墨烟云梦

Regarding the Nasdaq: in recent years, it’s actually similar to the crypto market. It’s a four-year big cycle, during which you’ll experience bull and bear phases of that big cycle. The previous big-cycle bear market appeared in 2022. So this is why I’m being very cautious about a bear market happening this year.
The Nasdaq is usually the most friendly investment market for going long. From the perspective of a larger cycle, there’s a saying: “cut once in a year, but enjoy meat for three years.” So if you want to reduce risk and obtain stable investment returns, just avoid the bear year—holding in a laid-back,佛系 (nonchalant) way is enough.
The Nasdaq actually also has a “Xiaonian” within each year—every year within the year there will be both a bull segment and a bear segment. In other words, you can find opportunities to trade swings within the year. No matter whether you’re bullish or bearish, it’s relatively fair. The U.S. stock market is a more fair investment market. This is reflected in the fact that ordinary people can short sell as well; it’s no longer exclusive to the privileged. As for quant investing, it has very strict requirements. If quantitative trading severely affects market health, then harsh policies will be implemented.

Important matters should be said three times. The third time is to warn about the risk of a U.S. stock market crash. Last week, the Nasdaq 100 indicator showed a weekly-level top candle, which should be the final signal to exit. Don’t think that as long as the U.S. market drops far enough, you can blindly buy the dip. It probably won’t crash—most people haven’t experienced how a U.S. stock market crash can surge like a mountain wave. Just a friendly reminder. For the Nasdaq 100 indicator at the weekly level, over the past 6 years, I have never seen accumulated selling volume as strong as the recent level. In other words, even in 2022 it was like this. If you’re interested, go take a look at what happened in the U.S. stock market in 2022.

BTC has crossed the Yalu River—at this point in time, isn't this a different cycle? Will it diverge from the U.S. stock market?

Quick reminder for semiconductors: try not to use too much capital. Even though we’re bearish for next week, this week is more of an uptrend—especially for semiconductors. It’s too wild; don’t get wiped out before it has even dropped.

This morning, I closed the crude oil position that was making a small move. Now I've re-entered crude oil with half of the original position. In theory, the uptrend isn't over yet. After reverting on the hourly super trend, it also forms an inverse T. Honestly, you can refer to silver—when it usually starts, there's about a 2-in-3 probability of going up to the top.

Talk about storage—looks like it’s only retaliating once against the air force. I’m not really looking at how high it goes; instead, there are a few signs of shorting after the killing. I started experimenting with storage as a sector position 🈳 and went straight for a sector index ETF 🈳. As for Koru…

btc暂时不看🈳，保持横盘上行形态。昨天是美股出现砸盘动作，但顶着短线相对高位让你任意做空——这会吸引一定的人去追空。因此，哪怕不推得太高，也会对空军补刀，清理一些高倍空单。他会慢慢跨过周线、长期压制线。这种走势是有持续做多意图的。你就算不做多，也不要乱空他了

Cut crude oil positions by half, just take a quick short. Leave room to add to the position; the overall market is a bit too hot.

Micron has reached the first expected support platform. I’m wondering if the watch can hold—my first marked support is 830. I’ve completely closed all short positions in the storage sector.

昨天早上我还在思考存储是否是突破，纳指是否没完事，要推到739
突然想到了臭老九定律，就猜到结局了

For this post, other people basically won’t get into something this comprehensive—only I’m the one who talks about it.
Earlier I posted something. A lot of people were completely baffled. Let me explain it now.
The first chart is the daily chart of crude oil. I’ve marked 1 and 2 to tell you this is two chopsticks. As for the chopstick theory, I already explained it in my earlier crude oil trend prediction post. If you’re interested, you can go look it up. If you want to learn, don’t be so lazy.
The second figure is the Nasdaq index; it’s also two chopsticks.
And for the third one, I mentioned that the relationship between crude oil and the overall market is like the relationship between the sun and the moon—it’s meant to explain how the sun rises and the moon sets. When crude oil rises, the broader market collapses.

US stock shuttle is here. NVIDIA’s volume talk has already appeared. The ones that typically talk from high levels and then get out—won’t possibly notify you to enter the trade. Take advantage of the disagreement; I’ll be first to give it up 🈳

Gold $XAU Silver $XAG A car is coming for gold and silver. I just liquidated my remaining gold positions—so it means the gold will be withdrawing. The silver was flung away earlier; in a fit of rage, I joined the 🈳 army. I just added a little to the base position 🈳

$CL Crude oil, I can only say “ha ha,” the script is already written—please bring the actors on stage. Looks like my late-night call to Trump got a strong response; I crushed the downtrend and got a 74.8 price. Anyone else, feel free to follow me?

莫非姑凉还是那班姑娘，但客人换了一批
空军进了ktv，要轮大a的要进icu

I’m a juggler. I don’t usually see the whole market covered in a comprehensive analysis from different sectors in public squares, so I’ll step up and be a role model—pioneering a comprehensive whole-market analysis as a first of its kind, filling this gap. It’s kind of an unconventional, out-of-the-way approach.
Crypto BTC and ETH
Bulk commodities: gold and silver, crude oil, natural gas
US stock market
HK stock market
A-share market
I’ll cover a bit of everything too—do we need to add anything else? It’s basically pre-market sharing. No hindsight trading—welcome to fact-check me and call me out.

Da should also be notified to reduce the position. Recently, Da has basically been following or syncing with the movements of the US Nasdaq, especially in tech. Over the past two days, it has surged a lot. The Nasdaq and the S&P are going to be put into ICU next week. Do an early adjustment to handle the big gain/upsurge. If it hasn’t moved much from the low levels, ignore it.

At midnight, the fourth installment. Microsoft really Microsoft-ed this time. If you know, you know. You previously scared the crap out of me—go back under the ground. Welcome, newcomers to join me.

$CL crude oil touched a strong support platform, and it's time again to invite the expert to give a talk. I'll start with a bit of a base position, first...

Notify again—what retail investors love most.Crack down on fake breakouts—bring it down.