KaiZXBT
Verified Creator
Full time Trader l Content Creator Web3 l Binance Loyalty User
High-Frequency Trader
4.8 Years
68 Following
8.5K+ Followers
14.3K+ Liked
389 Shared
Posts
All
Quotes
The truth about the bear market in 2026 and the fears of major banks
Perhaps most investors feel that the past year has been a challenging journey as the market seemed to be stuck in the mud for twelve long months. However, in-depth analytical data tells a completely different story compared to the general perception of the crowd.
The reality shows that Bitcoin has maintained a positive growth trend for most of 2025, and the real difficulties only just began to emerge in the late part of the year. This creates an interesting context as traditional banks are increasingly concerned about their position in the face of the strong rise of digital assets.
The reality shows that Bitcoin has maintained a positive growth trend for most of 2025, and the real difficulties only just began to emerge in the late part of the year. This creates an interesting context as traditional banks are increasingly concerned about their position in the face of the strong rise of digital assets.
What is a Hot Wallet? Risks to be aware of to avoid being hacked?
In the world of Blockchain, owning a secure wallet is as important as holding the key to a safe. This article will provide comprehensive knowledge about Hot Wallet and crucial tips to avoid losing money unnecessarily.
1. What is a hot wallet?
A hot wallet is a type of cryptocurrency wallet that is always connected directly to the Internet. They often exist as applications on mobile phones, software on computers, or extensions in web browsers. The main function of a hot wallet is to help users store, send, receive, and manage digital assets quickly and conveniently.
1. What is a hot wallet?
A hot wallet is a type of cryptocurrency wallet that is always connected directly to the Internet. They often exist as applications on mobile phones, software on computers, or extensions in web browsers. The main function of a hot wallet is to help users store, send, receive, and manage digital assets quickly and conveniently.
The four-year cycle of Bitcoin has not disappeared: The recent sell-off has 'confirmed' the historical rule
The strong adjustment of Bitcoin at the beginning of 2026 did not shake the familiar four-year halving cycle. On the contrary, according to Kaiko Research, this development is reinforcing a pattern that has repeated many times in Bitcoin's price history, despite profound changes in market structure.
In a newly released report, Kaiko suggests that the drop from the peak cycle near 126,000 USD to 60,000 in February, currently trading around 70,000 USD according to BingX data, corresponds to a decline of about 52%, which is entirely consistent with previous post-halving bear markets. For traders and retail investors, this is important data for assessing risk in a context where volatility has not yet ceased.
In a newly released report, Kaiko suggests that the drop from the peak cycle near 126,000 USD to 60,000 in February, currently trading around 70,000 USD according to BingX data, corresponds to a decline of about 52%, which is entirely consistent with previous post-halving bear markets. For traders and retail investors, this is important data for assessing risk in a context where volatility has not yet ceased.
A Simple Way to Catch Bitcoin Bottom with MVRV Z-Score
One of the very few reputable on-chain indicators points to the optimal peak-bottom zone in the long term and has proven effective over 4 cycles.
1. What is MVRV Z-Score?
MVRV Z-Score measures: The degree of divergence between the market price of Bitcoin (Market Value) and the on-chain cost price of all holders (Realized Value).
MVRV Z-Score Index
It helps identify:
When the market is too hot (overvalued)
When Bitcoin is undervalued
1. What is MVRV Z-Score?
MVRV Z-Score measures: The degree of divergence between the market price of Bitcoin (Market Value) and the on-chain cost price of all holders (Realized Value).
MVRV Z-Score Index
It helps identify:
When the market is too hot (overvalued)
When Bitcoin is undervalued
really good and standard
HOW TO INVEST IN CRYPTO IN THE COMING TIME?
The crypto market has sharply declined, entering a bear market just like the cycle four years ago. However, there is a very high possibility that there will NOT be a prolonged downtrend for several years like the previous cycles.
And which coin is truly GOOD?
I have a perspective on this season of Bitcoin, ETH, and altcoins - let's discuss if you find it worth considering.
THE CYCLE CALCULATION IS GRADUALLY DISAPPEARING
As large institutional funds have participated and influenced the market wave (especially in the US with ambitions to dominate this market).
And which coin is truly GOOD?
I have a perspective on this season of Bitcoin, ETH, and altcoins - let's discuss if you find it worth considering.
THE CYCLE CALCULATION IS GRADUALLY DISAPPEARING
As large institutional funds have participated and influenced the market wave (especially in the US with ambitions to dominate this market).
How should we invest in high FDV projects?
High FDV trend – low initial supply is a popular model in the crypto market in recent years. This can be described as the slowrug model of Ventures Coin. Many analysts have clearly warned that this model could destroy altcoins. However, the trend is likely to continue, but instead of avoiding them, how should we adapt to low float-high FDV projects? Because there are quite a few projects with low float-high FDV that have shown strong growth and good progress over each stage.
The crypto market is sharply down, but don't be pessimistic!!
Over the past two years, Bitcoin has received unprecedented good news. The US approved a spot Bitcoin ETF in January 2024, opening the door for institutional money to flow in. The Trump administration publicly supported crypto. The price reacted accordingly, rising from around $46,000 when the ETF was approved to nearly three times that, reaching a peak of $126,000 in October 2025.
But then, Bitcoin dropped to the $60,000 range, losing about 60% from its peak. And almost no one remembers that Bitcoin had previously tripled and nearly decupled since the 2022 low at the price of $16,000. Everyone only talks about the sharp 60% drop that occurred in recent months and the growth of gold, while gold has only tripled since 2023.
But then, Bitcoin dropped to the $60,000 range, losing about 60% from its peak. And almost no one remembers that Bitcoin had previously tripled and nearly decupled since the 2022 low at the price of $16,000. Everyone only talks about the sharp 60% drop that occurred in recent months and the growth of gold, while gold has only tripled since 2023.
At what price drop will Strategy have to liquidate assets?
Strategy's Bitcoin portfolio, the predecessor company of MicroStrategy, is entering a phase of significant pressure as the cryptocurrency market sharply adjusts after a hot growth cycle. According to data from StrategyTracker, as of February 6, 2026, Strategy is holding 713,502 Bitcoin, with a total market value estimated at around 50.36 billion USD.
However, the average cost basis of all this Bitcoin amounts to 76,052 USD per BTC. Compared to the current market price, Strategy's Bitcoin portfolio is recording a loss of about 3.9 billion USD, equivalent to a negative 7.19% on the total portfolio. This is a significant loss on the books, especially in the context that Strategy once recorded a very large unrealized profit when Bitcoin traded around the historical peak of 126,000 USD.
However, the average cost basis of all this Bitcoin amounts to 76,052 USD per BTC. Compared to the current market price, Strategy's Bitcoin portfolio is recording a loss of about 3.9 billion USD, equivalent to a negative 7.19% on the total portfolio. This is a significant loss on the books, especially in the context that Strategy once recorded a very large unrealized profit when Bitcoin traded around the historical peak of 126,000 USD.
What helps Hyperliquid maintain a good price amid the fiery market context?
Since the beginning of the year, HYPE has shown a superior trend compared to the overall crypto market, evidenced by its intrinsic value and external factors. According to the analysis of the funds from liquidation fees, the price of HYPE tokens has grown well.
How long can HYPE maintain its superior momentum? Data from on-chain and the market will provide a deeper insight, helping to clarify HYPE's prospects in the current volatile market context.
How long can HYPE maintain its superior momentum? Data from on-chain and the market will provide a deeper insight, helping to clarify HYPE's prospects in the current volatile market context.
Why artificial intelligence truly needs Blockchain right now?
Artificial intelligence systems are creating unprecedented challenges for the structure of the Internet, which was originally designed based on human-to-human interaction scales. Creating voices, videos, and text that mimic reality is becoming cheaper and sophisticated to the point where it’s hard to distinguish what is real from what is fake. We are all too familiar with annoying CAPTCHA verification codes, but now AI agents have even begun to transact and interact just like humans.
useful
What should we do when the crypto market drops sharply?
The Crypto market is experiencing a strong correction, for 6 consecutive months Bitcoin has dropped from a peak of 127,000 to the current level of 60.00, altcoins are mostly splitting 7 and 10 signaling that a bear market season has arrived.
If you are feeling worried, confused, or angry at yourself or the market right now, take a moment to pause. Breathe deeply. Whether this is your first bear market season or the second, third, the principles below have been validated through many cycles. They are quite effective and applicable.
If you are feeling worried, confused, or angry at yourself or the market right now, take a moment to pause. Breathe deeply. Whether this is your first bear market season or the second, third, the principles below have been validated through many cycles. They are quite effective and applicable.
Top 4 effective and best technical indicator groups
In financial markets, especially in the crypto market, traders often combine various technical indicators to achieve the best profits. However, to understand how to effectively use technical indicators, we must know their meanings and applications to achieve the best results.
Trend Indicator Group
Moving Average - MA line
Trend Indicator Group
Moving Average - MA line
But what to do when the crypto market enters the Bearmarket
So Bitcoin has dropped sharply to the mark of 72000 USD from the ATH of 129000 USD back in October 2025, signaling that we are in a bear market season. The bear market is a time when the whole market is gloomy, so the strategy will definitely have to be different from the bull market.
So what strategies should we have in the bear market season? Here are some things everyone should do!!
So what strategies should we have in the bear market season? Here are some things everyone should do!!
Investment and Speculation in the Crypto Market: Understanding Correctly to Develop Appropriate Strategies
In finance in general and especially in the crypto market specifically, the two concepts of investment and speculation are frequently mentioned. Although both aim for profit, their approaches, levels of risk, and visions are completely different. Many newcomers to Crypto often confuse these two concepts, leading to misguided strategies and unnecessary risks.
1. What is speculation?
In the field of finance, speculation is understood as the act of buying and selling various assets such as stocks, foreign currencies, commodities, real estate, or Crypto with the main purpose of making a profit from short-term market fluctuations.
1. What is speculation?
In the field of finance, speculation is understood as the act of buying and selling various assets such as stocks, foreign currencies, commodities, real estate, or Crypto with the main purpose of making a profit from short-term market fluctuations.
Why is the capital flow from Gold not flowing into Bitcoin?
Recently, many people are wondering why gold keeps soaring while Bitcoin remains sluggish, even though both are labeled as inflation-resistant assets. The reality is the "Debasement Trade" – the game of protecting assets when currency depreciates – is currently split into two very distinct halves.
The biggest reason lies in the story of China. Currently, China is injecting massive liquidity to address the enormous debt and save an economy that is trending away from the Renminbi. When the excess liquidity from China flows out, it immediately seeks gold and domestic securities. Unfortunately, Bitcoin is still banned here, so this huge capital simply has no way to flow into BTC. It is "trapped" in gold and traditional channels, pushing gold prices to new heights while #Bitcoin remains on the sidelines.
The biggest reason lies in the story of China. Currently, China is injecting massive liquidity to address the enormous debt and save an economy that is trending away from the Renminbi. When the excess liquidity from China flows out, it immediately seeks gold and domestic securities. Unfortunately, Bitcoin is still banned here, so this huge capital simply has no way to flow into BTC. It is "trapped" in gold and traditional channels, pushing gold prices to new heights while #Bitcoin remains on the sidelines.
RUMOR: Bitcoin was created by the Jews, not by a Japanese programmer as everyone previously knew, this news was revealed through documents related to Jeffrey Epstein.
MARKET PREDICTION 2026: THE SHIFT FROM SPECULATION TO SUSTAINABLE STRUCTURE
Looking ahead to 2026, reports from leading research organizations (Delphi, Messari, a16z) all agree on a model shift. The era of pure speculative cycles has ended, making way for sustainable investments.
KEY TAKEAWAYS
The end of the '4-Year Cycle': The Halving model that creates speculative cycles is becoming outdated. Value will no longer increase according to short-term hype waves but will accumulate into assets with the Real Yield model and practical applications.
KEY TAKEAWAYS
The end of the '4-Year Cycle': The Halving model that creates speculative cycles is becoming outdated. Value will no longer increase according to short-term hype waves but will accumulate into assets with the Real Yield model and practical applications.
Privacy Narrative Analysis
In the context of the Crypto market being strongly divided between institutional money and Crypto users, the Privacy Asset segment is emerging as an independent defensive infrastructure layer away from the Yield cycle and speculation. The rise of Privacy, as well as the technological shift from traditional Mixer models to Privacy-as-a-layer based on ZK and FHE, demonstrates why privacy is gradually becoming a core infrastructure component of DeFi.
Bitcoin price plummets, Strategy whale has begun to incur losses
In the context of Bitcoin's sharp correction at the beginning of 2026, the large-scale BTC accumulation strategy of Strategy, a company associated with Michael Saylor, is at risk of continuing to remain in a state of paper losses. According to data from the Binance exchange, the price of Bitcoin has at one point dropped to 74,700 USD, below the average price of 76,502 USD for this organization.
Data aggregated from Saylor Tracker shows that Strategy currently holds over 713,500 BTC, with a total estimated value of around 55.78 billion USD. The average purchase price of the entire portfolio has been pushed up to about 76,052 USD/BTC, making this asset particularly sensitive to market downturns.
Data aggregated from Saylor Tracker shows that Strategy currently holds over 713,500 BTC, with a total estimated value of around 55.78 billion USD. The average purchase price of the entire portfolio has been pushed up to about 76,052 USD/BTC, making this asset particularly sensitive to market downturns.
Login to explore more contents