$ENA [ENAUSDT] [1h] [SHORT] Level B · long 37 / short 63 Entry: 0.16199999999999998 – 0.16249999999999998 Trigger close: Close the 1h candle below 0.16200 after testing 0.16250 SL: 0.16410785714285714 TP1: 0.16049999999999998 take 50% · RR 0.71 TP2: 0.1575 take 30% · RR 2.13 Expected R (50%@TP1 + 30%@TP2): 1.00 Runner: only open after the 4h candle closes < 0.15670 (HTF range floor) Cancel: if the 1h candle closes above 0.16411, then cancel Size: Small · risk 0.5–1% of the account Structure: LH + HL — currently compressing, about to choose direction · nearest LH top · nearest HL bottom Flow: perp 52.5% buy · spot 43.8% buy · retail account 56.2% long · large group 59.1% long Funding: Flat (0.0050%/8h ≈ 5.5%/year) — no one is being forced. Evidence: -10.8 HH/HL/LH/LL structure: LH + HL — currently compressing, about to choose direction · nearest LH top · nearest HL bottom -20 Position in Value Area: two consecutive candles closed below VAL 0.16150 — value is shifting downward, following it +1 Taker Buy/Sell: perp 52.5% buy · spot 43.8% buy · retail account 56.2% long · large group 59.1% long +3.6 Price Action: the last 1h candle closed green 0 Open Interest: OI is flat — no useful read 0 Volume (multiplier for PA): volume shrank (0.40× median) — all candle signals here are weak (PA ×0.5) 0 Funding (who pays whom): Flat (0.0050%/8h ≈ 5.5%/year) — no one is being forced. 0 Funding history (series / reversal): Flat funding for 12 consecutive periods — no one is being forced. · not yet passed backtest Warning: ! TP1 is outside the VA — pulled back to the nearest value edge. No “golden” signal yet because: two conflicting sides of direction: Taker Buy/Sell, Price Action · deviation 26 (need ≥ 40) Prohibited: trade in the middle of the VA, TP crossing many HVNs, add after a loss.
Arthur Hayes just republished Maelstrom’s book. Same names. Different timeframe than today’s candle. From the Medium essay Atención. (primary source, not a Square caption): Maelstrom’s preferred cryptos haven’t changed. Bitcoin is the structural long. The speculative end-2026 bets remain Ether at $10,000, Ethena at $0.50, Ether.fi at $2. What that is not: • a 15-minute long on $ENA at 0.150 • a signal that the 95% buyback is live • a valuation model — the essay does not include one Context around the quote: • $ENA ~0.150, range 0.148–0.153 after rejecting 0.1539 • USDe supply ~$4.26B vs the $7.5B buyback gate • One-shot investor unlock still marked for 5 Oct • US spot BTC ETFs: −$237M on 1 Sep, +$101M on 2 Sep Hayes is running a multi-month book. A 10x isolated note is a different product. Are you treating $0.50 as year-end research — or as tonight’s entry? $ENA $ETH $BTC #WriteToEarn #BinanceSquare #ArthurHayes
$ENA this stock is extremely strange, with huge fluctuations that aren’t easy to profit from; brothers should research carefully, don’t fomo into these bird-bot coins with shady hype
$btc BTC • Price 78,579 (+1.05%/24h). Range 77.4k–79.3k. 1h 08:00 vol ~28 million — normal, no spike. • OKX funding +0.0015% — flat. • US spot ETF: the most recent day available 28/08 = −202 million (ended a 9-day streak). On 31/08, Farside is 0 / not settled yet. No “money inflow today” number.  ETF AUM still ~99 billion. Last week there was strong inflow during 17–27/08, then outflow on 28/08. That was last week, not 01/09.
$ENA • Price 0,1515 (+2,85%/24h) from low 0,1456 — bouncing range, not breaking. • 24h spot ~24 million quote. 01:00 = 1.49 million (high tree 0,153), 08:00 = 0.56 — shrank. • Funding +0,005%. • Latest OI measured: −10%/24h with longs being liquidated. That’s money exiting perp, not entering. • USDe ~4 billion, sUSDe supplied −15%/30 days. Buyback not enabled. There is no ENA ETF. “Money into ENA” must show up via explosive spot vol + OI increasing + USDe mint. None of those are happening this morning.
ENA didn’t dump into the “unlock.” It hunted shorts under equal highs. 31 Aug structure, after the 0.165 → 0.145 flush: • Session POC still 0.148 • Value area 0.147–0.151 • Afternoon POC migrated to 0.151 • Locked perp taker on the 03:00 4h: −91M delta, node 0.147 still net negative • 17:00–17:45: wick 0.1518 → 0.1536 → close ~0.1519 That wick is a stop run, not new value. The 0.1536 print sits in a low-volume pocket. Almost no close-volume landed there. Unlock calendars still show ~275M ENA around 1 Sep. On 27 Aug the Foundation bought out selling seed inventory and said remaining investor unlocks roll into 5 Oct, plus a buyback proposal. Price already did 0.19 → 0.145 on that news. Tonight is not the unlock. Levels that matter now: • Accept up: 15m close above 0.1536 • Reject short: tap 0.1536, close back under 0.1518 • Range still valid under 0.1493 lost • Deep dump only after a close under 0.14519 Mid-range 0.151x is the body of the candle. That’s where shorts got swept. Not financial advice. Levels can fail. Size the stop first. What do you do after a wick like 0.1536 — fade it or wait for a hold? #ENA #Ethena #VolumeProfile #BinanceSquare #CryptoTrading
$ENA Short — a script with higher probability in 24–48h • Condition: 4H closes below $0.1539 (low 29/8), worse if it closes below POC $0.1500. • Entry: $0.1490–$0.1535 • SL: above $0.1595 (or tight $0.1630 if entering after it loses $0.150) • TP1: $0.1420 (lower edge of the 10-day VA) • TP2: $0.1350 (weekly low / low 26/8) • Reason: after the peak $0.1899, red delta 57%; 24h red delta 59%; price has fallen below the 48h POC $0.163; value is shifting down to $0.155.
$ENA ENA — the pump has already distributed, the short is in the right structure ENA ran 0.070 → 0.190 (×2.7) over about 10 days, not a single candle. The wick hit 0.190 on 28/08, then daily closed at 0.162. From the top to the current price is about −16%, not −7%. Volume profile splits into 2 houses: • Long-term house: POC 0.151, thick volume 0.147–0.154 • Short-term house after the dump: POC 0.164, 37% of the 24h volume sitting in 0.162–0.166 • The tail 0.183–0.190 is thin. Delta 24h is red at 61%. The most recent 12h has already rebalanced 0.163–0.165 is real volume resistance (POC 24h/48h). This morning it tested 0.1646 and then dropped to 0.160 — the reject setup has occurred, so it’s no longer a pending order. MA7 0.157 is the daily SMA. Price is still above the daily MA7 by a very thin margin, but it’s already below the 1H SMA7 and SMA25. Don’t use “still above MA7” as a reason to go long. Cut out 3 things you can’t measure: • Wall 848K ENA is not a wall. It’s about ~0.5% of daily volume, gone within a few minutes • “Sell-side is fully controlled” is only true for the first 24h after the peak • Target MA25 0.113 after breaking 0.157 is a jump. Below that there’s HVN 0.154, then POC 0.151 There’s still edge in the strategy: • Short after reject 0.163–0.165 — already triggered • Target 1: 0.157 / low 0.1566 • Target 2: 0.154 (HVN) • Only consider 0.151 if 0.154 breaks • Invalidation: 15m/1H closes holding above 0.1645–0.165 Not a recommendation to add more. Only hold what volume still confirms.