顾景辞

Gu Jingci: 8.1 Some Views on Rate Hikes, Rate Cuts, and Remarks by Wosh

In recent times, the market trend for Bitcoin/Ethereum has been relatively dull. In such a行情走势, if you don’t have patience, you’ll end up in a bloody mess. We’ve been reminding everyone to hold firm—hold steadfast, and even though the overall range isn’t huge, there’s still decent room for movement. Over the weekend, the market mainly traded sideways with some oscillation, and opportunities were only left for those who were prepared. As for the current market, today I’ll talk about something else: some differences between Powell and Wosh during their tenures.

First of all, I’m increasingly feeling that Wosh is like Trump’s lapdog. When he first took office, he emphasized a hawkish stance—rate hikes and fighting inflation. Later on, it became nothing but delay: inflation stayed high, then it was “just look at the data.” After one piece of data, there was still more data to look at. Then he went after investigators—once an investigation starts, it takes months. In the end, it still drags on.

And what Trump wants now is simply to delay. After all, the U.S. midterm elections are coming up. As long as they don’t raise rates, that’s good news for him. There’s a saying like this: when your enemy takes a neutral stance, it’s actually helping you. And right now, that’s exactly Wosh’s position.

Secondly, Powell is direct whether it’s rate hikes or rate cuts. His statements are also very straightforward. If inflation is the situation and rates aren’t being raised, then he’s hawkish—plain and simple. By contrast, with Wosh, after he finishes speaking, you don’t even know what he was trying to say. The key is that he sets his stance at the beginning, and later speeches won’t provide forward-looking guidance. That’s clearly not just inefficiency—it’s basically cheating from the start.

Initial estimates suggest that in the future Wosh will keep finding reasons to postpone—mainly basing everything on the data. Even setting up a commission of inquiry will require results by the end of the year. By then, the midterm elections will already be over, and whether they hike rates or not won’t matter anymore. Also, this might be determined by the current conditions in the U.S. After all, rate hikes ended a few years ago and there were initial rate cuts. Now going back to rate hikes is not good for them. So it will just be more and more delaying.

#WTI原油触及85美元 #亚马逊将2026资本支出上调至2200亿美元 #Japan-U.S. joint intervention in yen for the first time in nearly 30 years

Gu Jingci: Since Bitcoin/Ethereum surged higher, all the publicly positioned short-sells that were taken after the rally have been closed

For the rally-short ideas that were repeatedly mentioned for Bitcoin/Ethereum in this period—starting from the highs of 65,200 and above 1,965, then repeatedly reminding to enter shorts around 1,930 and 1,920—the entire upside/downside space was clearly visible. I believe friends who followed this play during this time can secure a very good range.#黄金回落 #美国二季度GDP增长1.5% #Citadel discounted buy-inSituationalAwareness holdings

Gu Jingci: Bitcoin/Ethereum short-term ideas once again successfully verified

The short-selling ideas of 64900 and 1920 laid out at last night’s current prices for Bitcoin/Ethereum saw the market rise and then fall, and as of now the lows have reached around 63600 and 1870. The shorts have once again captured a good amount of upside/downside range—congratulations to friends who followed the idea successfully.#Citadel折价接盘SituationalAwareness持股 #沙特油轮绕行非洲避红海 #Oman crude oil September official selling price falls

Gu Jingci: 7.30 Bitcoin/Ethereum Evening Trading Strategy with Market Analysis

In the past few days, the short ideas above 1965, 1930, and 1920 that have been publicly laid out for Bitcoin/Ethereum repeatedly spiked and then fell back. Overall, the space is quite clear. After the U.S. June PCE data was released this evening, there wasn’t the expected renewed surge to the upside—so it’s fair to say the move was somewhat overestimated. After all, the evening data reflects last month’s figures. When the CPI data came out earlier, it delivered a major positive catalyst that drove the crypto market higher, and the PCE data is also linked to the same CPI momentum. The result is what we see now. So the trend is relatively clear: if the price surges again, continue to enter shorts on higher levels. As for the big BTC position, I didn’t plan it yesterday because I considered a rebound was likely—and now it’s right on time.

Evening trading suggestions: For Bitcoin, short directly around the current price of 64900, targeting 62000 to 63000. For Ethereum, short directly around 1920, targeting 1830 to 1860. Brother Sun 65800 and 1960. #SpaceX延续跌势 #韩国拟暂停可疑加密账户支付 #China Resources Jichuang, stock first day down 12.77%

Gu Jingci: Yesterday repeatedly reminded to open a short position on Ethereum above 1920

Yesterday, Ethereum repeatedly spiked up to the 1920–1930 area and then fell back, dropping after multiple attempts. He said he had arranged and added short positions on every pull-up, all of which reached their targets as expected. The overall room for profit is evident to all. He believes that friends who have followed the Silk Road were able to capture a good amount of upside.#韩国拟暂停可疑加密账户支付 #美国30年期国债收益率升至近5.23% #Korean stock market rebounded due to Samsung’s earnings report

Gu Jingci: In the evening, we were talking about how it will most likely keep interest rates unchanged; there may be a spike. That would be the best time to enter the last short position#华尔街争售SpaceX挂钩避险产品 #韩国限制杠杆ETF交易 #Iran launches a ballistic missile at Jordan

Yesterday we mentioned dry ice above uni 3.9 in the bottle. In the early session it also came to 3.73. The overall space is all visible: #SK海力士韩股重挫19% #BNB链将进行硬分叉升级 #Korea’s FSC plans to roll out a basic law on digital assets

Gu Jingci: 7.29 Bitcoin/Ethereum Trading Strategy + Market Analysis

In the past few days, Bitcoin/Ethereum has repeatedly swung within a narrow range. Our previously published plans to go long and short at higher levels also fell as expected. Yesterday, we executed the short strategy twice in succession. After tapping down from above 1890 to 1855, the evening short that entered at 1915 then pulled back from 1883—both moves clearly left room. Now that the market has begun another rebound, there’s no need to say more: we’ll again provide an opportunity to enter a short position. The daily and 4-hour charts show signs of dulling, continuity is not strong, and the amplitude is gradually narrowing—this is also a signal that the market is gradually turning. Don’t chase longs when prices rise; enter shorts on rallies.

Trading suggestion: For Ethereum, enter a short at the current price of 1920. Targets are around 1830 to 1860.

The analysis and strategy are for reference only; risks are yours to bear. Since the article is reviewed and published, it does not have real-time timeliness—please refer to live conditions for specifics! #SK海力士韩股重挫19% #韩股因SK海力士财报连续第二日下跌 # Trump plans to ban Chinese robots and inverters

Gu Jingci: 7.28 Bitcoin/Ethereum Evening Trading Strategy + Market Review

Yesterday, I planned a short near 65,200 for Bitcoin and above 1,965 for Ethereum. After dropping in the early hours to around 63,000 and 1,865, I set up another short near 1,890 and around 63,600 in the afternoon today. In the evening, price probed down to the 62,700 and 1,855 zone. From these two trades, Big Coin and Ether together captured nearly 3,000 points and 140 points of upside/downside room. The overall potential is clearly visible. At the moment, the market has again surged in the evening. In the short term, the hourly line around 1,940 and 64,300 is under pressure; any push higher is also precisely the opportunity to enter shorts again. Don’t chase longs in the topping scenario—wait for opportunities and short on strength.

Evening trading suggestions: For Bitcoin, enter a short around 63,900; targets are 61,500 to 62,500. For Ethereum, with the price around 1,915, continue to enter shorts; targets are 1,830 to 1,860.

Analysis and strategy are for reference only. Risk is your own responsibility. The article’s review and publication may not be timely; please rely on real-time conditions! #韩国KOSPI暴跌11%因中国DUV威胁 #美国国债收益率回落 #Visa plans to lay off 2,600 people; to further boost stablecoins

Gu Jingci: 7.28 Bitcoin/Ethereum rise as expected and then pull back; see subsequent strategy analysis

Yesterday’s plan for Bitcoin/Ethereum was to go short above 65,200 and 1,965. After the price surged higher, it dropped to around 63,000 and 1,865, capturing 2,200 points in Bitcoin and 100 points in Ethereum. During yesterday’s rally, I believe many people chased longs, especially since so many have been rebutting my short thesis. After dipping, the market has been consolidating and hovering, while the moving averages have turned down again. Going forward, we need to watch whether the market has the ability to continue. Both the 4-hour and daily charts show a high-volume large bearish candle, indicating that bearish power is strong. The latest 4-hour candle is a small bearish candle accompanied by decreasing volume, suggesting that the short-term downside momentum is weakening, and the market is entering a consolidation or hesitation phase.

On the daily chart, a bearish engulfing pattern has formed along with extremely high volume, confirming a short-term trend reversal with bears in control. In terms of indicators, the MACD (4-hour) DIF line has already crossed below the DEA line; the MACD histogram is negative and continues to expand, indicating that the bearish trend is established and strengthening. On the daily chart, the MA moving averages have also started turning down and are pressing around 1,900 and 64,500, showing that the trend may continue to weaken.

Trading recommendation: For Bitcoin, continue to short around 63,600 to 64,000, targeting 61,500 to 62,500. For Ethereum, continue to short around 1,890 to 1,900, targeting 1,800 to 1,840.

This analysis and strategy are for reference only; risks are your own to bear. The article review and publication do not have real-time timeliness; please rely on the current market conditions. #韩议员拟就杠杆ETF亏损索国家赔偿 #韩国散户净买美股超5万亿韩元 #SK Hynix down 13%, South Korea’s KOSPI down 10%

Gu Jingci: Bitcoin/Ethereum short positions rebound as planned and then fall back

The Bitcoin/Ethereum short ideas laid out again yesterday—short positions above 1965 and 65200. After the market surged higher, it fell back and declined as expected. As of now, the low has reached around 63000 and 1865. The overall short room has been maximized directly. During yesterday’s process of taking shorts, many people commented that we should go long, even saying things like “buy the pullback.” Now they’re trapped in their positions. The fact is, the market is down—facts speak. Congratulations to the friends who followed Silu and successfully captured a good amount of movement. #美国存储股扩大跌幅 #以太坊逼近2000美元 # Oil has fallen by about 6%

Gu Jingci: 7.27 Bitcoin/Ethereum Trading Strategy with Market Analysis

In the past few days, both Bitcoin and Ethereum have repeatedly surged higher. Especially for Ethereum, it has broken through the recent daily high; the highest point reached has been around 1982. I previously said that as long as the price rises during the rally, Bitcoin should mainly watch the important resistance around the prior daily high of 67300, while Ethereum should focus on the locked-in trapped positions around 1980. During the morning session, as the market surged higher, Ethereum just touched this area, started facing resistance and pulling back. Since it did not effectively break above and hold, you can continue to raise the level and sell short on the highs, gradually looking for downside. As for Bitcoin, during the morning session it did not break above 66000, the recent resistance level. Going forward, you only need to keep an eye on this area.

Trading recommendations: For Bitcoin, enter short around 65200 to 65500, with targets at 62500 to 63500. For Ethereum, enter short around 1965 to 1975, with targets at 1850 to 1900. For “侄孙66500及1990即可” (as written), use 66500 and 1990 accordingly. #原油一度跌破90美元 #布伦特原油跌约6% #AI担忧致10只标普500成分股跌超40%

Every day, we’re here—not to prove how high the win rate is. We just want to tell you: our team has always been here, monitoring the market around the clock—professional and reliable. Analysis and strategies are for reference only; risks are your own responsibility. The publishing and review of articles may not be timely—please rely on real-time updates! #CLARITY法案拟奖励白帽黑客 #SpaceX星舰完成上市后首次成功试飞 #NVIDIA and SK Hynix have reached a $500 billion AI cooperation

Gu Jingci: On 7.25, Bitcoin/Ethereum lifted up to push shorts higher and keep holding the short positions all the way through. More upside attempts in the evening—continue to short

In the earlier stage of the Bitcoin/Ethereum move, as the price climbed, many kept insisting on going long. Here, we remain firmly bearish; we called it bearish multiple times and captured more than 4,000 points and 120 points of room. After the recent drop, the market has consolidated and traded sideways overall with a relatively narrow range. More than anything, it looks like a continuation pattern after the selloff. The 4-hour chart and the daily chart both show that the market has been clearly in a downtrend recently—especially with the daily chart printing a high-volume large bearish candle, which confirms the strength of the bears. After the 4-hour candlesticks experienced a heavy selloff with big volume, there was a slight rebound, but volume has shrunk. The rebound lacks strength, indicating the buying pressure is weak.

On technical indicators: the MACD shows both DIF and DEA running below the zero line, and DIF has crossed below DEA. The MACD histogram remains negative and keeps expanding, showing that the bearish trend is strong. Buying power is insufficient, and the current minor rebound lacks volume support. Both the 4-hour and daily timeframes are in a clear downtrend, and the momentum for a short-term rebound is not enough.

Evening trading suggestions: For Bitcoin, enter short around 64,200 to 64,500, with targets around 61,500 to 62,500; for Ethereum, enter short around 1,870 to 1,880, with targets around 1,780 to 1,820.

Analysis and strategy are for reference only. Risk is your own responsibility. The article is not published with real-time timeliness; the real-time situation will prevail! #SpaceX星舰完成上市后首次成功试飞 #英伟达与SK海力士达成5000亿美元AI合作 #Iran faces its first night of airstrikes by the US military in two weeks

Every day, and not to prove just how high our win rate is. We just want to tell you: our team has always been here—monitoring the market around the clock. Professional and reliable. Analysis and strategy are for reference only; risks are to be borne by you. The approval and publication of this article does not have timeliness—please rely on real-time updates. #比特币守稳6.54万美元科技七雄市值缩水7970亿美元 #沙特改道苏伊士运河出口原油 # $5 billion in Bitcoin options have accumulated—70,000 contracts and strike prices at $70,000 to $72,000.

Gu Jingci: Bitcoin/Ethereum short positions successfully taken down again

During the recent high-level consolidation of Bitcoin/Ethereum, I repeatedly reminded everyone to short above 66,700 and 1,930, add to the short position, and increase the short as the floating profit grew. In the early morning, the price dropped to around 64,600 and 1,860. Immediately afterward, during the daytime rally to higher levels, I again reminded everyone to short directly at the current price of 1,900 and 65,700. As of now, the low has reached around 63,700 and 1,847. With these two trades, Bitcoin captured a 4,000-point move and Ethereum captured a 120-point move. You can clearly see all of this in my previous posts. Congratulations to the friends who followed the thought process and successfully captured a solid range. #比特币守稳6.54万美元科技七雄市值缩水7970亿美元 #沙特改道苏伊士运河出口原油 #50亿美元比特币期权聚集7万与7.2万美元行权价

Gu Jingci: 7.24 Bitcoin/Ethereum Trading Strategy + Market Analysis

In the past few days, Bitcoin/Ethereum have been consolidating at high levels. We have repeatedly reminded you about the strategy of selling the rally (shorting on the rise) and adding to shorts. The price has continued to fall all the way to around 64,600 and 1,860, and the overall downside space is visible. Currently, the market has rebounded somewhat again, which also provides an opportunity to enter short positions. The 4-hour chart shows recent range-bound price action. The latest candlestick is a bullish candle, indicating that short-term buying pressure has strengthened. The daily chart yesterday printed a huge bearish candle with a long lower wick, showing that bearish strength is strong, but there is still buy-side support below. Today’s bullish rebound is in place, but it has not yet fully recovered yesterday’s losses. On the monthly chart, from July to date there is a large bullish candle, suggesting a strong rebound at the monthly level. However, it is still in the rebound phase within a long-term downtrend.

Technical indicators: On the 4-hour chart, both DIF and DEA are above the zero axis, but DIF has crossed below DEA. The MACD histogram is negative and converging, indicating that short-term bearish momentum is weakening, but the overall trend still leans bearish. On the monthly chart, last month’s sharp drop was accompanied by a huge volume expansion. This month’s rebound volume so far is relatively smaller. Pay attention to how volume changes going forward. The trend remains bearish overall, and rebounds are opportunities—what matters is whether you can take advantage of them.

Trading suggestions: For Bitcoin, at around 65,700, directly open a short position, targeting around 64,000. For Ethereum, at around 1,900, directly open a short position, targeting the 1,800 to 1,840 area. If the price breaks down further, continue to look toward 61,000 and around 1,730. The analysis and strategy are for reference only. Risk is your own responsibility. This article’s review and publication may not be timely; rely on real-time information! #美参议院否决伊朗战争权力决议 #Alphabet将资本支出上调至最高2050亿美元 #韩国KRX启动卖方Sidecar