Soleman

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Crypto Daily 10/13｜$BTC loses the $82,500 neckline as $489 million in longs are liquidated—the market disproves yesterday’s “flush complete” call

📌 In a sentence: BTC fell through the $82,500 weekly neckline, hitting $81,357. 24-hour liquidations surged to $489 million (83.2% longs; 118,000 traders). The outlook was downgraded from “neutral” to “neutral to bearish.”
📊 Market snapshot
- $BTC ~$81,400–82,800 (main range: $81,700–82,500)｜24h 🟢 -0.78%~-3.0%｜7d 🟢 -3.45%~-4.63%｜24h range: $81,728–84,231, low of $81,357
- $ETH ~$2,450–2,517｜7d 🟢 -6.99%~-9.34% (continues to underperform BTC; $2,600 and the 100-week EMA at $2,561 remain overhead)
- $488.6 million in total market liquidations over 24 hours: $406.5 million in longs (83.2%) / $82.14 million in shorts; 118,142 traders. About 6.5 times the $65.54 million on 10/11.

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Crypto Daily 12/10/2026｜$BTC Holds the $82,500 Weekly Neckline, but This Rally Is a “Short Squeeze,” Not a Return of Buying Demand

📌 One-sentence summary: The only decisive factor from last period—the weekly $82,500 inverse head-and-shoulders neckline—held, and the daily chart has shifted into “range-bound trading after a recovery”; but the rise came from shorts being forced to cover, not from new capital. Assessment: cost-basis support underpins the downside, while the upside lacks fresh fuel.
📊 Market at a glance
- \u003cc-86/\u003e~$83,540–83,720｜24h 🔴 +0.65%–+0.93%｜7d 🟢 -1.8%–-3.5%｜24h range $82,735–84,072
- $ETH ~$2,531–2,535｜24h 🔴 +1%｜7d 🟢 -6.3%~-7.3% (continues to significantly underperform BTC; has not reclaimed $2,600)
- Total market liquidations over 24h: $65.54 million (longs $32.32 million / shorts $33.22 million), down another 69% from $210 million on 10/9

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10/10/2026 Crypto Daily

1. [Core] First recovery after BTC broke down: the $81,000 largest buy wall was breached intraday for a few hours, then reclaimed; price returned to $82,400–82,690, with $82,500 becoming the weekly dividing line;
2. [Derivatives] Liquidations cool sharply: 24-hour liquidations fell from $1.00–1.17 billion to $210 million (-81.73%), with liquidations shifting from longs to shorts;
3. [Flows] ETFs saw net outflows for a second consecutive day, but at a significantly slower pace, while selling pressure on the largest product, IBIT, nearly “ground to a halt”;
4. [On-chain] Short-term holders’ daily realized losses widened to 55,600 BTC (≈$4.5 billion)—9.2 times ETF single-day outflows and equivalent to 124 days of miner production;

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Crypto Daily Report — 9/10/2026

1. The thin defense at $82,278 and the largest buy wall at $81,000 both break → over $1 billion liquidated in two days
2. Glassnode: The $81,000 buy wall comes under pressure for the first time, the $86,500 sell wall rejects the rebound, and the first cluster below is at $75,000
3. Double blow from ETFs: BTC sees $484.9 million in outflows in a single day; ETH logs seven consecutive days of outflows (concentrated in the largest product = large institutions reducing holdings)
4. ETH breaks down independently: $2,500/$2,561 lost; Hyperliquid has a cluster of longs at $2,511 + a whale liquidation level at $2,445
5. On-chain: STH single-day realized losses reach ≥29,500 BTC (the highest in nearly four months) vs. easing miner selling pressure (hashrate recovers to 962 EH/s)

Who on earth is buying?! It's been going up for four hours without a single pullback! Are they trying to kill me?!

Binance’s trading prediction is shameless! They clearly could have made a profit on the order, yet they say I failed to place the order?!

I only caught a glimpse of the Up/Down section in Binance Futures. It said it wasn’t available in my region, so I used a VPN to take a look, but I didn’t really understand the rules. After upgrading, I can’t see it anymore… Anyone familiar with the Up/Down contracts? Could you explain how they work? Are they even more exciting than event contracts?! 🤔

#事件合约 , who the hell keeps dumping? It’s been dumping all day. No rebound at all. All the indicators have failed. I went from being up 200 USDT to down over 200… This one-way market is killing me!

As soon as tech stocks rise, money flows back into the stock market! Damn it, it just keeps falling without even the tiniest bounce! I lost in two days what I made in two weeks! Fucking hell! #EventContracts

Is the #事件合约 event contract gone?

#事件合约 , lately you really have to follow the trend. It’s been going up like crazy. I thought it had peaked, so I took a counter-trend position. You can get wiped out five or six times in a row. Damn it!

It just keeps going down. Sell orders in the order book have been pressing the price lower for hours. Every little bounce along the way is a fakeout! It makes you think the downtrend has reversed, and the rally looks really strong too. I don't even know if AI bots are trading against each other. Anyway, I made back my losses in a week, then lost everything I earned over a few days—and even lost more on top of that. Is it just like gambling? Whether you win or lose is all down to luck. Sometimes placing a trade feels like doing the exact opposite of what's right. No matter what I do, I lose. Even random chance should give me a 50% win rate, shouldn't it? I've been losing for a whole week now. I can't take it anymore! The first half of the year will be over in a few days. I don't know if my luck will turn around. Just hope I don't lose everything before it does… What good is good luck if all my money's gone? #事件合约

The order book shows no signs of a bounce! Fuck! Is all the money dead? Has everyone fucking gone off to trade U.S. stocks?

This wave of decline hasn’t had even a slight rebound! I’m really fed up! Every rebound is a scam!

The event contract got stuck…
Recently, the event contract page has been posting announcements saying it might lag on the hour. But just now, it wasn’t even on the hour, and I could see the price line moving on my phone. Then, after I placed an order, it froze. A little icon on the page kept spinning, and I couldn’t see my order line. I quickly exited, switched to another carrier’s network, and logged back in. The order page showed 0… I thought the order hadn’t gone through, so I placed another one. Then I tapped in and—two orders!? 😂😂😂 This has never happened to me before. What a rip-off…😓

Is it the period of being trapped and increasing positions or the period of resting and stopping losses for recovery?

#事件合约
Recently, it's really incredible. Every time I spot a trend, I place two orders in the event contract (one for Bitcoin, one for Ethereum), hoping for a double hit, to add a finishing touch. It often fails... resulting in double losses... with a probability of nearly 90%... I really can’t believe it. I can only grind away bit by bit, unable to make further improvements! This luck...

The contracts for gold and silver Tesla have started trading on exchanges, including Coinbase, which has also launched futures contracts for copper and platinum. It feels like this wave is about to peak. The next step is for excess funds to flow into commodities. It will take some more time before it's crypto's turn...

TSLA-2.07%

XAG-0.60%

The Binance event contract has become increasingly disgusting after the upgrade. This morning, I saw that the fee rates changed from 80% to 75%. This means that if the order amount is the same each time, the profit and loss ratio points increased from 55% to 57.1%. The most disgusting part is that shortly after, it changed again to 74%, and the break-even point rose to 57.4%. Previously, the order amount for BTC was reduced from 250 to 125. The step-by-step operation is really disgusting. It is said that Binance can dynamically modify the rates through its own backend data to keep itself in a state of perpetual profit (or even making more). Really, if they don't want to let us play, they should just shut it down. Don't do such disgusting things! I have been continuously optimizing my trading strategy for the past few weeks, just raising my profit and loss ratio points to between 55% and 56%, and then they raised it. I even suspect that this profit and loss ratio point may change dynamically for different people (accounts). They keep lowering the rate (increasing your break-even point) as you earn more. It's really disgusting...