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Gold $XAU has risen sharply, with the price closing above the 20-day moving average.

$BNB available stock of 599, worth holding.

The U.S. lifted Iran-related sanctions
$BTC $HYPE $ZEC took off🚀🚀🚀

① Iran-US negotiations are nearing an agreement, and Trump said the deal will be determined within 48 hours. Driven by hopes for eased geopolitical tensions, U.S. Treasury yields fell back, while international spot gold and silver rebounded sharply during the Asian session. Gold is currently moving back toward the July highs. In the near term, traders may focus on how price behaves around the $4,200 level; if international spot gold can break above again and hold above that level, it could ease the pressure from recent months and help restore market confidence.
② Data from gold ETFs show that on August 4, holdings increased by 3.423 tons, sharply interrupting several consecutive days of net selling. This may have been influenced by expectations of an agreement, prompting funds to resume net buying. During the day, continue to monitor geopolitical developments. If Iran and the U.S. successfully reach an agreement, reopen traffic through the strait, and help gold maintain its short-term breakout, it could further lift fund sentiment. Watch whether ETF net inflows continue in subsequent trading days and whether the magnitude of buying expands.
③ At 22:00 tonight, the U.S. ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI will be released. This data will reflect the health of the U.S. services-sector economy. If the reading comes in higher than expected, it will support inflation expectations and may cause rate-hike probability expectations to rise again, while also boosting U.S. Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar, thereby weighing on non-U.S. assets. If the data is below expectations, it would weaken rate-hike pricing and push Treasury yields and the dollar lower, providing upside momentum for non-U.S. assets.

S&P $SPY New High‼️
NASDAQ $QQQ , Korean stock index $EWY , and the Nikkei are all rising 🚀🚀🚀

Less than a week $HYPE and $ZEC all took off 🚀🚀🚀
For details, see the July 31👇 analysis. HYPE didn't rise much; ZEC was 467 then and is 514 now ✈️

KOSPI opened higher by 3.8% today, which is somewhat different from the earlier “surge-then-plunge” roller-coaster pattern. At the macro level, two new variables have emerged: progress in talks over the U.S.-Iran Hormuz Strait, along with a sharp drop in WTI crude oil futures; after the joint intervention by the U.S. and Japan, the yen has not continued to appreciate in one direction. The two mountains that had previously weighed on the Korean stock market—geopolitical risk premia and currency pressure—are now loosening at the same time. In pre-market trading, Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix rose by 4%-6% respectively, suggesting that confidence in the semiconductor main theme is being rebuilt. $SAMSUNG $SKHY $EWY

In its latest report, JPMorgan Chase stated that in equity allocation it still favors a “technology + cyclical” combination, and recommends adding healthcare as a third main theme to provide investment opportunities with low correlation to macro views:
1、Technology sector: potential oversold rebound and mean reversion:
The forward P/E ratios of the U.S. “Seven Giants” (excluding semiconductors) are at extreme levels—more than two standard deviations below the mean since 2018. Mean reversion implies roughly 56% upside. The market’s concerns about AI investment returns (ROI) are seen as excessive, because backlog order growth (+150%) for mega-cap enterprises far exceeds the pace of their capital expenditure growth (+80%). The outlook is positive for mean-reversion trades, especially for AI-related names in Asia-Pacific regions such as South Korea.
2、Cyclical sectors: tilt toward industrial stocks:
Shift the focus from financials and consumer sectors to industrials. The rationale is that industrial stocks are expected to benefit from improving global economic conditions and earnings data, as well as a risk reassessment driven by AI themes.
3、Uncorrelated allocations and risk hedging:
Healthcare, as the third major pillar with lower correlation to macro views, still has allocation value.
4、Emerging markets:
Tactically bullish on China’s Hong Kong-listed stocks. Hong Kong is viewed as a primary beneficiary of AI development and commercialization. However, its gains have lagged behind those of Korean, Taiwanese, and A-share markets. It also recommends taking profits on AI supply-chain names that have risen sharply and have crowded positions. On the other hand, it recommends tactically going long Asian refiners, whose profits benefit from geopolitical uncertainty pushing Asian refining margins to record highs. (Source: JPMorgan Chase)

$SPCX Today’s rebound continues, currently quoted at $114.69. Up 5.5% over the past 24 hours, rebounding 9.5% from the low. A big whale has already stepped in to buy the dip. From this level, the lowest stop-loss point for buying the dip is 104—the risk-reward ratio is still acceptable.

The silver price is significantly influenced by both currency demand and industrial demand at the same time. Weakening industrial activity creates additional headwinds; as manufacturing activity slows and expectations for industrial demand weaken, it may limit silver’s upside potential in the short term, even if investment demand remains stable.
Silver volatility will still be higher than gold’s, but there will be no clear trend in the short term. Silver prices may consolidate within a wide range of $56 to $66 per ounce before the end of September. If the price falls to around $55 per ounce, it is expected to attract buying interest; however, the current macro environment is unlikely to support a sustained break above the top of the range. Silver will continue to benefit from many long-term structural factors that support gold, including market demand for physical assets and investors’ ongoing willingness to use precious metals as a tool for portfolio diversification. $XAG

KOSPI in South Korea turns from gains to losses. Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix both fall by more than 1%. Net selling by foreign investors in storage-related positions in the Korean stock market increases further, putting additional pressure on risk appetite for the Asia-Pacific semiconductor sector. Semiconductor heavyweight stocks in Japan’s Nikkei also come under pressure.
$SAMSUNG $SKHY

While the US stock market rebounds, crypto is also rebounding.
$BTC $HYPE $ZEC

If you don’t understand anything, go buy the S&P.
But if you truly buy it, you’ll understand.
$SPY

Why do many traders are willing to keep watching U.S. stocks for the long term? Just look at the trend of Google $GOOGL and you’ll understand it! As one of the tech giants ranked among the top in global market value, Google has stable cash flow, strong business moats, and ample market liquidity. Every time the stock price goes through a round of adjustment and returns to the vicinity of the 200-day moving average on the daily chart, there is often clear buying support.
In the two pullbacks to the 200-day moving average shown in the chart, neither of them directly changed the long-term uptrend—instead, they became important areas where medium- and long-term capital re-entered.
This is the value of high-quality U.S. stocks:
It’s not that they never fall, but that when they drop to a key level, the market is willing to re-price them.
Of course, the 200-day moving average is not absolute support, and it doesn’t mean every touch will immediately lead to a rise. What’s truly worth focusing on is:
When price returns to the area near the long-term moving average, selling pressure gradually weakens, a stop-decline structure forms, and then it climbs back above the medium- and short-term moving averages.
Compared with chasing small-cap names that have no performance, no liquidity, and rely entirely on sentiment-driven momentum, the opportunities for world-class companies to appear at key levels are often easier to understand—and easier to verify.
Trading isn’t about finding a brand-new story every day.
Sometimes, all you need is patience and waiting for the best companies to return to a position with a sufficiently good price-to-value ratio.
Why trade U.S. stocks?
Because truly high-quality assets will keep giving you opportunities to get back on board in the long-term trend.
What you need to do is not to predict the absolute lowest point, but to identify and seize these relatively more certain opportunities.

The M5 MacBook Air, released in March this year, with model number $AAPL , is now facing a rare supply shortage. On the U.S. official website, large volumes of configurations now have delivery timelines stretched to 2–6 weeks; the base models generally have to wait until late August, and some high-memory options, specific size variants, and certain color combinations are even delayed until early September. The core reason behind it is that AI data centers are continuously taking up DRAM and storage chip production capacity, making global memory supply even tighter.
This isn’t simply good news or bad news for Apple‼️
On one hand, the MacBook Air being in short supply indicates that end-user demand remains strong; on the other hand, component shortages will also limit Apple’s actual shipment volume, increase procurement costs, and put pressure on revenue growth and profit margins over the next few quarters. What the market is trading after Apple’s latest earnings report is the contradiction of “demand is still strong, but supply can’t keep up.”
From a technical perspective, AAPL has quickly pulled back from its $344.57 high, falling 7.35% in a single day. The short-term upward structure has been broken, but the price is still trading above the upward long-term moving averages.
Next, the key things to watch are:
$300 is the first psychological level and intraday low support;
if it continues to break lower, the next important area is the medium-term moving average near $290;
to the upside, only reclaiming $320–$325 would truly ease short-term selling pressure.
So this drop shouldn’t be interpreted simply as Apple’s demand collapsing.
What Apple may truly lack now isn’t consumers, but enough memory, chips, and production capacity. The stock price is being repriced to reflect supply-chain pressure, rather than repriced to reflect brand demand.

$HYPE HYPE After falling from the 76.99 high, the price is currently consolidating and stabilizing in the $50—$525 range‼️This level is quite critical: on one hand, the price is retracing back to the daily 200 moving average; on the other hand, around $50 is also an important platform that was tested multiple times last year, as well as the resistance area before this bullish breakout.
In other words, this zone has all of the following at the same time: long-term moving average support + prior platform support + a confirmation of the breakout retest.
If this consolidation range holds and does not break down, this rapid sell-off may turn into a rebound; if it breaks, then a deeper pullback will follow.