don’t be afraid of fewer market movements; the crypto space is never short of fluctuations; what’s scary is treating every fluctuation as a market movement.

Follow @juice13 to reduce trading frequency, allowing the market to work for you; this is the only way to live long and prosper increasingly.

I rarely take on trades publicly, but in May 2023, I made an exception for a 'true fan' — Ah K, whose pocket only had 3400U left. $BTC

When he approached me, he had already suffered losses for 18 months, constantly saying '10% today, 20% tomorrow,' while his account resembled a sieve. I threw him three phrases: $ZEC

1. The smaller the capital, the more you need to exchange time for space; $ETH

2. The bottom line is not 'not getting liquidated,' but 'not losing money';

3. Compound interest is not about adding 1% daily, but tripling in three years.

Ah K really listened:

He reduced the 100x leverage to 2x, extended the 15-minute short K to weekly charts, and only started building positions in batches after BTC broke below the 200-day moving average.

The first purchase of 3400U was at 26000 dollars for 0.13 coins, with a stop-loss set at 24500 dollars. If he lost 200U, he decisively exited, never holding onto the position.

In June, the market warmed up, and he didn’t rush to cash out; in August, BTC surged to 31443 dollars, with a floating profit of 60%, still remaining steady, only saying 'the goal is not to break even, but to double.'

In July, when BTC retraced to the 38.2% level at 29427 dollars, he used profits to increase his position to 0.25 coins, moving the stop-loss up to 28600 dollars;

In September, a market downturn triggered the stop-loss, resulting in a 400U loss, but he slept soundly — small stop-losses are indeed a lifeline.

At the end of the month, he entered the market again, and in October, BTC skyrocketed to 35000 dollars, with his account first breaking 10,000 U;

In December, when it stood at 42000 dollars, he increased his position to 0.5 coins, ending the year with a net worth of 21000U, a six-fold increase.

On March 14, 2024, BTC hit a historical high of 73881 dollars, and his account soared to 82000U — a 24-fold return in 10 months, with only 6 trades opened and 2 stop-losses, the maximum drawdown being 8%, never getting liquidated and never holding onto positions.

From this experience, I want to share three heartfelt truths: the most lacking thing for small capital is not opportunity, but patience;

Don’t take the liquidation price as a safety line; small stop-losses are the true lifesaver; compound interest is like folding paper; the first 27 folds seem inconspicuous, but the fear is that you can’t endure the initial blandness.

Skills can be learned, but human nature is hard to train.

When you replace 'eager to break even' with 'patiently doubling,' and 'maxing out leverage' with 'reducing stop-losses,' the market will naturally pave the way for you.

Don’t ask where the next market trend is; first, ask yourself: after this trade’s stop-loss, can I sleep well?

If you can sleep well, that is truly being onshore. @juice13

落袋为安，才是钱。

2020年3月12日，我合约爆仓，账户归零。那一刻，我第一次真正理解了什么叫“流动性真空”——不是数字缩水，而是希望被抽空。

我试着向三位曾经帮过的人开口，结果在同一晚收到了三句不同风格的“抱歉”。其中一位，是我大学时的室友。

大一那年，他连泡面调料包都舍不得放，我把半个月的生活费借给他，连借条都没写。毕业后我内推进公司，领导三面时问我这人怎么样，我把能想到的褒义词全用上了。他赶上风口，一年赚了200多万。

后来聚会，他聊表、聊鞋、聊给女友买的包，我笑着听，没说话。
2020年3月15日，我发消息给他：周转5万，两周还。

他回了三段语音，总结成两个字：没钱。

那一刻，我没有愤怒，只听见心里“咔嗒”一声，像某扇门被关上了。那晚我走在马路上，路灯把我的影子压得很扁，像极了我当时的尊严。

我忽然明白，所谓人情，不是债，不能兑；所谓朋友，不是银行，不会随时提款。

那一晚，我对自己说：以后不管赚多少，先变现一半，不再拿“情怀”做抵押。市场不会同情你的仓位，朋友也不会自动兑付你的善意。

人穷一次，就清醒一次。

从那以后，我不再相信“以后再说”，不再把希望挂在别人身上。

我把收益换成现金，把现金换成选择权，把选择权留给自己——这是我用312换来的全部学问。@juice13

$1800 rolled to $14,400, completely wiped out on the 29th day.

This is not running out of luck, but a compulsory lesson for retail investors in the cryptocurrency market:

Real profits have never been about numbers jumping, but about controlling the desire for quick money.

After his third liquidation, he came to me, with only $1800 left in his account, filled with despair of "if I lose again, I will quit the market."

"If you want to turn things around, you need to abandon 'take profit when you see it' and 'hold on until the end.'"

I pointed out the key, "Take advantage of the trend, cut losses quickly against the trend, that’s the bottom line." He nodded while holding his phone, with only a last shred of trust left.

I had him split the $1800 into 10 portions, and not to exceed 10% in any single trade, taking half the profits to a separate account once he made over 20%.

"So slow?" he questioned. "The crypto market doesn’t lack opportunities for doubling, it lacks the patience to avoid liquidation; first survive, then talk about making money." I sent him past trading records.

In the first 22 days, his execution was at its peak:

He analyzed the market before opening, strictly adhered to stop-loss and take-profit, held on to trends amid fluctuations, and immediately exited against the trend upon hitting stop-loss. His account steadily climbed: $2300, $3700, $6900… On the 22nd day, $1800 multiplied by 8 to reach $14,400.

The change began on the 23rd day. He no longer followed the trading plan, secretly increased his positions, reasoning that "the market can go higher." I repeatedly reminded him not to lose discipline; he verbally agreed but on the 25th day, surprisingly went all in on altcoins behind my back.

When the drawdown hit 38%, he sought my help to average down. "Immediately cut losses, this is my last warning!" I was firm. He hesitated for a while and ultimately didn't act: "Let’s wait a bit longer; it will definitely bounce back." This is the most fatal obsession of retail investors—mistaking stubbornness against the trend for perseverance and treating luck as hope.

On the 29th day, the market continued to plunge, and the account was directly wiped out.

From $14,400 back to zero in just 4 days. I didn’t block him; I only sent one sentence: The hardest part in the crypto market is not doubling your money, but remembering why you were able to win in the first place after you’ve doubled.

The doubling from $1800 relied on discipline, while the wipeout stemmed from greed and luck.

If you are also struggling in trading, remember: having the courage to ride the trend is the foundation for making big money, while cutting losses quickly against the trend is the bottom line to avoid liquidation.

Discipline is the biggest capital; lose it, and no matter how high your profits are, they will be just illusions. @juice13

3 minutes to teach you how to turn an exchange into a cash machine —— 5 years 0 liquidation, rolling from 2500U to 8 digits, relying on the "fool theory".

I used to think I was exceptionally smart, researching various indicators and stubbornly tackling complex theories, always trying to buy low and sell high, trying to catch every market wave, but the more I struggled, the more I lost.

It wasn't until I understood the "fool theory" that I went 5 years without liquidation, rolling from 2500U to 8 digits, and finally turned the exchange into a cash machine.

The core is three points, simple enough for even a fool to understand.

First, recognize that you are a "fool".

There are too many smart people in the market who always think they can beat the market and become rich with their IQ, resulting in frequent heavy positions and stubbornly holding onto losses. I know I am foolish, unable to understand complex theories, so I stick to the simplest logic. I avoid markets I don't understand and only take one or two opportunities I am confident in. When placing orders, I assume I am most likely wrong and never have blind confidence.

Second, if you can win, go all in. It's rare for a fool to win once, so why not take advantage of it?

Usually, I resist countless temptations to reach out, and when I finally wait for a certain market opportunity, I must seize it fiercely, letting profits run freely, which justifies my previous waiting and trial and error.

Third, if you can't win, run quickly.

For a "fool", losses are normal. Since I know I will make mistakes, I never stubbornly hold on. Once the market proves my judgment is wrong, I immediately close the position and stop the loss, never dragging my feet. As long as there is still a chance to make money next time, because trading is a long-term battle, surviving is more important than anything else.

Abandon the obsession of "smart people" and treat trading with the humility and restraint of a "fool", which helps me avoid most traps.

This seemingly foolish theory is precisely the key to my stable profits over 5 years, rolling from 2500U to 8 digits, relying on this "foolishness".

This market is too expensive and time-consuming to explore alone. I have already organized the pitfalls I have encountered and the verified effective methods, paving the way for you — do you want to walk along with me? @juice13

In fact, 90% of people in the cryptocurrency space don't make money; the core issue is that they haven't learned "mechanical trading"—abandoning human greed and luck, replacing feelings with iron rules. $BTC

I once guided a fan, starting with a capital of 1500U, and within 3 months, he reached 45,000 U, with zero liquidation throughout the process. $SOL

I validated this method starting from 7000U, ultimately achieving an eight-digit profit; the core of it is this "anti-human nature" strategy.

First strategy: Diversify for survival, refuse to gamble with full capital.

I advised him to split the 1500U into 3 parts, each 500U, with distinct roles:

One part for intraday trading, focusing on one trade each day, leaving the market once the preset target is met, never being greedy;
One part for swing trading, only acting once every ten days to half a month, specifically targeting clear major trend movements;
The last part is for a base position, firmly holding regardless of market fluctuations, maintaining the fundamental capital. Many people jump in with full capital; when the market slightly retraces, they face forced liquidation and can't even touch the threshold of profit.

Survival rule in the crypto space: survive first, then talk about doubling.

Second strategy: Seize thick profits and avoid unnecessary hustle.

The market spends 80% of the time in sideways movement; frequent operations during this period will only waste capital and transaction fees.

Real opportunities are hidden within clear trends; patiently wait for signals to appear before acting, capturing a whole segment of profit in one go.

Moreover, after making a profit, cash it out in time; as long as the profit exceeds 20%, withdraw 30% to lock in gains, and let the remainder follow the trend.

Experienced players don’t trade every day; they “remain silent until they can make a remarkable impact.”

Third strategy: Lock emotions, replace feelings with rules.

The biggest enemy in trading is one's own mindset; I set three iron rules for fans:

Set a stop-loss at 2%, immediately exit when it hits that point, never hesitate;

When profits reach 4%, cut the position in half to secure some gains;

Absolutely prohibit averaging down; the more you average down, the more you get trapped; emotional trading will only lead to total loss.

By adhering to the rules, capital can grow steadily, rather than fluctuating wildly with emotions.

The crypto space is never short of opportunities; what’s lacking is those who can survive until opportunities arise.

Now my real trading team still has vacancies; no empty promises, only genuine methods. For those brothers and sisters who want to learn trading and rely on their skills to turn things around, feel free to hop on board! @juice13

In 2022, a loss of 730,000 completely wiped out my account.

That day, I smashed my tablet, uninstalled all trading apps, turned off WeChat, and hid away, not even my family could find me — I thought I could never make it in the cryptocurrency world again.

But the spark of resilience within me never extinguished.

In February 2024, I still had 3,800 U. I didn’t add a single cent; I just told myself: this is the last time, either make a comeback or leave for good.

Unexpectedly, it was this remaining “scrap” that not only helped me recover all my losses but also earned an additional 300,000. There were no miracles; it all depended on three iron rules:

Never over-leverage is the bottom line. Any single trade can invest a maximum of 35% of funds, while the remaining 65% is the oxygen for survival. Always set stop-loss orders; if there’s a 15% drawdown, cut the position immediately, without any illusions, never add to a losing position — as long as there’s a balance in the account, there’s always a chance for the next round.

Only trade with the trend, not against it. Don’t guess tops or bottoms; focus on capturing the most profitable middle of the market. In a bullish market, pursue strong coins; in a bearish market, short decisively. The secret to making 4,000 U in 10 minutes has never been luck, but standing in the wind rather than fighting against the market.

Profits compound steadily. After each profitable trade, withdraw 70% immediately to lock in profits, leaving 30% to reinvest in the next wave. The snowball is never built in one push; it rolls out slowly, inch by inch.

From 3,800 U to 70,000, then to 110,000, finally recovering the 730,000 loss and netting 300,000, I didn’t rely on insider information or high leverage; I simply fragmented the risk, allowing profits to grow steadily.

In the past two months, I have guided over 10 fans to do the same: some turned 1,200 U into 24,000 in 20 days, while others stabilized their positions from the brink of liquidation, now able to withdraw 8,000 U monthly for living expenses.

The market has already started; the next wave of positions is being built.

I don’t call trades or show fake ones; all records are publicly verifiable.

If you are still carrying the scars of the past and trying to endure alone, don’t venture out on your own again — I have already paved the way for us to reclaim everything lost. @juice13

Don't rush to place orders with a small capital!

I have seen too many beginners with a few hundred to a thousand U, thinking of "doubling their money in one go," and as a result, they are out of the market in less than half a month due to liquidation.

But I have guided a complete novice, starting with 1200U, who turned it into 25,000 U in 4 months, and now their account is stable at over 38,000 U+, without once being liquidated.

This is not luck; it is the core logic that helped me go from over 8000 U to financial freedom, which I will share with you today:

First, divide the funds into three parts; staying alive brings opportunities.

Split 1200U into three parts of 400U:

One part for day trading, only focusing on 1 order daily, take profit once the target is hit, and never get attached to a losing trade;
One part for swing trading, do not chase small fluctuations, wait for clear trends before acting, aiming for profits of over 10%;
The last part as a reserve, absolutely do not touch — this is the capital for recovery during poor market conditions.
Many people fail because they think "all in with no way back"; remember: staying alive makes it possible to earn back.

Second, only catch the major trends; random actions equal giving away money.

80% of the time in the crypto market is spent in consolidation; frequently opening trades just incurs transaction fees for the market. When there's no trend, be patient; for example, if BTC is sideways for over 3 days, close the software; wait until it breaks the consolidation range or stabilizes at key moving averages, then enter when the trend is clear. Moreover, if profits exceed 20% of your capital, withdraw 30% to secure profits. "Stay inactive most of the time, but when you act, do it steadily," is much more reliable than trading every day.

Third, use rules to lock emotions; don’t rely on feelings to place orders.

Set three strict rules in advance: set a stop-loss at 2%, cut the position at the target even if there’s a subsequent rebound; if profits exceed 4%, reduce the position by half and let the remaining profits run; never increase your position during losses; don’t fantasize about "lowering the average price." You don’t need to be accurate every time, but execution must be in place — the highest level of making money is letting rules handle your emotions, and not letting greed or panic disrupt your rhythm.

Small capital has never been the issue; the problem is always thinking about "getting rich overnight."

Turning 1200U into 38,000 U is not about gambling, but about controlling risks and waiting for opportunities systematically.

If you are still losing sleep over the fluctuations of a few hundred U, not knowing how to allocate funds or find trends, I would be happy to slowly share this method with you.

Avoid three years of detours; sometimes, it just takes understanding "how to be steady," rather than "how to be fast." @juice13 #ETH走势分析

That early morning, a fan suddenly messaged me: “Brother, there are only 1000U left in the account, is it completely hopeless?”

At that time, I was staring at the market; his words revealed despair — losing to the point of numbness, the account was at rock bottom, with only a last breath hanging on.

I didn't beat around the bush and directly asked him: “If you want to turn things around, listen to me; from now on, no reckless operations.”

In the eyes of many, a thousand U is just a “wasted account balance,” but those who truly understand trading know that this is precisely the stage most suitable for a breakthrough. I told him to steady his hands first, to replace the thoughts of “hurrying to recover losses” with “focusing on executing rules.”

After half a minute of silence, he replied with three words: “Brother, I believe.”

In the next three days, we moved step by step like overcoming levels.

On the first day, locking in $ZEC , the moment the breakout pattern was confirmed, I had him enter the market with 200U.

Two hours later, when he messaged me with a trembling voice: “So this is how money can be made?” The second night, watching the rhythm of Ethereum, the market gave a clear signal, and I shouted “Go,” he held steady, and when the account returned to 800U, he said he laughed out loud.

The third challenge was the most critical, and he was surprisingly steady. No impulsive gambling behavior, just patience, rhythm, and rules. After three challenges, 1000U turned into 2400U.

I immediately told him to stop: “That's enough, no more moves.” He said: “Brother, for the first time, I feel that I can survive in the crypto world.”

Later, I helped him replan: withdraw part of the funds for long-term investment, and slowly roll the remaining funds, strictly controlling the position, steady and deliberate.

In fact, many people don't lose because they have little capital, but because the more they lose, the more anxious they become, and the more anxious they are, the more chaotic it gets, ultimately leading to a total collapse. His turnaround was simply because he was willing to let go of impulse at the lowest point and follow the right direction.

Now his account grows steadily every day, neither spiking nor crashing, shifting from “wanting to turn things around” to “growing.”
I’ve always said that the crypto world is never a casino, but a place that amplifies understanding and discipline. What you lack is never luck, but a person who can guide you in the right direction.

If at this moment you also have only a few hundred or a few thousand U left, don’t rush to abandon yourself.

If you want to turn things around, come find me. It’s not about luck; it’s all about practical combat logic.

As long as you are willing to settle down, I will guide you step by step. @juice13

As a person from Hunan, being 30 years old and owning two apartments in Shanghai, one for my family and one for daily life, this stability comes from my relentless efforts in the cryptocurrency world for 7 years.

When I first entered the crypto space, I had no strategy and lost over 200,000, leaving me with only 50,000.

But I didn't give up; instead, I grasped the core of profitability:

The speed of making money is inversely proportional to the number of trades.

My comeback was in three steps:

From 50,000 to 2 million took exactly 2 years;

From 2 million to 10 million took one year;

From 10 million to 50 million took only 3 months.

I only focused on the "N" shape candlestick pattern throughout:

Spike, retracement, breakout; once the rhythm is established, I enter the market;

If the pattern breaks, I cut my position immediately.

No averaging down, no holding positions, no leverage; fixed stop loss at 2%, take profit locked at 10%. Later calculations showed that as long as the win rate reached 35%, I could make a profit.

Many people are addicted to MACD and RSI indicators, drawing trend lines and refreshing news every day, but the smarter they think they are, the faster they lose.

I instead simplified the chart, leaving only a light-colored 20-day moving average to avoid interference in judgment.

Every day, I open the exchange and scan the 4-hour chart; if there’s no suitable "N" shape pattern, I close the software. If there’s a suitable setup, I set my stop loss and take profit, and my total trading time doesn’t exceed 5 minutes a day. The rest of the time is either spent drinking coffee or walking my dog.

After making money, I never hesitate:

When I reached 2 million, I first withdrew 50,000 as a safety net;

When I reached 6 million, I took out half to invest in U.S. stocks as a safety net, and continued to snowball the rest.

Even if the market crashes, I have an exit strategy.

In these years, I have always adhered to three iron rules:

Do not chase prices; wait for the "N" shape pattern to complete before taking action;

Do not hold positions; if the stop loss is breached, exit immediately;

Do not be attached to the battle; once I reach my target, I take some profits.

There is no holy grail in crypto that guarantees profits; only patience to filter out distractions and greed.

Don’t always think about hundredfold coins; if you can consistently achieve 10% returns 20 times in a row, reaching 10 million is just a matter of time.

I have endured the darkest phase, and now I share this "foolproof method" with you. May you take fewer detours and shine on your own track as soon as possible. @juice13 #加密市场反弹

Meet an old expert in the cryptocurrency circle, turning 100,000 in capital into a market value of 42 million,

He said something that enlightened me: “The cryptocurrency market is full of a crowd chasing rises and falls; keeping your emotions in check, this market will be your ATM.”

Having been in the cryptocurrency space for these years, I have also figured out a foolproof method to make money, which boils down to three points: don’t earn small money, don’t lose big money, and only follow trends.

This sounds simple, but it’s very difficult to put into practice. Many people open a position at 80,000, feel great when it rises to 84,000 and take profits, earning 5% but missing out on a subsequent 50% increase; $BTC

Next time they try to be smart and want to make big money, they hold their position when it rises from 80,000 to 84,000, but the market falls back below 80,000, resulting in a stop-loss and a loss instead.

Many people spend their whole lives caught in this dilemma, unable to find a way out.

My approach is simple but solid:

Only focus on mainstream coins that drop deep and then slowly stabilize, and I don’t touch new coins no matter how flashy they are.

I don’t guess where the bottom is; I wait for it to clearly stabilize, first throwing in 10% of my position as a bottom position, never impulsively trying to catch the bottom.

When the trend is confirmed to go up, I add another 20%-30% position during the pullback.

Others always think of buying at the lowest point, but I do not — I add to my position only when the trend is stable, even if the cost is a bit higher, it is better than being stuck halfway up the mountain.

The key is to take profits:

Every time there’s a price increase, first take out the principal and half of the profits to secure them, letting the remaining position be tossed around by the market.

No matter how crazy the market is, I sell when I hit my preset target, never being greedy. Money in hand is real profit.

Last year, I helped a brother who lost over 600,000 using this method; within six months, he not only broke even but earned enough for a Mercedes Benz e-class.

The cryptocurrency space is never short of smart people; what it lacks are the 'foolish' people who can control their hands and endure.

When everyone is chasing rises and falls, if you methodically follow the trend, you can actually pick up the money others drop.

Either continue losing with the 'smart moves' or follow my foolish method — steady approach, no greed, every penny earned is solid. @juice13

I once faced liquidation 3 times, heavily in debt, owing up to 200,000 at my peak. $BTC

At that time, I wanted to give up countless times, but in the end, I gritted my teeth and persevered.

In the last instance, I took the remaining 50,000 and used the simplest strategy to gradually roll over my positions, ultimately achieving an 8-digit amount.

My biggest realization along this journey is:

Small losses, big gains; cut losses short, let profits run.

I no longer pursue a high win rate but focus on the risk-reward ratio.

I use the simplest indicators to identify long and short positions, only going long in a bullish market and never taking contrarian positions.

I choose my entry points at critical trend locations, such as bottom areas or the early stages of a trend, where stop losses are small; if I'm wrong, the cost is also minimal.

My base position is always light, and risk is always my top priority.

My position must be able to withstand the maximum historical consecutive losses, and I have to be even more conservative.

Stop loss is my bottom line for trading; once a key point is breached, I immediately cut my losses without hesitation. Even if the price bounces back, I wait for the next opportunity and never hold onto a losing position, nor do I increase my position size when in loss.

After floating profits appear, I begin to add to my position.

When there is a pullback or a breakout past previous highs, I add to my position in a pyramid manner and move my stop loss accordingly. The base position is already secure; the added portion is where the risk lies.

If the market continues to rise, I firmly hold my position, continue to await pullbacks to add to my position, and keep moving up my stop loss until the last movement is stopped out or there are clear topping signals.

As for taking profits, I never exit easily.

I patiently wait for classic topping patterns or divergence signals, even if the floating profits pull back a bit, I accept it.

Because I know, it's impossible to sell at the highest point, and V-shaped reversals occasionally happen; that's part of the market and not money I should earn.

This method is not complicated; it can even be said to be tedious.

But it is this tedium that allowed me to grow from 50,000 to an 8-digit amount.

There is no holy grail in trading, only discipline and consistency.

As long as you are willing to stick to your principles, even using the simplest indicators, you can thrive in the market. @juice13 #ETH走势分析

There are too many retail investors in the crypto world who fall for floating profits, and my friend's experience still makes me sigh.

At the end of 2022, he invested 100,000 to buy the dip at $BTC , with a cost of 17,000. By March 2024, BTC had surged to 73,000, and his account skyrocketed to 430,000.

I advised him to take some profits, but he was determined to wait for 100,000 USD, stubbornly holding a full position.

In August, BTC retraced to 49,000, and his account shrank to 290,000, yet he clung to fantasies of a rebound; in November, BTC unexpectedly broke 100,000, peaking his account at 590,000, and he raised his target to 150,000 USD.

As a result, it has now retraced to 91,000, leaving only 530,000 in his account. In such ups and downs, the profits that should have been secured slipped away.

The core problem is just holding a full position—this is not aggressive at all; it’s akin to running naked in a gamble. Retail investors' so-called 'full position' often means 100% exposure, even leveraging to hold on; but institutions, even when claiming 'full position,' will reserve 30% cash to deal with volatility, and the difference lies in position management.

I have summarized three highly practical rules that I have personally tested and found effective:

First is the 333 rule for building positions at the bottom: enter in three batches, investing 1/3 each time. When I bought BTC at the bottom in 2022, I divided 150,000 into three purchases: 17,000 to build a position of 50,000, added another 50,000 when it dropped to 16,200, and when it rose back to 17,500, I added another 50,000, with an average cost of 16,900. Buying in batches not only helps to average down the cost but also gives confidence to buy more when it drops and keeps one calm when it rises.

Second is the 721 rule for position management: hold 70% of the base position long-term, use 20% for swing trading to reduce costs, and keep 10% as cash reserves. Having cash on hand means that a crash is an opportunity to add to positions; being fully invested means only passively enduring volatility.

Third is the 251 rule for profit-taking management: when it doubles, sell 20% to recover the cost, when it increases fivefold, sell 50% to lock in profits, and when it increases tenfold, liquidate the entire position.

With less capital, learning to operate in batches is even more essential; if you’re already fully invested, you can wait for a 10%-15% increase to sell 20%, then buy back after a retracement, gradually adjusting your position. These rules are not difficult; the challenge lies in resisting greed. Keep 333, 721, and 251 posted next to your computer as a constant reminder: position management is not about earning less, but about surviving. In this market, being alive is the only way to have a chance to make big money.

Investment has never been a solitary endeavor; I have paved the path of practical experience here. Do you want to walk steadily together? @juice13

Small capital wants to break through in the crypto world? $ZEC

Don't blindly follow the trend; first engrave these 3 rules in your heart.

Last year, I guided a beginner with only 1500U in capital, from not being able to distinguish between limit orders and market orders, to making a guaranteed profit of 30,000 U in three months, with zero liquidation throughout.

The core is never luck, but solid trading logic.

First, split the capital and leave a safe exit.

1500U split as 1:1:1:
500U for day trading, only focus on mainstream coins like $BTC and $ETH , take profits when there’s a fluctuation of 3%-5%, and operate a maximum of 1-2 trades a day, definitely avoid altcoins;

500U for swing trading, wait for the 4-hour K-line to break through the range and for the trading volume to increase before entering, hold for 3-5 days, and decisively exit with a profit of 15%-20%;

The remaining 500U as “emergency funds,” never to be touched even in extreme market conditions, because if small capital loses its exit, it completely loses the chance to turn around.

Second, closely follow the trend and stay away from fluctuations.

80% of the time in the crypto market is sideways; frequent trading will only waste transaction fees. Wait patiently for clear signals, and once profits reach 12%, take out half of the earnings to secure them. Small capital seeks stability, not abundance; accumulating small amounts can lead to steady growth.

Third, rules are paramount, and control your hands.

Each trade's stop-loss must strictly be controlled within 3% of the capital, and exiting at the set point is mandatory; never harbor any illusions; if the profit exceeds 5%, reduce the position by half, set the remaining position's stop-loss at the cost price, and protect the existing profits; even in loss, never blindly increase the position, avoid getting swayed by emotions; there are too many lessons about losing more by adding positions, so don't repeat the same mistakes.

The advantage of small capital lies in flexibility, but the greatest fear is the gambling nature of “one big turn.”

Adhere to the rules, be patient, protect the capital, and accumulate profits; turning 1500U into 30,000 U is actually not difficult.

I once navigated the crypto world in the dark, and now I have finally found a reliable direction; this “light” has been shining all along, it just depends on whether you are willing to follow it. @juice13 #ETH走势分析

“The police called and said your virtual currency transactions are involved in a case?

Don't panic, responding this way is both compliant and worry-free.”

“Hello, this is the police station. You have recent records of virtual currency transactions, please cooperate with the investigation.”

Upon receiving such calls, even longtime participants in virtual currency investment, “old players,” can easily fall into panic.

In fact, personal transactions in virtual currency are not illegal, and there is no need to be overwhelmed by anxiety. Remember three phrases to cooperate calmly with the investigation and avoid being innocently implicated.

First phrase, clarify boundaries and do not blindly take responsibility.

If asked about the legality of the transactions, you can respond clearly: “Personal legal virtual currency transactions are not illegal; responsibility only arises when the source of funds is unclear or involves illegal purposes.

I invest in my personal capacity, all transactions are conducted through legitimate channels, and the flow of funds is traceable.” Explaining the situation legally can reduce misunderstandings.

Second phrase, cooperate with checks more efficiently.

If the other party claims, “we need to return the funds involved in the case,” there is no need to rush to deny or argue. You can calmly state: “I am willing to fully cooperate with the investigation and can provide complete transaction records, on-chain evidence, and the flow of funds, following legal procedures throughout.”

Detailed evidence is key to clarification; emotional confrontation will only delay progress. Calm cooperation can clear up relationships more quickly.

Third phrase, clarify consequences and do not panic.

Investigation results fall into two categories: direct involvement may lead to account freezing or further processing; if it’s merely an ordinary transaction with questionable funds, most cases will only involve single card control. The key

Finally, remember the “three verifications”:

Verify the identity of the counterparty, verify the source and history of funds, verify the security of the wallet address.

Virtual currency transactions are fraught with risks, compliance is the bottom line.

Subsequently, we will break down the key points of transaction compliance and case response details, helping everyone avoid pitfalls within the compliance framework. After all, safety must come first in transactions for lasting profits. @juice13

3800U flipped 20 times and got liquidated: I exchanged goodwill for the most painful lesson in the crypto world.

When he came to me, his 3800U principal was only half left. After consecutive liquidations, his tone was almost pleading:

"Bro, please take me along, I’ll share half of what I earn!"

I initially wanted to refuse, but seeing his eagerness to recover his losses, I ultimately softened: "I’ll help you, not for the profit share, just please follow the rules."

We agreed: to split the positions into eight parts, no single position exceeding 12%, profits to be withdrawn into a separate account for locking, and losses must not be delayed.

For the first 22 days, we proceeded steadily: analyzing the market before trading, strictly adhering to profit-taking and stop-loss during trading, and reviewing losses overnight. The account grew from 3800U all the way to 76,000 U, nearly a 20-fold increase.

He became increasingly excited, frequently saying: "Another push, and I can make a complete turnaround!" I repeatedly advised: "Maintaining profits is ten times harder than doubling them." He agreed verbally, but his actions gradually went off track.

On the 25th day, he went all-in on popular altcoins behind my back, without setting a stop-loss. By the time I discovered it, the account had already dropped by 51%. When I questioned him, he said: "This opportunity is rare; if we miss it, it's gone." I told him to stop-loss immediately, but he stubbornly waited for a rebound.

On the 28th day, the price crashed, and the 76,000 U was left with only 8000U. He turned around and blamed me: "Why didn’t you stop me!" I didn’t argue, silently ended the assistance.

I initially reached out with goodwill, but forgot: the scariest part of the crypto world is not the loss, but losing respect after making a profit. Many can turn a few thousand U into tens of thousands U, but few can maintain profits without inflating.

After that incident, I saved the initial chat records.

To constantly remind myself: goodwill must be paired with rules; assistance cannot outweigh greed. The hardest part in the crypto world is not doubling, but being able to remember why you started after winning.

True turnaround is never about the explosive growth of account numbers, but about maintaining one's original intent and the clarity of discipline. @juice13 #加密市场反弹

5 years without liquidation, 2700U rolled to 50,000 U in March: Three life-saving rules for veteran traders

I am not a mentor in the cryptocurrency world, I don’t sell courses or earn commissions, just an old trader who has stumbled through pits and suffered liquidations.

Last year, a brother came to me with 2700U, wanting to recover previous losses. I didn’t complicate things with moving averages or MACD; I just shared three pieces of hard-earned advice. He followed them for three months, and his account soared to 50,000 U, with zero liquidations throughout. Whether you can grasp these three rules depends entirely on your respect for the market.

First, divide your funds into three tiers, prioritize survival over profit.

This is the lesson I learned from my full liquidation, sleepless nights, and breaking down the experience:

Split 2700U into three parts of 900U, not a cent should be misallocated.

The first part is for short-term trading; open at most two positions a day, and close the software once done. The longer you stare, the easier it is to become greedy;

The second part waits for trends. If the weekly chart hasn’t shown a bullish pattern or broken key levels with volume, keep it in cash. Randomly trading in a sideways market is just giving away money;

The third part is emergency funds. When the market spikes and threatens liquidation, use it to average down. At least you can stay in the market for opportunities. A liquidation may only sever a finger, but losing all your capital is like losing your head; no matter how big the market is, it won’t concern you without capital.

Second, only take a bite out of trends, retreat like a turtle otherwise.

In my early years, I stumbled countless times in a choppy market, getting cut 9 times out of 10.

Later, I recognized only three entry signals: if the daily moving averages don’t align bullishly, firmly stay in cash, don’t always fear “missing opportunities”;

If the market breaks previous highs with volume, and the daily close stabilizes, only then dare to enter with a small position; once profits reach 30% of the capital, withdraw half the profits, and set a 10% trailing stop loss on the remaining — only realized gains count as real money, don’t think about capturing the entire wave of the market.

Third, lock emotions and mechanically execute for the long haul.

Before entering, you must write a trading plan and stick to it:

Set a stop loss at 3%, automatically close the position when it hits, don’t hold onto the hope of “just a bit longer”;

If profits reach 10%, move the stop loss to the cost price, everything earned afterwards is a bonus from the market;

Shut down the computer at midnight every day, no matter how tempting the K-line is, don’t stare; if you really can’t sleep, uninstall the app — the longer you watch the market, the more chaotic your emotions become, and chaos inevitably leads to mistakes.

The market is there every day, but your capital is only once. First, get these three rules right, then it’s not too late to ponder waves and indicators. @juice13

Many people often ask me: Will $BTC rise or fall next?

In fact, the core of trading is never about prediction, just like winning at Mahjong is not about guessing what the next tile will be.

What is referred to as 'prediction' in trading should be called 'advantage'—this is a casino term that refers to having a winning probability of over 50%:

When bulls have the advantage, the outlook leans bullish; when bears are strong, the focus is on bearishness, similar to the logic of Mahjong.

A skilled player never bets on a single tile, but closely observes the board to assess the situation:

Which players have melded or declared a Pong, what tiles have been discarded by others, and based on this, selects the tile type with the highest probability of winning. It’s best to self-draw; if the target tile is scarce, decisively declare a cannon;

If someone is going for a big hand, quickly dismantle dangerous tiles and prioritize playing safe tiles.

Trading strategies are akin to the tactics in Mahjong, and technical analysis is the skill of observing the board; the core is to understand the present and secure a certain advantage.

Long-term winners in Mahjong focus on small losses and big wins:

First, ensure that you don’t self-draw a cannon; never play dangerous tiles recklessly, and don’t dwell on the money that is meant to be lost;

The same applies to trading; relying on the probability from holding onto positions is meaningless; true winning probability comes from reading the board—no matter how great the advantage, there's never a 100% guarantee, and the odds (risk-reward ratio) are key. Protecting small losses enables one to catch big wins.

Reading the board is the fundamental skill in trading; if you can’t understand the board, it’s guesswork, and winning would be mere luck.

Understanding the board allows you to know your position, what countermeasures you have, and thus select the one that suits you best.

Over time, a fixed pattern forms, and trading will become increasingly smooth, without hesitation in front of opportunities.

Opportunities within the strategy must be clear: where the stop-loss is, what the logic is, what the pros and cons are, all must be clear.

Cognitive change comes either from awakening or from sudden realization, but the ability to read the board relies on continuous practice and refinement.

The market is ever-changing, much like an athlete's training; only through hard work can one stand firm amidst the fluctuations. @juice13

In the cryptocurrency world for 7 years, experiencing liquidation 3 times, with a debt of 50,000, I had to be frugal even for meals. Now, having earned my first million by understanding the principles, I want to tell you:

Earning a million is really not difficult, and contracts are not as mysterious as they seem.

There is only one core principle — grasp the underlying rules. $BTC

This is not empty talk; it is the truth I discovered after suffering a lot.

The underlying rules are your only weapon in the cryptocurrency world, a strategic knowledge to escape losses and reverse your fate. Master it, and you will no longer be someone who looks up to follow the market's ups and downs but someone who looks down to see the essence, no longer led by K-lines.

Too many people are like I used to be, climbing to the top of the ladder only to find they leaned against the wrong wall.

Staying up late to monitor the market, memorizing technical indicators, frequently changing contract strategies may seem like extreme diligence. In reality, it is tactical busyness that masks strategic laziness.

I now understand that strategy determines success or failure, while tactics only affect the details.

Those who only emphasize moving averages, MACD, and short-term operations either do not truly understand the principles or want to exploit you.

Ask yourself: are you stubbornly sticking to meaningless indicators, or are you studying the underlying logic? Are you entangled in tactical details or building a strategic framework?

Whether your goal is 1 million or 10 million, only strategy can take you there, and only underlying rules and awareness can guide you forward. These four fundamental rules are ingrained in my bones:

1. Trend is the effect of making money that attracts more people to the market, with the flow of funds pushing the market forward;

2. Inertia means more and more people enter the market, the buying power continues to accumulate, and the market becomes more vigorous;

3. Regression is when profit-takers fear profit loss, concentrating on cashing out, causing market corrections;

4. Repetition is that human nature has never changed, with greed and fear cycling continuously, trends, inertia, and regression repeat endlessly.

After 7 years of ups and downs, I finally understand: making big money in the cryptocurrency world has never relied on luck and frequent operations, but on those who play the underlying rules to the fullest.

In this market, it's too difficult for one person to walk alone. I have already paved the way; do you want to follow? @juice13