Staring at candlesticks is like searching for a sword in a boat! Top institutions are looking at this unique USD balance sheet.
In the crypto world, 95% of day traders wake up and the first thing they do is open TradingView to pull Fibonacci on the candlesticks, draw trendlines, and count waves. But have you noticed three frustrating issues: Highly subjective: The same candlestick can lead a hundred traders to draw a hundred different trendlines. When it breaks out, it's a 'bullish setup', and when it drops, it's 'the whales are playing us'. It’s all got some logic, but you can't really backtest it. Blindly guessing: Candlesticks only show you where the price has been, but they don’t tell you who moved it. You have no clue if it was BlackRock buying in or a retail trader with 100x leverage on the other side.
$BTC During the next part, I started reviewing the callbacks. The positions I placed today during the day were also almost without any error. For the long-term trades, I’ve already set up the short positions.
哈哥-玄武实验室
·
--
#每日加密投研BTC $BTC
9.2
🕯 Macro: Choppy trading with a bearish bias intraday. Yesterday’s ETF saw a modest outflow, but currently the main positions continue to be sold off. This has caused the concentration of holdings to keep declining. Be mindful of risks—any intraday rise is only a rebound.
✅ Support Levels: 76,500 75,500 74,800
✅ Resistance Levels: 77,500 78,300 79,200
🔽📉 Short Strategy Entry: Near the resistance level, open shorts in batches. Take Profit: 76,200 (initial). If the downtrend continues, look toward 75,000.
🔼📈 Long Strategy Entry: When price retraces to the 76,000 support and stabilizes, scale in with long positions. Take Profit: 78,000 (initial). If it breaks out, watch 79,500–80,000.
Intraday trading $DJT empty $DELL long $CRDO empty
Intraday research analysis: DJT is a company of Trump. Due to various political and policy reasons, the market has started going short on DJT. You can take a small intraday chase. DELL's quarterly earnings set a record; sentiment is in FOMO and the bias is bullish. After CRDO released its earnings report, the stock fell; you can chase a sentiment-driven bounce short.
🕯 Macro: Choppy trading with a bearish bias intraday. Yesterday’s ETF saw a modest outflow, but currently the main positions continue to be sold off. This has caused the concentration of holdings to keep declining. Be mindful of risks—any intraday rise is only a rebound.
✅ Support Levels: 76,500 75,500 74,800
✅ Resistance Levels: 77,500 78,300 79,200
🔽📉 Short Strategy Entry: Near the resistance level, open shorts in batches. Take Profit: 76,200 (initial). If the downtrend continues, look toward 75,000.
🔼📈 Long Strategy Entry: When price retraces to the 76,000 support and stabilizes, scale in with long positions. Take Profit: 78,000 (initial). If it breaks out, watch 79,500–80,000.
$SNDK On the SanDisk, there’s been downward pressure (selling pressure) and it’s struggling a bit—so we can make a small counter-move/little pullback. The support below is at 1515. A better support level is 1484.
Intraday Research & Analysis: TSLA—positive news for the Cybercab business; PANW—revenue higher than expected, which is favorable; IERN’s management clarified the reasons for the loss, and the market began to rebound.
🕯 Macro: Intraday range-bound with a slight bearish bias.
✅ Support levels: 77,800 77,300 76,500
✅ Resistance levels: 78,800 79,200 80,000
🔽📉 Short strategy Entry: When the price shows a reversal signal at 79,200 and the rally fails, short in batches. Take profit: 78,200 (initial); if the decline continues, look toward 77,600.
🔼📈 Long strategy Entry: After the price pulls back to 77,300 and the support holds, go long in batches. Take profit: 78,500 (initial); if it breaks through, look toward 79,200.
🕯 Macros: Last week, the net liquidity outflow of the US dollar continued to decline, which suggests that this week’s US stocks are unlikely to see any major upside breakout. For crypto, this week is still expected to trade sideways or move lower. Pay attention to risks: against the backdrop of falling macro liquidity, crypto is currently maintaining only a superficial prosperity—there is still a lack of real liquidity underneath.
Intraday: slightly bearish with sideways-to-down bias. Watch the intraday range. For range trading, focus on 76,800–78,500 USD.
Intra-day research & analysis: PYPL (payment giant PayPal) is bearish due to its current acquisition negotiations. MRVL: earnings slightly exceeded expectations, but concerns about whether it can justify a high valuation make it sentiment-bearish. IERN: net loss was worse than expected.
$CRM Too strong. We boarded with long positions at the 232.08 level yesterday. Trading US stock index futures during the day feels much more comfortable than crypto.
Macro: Intraday consolidation with a slight bullish bias. Short-term is a bit overheated—be careful of a spike followed by a pullback. Intraday fluctuation range: 78,000~81,000 ✅ Support levels: 80,000 79,300 78,500 ✅ Resistance levels: 81,000 82,000 83,000
$BTC 1. Yesterday, ETFs and stablecoins were still seeing significant inflows. The bid below is strong, but there is also overhead selling pressure, so the main focus intraday is range-bound movement. Long on dips and short on highs are the main approach.
▎ Long conditions: Entry: When price retests the 63,500 support and stabilizes, you can go long in batches. Take profit: $64,800; if momentum is strong, look for $65,500.
▎ Short conditions: Entry: If price is rejected at the $64,800 resistance zone. If volume is insufficient and clearly suppressed, you may open a short. Take profit: 63,500 (initial); if the bears strengthen, look for 62,800.
Brothers investing in US stocks, this is the target selected in today’s research: $MU $TSM $META CGNX
Among them, META is triggered by a short-term event. Its long-term rating is neutral, but in the short term, due to positive news from AI models and AI chips, the stock price has risen in the short run. You can follow along and take a short-term trade.
They are all bullish. Find your own entry levels. However, the US stock market is quite volatile, so a grid strategy is the best approach #美股超话
My long multi-grid positions are continuously held, and they haven’t turned bad in the long run—everything is fine. Added 3 observation targets $CGNX.US $AAPL $POET.US
$BTC Intraday thoughts still lean bullish, but don’t chase at the current price. The levels below are set up to wait in advance, but intraday likely won’t go too deep.