神冥bit
523 Posts
神冥bit
无论多牛的技术分析在贪婪面前都不堪一击
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1: Tap the “three horizontal lines” at the bottom-left of the Binance app – Home page
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1: Tap the “three horizontal lines” at the bottom-left of the Binance app – Home page
2: Tap the Scan icon at the top-right
3: Consult and scan the QR code below; you will get a reply from everyone
$ETH Still bearish. From the chart, you can enter a short on any pullback back to around 1890. Set a stop loss of 30–50 points, and take profit at around 1816.
In Chart 2, the first target seen on this selloff is around 1816, near the 0.168 Fibonacci level. At the moment, there hasn’t been a clear stop to the downtrend—this is just a pullback. If you don’t capture the liquidity below, the price can’t move up.
In Chart 2, the first target seen on this selloff is around 1816, near the 0.168 Fibonacci level. At the moment, there hasn’t been a clear stop to the downtrend—this is just a pullback. If you don’t capture the liquidity below, the price can’t move up.
2026.8.11 Intraday Market Analysis
Bitcoin is currently stabilizing around 63,800 and has stopped falling. From the hourly timeframe, it needs to break through and hold above 64,174 to count as a real stop to the decline. After breaking 64,174, the focus would shift to the 64,500–64,700 range. However, the price is unlikely to break 64,174 today, so the trend remains bearish.
Figure 1: The yellow zone around 63,800 shows that on the hourly level, the candlestick body closed below that area. If so, the market may continue down to test the 63,300 support. But I believe once 63,800 breaks, it is highly possible that it will directly move down to 64,227.
I’m not optimistic about what comes next, because in previous years, August has mainly been a period of decline. Figure 2 also suggests that Bitcoin has formed a head-and-shoulders top and moved into a selloff. Once this head-and-shoulders pattern is confirmed, together with the bearish outlook for August, a significant drop is likely to arrive. $BTC
Bitcoin is currently stabilizing around 63,800 and has stopped falling. From the hourly timeframe, it needs to break through and hold above 64,174 to count as a real stop to the decline. After breaking 64,174, the focus would shift to the 64,500–64,700 range. However, the price is unlikely to break 64,174 today, so the trend remains bearish.
Figure 1: The yellow zone around 63,800 shows that on the hourly level, the candlestick body closed below that area. If so, the market may continue down to test the 63,300 support. But I believe once 63,800 breaks, it is highly possible that it will directly move down to 64,227.
I’m not optimistic about what comes next, because in previous years, August has mainly been a period of decline. Figure 2 also suggests that Bitcoin has formed a head-and-shoulders top and moved into a selloff. Once this head-and-shoulders pattern is confirmed, together with the bearish outlook for August, a significant drop is likely to arrive. $BTC
Figure 1: By a little after 8 in the morning, it was clearly stated that the “big pie” could be shorted around 65,000. Figure 2: In the evening at 18:00, it was also said that it remains bearish around 65,000, because 65,600 is a strong resistance level, and the area around 65,000 has also been consolidating for a few days. In any case, with stops set a few hundred points, there’s no reason not to take the chance on a short.
Figure 3: At 8 in the morning as well, it was called out that someone in the community entered a short position around 65,200. Now the trade is also approaching more than 1,000 points in profit. From the chart, you can directly see the take-profit level around 63,500. $BTC
Figure 3: At 8 in the morning as well, it was called out that someone in the community entered a short position around 65,200. Now the trade is also approaching more than 1,000 points in profit. From the chart, you can directly see the take-profit level around 63,500. $BTC
神冥bit
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Bearish2026.8.10 Intra-day Market Analysis
$BTC At present, the trend for the current BTC is still mainly bearish. The overhead resistance at 65600 is a strong pressure level. The Fibonacci levels have also reached around (0.618). Shorting around 65000 is still a good value; place the stop loss at 65600.
From the 4-hour timeframe: if price cannot break above the 65600 resistance, then selling/shorting is still possible. But if the 4-hour timeframe does manage to break through 65600, then we should look toward the previous high near 66900. However, I believe price will continue to target the liquidity below.
Support zones below are 64800–64500. Only if BTC can hold in these areas should we continue looking for longs. If it breaks down, then it will need to test the support level at 64110.
$BTC At present, the trend for the current BTC is still mainly bearish. The overhead resistance at 65600 is a strong pressure level. The Fibonacci levels have also reached around (0.618). Shorting around 65000 is still a good value; place the stop loss at 65600.
From the 4-hour timeframe: if price cannot break above the 65600 resistance, then selling/shorting is still possible. But if the 4-hour timeframe does manage to break through 65600, then we should look toward the previous high near 66900. However, I believe price will continue to target the liquidity below.
Support zones below are 64800–64500. Only if BTC can hold in these areas should we continue looking for longs. If it breaks down, then it will need to test the support level at 64110.
$MSTR.US 09:30 opening: either it can strongly hold above 105, so it can help drive BTC to test around 65600. Only if it holds above 65600 can it continue to maintain the long structure. Right now, MSTR is moving in a range-bound consolidation pattern. #BTC
BTC-1.11%
MSTRUS+0.88%
2026.8.10 Intra-day Market Analysis
$BTC At present, the trend for the current BTC is still mainly bearish. The overhead resistance at 65600 is a strong pressure level. The Fibonacci levels have also reached around (0.618). Shorting around 65000 is still a good value; place the stop loss at 65600.
From the 4-hour timeframe: if price cannot break above the 65600 resistance, then selling/shorting is still possible. But if the 4-hour timeframe does manage to break through 65600, then we should look toward the previous high near 66900. However, I believe price will continue to target the liquidity below.
Support zones below are 64800–64500. Only if BTC can hold in these areas should we continue looking for longs. If it breaks down, then it will need to test the support level at 64110.
$BTC At present, the trend for the current BTC is still mainly bearish. The overhead resistance at 65600 is a strong pressure level. The Fibonacci levels have also reached around (0.618). Shorting around 65000 is still a good value; place the stop loss at 65600.
From the 4-hour timeframe: if price cannot break above the 65600 resistance, then selling/shorting is still possible. But if the 4-hour timeframe does manage to break through 65600, then we should look toward the previous high near 66900. However, I believe price will continue to target the liquidity below.
Support zones below are 64800–64500. Only if BTC can hold in these areas should we continue looking for longs. If it breaks down, then it will need to test the support level at 64110.
2026.7.28 Intraday Market Analysis
$BTC (Figure 1) At present, the daily-level price action is closing below 64,200. The upper double-top at 67,300 has also been confirmed. From the overall view of the market, the trend has already changed. The upcoming price action is mainly expected to be shorting on rebounds. From the mid- to long-term perspective, I can directly see the Fibonacci (0.618) target area around 61,200—this is my first bearish target.
(Figure 2) Returning to the short term: looking at the 4-hour level, as long as price does not stand back above 64,500, the market remains in a downtrend during today.
The key support below is 62,500. As long as the 4-hour level breaks below 62,500, the July upswing structure will already be broken. After that, price action will accelerate to the downside. The market structure will deteriorate, and some supports below will become less important.
$BTC (Figure 1) At present, the daily-level price action is closing below 64,200. The upper double-top at 67,300 has also been confirmed. From the overall view of the market, the trend has already changed. The upcoming price action is mainly expected to be shorting on rebounds. From the mid- to long-term perspective, I can directly see the Fibonacci (0.618) target area around 61,200—this is my first bearish target.
(Figure 2) Returning to the short term: looking at the 4-hour level, as long as price does not stand back above 64,500, the market remains in a downtrend during today.
The key support below is 62,500. As long as the 4-hour level breaks below 62,500, the July upswing structure will already be broken. After that, price action will accelerate to the downside. The market structure will deteriorate, and some supports below will become less important.
Partly True
Intraday Market Short Analysis
Last night, Bitcoin's strong drop has already retraced to the upper FVG. If we can close below 61600 on the hourly chart, it will confirm the retracement. Then we’ll look at the previous low around 60755 and the support level near 60400.
Currently, the bearish pressure is quite strong. From the funding rate perspective, to stop the decline, we need to reclaim the resistance at 62377. After breaking that, we’ll target the upper levels at 63500 and 64250. #BTC
Today, we shouldn't see a significant drop unless we close below 60000 on the four-hour chart, as previous drops below 60000 were false breakdowns that quickly recovered. $BTC
Last night, Bitcoin's strong drop has already retraced to the upper FVG. If we can close below 61600 on the hourly chart, it will confirm the retracement. Then we’ll look at the previous low around 60755 and the support level near 60400.
Currently, the bearish pressure is quite strong. From the funding rate perspective, to stop the decline, we need to reclaim the resistance at 62377. After breaking that, we’ll target the upper levels at 63500 and 64250. #BTC
Today, we shouldn't see a significant drop unless we close below 60000 on the four-hour chart, as previous drops below 60000 were false breakdowns that quickly recovered. $BTC
Verified
Intraday Market Short-Term Analysis
Looking at the chart, Ethereum has broken and held above 1662 on the hourly level. This dip could short-term stabilize, and after the breakout, we should eye resistance at 1695 and 1713. #ETH
The key support below is at 1602; as long as we don't break below that, Ethereum's bounce structure remains intact. However, if we dip below 1602, we could be heading towards the 1550 range, and this bounce could be over.
Looking at the chart, Ethereum has broken and held above 1662 on the hourly level. This dip could short-term stabilize, and after the breakout, we should eye resistance at 1695 and 1713. #ETH
The key support below is at 1602; as long as we don't break below that, Ethereum's bounce structure remains intact. However, if we dip below 1602, we could be heading towards the 1550 range, and this bounce could be over.
This morning's analysis pointed out that the upper resistance at 64250 has formed an M-top, so we need to watch the strong support level at 62377 and the upward trend line. Today, breaking below the upward trend line around 62800 is a solid right-side entry signal for a short position.
Tonight, the US stock market opened high and is trending down, so keep an eye on the support around 60400 for Bitcoin. If tomorrow's daily candle closes below 60000, a new wave of decline is set to begin. $BTC
Tonight, the US stock market opened high and is trending down, so keep an eye on the support around 60400 for Bitcoin. If tomorrow's daily candle closes below 60000, a new wave of decline is set to begin. $BTC
神冥bit
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Bearish$BTC Today's Market Analysis
Bitcoin is showing an M-top at the upper resistance of 64250. Now we need to see if the critical support line at 62377 holds strong against a breakdown. From the candlestick chart, we can observe an uptrend line and the 62377 support, both of which are key levels. If the price stays above the uptrend line, we could see a bounce back up. However, if we break down below that trend line for over an hour, this rally might be over, with further supports at 61150 and 60400 below.
For resistance, we need to break through 63120 to target 63830 next.
Bitcoin is showing an M-top at the upper resistance of 64250. Now we need to see if the critical support line at 62377 holds strong against a breakdown. From the candlestick chart, we can observe an uptrend line and the 62377 support, both of which are key levels. If the price stays above the uptrend line, we could see a bounce back up. However, if we break down below that trend line for over an hour, this rally might be over, with further supports at 61150 and 60400 below.
For resistance, we need to break through 63120 to target 63830 next.
$BTC Today's Market Analysis
Bitcoin is showing an M-top at the upper resistance of 64250. Now we need to see if the critical support line at 62377 holds strong against a breakdown. From the candlestick chart, we can observe an uptrend line and the 62377 support, both of which are key levels. If the price stays above the uptrend line, we could see a bounce back up. However, if we break down below that trend line for over an hour, this rally might be over, with further supports at 61150 and 60400 below.
For resistance, we need to break through 63120 to target 63830 next.
Bitcoin is showing an M-top at the upper resistance of 64250. Now we need to see if the critical support line at 62377 holds strong against a breakdown. From the candlestick chart, we can observe an uptrend line and the 62377 support, both of which are key levels. If the price stays above the uptrend line, we could see a bounce back up. However, if we break down below that trend line for over an hour, this rally might be over, with further supports at 61150 and 60400 below.
For resistance, we need to break through 63120 to target 63830 next.
Evening market analysis $BTC
BTC still hasn't managed to hold above 63600; otherwise, tonight we might have a shot at testing the 65000 resistance. With the US stock market opening tonight, let's see if it can reclaim 63600 for a continued bounce.
In the chart, BTC has formed an M-top at the top, with a strong support line at 62377 below. If it breaks below the upward trend line and the M-top neckline support at 62377, we’ll be back in bear territory. Lower support levels are at 61150 and 60400.
BTC still hasn't managed to hold above 63600; otherwise, tonight we might have a shot at testing the 65000 resistance. With the US stock market opening tonight, let's see if it can reclaim 63600 for a continued bounce.
In the chart, BTC has formed an M-top at the top, with a strong support line at 62377 below. If it breaks below the upward trend line and the M-top neckline support at 62377, we’ll be back in bear territory. Lower support levels are at 61150 and 60400.
神冥bit
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Bearish$BTC Today's Market Analysis
Looking at the chart, if Bitcoin can reclaim the 63600 level on the hourly candles or higher, we could see a continuation of the bullish rebound testing the previous highs around 64250 and the resistance at 65000.
On the downside, the key support is at the ascending trendline shown in the chart. We're currently in a pullback; if we can hold above the trendline, we might see another strong rebound. However, if we break below the trendline and the support level at 61150, this rebound will be over, and we might have to revisit the 60000 range to grab some liquidity.
Looking at the chart, if Bitcoin can reclaim the 63600 level on the hourly candles or higher, we could see a continuation of the bullish rebound testing the previous highs around 64250 and the resistance at 65000.
On the downside, the key support is at the ascending trendline shown in the chart. We're currently in a pullback; if we can hold above the trendline, we might see another strong rebound. However, if we break below the trendline and the support level at 61150, this rebound will be over, and we might have to revisit the 60000 range to grab some liquidity.
$BTC Today's Market Analysis
Looking at the chart, if Bitcoin can reclaim the 63600 level on the hourly candles or higher, we could see a continuation of the bullish rebound testing the previous highs around 64250 and the resistance at 65000.
On the downside, the key support is at the ascending trendline shown in the chart. We're currently in a pullback; if we can hold above the trendline, we might see another strong rebound. However, if we break below the trendline and the support level at 61150, this rebound will be over, and we might have to revisit the 60000 range to grab some liquidity.
Looking at the chart, if Bitcoin can reclaim the 63600 level on the hourly candles or higher, we could see a continuation of the bullish rebound testing the previous highs around 64250 and the resistance at 65000.
On the downside, the key support is at the ascending trendline shown in the chart. We're currently in a pullback; if we can hold above the trendline, we might see another strong rebound. However, if we break below the trendline and the support level at 61150, this rebound will be over, and we might have to revisit the 60000 range to grab some liquidity.
Yesterday's analysis for the altcoin pointed to bearish positions around 1660 and 1535, both of which have been hit. If we break below the strong support at 1535, we're heading down to around 1385. $ETH
神冥bit
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BearishIf Ethereum's support around 1660 breaks down, we’re likely to see a rapid drop to around 1535.
From the funding rate perspective, there are still a lot of longs stuck at the higher levels. If the market starts to dip and those longs get liquidated or hit their stop losses, we could see a cascade effect leading to a swift drop in price. $ETH
From the funding rate perspective, there are still a lot of longs stuck at the higher levels. If the market starts to dip and those longs get liquidated or hit their stop losses, we could see a cascade effect leading to a swift drop in price. $ETH
Verified
Market Analysis 2026-6-5$BTC
Today, we need to break and hold above 65000 to truly see a rebound rally. If we break through with volume and hold above the EMA20 at 64000, we can target the 65000 resistance level. If we can't get above 65000, today's rebound will end here.
On the downside, as long as we don't break below 63000 on the hourly level, the rebound can continue. If we break that, the rebound structure weakens, and on the four-hour level, a break below 62150 would see us targeting support at 60000.
Today, we need to break and hold above 65000 to truly see a rebound rally. If we break through with volume and hold above the EMA20 at 64000, we can target the 65000 resistance level. If we can't get above 65000, today's rebound will end here.
On the downside, as long as we don't break below 63000 on the hourly level, the rebound can continue. If we break that, the rebound structure weakens, and on the four-hour level, a break below 62150 would see us targeting support at 60000.
If Ethereum's support around 1660 breaks down, we’re likely to see a rapid drop to around 1535.
From the funding rate perspective, there are still a lot of longs stuck at the higher levels. If the market starts to dip and those longs get liquidated or hit their stop losses, we could see a cascade effect leading to a swift drop in price. $ETH
From the funding rate perspective, there are still a lot of longs stuck at the higher levels. If the market starts to dip and those longs get liquidated or hit their stop losses, we could see a cascade effect leading to a swift drop in price. $ETH
Chart 1 clearly indicated this morning that BTC closed below 65000. The market will likely continue to drop from here, as that 65000 support level is crucial when analyzing the daily chart. If the daily can hold above this level, the bulls might still have some breathing room.
If tomorrow's daily doesn't reclaim above 65000, we could be heading towards breaking 60k soon. $BTC
If tomorrow's daily doesn't reclaim above 65000, we could be heading towards breaking 60k soon. $BTC
神冥bit
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BearishToday's Market Analysis
The Bitcoin price has been tanking hard these past few days, showing almost no significant pullbacks. It's even ignored the daily level support at 65000 and pierced right through it. However, looking at the funding rates, it makes sense.
Currently, the daily level has broken below 65000, and the downtrend is becoming increasingly aggressive. Since the support at 65000 has been breached, the market is likely to continue its descent. If you analyze the previous bull run on the daily chart, it revolved around the 65000 mark for bounces. So, now that we've dropped back to 65000, I can't say where the market will fall to next, but breaking below 60000 is highly probable (though we might see some pullbacks along the way). This is already my conservative bearish target. If I calculate based on the daily level breaking 65000, the drop could be deeper than you might expect.
As long as we can't reclaim the 65000 level on the hourly charts, the market will remain in a downtrend.
Key support levels on the daily are at 62400 and 60000. Since the daily has broken below 65000, it's highly likely we will test 63000 and 62400, $BTC
This is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice
The Bitcoin price has been tanking hard these past few days, showing almost no significant pullbacks. It's even ignored the daily level support at 65000 and pierced right through it. However, looking at the funding rates, it makes sense.
Currently, the daily level has broken below 65000, and the downtrend is becoming increasingly aggressive. Since the support at 65000 has been breached, the market is likely to continue its descent. If you analyze the previous bull run on the daily chart, it revolved around the 65000 mark for bounces. So, now that we've dropped back to 65000, I can't say where the market will fall to next, but breaking below 60000 is highly probable (though we might see some pullbacks along the way). This is already my conservative bearish target. If I calculate based on the daily level breaking 65000, the drop could be deeper than you might expect.
As long as we can't reclaim the 65000 level on the hourly charts, the market will remain in a downtrend.
Key support levels on the daily are at 62400 and 60000. Since the daily has broken below 65000, it's highly likely we will test 63000 and 62400, $BTC
This is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice
Last night I really called it right, MicroStrategy dropped about 7%, and it pulled BTC down below 65000 😂
神冥bit
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Micro strategies really didn't let me down. Tonight, it's all on you, BTC. Can you dip below 65000? If not, a little tour around 65000 will do just fine.
Today's Market Analysis
The Bitcoin price has been tanking hard these past few days, showing almost no significant pullbacks. It's even ignored the daily level support at 65000 and pierced right through it. However, looking at the funding rates, it makes sense.
Currently, the daily level has broken below 65000, and the downtrend is becoming increasingly aggressive. Since the support at 65000 has been breached, the market is likely to continue its descent. If you analyze the previous bull run on the daily chart, it revolved around the 65000 mark for bounces. So, now that we've dropped back to 65000, I can't say where the market will fall to next, but breaking below 60000 is highly probable (though we might see some pullbacks along the way). This is already my conservative bearish target. If I calculate based on the daily level breaking 65000, the drop could be deeper than you might expect.
As long as we can't reclaim the 65000 level on the hourly charts, the market will remain in a downtrend.
Key support levels on the daily are at 62400 and 60000. Since the daily has broken below 65000, it's highly likely we will test 63000 and 62400, $BTC
This is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice
The Bitcoin price has been tanking hard these past few days, showing almost no significant pullbacks. It's even ignored the daily level support at 65000 and pierced right through it. However, looking at the funding rates, it makes sense.
Currently, the daily level has broken below 65000, and the downtrend is becoming increasingly aggressive. Since the support at 65000 has been breached, the market is likely to continue its descent. If you analyze the previous bull run on the daily chart, it revolved around the 65000 mark for bounces. So, now that we've dropped back to 65000, I can't say where the market will fall to next, but breaking below 60000 is highly probable (though we might see some pullbacks along the way). This is already my conservative bearish target. If I calculate based on the daily level breaking 65000, the drop could be deeper than you might expect.
As long as we can't reclaim the 65000 level on the hourly charts, the market will remain in a downtrend.
Key support levels on the daily are at 62400 and 60000. Since the daily has broken below 65000, it's highly likely we will test 63000 and 62400, $BTC
This is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice
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