IamKo

$BTC Now let’s be honest, it’s not that obvious ;)

Large short-liquidation clusters are concentrated in the range $64,000 — $66,000

A huge volume of buyers’ stops and liquidations has accumulated in the corridor $57,000 — $62,000.

⚠️🇮🇷#иран #геополитика
Трамп заявил, что США не пытаются вести прямые переговоры с КСИР. По Ирану он не спешит. Обещает разбомбить Оман, если тот встанет на пути США — интервью Fox News

⚠️🇺🇸 #пузыри #ии #акции #сша #warning
WSJ подсчитал забалансовые инвестобязательства американских ии-бигтехов. Размер составил $3 трлн при капексе всего лишь в $600 млрд. Финансовый аналитик Алекс Крюгер назвал это «крупнейшим пузырём в истории фондового рынка».

Найбільша у світі криптобіржа Binance передала російським силовикам дані свого клієнта, який донатив на ЗСУ.

Binance надала російським слідчим інформацію про транзакції російського айтівця Юрія Бєлєнького, який із січня 2023 року до березня 2024-го переказав понад $700 у криптовалюті українським військовим, зокрема бригаді «Азов».

Ці дані використали як доказ у справі про «фінансування тероризму». Бєлєнького затримали, наразі він перебуває в російському СІЗО в очікуванні суду.

#BinanceЛяТиКриса

🗄🇺🇸Nasdaq 100 in real terms

➖The chart clearly shows that a bubble in the AI sector may already have formed

➖The current rise looks outrageous. But it managed to push the S&P 500 all the way to the final target of 7800-8000 points.

➖Perhaps, a reversal is being formed right now

➖Buying big tech as an investment is very dangerous

🗄🇺🇸S&P 500 in real terms:

➖All market crashes fairly closely follow the technical logic of the chart. For the most part, they begin from the dashed line. The only exception is the dot-com bubble in 2000–2002.

➖In 2024, a new crisis was supposed to happen. But the situation was changed by accelerating the AI sector. The market entered a bubble mode like in 2000–2002.

➖In terms of technical logic, the new crisis should start from the solid green line. That’s 7800–8000 points. Quotes are already in this zone.

➖Most likely, the current rise is the final rally up to the green line. After that, the probability of a crisis will sharply increase.

WATCHLIST FOR AUGUST 14

Today I’m only looking at assets with a clear level or a specific driver. All instruments from the list are available on BingX.

CRYPTO

$BTC

The main market benchmark. Support - $63K, resistance - $64.5-65.2K. Exiting this range will set the direction for most coins.

$ETH

I’m interested in the reaction at $1,900. A hold above $1,940 will open the way to $1,980. Losing $1,855 will pull the price back toward $1,810.

$SOL

Stays within the $72-78 range. Holding $72-73 and breaking out above $75.8 could accelerate the move toward $78. Below $72, the structure will weaken.

BINGX TRADFI

$SOXL

The main driver is the drop in $AMAT after a strong earnings report. Semiconductors may open with increased volatility. I’m watching the reaction in the first 30-60 minutes of the US session.

$GOLD

Price is around $4,327. Support - $4,300, resistance - $4,400. Today’s data could drive a move via the dollar and bond yields.

$OIL WTI

Price is holding around $81.3. Support - $80-81, resistance - $83-84. The main driver is US statements about Iran and news from the Strait of Hormuz.

This is a watchlist. I will consider entries only after a reaction from the specified levels.

✅ I remind you that at this stage cooperation costs only 200 USDT

$BTC йде in the channel according to the plan.

🗄Fresh statistical projection of the movement #Btcoin for 6 months ahead — weekly chart

➖Like any projection, it changes depending on the current price movement

➖You don't need to trade based on it, but it helps visualize the projection from the current situation from a statistical perspective

➖The projection still indicates the possibility of a deeper drop toward $40 000 before a rise to $90 000. The question is whether the decline will be realized?

🗄Areas where #Bitcoin may bounce/adjust or reverse.

➖The red line marks the level whose attainment will indicate that the current zone is broken and the next one is brought into play.

➖These are not signals, but within the zones you can look for trade setup options. Red lines can be used as a reference point for your stop.

➖The nearest bounce zone is $BTC $49,000 — 58,000. It matches the basic target of the downtrend model $45,000 — 55,000. This increases the chances of a strong bounce or a reversal if it is reached.

🖼Picture in 🌎#Bitcoin - chart D1:

➖A bearish trending channel is in effect. Prices are located at its upper part. They have risen above the trend resistance. There is no room for growth—only if the channel is not broken. For a decline, there is plenty of space.

➖A bearish price pattern is in effect, with the base target $45,000 — $55,000 not yet achieved. This is confusing.

➖Prices are within the intermediate support area $62,000 — $64,000. If a breakout/hold above $64,000 occurs, growth to 72,000 -74,000 will become available.

➖If it holds below $BTC $62,000, then a drop to the base target will become available. Here ($45,000 – 55,000), a reversal will be more likely.

➖The daily indicator of statistical overheat is in the neutral zone.

📢Personal opinion: the nearest rebound zone is at levels $49,000 — $57,000. It aligns with the base target $45,000 — $55,000. Relatively safe buys could be possible here.

$BTC hello!

for the second wave of positivity after #NFР we need to show slowing inflation. then BTC could target the old FVG 68-70.

so that bitcoin goes down, inflation CPI needs to rise above 3.8%. right now everyone is waiting for the data that inflation will grow. in my view, this is fake news. they may falsify #CPI after Trump fired the BLS chairman last year.

i believe the Fed rate in September will not be raised, and bitcoin will be dumped not based on the inflation data on Wednesday, but on another event.

🗄Correction Index 🇺🇸S&P 500 maintains signals of an approaching correction

➖The index responds only to macroeconomic factors

➖A normal correction is 5–7%

➖In most cases, the correction occurs within 2 months after the signal. The temporary reference point is the beginning of the 20th of June. There is no price for the reference point.

➖In this situation, it’s difficult to buy. Trades should be considered risky

🗄From the perspective of macro factors, the index 🇺🇸S&P 500 over the past week — has improved

➖According to the latest data, economic activity accelerated in July after neutral dynamics in May and a decline in June. This is a major positive for 🇺🇸S&P 500. There are grounds for growth out of the sideways range in August. It may have already started.

➖🇺🇸🏛The policy rate in July 2026 remained at 3.75%. This is negative. The Fed signals the possibility of raising the rate.

➖The acceleration of economic activity in July creates conditions for S&P 500 to rise from the June and July consolidation.

$BTC 🗄Areas where Bitcoin may bounce/correct or reverse.

➖The red line indicates a level whose achievement will signal a break of the current zone and the activation of the next one.

➖These are not signals, but within the zones you can look for trade setups. Red lines can be used as a reference for a stop-loss.

➖The nearest bounce zone is $49,000 — $58,000. It matches the base target of the bearish model $45,000 — $55,000. This increases the chances of a strong bounce or reversal if it is reached.

$BTC 🖼Painting in 🌎Bitcoin - D1 chart:

➖A downward trend channel is in effect. Prices are at its upper part. They have hit trend resistance. There is no room for growth. But only if the channel is not broken. There is plenty of room for a drop.

➖A bearish price pattern is in effect with an unfulfilled base target of $45 000 — 55 000. This is confusing.

➖Prices are slightly above the intermediate support $62 000 — 64 000, hinting at a move up to the nearest resistance $72 000 — 74 000

➖If it holds below $62 000, a drop to the base target will become available. Here ($45 000 – 55 000), a reversal will become more likely.

➖Daily indicator of statistical overheating in the neutral zone

📢Personal opinion: the nearest bounce zone is at levels $49 000 — 57 000. It coincides with the base target $45 000 — 55 000. Relatively safe buys may be possible here.

#Трамп :

The Iranian leadership is incredibly duplicitous! They ask for a meeting—some would even say “they’re pleading”—talks begin, and new meetings are planned in the near future, and yet they openly and proudly claim that no discussions are taking place, that nothing is being discussed, and that they only communicate with “Oman.”

Then they go on to tell their usual tall tales, claiming that they will “powerfully control” the Strait of Hormuz, while it is already fully controlled by the U.S. Navy and our “blockade,” or, as some call it, the “Steel Wall of the United States.”

Nothing can get into Iran if we don’t want it to, and nothing will get there until an agreement is reached or there is full capitulation. Whether Iran wants to admit it or not, we are, in fact, talking about solving the problem they created over decades.

It’s very simple: IRAN MUST NEVER HAVE NUCLEAR WEAPONS!