三木Trader

Whose subordinate is calling the shots?
Count how many doors were drawn in total.
$BTW

It's been a whole month since the last smooth rally

It's also been two weeks since the last smooth pullback

Amid day after day of volatility, 80% of 2026 has already passed

It surged by nearly 500 million in one hour
Gold is also starting to rebound
There’s a good chance this minor pullback is over

Get ready for the second leg of the major uptrend
$BTC

Are the longs about to be completely wiped out?
Liquidation alerts have been going off for 5 minutes—my phone keeps vibrating.

When asked which altcoin I've been paying the most attention to lately,
my answer is $PONS .

I've been watching this token since it was at 0.6–0.7. I made a few trades along the way, but got stopped out each time.

The core thesis has never changed:
PONS is the leading project in the RH ecosystem. The RH ecosystem was extremely popular in August and September, but its momentum started fading over the past month.

Whether $PONS can make a second leg up really depends on whether interest in the RH ecosystem will have a second wind.

As long as interest returns,
$PONS will most likely make a move.
And as an altcoin and a sector leader, that move is bound to be significant.

It's now down nearly 70% from its high.
Based on how it's trading today, it's already moving against the broader market.
This could also be seen as a sign that it's oversold in the short term.

A trend reversal typically goes through several stages:
downtrend --> bottoming out --> sideways trading --> turning up (breakout)
If it's strong enough, it may skip the sideways phase and turn up directly.

I've barely traded anything in the RH ecosystem, so I'm almost entirely unable to gauge whether interest in it is picking up again.
I can only watch PONS's price action.

If it consolidates to build up strength before breaking out, I think that would fit the setup I'm expecting.
But if it turns up directly, I'll also try getting in with a small position to test the waters.

I haven’t made any moves in the past two weeks. $BTC
The key point is that the broader market is still moving sideways
and hasn’t established a clear trend.

After last week’s pullback and this week’s choppy trading,
we can tentatively identify the current short-term support and resistance zones.

A breakout to the upside still seems to lack sufficient accumulation.
The best-case scenario remains another retest of support.
I’ll look for an opportunity to establish a core position,
then gradually increase it once strength is confirmed.

If I can break through again this time, I’ll consider doing it.

But the expected upside probably won’t be very large.
I’m leaning toward taking one round of acceleration; after the acceleration, once it starts to weaken, I’ll leave right away. $BTC

PUMP heat is rising to #1
The price has also broken through the recent high
$PUMP

After the big-cycle breakout of ETH, it failed to quickly break out of the range
Price has entered a new period of narrow consolidation
Intraday, the price retraced to test last week’s pullback low
On the left side, I appropriately added a starter position
Observe whether the price can further continue the upward trend
$ETH

3 trading buy points behind the current BTC trend background

Plan 1: A short setup if price breaks below the right side of the range

The larger bearish trend has not been fully broken yet. The prior rebound high has not been able to hold; instead, it has been suppressed.
The current pullback has plenty of time. If price breaks down, there is a chance it accelerates downward for a while.
However, it’s difficult to quickly print a new low. The preference is for a period of acceleration.

Plan 2 + Plan 3

Both are long setups.
One is that a clear support condition appears—enter the initial position from the left side at 1/2R and gain a cost advantage.

Second, price continues to break upward out of the range, forming a resonance between a smaller time-frame trend continuation and the larger time-frame pressure breakout.
This creates an expectation of both a trend reversal and trend continuation.

The plan is set. The decision on which specific approach to adopt is based on price action behavior.
Not investment advice$BTC

In the current market, it’s still better to avoid getting involved in shoddy copycat “junk” platforms.
Sudden crashes happen out of nowhere.
It’s not out of the question that you could be extremely unlucky—within the very minute you buy in, it could drop straight to zero, and you won’t even have time to set a stop loss.

Let's talk about BTC expectations

Right now, it's clearly bullish, with the short timeframes moving in an upward channel.
The divergence isn't very pronounced.

There are shorts (negative funding rates), but they can’t suppress the price.
Prices are still climbing, with bulls taking the lead.

The market isn't accelerating, so this round of the bull-bear battle won't end.

Currently, there are no reversal signals; it's more about watching for a bounce.
However, this bounce needs some help from the bears (short squeeze).

Only after the bears have given it all will the market possibly enter the third leg of the downtrend #BTC