$XAU The underlying fundamentals remain intact: purchases by central banks, U.S. fiscal deficits, structural weakness of the dollar, and persistent geopolitical risk
Even though organizations such as J.P. Morgan point to 6k by year-end and Goldman/HSBC/StoneX manage ranges of $4,000–4,900 (it’s one possible scenario
In the short term it’s an asset that has already risen a lot…. #XAU
#STOCK Key points from the macroeconomic outlook for US stocks this week (August 17 to August 18):
*The central theme for US stocks this week centers on a “deep read” of the minutes from the Federal Reserve’s July meeting (watch for whether dovish or hawkish voices are isolated and their impact on the September rate-hike pricing), the continued validation of consumption and the real estate sector resilience through housing data and retail/sales and financial reports, and guidance related to the AI infrastructure segment (Fabrinet’s optical interconnect, ADI energy sources/data centers). August 17 (Monday) 1. The United States will release the New York Fed’s August manufacturing index (Empire State), the NAHB August homebuilders index; and June ICT capital flow data; 2. Fabrinet (FN) will publish its financial reports after the market close (validating demand for optical interconnects for AI data centers, DCI modules and optical communications, with close attention); 3. China will publish data such as industrial value added, retail sales, and investment in fixed assets for July (which affect global risk appetite and the reflection of foreign-listed Chinese companies).
August 18 (Tuesday) - The United States will release July building permits and housing starts, import/export price indices, industrial production and the capacity utilization rate, and pending home sales; - Home Depot (HD) will publish its financial reports before the start of trading, with the core validation of demand for home improvement $BTC $XAU $ETH
The bullish structure remains intact on 1H, marking a solid sequence of successively higher highs and lows (HH / HL). After the last reaction from the higher low (HL at $336.00), the price broke above the local ceiling to print a new HH at $348.00 and is currently trading at $342.40, consolidating in the upper range toward the larger supply zone.
🔹 Price Action Levels:
• Resistance:
$348.00 (HH): Immediate resistance and the recent swing high to break. $354.05 - $362.00 (HB - DP 1D / HH Macro): Main daily supply block and a higher structural barrier. $364.53: Macro break level and an extended bullish target.
• Supports:
$336.00 (HL): Most recent higher low and the first primary support $320.00 - $321.00 (DJ - DP / QML?): Structural demand base and invalidation point for the trend
- Scenario Plan:
Bullish Continuation: Break and consolidate above $348.00 Technical Pullback: An orderly retracement back toward HL ($336) $TSLA
✅ FOR (macro): • Double inflation data coming this week (CPI + PPI) • PPI feeds into the PCE, the indicator the Fed watches → strengthens the case for not raising rates • Rate hike odds in September fall to ~33%
❌ AGAINST (geopolitics): • Iran said there are no advances in the ceasefire talks • The Strait of Hormuz remains closed → as long as there is no peace, it’s hard for a risk asset like BTC to sustain rebounds • Trading volume at 3-year lows → little "fuel" to break the range
📊 SUI/USDT — 1H 🔹 Current situation: SUI is at 0.6879, moving within a descending structure outlined by the yellow guideline. 🟡 Key support: 0.6799. As long as this zone holds, the price could attempt to form a rebound.
🎯 Main resistance: 0.7037. A breakout with volume would be a fairly positive signal and could pave the way toward 0.7100-0.7150.
📉 Volume has been declining during consolidation, so it would be important to wait for a volume expansion to confirm the move. $SUI
SPCX maintains a moderately bullish structure. The moving average alignment is favorable: EMA5 at 137.11 > EMA10 at 136.51 > EMA20 at 134.19 > EMA120 at 122.00. This indicates that the recent rebound is not limited to an intraday move, but has also improved the medium-term trend. However, the reference price, around 138.53, is just below an important supply zone. Therefore, the trend remains positive, but the room for immediate upside is smaller and the probability of consolidation or pullback before a new bullish leg increases. $SPCX
Data: 🚀 Rocket Lab (RKLB) Q2 2026: record revenue and pending orders exceed $2.3 billion! Key data: - Revenue: $234 million, a year-over-year increase of 62%, reaching a new high - Backlog: $2,360 million, setting a new record and reflecting strong demand - Forward guidance: Q3 revenue guidance beats expectations, and the growth momentum remains
Senate deadline for the CLARITY Act (August 10): Last window for a vote on a major cryptocurrency regulation in the United States.
Federal Reserve interest rate decision (September 17): Possible first rate hike since the easing cycle began, with an impact on liquidity in the cryptocurrency market.
Glamsterdam mainnet launch (September 16): A major Ethereum upgrade goes live, focused on a fundamental protocol restructuring.
Effective date of Russia’s crypto law (September 1): A new regulatory framework for trading and custody begins, with a transition period.
U.S. midterm elections (November 3): The outcome could determine control of Congress and the fate of future cryptocurrency legislation.
Bitcoin and other coins that are susceptible to these news $BTC $SOL $ETH
DATE: PRESIDENT TRUMP SAYS WE "MIGHT HAVE TO" INCREASE OIL PRICES. ...
IN OTHER NEWS, IRAN HAS WARNED GULF COUNTRIES THAT ANY NEW U.S. ATTACK ON ITS TERRITORY WOULD TRIGGER A RESPONSE AGAINST ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE AND U.S. ASSETS ACROSS THE GULF. THE FOREIGN MINISTER, ARAGHCHI, HAS URGED SAUDI ARABIA, QATAR, TURKEY, AND OTHER REGIONAL PARTNERS TO PRESS TRUMP TO AVOID MILITARY ACTION AND RESUME DIPLOMATIC CHANNELS, NOTING THAT IRAN IS PREPARED TO TAKE REVENGE, BUT WOULD PREFER A NEGOTIATED SOLUTION.
#STOCK【Anticipation of the Financial Report】🚀SpaceX 2026 T2: Starlink’s profit margin jumps sharply, and AI compute-capacity contracts increase in volume
(Financial report date: after the Aug 4 session)
1. Key points of interest: Focus on the qualitative transformation of Starlink’s profitability, as well as the initial rollout of the AI compute-capacity leasing business, to verify the results of its transition from a “rocket-launching model” to a dual-driven model of “space infrastructure + AI compute capacity.” 2. Key indicators: Starlink’s operating profit margin (which has risen to 35.9%) and the proportion of revenue from AI-related contracts—these are key metrics for measuring the monetization efficiency of its high-margin businesses. 3. Investment logic: If Starlink’s high profit margin holds steady and AI compute-capacity orders exceed expectations, SpaceX’s valuation system will be reconfigured as the “space version of AWS,” which will offset liquidity pressure stemming from the large share unlock in August. 4. Risk warning: It is necessary to monitor the short-term selling pressure caused by the August share unlock, as well as the potential disruption to its long-term monopoly position in space transportation if Starship’s flight-test progress does not meet expectations.
$1000RATS My first liquidation or account burn—since I was rushed, I put in or opened the trade in a short position. The high price volatility of the rats ate me up in 5 seconds after I’d been at 50% profit. A small mistake and the account was liquidated.
I had to restart again with 3 or 5 USDT. Good luck to the other new traders... #1000RATS/USDT
$XAU remains above the 5-, 10-, and 20-period moving averages, a sign that the short-term momentum has improved and buyers are taking control again. The decisive zone lies between 4,065 and 4,070. As long as gold holds that support, the scenario favors a bullish continuation toward 4,090–4,100. If it manages to break above that resistance with volume, the next target would be 4,120–4,140, where a more significant resistance would appear. If 4,065 is lost with a clear 4H close, the probability of a correction toward 4,045–4,035 would increase—an area where demand could re-enter before attempting a new push
According to the liquidation map on Coinglass, there is a high concentration of liquidations near ⬇️ $62,579 -⬆️ $64,162.
Watch out for possible volatility and a "SHORTS hunt"—there is a liquidation zone at the top of the chart; although the chart shows a bearish trend in the short term.
Key levels:
👉 Support $62,681 👉 Resistance $64,761
Be careful!
The chart shows that it’s trading within a range on the HTF, with a short liquidation zone of $27.90M at $64.162, and long liquidations of $25.42M at $62.579👀 $BTC #analisis
According to the liquidation map on CoinGlass, there is a high concentration of liquidations near ⬇️ $63.100 -⬆️ $65.324.
Watch out for possible volatility and a “LONGS hunt.” There is a liquidation zone at the top of the chart, even though the chart shows a bearish trend in the short term.
Key levels:
👉 Support $63.565 👉 Resistance $65.687
⚠️ Caution!
The chart shows that it is trading within a range on the HTF, with a shorts liquidation zone of $23.10M at $65.324 and longs liquidation of $20.45M at $63.100👀
#DOGS some time ago I had this coin, I don't remember exactly how much it was, but now that I'm using Binance again, the coin has devalued. This value 😳
Litecoin increased by 46% between February 2 and February 19, demonstrating growing investor interest. Part of this growth comes from "its strong increase in network utility, which has been processing $9.6 billion in daily transaction volume over the past 7 days".
Litecoin had around $2.8 billion in daily transaction volume at the end of August, so current levels represent a 243% increase in five months. Additionally, LTC prices have doubled since early November, outperforming the overall cryptocurrency market, which has experienced gains of 42% during the same period. The Securities and Exchange Commission published a receipt on February 19 for a rule change for the listing of the CoinShares spot Litecoin ETF on Nasdaq.
For its part, the Litecoin ETF from Canary Capital was listed in the Depository Trust and Clearing Corporation (DTCC) system with the ticker LTCC on February 20.
The DTCC is a key piece of global financial markets and processes trillions of dollars in securities transactions every day, explained the Litecoin Foundation, which added: "It is a key preparatory step for the potential launch of the fund". Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas warned that this does not mean the product is approved or ready to start trading, "but it shows that the issuer is making preparations for when it is." He added that analysts' odds of it being approved this year remain at 90%.
FTX was a cryptocurrency exchange founded in 2019 by Sam Bankman-Fried and Gary Wang. It was the world's third-largest cryptocurrency exchange by volume, but collapsed in November 2022 after it was revealed that the company had been embezzling customer funds.
The collapse of FTX led to a sharp drop in the price of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, and also damaged the industry as a whole. Sam Bankman-Fried, the founder of FTX, was arrested and charged with fraud. He is currently awaiting trial.
FTX has announced plans for upcoming repayments to creditors of the bankrupt cryptocurrency exchange after initiating its first round of repayments on February 18.
According to a February 18 announcement, the next distribution of refunds will take place on May 30, 2025, for holders of allowed claims from “Class 5 Customer Entitlement Claims and Class 6 General Unsecured Claims.” This includes customers who held assets on the platform when it collapsed and other creditors, such as vendors and business partners.
FTX’s next round of payouts requires creditors to have verified claims by the April 11 deadline to qualify for the distribution.
NEWS $BTC Leveraged long positions on Bitfinex have increased to $5.1 billion on February 19. This sharp increase has sparked speculation that whales are preparing for a bull market. The mystery surrounding this bullish move deepens as the BTC price has remained stable near $96,000 since February 5. Traders are wondering if this signals an upcoming bull run. Bitfinex traders are known for quickly opening or closing Bitcoin margin positions of $100. This suggests that whales and large arbitrage desks are active in the market. Currently, Bitcoin margin on Bitfinex has reached 54,595 BTC, the highest level in almost three months. This increase is largely due to the low annual interest rate of 0.44% offered on the platform.
Regardless of the reason behind these large margin long positions, lending markets are currently showing a strong bias towards bullish bets on BTC. The low cost of borrowing Bitcoin creates opportunities for market-neutral arbitrage, allowing traders to take advantage of low interest rates.
For comparison, the annualized funding rate for Bitcoin perpetual futures is 10%. This difference between margin and futures markets creates an opportunity for the ‘cash and carry’ strategy. In this strategy, traders buy Bitcoin on the spot market and sell BTC futures at the same time to profit from the price difference.
On February 19, the S&P 500 index hit an all-time high, while gold, another safe haven asset, rose to $2,930, approaching its record high. These moves indicate that investors are positioning for inflationary risks, reinforcing BTC's upside potential as the asset transitions from a speculative bet to a global hedge backed by sovereign wealth funds like Abu Dhabi's Mubadala.