Non-farm employment: Actual recorded 130K, far exceeding the expected 66K. Although the data itself doubled, let’s not forget that the 2025 benchmark was significantly revised down by 862,000, which means that the past job market is actually “weaker” than we imagined.
Unemployment rate: Actual 4.3%, better than the expected 4.4%.
Wage growth: Hourly wage increased by 0.4% month-on-month, higher than the expected 0.3%, indicating that inflationary pressures are still present, and the Federal Reserve may not lower interest rates as much as expected.
What does this mean for the cryptocurrency market?
Short-term volatility: At the moment the data was released, BTC showed a significant spike. On one hand, better-than-expected employment is good for the dollar (bad for cryptocurrencies), while on the other hand, the significant downward revision of the benchmark weakens the dollar's strength.
“Digital gold” logic: Combined with #黄金白银反弹 , the market is digesting a logic of “the economy is resilient but long-term inflation is hard to reduce.” This is a long-term positive for BTC as an anti-inflation asset.
Currently, spot gold in London has stabilized at $5100 per ounce, with an intraday increase of over 1.5%; silver performed even better, soaring 6% towards the $86 mark. The core logic behind this rebound is very clear: the U.S. retail data for December was far below expectations, and concerns about an economic recession have directly raised expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates within the year.
What signal does this send to us cryptocurrency traders?
Return of liquidity expectations: The major rebound in gold and silver is essentially a pre-pricing of 'dollar interest rate cuts'. As long as the expectations for Federal Reserve easing remain, the confidence in risk assets remains strong.
Correlation linkage: Although Bitcoin fluctuated around $69,000 today, historical experience tells us that when gold and silver first break through resistance levels, digital gold (BTC) usually follows closely behind.
Switch in risk aversion logic: Currently, the market is not only trading on interest rate cuts but also on long-term concerns about the credit system of the dollar. This narrative of 'de-dollarization' serves as a common engine for the rise of gold, silver, and cryptocurrencies. #黄金白银反弹
Option data from February 27: Both bulls and bears are engaged in a battle at the $70,000 level. 3,320 put options are like a ticking time bomb; once exercised, they will have to sell spot to hedge delta. The feeling at the end of the month is that it will be bouncing around in a range.
比特币万两
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Bitcoin maintains a high position, why is it not rising or falling? Is the double bottom difficult to form? It seems calm on the surface, but it has actually reached a critical point!
【Hot Topics】U.S. Retail "Stalling", Is Bitcoin Ready to Soar? 🚀 Last night, the U.S. December retail data (terrible data) was only 0.0%, far below the expected 0.4%. This indicates that Americans are "unable to buy", and weak consumer spending has become a fact.
💡Opinion: Bad news is good news!
Interest rate cut expectations rise: A soft economy forces the Federal Reserve to "dove", and the expectation of liquidity release is a strong support for $BTC .
U.S. Treasury Bonds Plunge: Safe-haven funds are looking for an exit, and the attractiveness of crypto assets has risen again.
Operational Advice: There will be short-term fluctuations, but "liquidity return" is the major trend. Don't be scared away by the data; as long as inflation doesn't rebound, this could be a good opportunity to position for interest rate cut expectations. Keep a close eye on support levels and avoid high leverage!
According to the latest Binance options chain data (contracts expiring on February 27), the market is releasing strong hedging signals:
📊 Core Observations:
1️⃣ Huge Put Barrier: The open interest for puts at $70,000 has surged to $9.3M, with a Delta absolute value of 0.54. This indicates that large capital has established a tight "defensive position" or hedging protection at this price level. 2️⃣ IV is at a relatively high level: ATM IV remains around 53%. Although price volatility has narrowed, option premiums are not cheap, reflecting the market's high expectations for a breakout within the next 16 days. 3️⃣ Gamma squeeze risk: Once BTC stabilizes above $70,000, the market makers originally protecting bearish positions will be forced to close their positions, potentially triggering a explosive rise towards $75,000 (the maximum holding area).
💡 Actionable Suggestions:
Conservative: Consider constructing a Bull Put Spread (sell $68k / buy $66k). Capitalize on high IV to earn premiums while leveraging the dense support levels below.
Aggressive: If BTC breaks above $69,500 with volume, a small position can be taken in a Call calendar spread to capture Gamma gains targeting $75,000.
Risk Warning: Be aware of the accelerated Theta decay brought by the 16-day expiry, and non-trend players should avoid naked buying of OTM Calls.
The "King of Budget Alternatives" in the Weight Loss Drug Market Has Fallen? 📉 $HIMS's stock price faced a bloodbath today, plunging 23% at one point!
Just last week, Hims & Hers officially announced the launch of the oral Wegovy combination drug for only $49, which was thought to be a positive development for the masses, but instead drew a double whammy of "regulation + legal" challenges:
1️⃣ FDA Warning: Clearly stated that it will take "decisive action" to limit the large-scale sale of unapproved GLP-1 combination drugs. 2️⃣ $NVO (Novo Nordisk) Lawsuit: Countering patent infringement, vowing to kick $HIMS out of the market.
Although $HIMS responded that this is the giants "weaponizing the judicial system" to deprive patients of their choices, the market has already given an answer: short sellers are flooding in, and multiple investment banks have downgraded their ratings.
Crisis or Feast? A Perspective on the Risks of Japanese Bonds and New Logic of Global Asset Allocation under Nikkei 57,000
Written by: Max.S & 章魚同學Nikki Just 24 hours ago, Japan's financial history was rewritten. The Nikkei 225 index surged violently by more than 2,700 points, standing at a historic high of 57,000 points. This is not just a numerical breakthrough but a direct pricing of the results of the shortest alternative period (16 days) since the end of World War II for the House of Representatives election— the ruling coalition of the Liberal Democratic Party and the Japan Innovation Party secured an absolute majority of two-thirds in the House of Representatives. However, while stock traders were popping champagne, bond trading desks were on high alert. Japanese government bonds (JGB) faced a fierce selling wave, with the 30-year government bond yield soaring to 3.615%, which is akin to a tsunami in a country like Japan, known for its long-term low interest rates.
I heard that Michael Saylor was laughed at 😂 Forced liquidation is impossible, it's just that the difficulty of making promises will be slightly greater.
Binance News
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Everyone, don't confuse "liquidation panic" with "valuation pullback"! The debt structure of MSTR determines that there is no chain liquidation in the short term, but the repricing pressure caused by the disappearance of the premium is real.
Analyzing the x402 Protocol: A Technological Revolution Reshaping Future Payments
On October 25, 2025, the cryptocurrency market witnessed a phenomenal event. The x402 protocol, developed primarily by Coinbase, saw its daily trading volume exceed 150,000 transactions, an astonishing increase of 492.63% compared to the previous week. This payment protocol, based on the HTTP 402 status code, attracted the participation of tech giants like Visa, Google, and Cloudflare within just six months, and even gave rise to the PING token, which has a market value of over $20 million. This raises the question: how could an apparently ordinary technical protocol create such a massive upheaval in the industry in such a short time? The unfulfilled dream of internet payments The story begins in 1997. When the HTTP/1.1 protocol was established, engineers reserved a special status code - 402 "Payment Required". Their vision was simple: the future internet should facilitate payments as easily as transmitting information. However, this forward-thinking idea had to be shelved due to the technological conditions at the time. Credit card processing fees reached as high as $0.3, making it impossible to support micropayments of just a few cents; there was a lack of global digital payment infrastructure; and more importantly, there was no urgent demand for automated payments at that time.
Meme Coin: Why Cultural Identity is the Core Code for Price Increase
In May 2021, a 'joke coin' that was born in 2013 suddenly surged into the top ten of the cryptocurrency market capitalization. The explosive rise of Dogecoin left countless people dumbfounded and made even more people puzzled: why is this token, with a Shiba Inu avatar, worth billions of dollars? The answer lies in every forwarded meme, in every comment of "To the Moon," and even more in the cultural identity spontaneously formed by millions of holders. Today we will unveil the true value logic of Meme Coin and tell you why spreading culture is more important than urging project teams to 'pump' the price.
In-depth Analysis of Token Destruction: Mechanisms, Cases, and Market Impact
Insights from the OKB destruction event that sparked market interest OKX officially destroyed 65.25 million OKB tokens in a single event, leading to a swift and strong market reaction. CoinMarket Cap data shows that OKB's price soared to $142.88 on August 13, with a single-day increase of over 232%. This immediate price surge highlights the market's positive reception of OKX's strategy and reaffirms the common market pattern after significant token destruction announcements—when token supply is intentionally limited, investors often show stronger confidence in its long-term potential. In the turbulent waves of the cryptocurrency market, 'token destruction' has become an important tool for project parties to adjust supply and demand relationships and stabilize market confidence. This mechanism attempts to simulate scarcity value logic in the digital economy by permanently reducing the number of circulating tokens, but its actual effectiveness remains highly controversial.
From DOGE to PEPE, the Path to Creative Empowerment of Memecoin
In the wild world of cryptocurrency, nothing is more dramatic than meme coins - they are born out of jokes, but can skyrocket a thousand times in a week; they tout "fair launches," but leave countless retail investors in tears. In April 2023, PEPE coin swept the market with a "no pre-sale, no pre-mining" fair stance, with 93.1% of the tokens directly injected into the liquidity pool and permanently destroyed. This almost paranoid transparency attracted 400,000 holders in two weeks. But few people noticed that behind this seemingly perfect fair model lies the most cruel truth of the meme coin industry: when the technical threshold is smoothed out by no-code platforms, when "decentralization" becomes a marketing rhetoric, what kind of "equality" are we pursuing?
Ethereum's Next Decade: Technological Innovation and Unresolved Challenges
Yesterday marked Ethereum's tenth anniversary. When the genesis block went live in 2015, it was just an "experimental project". Now it manages over 44 billion US dollars in Layer 2 locked value and serves as one of the infrastructures supporting global cryptocurrency ETFs. The first decade of Ethereum wrote one of the most dramatic evolutionary histories in blockchain, from DAO forks to the merge upgrade, from high gas fees to rollup promotion, with each crisis becoming a stepping stone for technological leaps. However, at the beginning of the second decade, Ethereum's "coming of age" is not easy. After account abstraction was implemented, security vulnerabilities emerged, and the Layer 2 ecosystem is experiencing a "fragmentation war." MEV erodes fairness, and global regulation is a "double-edged sword." These four core challenges are like the sword of Damocles hanging over its head. Institutional funds are flowing in through ETFs, while ordinary users are looking for better interaction experiences. Ethereum must find a new balance between technological ideals and real-world compromises.
MicroStrategy (MSTR) premium rate has slightly decreased, closing at 62.54% as of last weekend. Previously, the company announced it would raise $736.4 million through the common stock 'ATM' mechanism to purchase Bitcoin (BTC). According to the filing, the company currently has $17 billion of common stock ATM, $20.4 billion of STRK ATM, $1.9 billion of STRF ATM, and $4.2 billion of STRD ATM available for issuance. Strategy has also launched a new derivative product - Stretch perpetual preferred stock (STRC), aiming to raise up to $2.474 billion. The company is scheduled to announce its financial report after the market closes on July 31, 2025.
AI Trading Bots: From Wealth Myths to Regulatory Games in Industry Turbulence
The news of Musk's xAI team's MEV arbitrage bot turning 0.1 ETH into 47 ETH in 12 hours sent the crypto community into a frenzy. At this point, AI crypto trading bots had evolved from marginal tools to core market participants. QYResearch data shows that the global market size for AI crypto trading bots was $0.22 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow to $1.12 billion by 2031 at a compound annual growth rate of 26.5%. This algorithm-driven trading revolution has created 'ever-restless arbitrageurs' but also buried the hidden dangers of technological loss of control, with the $1.46 billion ETH theft from Bybit in February 2025, the 100-fold surge of GrokCoin in two hours in March, and the regulatory restructuring after the implementation of the US (GENIUS Act) in July, all painting a complex picture of the intertwining of AI and cryptocurrency.
Traditional payment systems and existing financial infrastructure have long faced efficiency bottlenecks and inclusivity flaws. The traditional cross-border payment network represented by SWIFT requires a settlement cycle of 3-4 days, along with high fees and cumbersome processes.
International students and cross-border e-commerce business owners must have a strong aversion to SWIFT.
Mainstream DeFi protocols generally rely on an excessively collateralized risk control model, excluding individuals and small to medium-sized enterprises without crypto asset reserves, creating a "liquidity gap" in financial services.
At this moment, the world's first decentralized PayFi network @Huma Finance 🟣 makes its grand debut!!!
Huma Finance's core positioning lies in building an open ecosystem that deeply integrates payment and financing. This protocol transforms real-world income streams (such as salaries, invoices, cross-border remittances) into on-chain trusted collateral through an innovative model of "income as collateral."
Congratulations! You can now participate in Huma's savings activity with $USDC to earn an annualized return of 10% (amounts over 500U in exchanges typically yield only single-digit returns) along with additional rewards from Feathers!
As an innovative paradigm that integrates payment and financing functions, #humafinance effectively addresses both the inefficiencies of traditional finance and the inclusivity limitations of DeFi through blockchain technology and stablecoin efficiency. As a symbol of efficient blockchain, #solana gives Huma the wings to soar, making mass adoption possible.
Follow me, and in the next issue, we will analyze Huma's user incentive mechanism: the balance of liquidity supply and token distribution~
A Song of Ice and Fire: What Insights Can the Trendy Toy Bubble Bring to the Recovery of the NFT Market?
When Labubu dolls are speculated to a million in the trendy toy market, we can't help but recall the similarly crazy Bearbrick a few years ago. The once top trendy toy is now seeing most models halved in price and in a state of being priced yet unsold. This reminiscent situation brings to mind the current recovery of the NFT market. Since the bubble burst in 2022, the NFT market has seen a strong recovery, with a counter-trend growth of 78%, reaching a transaction volume of 14.9 million. Are we witnessing the formation of another bubble, or is the market undergoing a structural shift from 'high prices with few transactions' to 'inclusive participation'? Is the momentum behind this a resonance effect formed by institutional funds re-entering the market alongside retail user returns? Let's discuss.