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krypton_bit
О криптовалюте - простыми словами! Трейдер, инвестор 24/7 в CRYPTO. Стримы и аналитика .Графики, метрики, мысли о рынке.
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🚨 The market has entered a phase of "temporary pain": 4% of altcoins are alive, profit below 50%
We have crossed an important boundary of the cycle — and this is no ordinary correction
📊 Two key levels of BTC
— True market average: $79.2K (lost two weeks ago)
— Realized price of the network: $55K (aggregate cost of all coins)
In 2018 and 2022, #BTC months were stuck between these zones.
This was a phase of exhaustion — without sharp crashes, but with a slow washout of faith.
📉 The supply in profit has fallen to 47.3%
— A decline of -27.7 percentage points over 30 days
— Less than 50% of coins are in profit
Such phases meant a regime shift:
from euphoria to fear.
In previous cycles, recovery after a drop below 50% took 3–9 months,
but subsequent returns were asymmetric.
Market width — 4.17%
Only 4% of altcoins are above the 200-day average.
Similar values were previously observed before major upward impulses.
These are capitulation levels, not overheating.
The supply of LTH (long-term holders) is starting to grow for the first time in a long time.
✔️ We are between fundamental levels
✔️ Most of the market is in loss — pressure has already been realized
✔️ Alts are in a deep cleaning phase
$BTC $BNB
We have crossed an important boundary of the cycle — and this is no ordinary correction
📊 Two key levels of BTC
— True market average: $79.2K (lost two weeks ago)
— Realized price of the network: $55K (aggregate cost of all coins)
In 2018 and 2022, #BTC months were stuck between these zones.
This was a phase of exhaustion — without sharp crashes, but with a slow washout of faith.
📉 The supply in profit has fallen to 47.3%
— A decline of -27.7 percentage points over 30 days
— Less than 50% of coins are in profit
Such phases meant a regime shift:
from euphoria to fear.
In previous cycles, recovery after a drop below 50% took 3–9 months,
but subsequent returns were asymmetric.
Market width — 4.17%
Only 4% of altcoins are above the 200-day average.
Similar values were previously observed before major upward impulses.
These are capitulation levels, not overheating.
The supply of LTH (long-term holders) is starting to grow for the first time in a long time.
✔️ We are between fundamental levels
✔️ Most of the market is in loss — pressure has already been realized
✔️ Alts are in a deep cleaning phase
$BTC $BNB
🚨 Capitulation of short-term holders: the market is clearing out the "stuck bulls"
Pressure comes from those who bought at the highs.
— The SOPR ratio for short-term holders is at a minimum since the FTX crash. This indicates mass loss realization.
— 1.4 million #BTC has been moved in 30 days, of which 90% was sold by investors who bought above $85,000.
— The 7-day moving average of BTC basis has returned to the neutral zone — the premium between spot and futures has sharply decreased.
— In each cycle, the depth of the decline decreases: -87% → -84% → -77% → -45%. Volatility is structurally decreasing.
SOPR below 1 = the market sells at a loss.
It is not the bears creating pressure. The rally is sold by those who are "stuck" above and want to exit at breakeven.
Derivatives no longer build in aggressive growth — the market is reducing leverage and becoming cautious.
👉 Speculative demand has weakened
👉 Pressure comes from short-term players
👉 Real spot demand is needed for continued growth
Historically, reversals begin when capitulation reaches a peak and there is no one left to sell.
— Without a recovery of SOPR, any rally may face resistance
— With weak spot, growth will be quickly extinguished
#metrics $BTC
Pressure comes from those who bought at the highs.
— The SOPR ratio for short-term holders is at a minimum since the FTX crash. This indicates mass loss realization.
— 1.4 million #BTC has been moved in 30 days, of which 90% was sold by investors who bought above $85,000.
— The 7-day moving average of BTC basis has returned to the neutral zone — the premium between spot and futures has sharply decreased.
— In each cycle, the depth of the decline decreases: -87% → -84% → -77% → -45%. Volatility is structurally decreasing.
SOPR below 1 = the market sells at a loss.
It is not the bears creating pressure. The rally is sold by those who are "stuck" above and want to exit at breakeven.
Derivatives no longer build in aggressive growth — the market is reducing leverage and becoming cautious.
👉 Speculative demand has weakened
👉 Pressure comes from short-term players
👉 Real spot demand is needed for continued growth
Historically, reversals begin when capitulation reaches a peak and there is no one left to sell.
— Without a recovery of SOPR, any rally may face resistance
— With weak spot, growth will be quickly extinguished
#metrics $BTC
Leverage is a tool, not a strategy.
Why deposits are lost:
• too large position size
• lack of stop-losses
• entry without confirmation
• desire to 'recoup' losses
👉 First, learn to earn without leverage — then amplify your results.
#криптовалюта #cryptotrading #обучениетрейдинг $BTC $ETH
Why deposits are lost:
• too large position size
• lack of stop-losses
• entry without confirmation
• desire to 'recoup' losses
👉 First, learn to earn without leverage — then amplify your results.
#криптовалюта #cryptotrading #обучениетрейдинг $BTC $ETH
Broadcasts next week: Cryptocurrency market reviews. Useful information for beginners.
Broadcast date: 17.02.2026
Ссылка на стрим
Broadcast date: 19.02.2026
Ссылка на стрим
Broadcast date: 21.02.2026
Ссылка на стрим
At 20:00 Kyiv time.
#LiveTrading #trading $BTC $ETH
Broadcast date: 17.02.2026
Ссылка на стрим
Broadcast date: 19.02.2026
Ссылка на стрим
Broadcast date: 21.02.2026
Ссылка на стрим
At 20:00 Kyiv time.
#LiveTrading #trading $BTC $ETH
🗓#calendar
KEY EVENTS THIS WEEK:
Monday, February 16:
🇺🇸USA - no trading - Washington's Birthday
Tuesday, February 17:
🇺🇸USA - ADP Employment (weekly) - 16:15 MSK
🇺🇸NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Feb) - 16:30 MSK
Wednesday, February 18:
🇺🇸USA - Durable Goods Orders (Dec) - 16:30 MSK
🇺🇸USA - Housing Starts (Jan) - 16:30 MSK
🇺🇸USA - industrial production (Jan) - 17:15 MSK
🇺🇸USA - minutes from the last FOMC meeting - 22:00 MSK
🛢US oil - API stocks - 00:30 MSK
Thursday, February 19:
🇺🇸USA - Initial Jobless Claims - 16:30 MSK
🇺🇸USA - Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Feb) - 16:30 MSK
🇺🇸USA - trade balance (Dec) - 16:30 MSK
🇺🇸USA - Pending Home Sales (Jan) - 18:00 MSK
🇺🇸USA - leading economic indicators index (Jan) - 18:00 MSK
🛢US natural gas - EIA stocks - 18:30 MSK
🛢US oil - EIA stocks - 20:00 MSK
Friday, February 20:
🇺🇸US court may issue a verdict on the legality of Trump's tariffs
🇺🇸USA - GDP (Q4 2025 - preliminary) - 16:30 MSK
🇺🇸USA - inflation - PCE Price index (Nov) - 16:30 MSK
🇺🇸USA - S&P Manufacturing/Services/Composite PMI (Feb - preliminary) - 17:45 MSK
🇺🇸USA - New Home Sales (Dec) - 18:00 MSK
🇺🇸USA - Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Feb) - 18:00 MSK
🇺🇸USA - consumer inflation expectations (Feb) - 18:00 MSK
#CPIWatch #usacrypto $BTC $ETH
KEY EVENTS THIS WEEK:
Monday, February 16:
🇺🇸USA - no trading - Washington's Birthday
Tuesday, February 17:
🇺🇸USA - ADP Employment (weekly) - 16:15 MSK
🇺🇸NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Feb) - 16:30 MSK
Wednesday, February 18:
🇺🇸USA - Durable Goods Orders (Dec) - 16:30 MSK
🇺🇸USA - Housing Starts (Jan) - 16:30 MSK
🇺🇸USA - industrial production (Jan) - 17:15 MSK
🇺🇸USA - minutes from the last FOMC meeting - 22:00 MSK
🛢US oil - API stocks - 00:30 MSK
Thursday, February 19:
🇺🇸USA - Initial Jobless Claims - 16:30 MSK
🇺🇸USA - Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Feb) - 16:30 MSK
🇺🇸USA - trade balance (Dec) - 16:30 MSK
🇺🇸USA - Pending Home Sales (Jan) - 18:00 MSK
🇺🇸USA - leading economic indicators index (Jan) - 18:00 MSK
🛢US natural gas - EIA stocks - 18:30 MSK
🛢US oil - EIA stocks - 20:00 MSK
Friday, February 20:
🇺🇸US court may issue a verdict on the legality of Trump's tariffs
🇺🇸USA - GDP (Q4 2025 - preliminary) - 16:30 MSK
🇺🇸USA - inflation - PCE Price index (Nov) - 16:30 MSK
🇺🇸USA - S&P Manufacturing/Services/Composite PMI (Feb - preliminary) - 17:45 MSK
🇺🇸USA - New Home Sales (Dec) - 18:00 MSK
🇺🇸USA - Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Feb) - 18:00 MSK
🇺🇸USA - consumer inflation expectations (Feb) - 18:00 MSK
#CPIWatch #usacrypto $BTC $ETH
Live Broadcast: Cryptocurrency Market Analysis in Real Time
February 21, 2026, on air — detailed analysis of BTC, altcoins, charts, and forecasts for the coming weeks. (Broadcast time at 20:00 Kyiv time)
📊 We will discuss key levels, liquidity zones, and market scenarios.
👥 Suitable for both beginners and experienced traders.
💬 Live communication, answers to your questions, and honest thoughts without unnecessary fluff.
Not just a review — live analysis with real market ideas.
Онлайн стрим тут
🔔 Subscribe so you don't miss the broadcast and stay updated on market events.
#криптовалюта $BTC $ETH #биткоин #эфириум #cryptotrading
February 21, 2026, on air — detailed analysis of BTC, altcoins, charts, and forecasts for the coming weeks. (Broadcast time at 20:00 Kyiv time)
📊 We will discuss key levels, liquidity zones, and market scenarios.
👥 Suitable for both beginners and experienced traders.
💬 Live communication, answers to your questions, and honest thoughts without unnecessary fluff.
Not just a review — live analysis with real market ideas.
Онлайн стрим тут
🔔 Subscribe so you don't miss the broadcast and stay updated on market events.
#криптовалюта $BTC $ETH #биткоин #эфириум #cryptotrading
Live Broadcast: Cryptocurrency Market Analysis in Real Time
February 19, 2026, on air — detailed analysis of BTC, altcoins, charts, and forecasts for the coming weeks. (Broadcast time at 20:00 Kyiv time)
📊 We will discuss key levels, liquidity zones, and market scenarios.
👥 Suitable for both beginners and experienced traders.
💬 Live communication, answers to your questions, and honest thoughts without unnecessary fluff.
Not just an overview — live analysis with real market ideas.
Онлайн стрим тут
🔔 Subscribe so you don't miss the broadcast and stay updated on market events.
#криптовалюта $BTC $ETH #биткоин #эфириум #cryptotrading
February 19, 2026, on air — detailed analysis of BTC, altcoins, charts, and forecasts for the coming weeks. (Broadcast time at 20:00 Kyiv time)
📊 We will discuss key levels, liquidity zones, and market scenarios.
👥 Suitable for both beginners and experienced traders.
💬 Live communication, answers to your questions, and honest thoughts without unnecessary fluff.
Not just an overview — live analysis with real market ideas.
Онлайн стрим тут
🔔 Subscribe so you don't miss the broadcast and stay updated on market events.
#криптовалюта $BTC $ETH #биткоин #эфириум #cryptotrading
Live broadcast: real-time cryptocurrency market analysis.
February 17, 2026, on air — detailed analysis of BTC, altcoins, charts, and forecasts for the coming weeks. (Broadcast time at 8:00 PM Kyiv time)
📊 We will discuss key levels, liquidity zones, and market scenarios.
👥 Suitable for both beginners and experienced traders.
💬 Live communication, answers to your questions, and honest thoughts without unnecessary fluff.
Not just a review — live analysis with real market ideas.
Онлайн стрим тут
🔔 Subscribe to not miss the broadcast and stay updated on market events.
#криптовалюта $BTC $ETH #биткоин #эфириум #cryptotrading
February 17, 2026, on air — detailed analysis of BTC, altcoins, charts, and forecasts for the coming weeks. (Broadcast time at 8:00 PM Kyiv time)
📊 We will discuss key levels, liquidity zones, and market scenarios.
👥 Suitable for both beginners and experienced traders.
💬 Live communication, answers to your questions, and honest thoughts without unnecessary fluff.
Not just a review — live analysis with real market ideas.
Онлайн стрим тут
🔔 Subscribe to not miss the broadcast and stay updated on market events.
#криптовалюта $BTC $ETH #биткоин #эфириум #cryptotrading
«3 rules of a normal exit plan »
This is not financial advice.
Without an exit point, you are not a trader — you are a hopeful investor.
What should be in the plan:
• profit-taking level
• error level (stop)
• scenario if the market changes sharply
👉 Main idea: the decision is made BEFORE the trade, not during the stress.
#криптовалюта #cryptotrading #обучениетрейдинг
This is not financial advice.
Without an exit point, you are not a trader — you are a hopeful investor.
What should be in the plan:
• profit-taking level
• error level (stop)
• scenario if the market changes sharply
👉 Main idea: the decision is made BEFORE the trade, not during the stress.
#криптовалюта #cryptotrading #обучениетрейдинг
#BlackRock continues to strengthen its positions in the crypto industry — the fund has nearly tripled its stake in BitMine.
BitMine is considered the largest corporate holder of Ethereum — buying shares indirectly increases institutional exposure to ETH.
• Large capital rarely enters without a long-term strategy.
• Institutions are gradually accumulating crypto assets through public companies.
• This reduces market "fear" and increases trust in the industry.
Funds buy years in advance and endure downturns calmly. Retail investors often enter late — already after a strong movement.
#Ethereum #crypto
BitMine is considered the largest corporate holder of Ethereum — buying shares indirectly increases institutional exposure to ETH.
• Large capital rarely enters without a long-term strategy.
• Institutions are gradually accumulating crypto assets through public companies.
• This reduces market "fear" and increases trust in the industry.
Funds buy years in advance and endure downturns calmly. Retail investors often enter late — already after a strong movement.
#Ethereum #crypto
🚨 Short-term holders' capitulation: the market is cleaning out the "stuck bulls"
— The SOPR ratio for short-term holders is at a minimum since the FTX collapse. This indicates mass loss realization.
— 1.4 million BTC have been moved in the last 30 days, with 90% sold by investors who bought above $85,000.
— The 7-day moving average of the basis #BTC has returned to the neutral zone — the premium between spot and futures has sharply fallen.
— In each cycle, the depth of the fall decreases: -87% → -84% → -77% → -45%. Volatility is structurally decreasing.
SOPR below 1 = the market sells at a loss.
It is not the bears creating the pressure. The rally is being sold by those who are "stuck" above and want to exit at breakeven.
Derivatives no longer build in aggressive growth — the market is reducing leverage and moving towards caution.
👉 Speculative demand has weakened
👉 Pressure comes from short-term players
👉 Real spot demand is needed for continued growth
Historically, reversals begin when capitulation reaches a peak and there are no sellers left.
— Without a recovery in SOPR, any rally may encounter resistance
— With weak spot prices, growth will be quickly extinguished
For now — it's a phase of compression and redistribution.
$BTC $ETH
— The SOPR ratio for short-term holders is at a minimum since the FTX collapse. This indicates mass loss realization.
— 1.4 million BTC have been moved in the last 30 days, with 90% sold by investors who bought above $85,000.
— The 7-day moving average of the basis #BTC has returned to the neutral zone — the premium between spot and futures has sharply fallen.
— In each cycle, the depth of the fall decreases: -87% → -84% → -77% → -45%. Volatility is structurally decreasing.
SOPR below 1 = the market sells at a loss.
It is not the bears creating the pressure. The rally is being sold by those who are "stuck" above and want to exit at breakeven.
Derivatives no longer build in aggressive growth — the market is reducing leverage and moving towards caution.
👉 Speculative demand has weakened
👉 Pressure comes from short-term players
👉 Real spot demand is needed for continued growth
Historically, reversals begin when capitulation reaches a peak and there are no sellers left.
— Without a recovery in SOPR, any rally may encounter resistance
— With weak spot prices, growth will be quickly extinguished
For now — it's a phase of compression and redistribution.
$BTC $ETH
Lovers of showcasing their sums and boasting about their deposits on the spot? Some are found in bags, others something else...
While the fool is boasting, he is already being taken in ☝️
🚨 Crypto is becoming dangerous: armed hunting for an exchange top manager has been declared in France
— Three masked men broke into a house in the Val-de-Marne region, but there was no target there — they escaped, taking two phones.
— A few hours later, the criminals attacked a woman at another address, hoping to reach another crypto entrepreneur.
— They got the wrong house. Later, they were detained at the train station in Lyon thanks to surveillance cameras.
We see a new trend — pressure on crypto participants goes beyond on-chain and the internet.
👉 Major players are becoming physical targets
👉 Criminals are attracted by publicity and presumed wealth
👉 Risks of owning crypto assets — no longer just market risks
✔️ Do not publicly demonstrate your portfolio size
✔️ Avoid linking your residential address to crypto activity
✔️ Separate public and personal life
✔️ Use multi-layered account protection
✔️ Do not store large amounts on hot wallets
#binace #Write2Earn $BTC $BNB
While the fool is boasting, he is already being taken in ☝️
🚨 Crypto is becoming dangerous: armed hunting for an exchange top manager has been declared in France
— Three masked men broke into a house in the Val-de-Marne region, but there was no target there — they escaped, taking two phones.
— A few hours later, the criminals attacked a woman at another address, hoping to reach another crypto entrepreneur.
— They got the wrong house. Later, they were detained at the train station in Lyon thanks to surveillance cameras.
We see a new trend — pressure on crypto participants goes beyond on-chain and the internet.
👉 Major players are becoming physical targets
👉 Criminals are attracted by publicity and presumed wealth
👉 Risks of owning crypto assets — no longer just market risks
✔️ Do not publicly demonstrate your portfolio size
✔️ Avoid linking your residential address to crypto activity
✔️ Separate public and personal life
✔️ Use multi-layered account protection
✔️ Do not store large amounts on hot wallets
#binace #Write2Earn $BTC $BNB
The USA is not just beginning to control the crypto market — they are involving its main players.
👥 The committee includes leaders of the largest companies in the industry, including:
— Brian Armstrong (Coinbase)
— Brad Garlinghouse (Ripple)
— Sergey Nazarov (Chainlink Labs)
— Tyler Winklevoss (Gemini)
— Anatoly Yakovenko (Solana Labs)
— Chris Dixon (Andreessen Horowitz)
The closer crypto gets to traditional finance — the higher the chance of large capital coming in. But along with this, the market will become more regulated and less chaotic.
#crypto #крипта #USACryptoTrends #cryptonews $ETH $BNB
👥 The committee includes leaders of the largest companies in the industry, including:
— Brian Armstrong (Coinbase)
— Brad Garlinghouse (Ripple)
— Sergey Nazarov (Chainlink Labs)
— Tyler Winklevoss (Gemini)
— Anatoly Yakovenko (Solana Labs)
— Chris Dixon (Andreessen Horowitz)
The closer crypto gets to traditional finance — the higher the chance of large capital coming in. But along with this, the market will become more regulated and less chaotic.
#crypto #крипта #USACryptoTrends #cryptonews $ETH $BNB
ETF enthusiasts and eternal growth at a standstill? 🤣
🚨 Institutions are reducing their positions: hundreds of millions are flowing out of crypto-ETFs.
The market received a strong signal from major players.
— BlackRock transferred 3402 BTC (~$227M) and 15,108 ETH (~$29.5M) to Coinbase Prime — such movements are often associated with preparation for sale or liquidity redistribution.
Financial flows of crypto-ETFs over 24 hours:
• #BTC : - $410.3M
• #ETH : - $113.1M
• #XRP : - $6.4M
• #SOL : + $2.7M
When a series of outflows begins:
👉 the market loses support from large capital
👉 pressure on the price intensifies
👉 recovery becomes slower
This is not necessarily a signal of a crash — but it is definitely a sign of a decrease in risk appetite.
Institutions rarely sell “in panic.” More often they:
• take profits after a rise
• reduce risk before macro events
• accumulate cash for better prices
If outflows continue for several days in a row — the market may enter a phase of deeper correction.
As long as inflows have not completely disappeared — it looks more like cooling down, rather than the start of a bear market.
Watch not for a single transaction, but for a series of flows in ETFs — they often set the medium-term trend.
This is not financial advice.
$BTC $ETH
🚨 Institutions are reducing their positions: hundreds of millions are flowing out of crypto-ETFs.
The market received a strong signal from major players.
— BlackRock transferred 3402 BTC (~$227M) and 15,108 ETH (~$29.5M) to Coinbase Prime — such movements are often associated with preparation for sale or liquidity redistribution.
Financial flows of crypto-ETFs over 24 hours:
• #BTC : - $410.3M
• #ETH : - $113.1M
• #XRP : - $6.4M
• #SOL : + $2.7M
When a series of outflows begins:
👉 the market loses support from large capital
👉 pressure on the price intensifies
👉 recovery becomes slower
This is not necessarily a signal of a crash — but it is definitely a sign of a decrease in risk appetite.
Institutions rarely sell “in panic.” More often they:
• take profits after a rise
• reduce risk before macro events
• accumulate cash for better prices
If outflows continue for several days in a row — the market may enter a phase of deeper correction.
As long as inflows have not completely disappeared — it looks more like cooling down, rather than the start of a bear market.
Watch not for a single transaction, but for a series of flows in ETFs — they often set the medium-term trend.
This is not financial advice.
$BTC $ETH
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