老五

#BTC $BTC
Boundary line 89500 takes effect +1, next up is the 86500 below which will welcome the second test of this round. If we follow the script of the previous round, we cannot rule out the possibility of another spike in the short term before retracting. In the current situation, 86500/89500 will form short-term support, but if it cannot climb back to the 90000s, it is highly likely to break down after a low-level convergence and quickly enter the lower range.

#ETH $ETH
E seems to have scripted this round as if it was written in advance. Last week, it was said that 2980 would continue to take effect this week. After a small-scale breakout yesterday, it did not stabilize, and after testing the head and shoulders top, it broke down and returned to a bearish scenario. Now there are two options:
A. The current position barely holds as the moving average converges and breaks through to return above the boundary line again.
B. Weak and faltering, after a rapid collapse, returning to the previous low or even LL.
What will you bet on?

#solana $SOL
Players of S now seem to be masochistic, their last dignity repeatedly pressed and rubbed against the ground. Last week, the expected market reaction after waiting for the moving average to ease resulted in a retest of the 120 sleeping zone, and the subsequent rebound was like a natural reaction after a whip, short and powerless, leaving only waiting again for the whip to fall after the boundary line. Don't pay too much attention to the masochists, if you must act, you can only wait for a chance on the left side of the bottom of the sleeping zone.

#美联储维持利率不变 #金价再冲高位

#BTC $BTC
Everything is as I said last week, after the small-scale dual tests, it resembles a deflated balloon, slumping along the moving average and quickly breaking through the micro support and resistance boundary, falling into a bearish arrangement. The main issues now are two:
1. Can 86500 be effective?
2. How should I write the next script?
Remember not to easily enter long positions on the left side before there are obvious signals.

#ETH $ETH
The market has given me a bit of a scare for the third time, and this time the McDonald's trend has completely broken the upward trend, returning to a wide box formation. The 3450 mentioned last week is still a chasm that the bulls find difficult to cross for the time being. After the obvious double top test failed, the emotional shift directly broke through the pattern, proving that the pressure at this position is still effective in the short term, with 2980 and 2750 waiting for market feedback.

#solana $SOL
This box has been close to three months, and every time I write about it, it feels particularly effortless. Hibernation zone - sleeping zone - hibernation zone, now preparing to return to the bottom of the box. In fact, in the current environment, such targets are most suitable for regular medium to long-term operations, being low-maintenance and strong in regularity. However, it is essential to wait for the moving averages to slow down and find the right position to enter; do not blindly rush into FOMO. Remember to make a plan before discussing profits and losses.

#加密市场观察 #币安钱包TGE

#BTC $BTC
A week of dormancy leads to 24 hours of surge. With the heartbreak of the air force, price has finally reached the previous resistance zone at 97,500. The current position is suitable for profit-taking, but there's no need to rush into shorting. Be patient and wait for minor-level feedback from the market at the high zone. Moreover, a rapid short-term surge requires a certain degree of pullback to accompany a strong second test or breakout. As long as the minor-level pullback remains within control, the bullish momentum can continue.

#ETH $ETH
Although E has already broken above the previous high, there is still about 3% room to run toward the prior 3,450 level. The biggest uncertainty now is whether it can form a valid breakout within a small range. The current trend can be one of two scenarios: A. After a gradual climb along the moving averages, support is confirmed, and the low point rises, allowing a breakout above the resistance zone; B. After a high-level consolidation, a secondary LH or double top forms, leading to a continuous breakdown and an HL confirmation, waiting for a fresh offensive to begin.

#solana $SOL
After two months of range testing, S has finally experienced a meaningful resistance surge. Currently, even after reaching a new high, it still maintains support, unlike a weak player that once plunged back to the bottom of the range at the first sign of pressure. It can now hold and grind at the resistance level. This position is crucial—if a breakout occurs and the pullback does not break below, consider increasing position size and cautiously entering long positions to participate.

#Strategy增持比特币 #加密市场观察

#BTC $BTC
The New Year brings a strong start; although there was no 20cm surge, the market has broken through the short-term bearish trend that lasted just one month, temporarily shifting to a short-term bullish phase, which is positive. After breaking through the resistance line and the micro-support turnover zone, a first deep pullback should occur. The current pattern remains healthy. At this level, the market can be given a chance to consolidate. As long as it doesn't completely break below 89,500, there is still hope for the 97,500 level above.

#ETH $ETH
The market validates the forecast—correct prediction +1. It's rare to see E form a healthy, sustained trend. Although the minor timeframes are still shaky, the recent market action has been relatively orderly. Having been tested multiple times with a slightly increased slope, there's still significant room for trading. Moving forward, approach the previous 3,450 resistance zone with cautious optimism, requiring market cooperation, consolidation at higher levels, and support from moving averages—avoid overextending on the left side.

#solana $SOL
S remains disciplined and quiet, once again reaching the pressure zone of hibernation. This marks the fifth test in recent sessions. However, don't be overly optimistic—current conditions still reflect a strong rebound rather than a definitive reversal of the overall trend. A small-range consolidation or compression may occur at this level, leading to a directional decision.

#加密市场反弹 #巨鲸动向

#BTC $BTC
As Christmas and New Year holidays approach, there is no strong tendency in the news or funding. B has been entrenched at the bottom of the current range for 20 days, and due to the holiday reasons, it may continue to maintain its current state. The market needs to compress and converge further before it can gain the momentum and strength for directional confirmation. The best approach is to engage in short-term speculation at key positions. If a direction appears and is confirmed after entering the market, do not hold onto the position.

#ETH $ETH
Last week's predictions allowed the market to maintain an upward trend of high and low points, remaining relatively strong despite poor market liquidity. As each round of convergence within the smaller time frames becomes increasingly smaller, perhaps the next small directional confirmation will lead to a higher level of directional determination. The market has spent too much time and capital at the 2980 level, and once a direction appears, it will likely last for a long time.

#solana $SOL
The good news for S is that it has managed to stabilize without breaking below the sleeping zone, and there is a tendency for upward movement in smaller time frames. The bad news is that this strength is not enough to fill the gaps. Remember to set stop-losses when the market lacks liquidity; if losses occur, it only means a loss of controllable risk capital. However, if no stop-loss is set, the entire capital could be at risk. There is no need to increase unnecessary risks during the most challenging times. Continue to maintain the view of testing the range.

#加密市场观察 #美联储降息预期升温

#交易训练
#LINK $LINK
Cause: Environmental cycle high point lowered/support rebound to boundary line test
Process: Trading cycle breaks boundary line and tests back + Entry cycle breaks left entry
Result: Reasonable profit and loss ratio TP in the previous low area of the environmental cycle
#巨鲸动向 #山寨季将至？

#交易训练
#JUP $JUP
Cause: Weak rebound test of moving average after the environmental cycle shows LL
Process: Trading cycle failed to test the moving average and broke the upward trend + entry cycle converged and broke
Result: Neutral to left trading, set the trading cycle high point as stop loss + additional profit and loss ratio passive TP
#隐私币生态普涨 #美股2026预测

#交易训练
#AAVEUSDT.P $AAVE
Cause: Pressure test at the top of the environmental cycle upward channel
Process: Trading cycle breaks below the upward trend + entry cycle downward trend right-side entry
Result: TP in the previous low area of the environmental cycle
#加密市场观察 #美联储回购协议计划

#交易训练
#MEME $MEME
Cause: Environmental cycles create wide range oscillation tests
Process: Trading cycles converge on the boundary line for left-side entry with wide stop loss
Result: Convergence breaks down smoothly reaching the preset position TP in the previous low area
#比特币流动性 #比特币VS代币化黄金

#交易训练
#KAS $KAS
Cause: Environmental cycle bearish arrangement
Process: Trading cycle breaks below previous resistance area and then rebounds for testing + Entry cycle returns below the boundary line
Result: Reasonable profit and loss ratio at the previous low position TP
#隐私币生态普涨 #SOL上涨潜力

#交易训练
#KAVA $KAVA
Cause: The environmental cycle breaks the downward trend observed on the left
Process: The trading cycle tests the boundary line and retraces to enter with a narrow loss
Result: After breaking the boundary line, a one-sided upward path is initiated with passive TP adjustments
#加密市场观察 #美联储降息

#BTC $BTC
I believe that even the most stubborn person wouldn't think that we are still in a bull market. B has been struggling near the last hope level for almost a month now. The most important thing is that the market often ends the battle within three candlesticks after a long period of torment, and then starts the next round of suffering again, with highs and lows gradually becoming blurred. The support and resistance zones are also further randomly confirmed, so be prepared for such market conditions to increase in frequency in the near future.

#ETH $ETH
E is relatively active; although it hasn't escaped the downward trend, the decline in both magnitude and speed has become relatively mild. After testing the 2980 area, it immediately turned downwards. Fortunately, the downward trend line has temporarily broken, providing a breather. If an effective higher low (HL) confirmation can be formed above the previous support, then we can further expect a return to the 3xxx level in the short term, but we should not be overly optimistic.

#solana $SOL
S is like the child in the last row of the class, always having his name among the last three in exam rankings, stable as if already seated. The good news is that it is still within the box, but the bad news is that it hasn't broken through the median of this round of box training. If it weren't for Christmas, it might have already broken down into a bearish formation by now. Don’t easily try to catch a falling knife on the left side; it's better to attempt light positions on the right side above the trend line.

#加密市场观察 #ETH走势分析

#交易训练
#Fartcoin $FARTCOIN
Cause: Environmental cycle boundary line tested multiple times support area
Process: Trading cycle tests prior to pressure area + Entry cycle breakthrough boundary line left side entry wide loss
Result: Manually closed before bed in the high area before the stop loss
#加密市场观察 #美SEC代币化股票交易计划

#交易训练
#tia $TIA
Cause: Environmental cycle breaks support and resistance area
Process: Trading cycle short arrangement rebound tests moving average entry
Result: Achieved profit and loss ratio minimum manual TP before sleep
#ETH走势分析 #美国非农数据超预期

#交易训练
#Bonk $1000BONK
Cause: The environmental cycle breaks through the previous support and resistance area + boundary line
Process: The trading cycle breaks through the boundary line and starts a bearish arrangement
Result: Set a stop loss with a reasonable risk-reward ratio before sleep
#美国非农数据超预期 #比特币流动性

#交易训练
#jto $JTO
Cause: Environmental cycle breaks boundary line and rebounds for testing
Process: After the trading cycle test boundary line fails, it breaks below the short-term support area + entry on the right side of the entry cycle
Result: Manual TP before sleep
#美联储降息 #美SEC推动加密创新监管

#交易训练
#Jasmyusdt⚠️⚠️ $JASMY
Cause: Environmental cycle bearish direction
Process: Trading cycle bearish arrangement rebound test failure followed by entry on the downside
Result: Achieved reasonable profit-loss ratio before sleep TP
#加密市场观察 #美SEC推动加密创新监管

#交易训练
#GRT $GRT
Cause: Environmental cycle bearish arrangement rebound test
Process: Rebound test below trading cycle boundary + entry cycle breaking boundary
Result: Smooth decline pushing stop loss manual TP before sleep
#美国非农数据超预期 #巨鲸动向

#BTC $BTC
Last week, after analysis, the market was willing but unable, struggling to test and subsequently falling step by step to the current area of 86500. A new round of narrow fluctuations begins at this position. If it further dips to the position in the range of 8 at this stage, it is very likely to break during this test and reach even lower points, while the next box will be opened, dropping back into the range of 7.

#ETH $ETH
E this week is like a student in class, struggling for a long time before finally closing its sleepy eyes. Testing the area of 3450 is the last stubbornness, and then it opened and closed its eyes repeatedly, returning to the area of 2980. The current position does not look good for more expectations; testing the previous low is imperative. It is not recommended to enter from the left side. If orders are to be placed at the low point, it is essential to confirm short-term fluctuations and shapes first.

#solana $SOL
The box of S has not been broken, but I seem to smell the scent of danger. The form after this test has not given much confidence, and the strength has further decreased. From a small scale perspective, it has also broken the original shape. The current operation can expect small-scale short positions to break the current box or to enter from the right side after confirming again in the sleeping area. Although the short-term future does not look optimistic.

#巨鲸动向 #加密市场观察

#交易训练
#hbar $HBAR
Cause: Environmental cycle standard head and shoulders pattern broke through support and resistance area
Process: After the trading week broke through the support and resistance area, it stepped down + entered at the rebound position during the entry cycle
Result: Stop loss insurance second position + market smoothly down passive TP
#ETH走势分析 #美国初请失业金人数