小尘爱画浪

Market meme version: “DRG defeats RA in the VCT promotion match” is trending.
Trending heat: climbing all the way up.
The linked $SAND (24h +1.35%): still thinking about whether to jump on board.
Don’t just laugh—tell us in the comments how you feel about your current position.

This is not investment advice. Invest at your own risk.

$LITE 10 On October 13, I said it would test the 797–845 range; see Figure 1. It has now dipped slightly below the range, but the candle still closed above 797. Since price has reached this range, here are my thoughts.

The orange line is wave 1, the yellow line is wave 2-A, the first white line is wave 2-B-A, the green line is wave 2-B-B, the second white line is wave 2-B-C, and the pink line is either all or part of wave 2-C. A rise above 859.7 would confirm that the pink line has ended, and that a correction is underway—or that a new uptrend has begun. Since wave 2-B is a strong B wave, the odds of a new uptrend starting directly are very high.

LITE is a leader among the bulls. When tech stocks rebounded, it made a new high. Although this is a strong B wave, that doesn’t change the fact that LITE is where bullish strength is most concentrated. Tech is also nearing the end of its correction, so LITE is very likely to bottom and start rising before other tech stocks. I won’t easily give up the shares I bought near the bottom of the green-box range: either the major wave 3 reaches 1377–1495, where I’ll take profits, or price breaks decisively below the green box, where I’ll stop out.

$SKHYNIX As mentioned earlier, the fifth pink-line leg could only end after a rebound of more than 87,000 points. It has now successfully rebounded by more than 87,000 points, and the pink line’s decline has finally ended. The bulls can take a breather.

The orange line is wave 1, the yellow line is WXY, the green line is the XX wave, and the pink line is the Z-A wave. The pink line has now ended, and a correction is beginning. After the correction, there will still be a Z-C wave decline, which will continue to make new lows. Once the Z-C wave ends, there will be either a large-scale rebound or a new uptrend, recovering at least 70% of the decline. Resistance is at 1463000. A decline in the Z wave to 1144000–1103000 is the normal expectation.

$MU This chart has been drawn for two days, and the price has followed it exactly. That doesn’t mean I’m incredibly good at this; it means there’s a very strong consensus among the money in the market. Elliott Wave Theory is essentially a statistical theory: the cleaner the positioning and the stronger the consensus, the more closely the price action follows the waves. It’s simply beautiful to watch. I finally understand how Xiaoxianpai can take off just by looking at candlestick charts.

The orange line is wave 1, the yellow line is wave 2-A, and the green line is wave 2-B. The first three pink segments are part or all of wave 2-C. The white line and the fourth pink segment are just my wishful thinking. Here’s my speculative scenario: after rebounding into the 951–959 range, the price continues to fall and retests the bottom of the green box. If that level doesn’t hold, it could drop to 812–834. This decline will most likely be completed around the time of the Fed meeting. Once it ends, a major wave 3 rally should follow, with an initial target of 1596–1734.

📊 $H Token Unlock Data
▫️ Date: October 24 (in 3 days)
▫️ Amount: 293 million tokens
▫️ Value: Approximately $16.79 million
▫️ Share of circulating supply: 13.8%
▫️ Recipients: Team, ecosystem community, and early investors
▫️ Current price: 0.05949 (24h +5.8%)
Which signal would you trust?

#H

Crypto is risky; trade with caution.

As a seasoned crypto retail trader, when I first got into the scene, I loved chasing trending narratives and partnerships—whenever something hit the trending searches, I’d jump right in. Only later did I realize that by the time I saw it trending, the earliest money was often already taking profits.
This time, I saw “How Barcelona’s 11-match winning streak was ended by Paris Saint-Germain.” It corresponds to $CHZ (football fan token), up 1.97% over 24h. These days, I just watch and wait for volume to tell the story.

#CHZ

DYOR, and trade rationally.

MoonPay strikes strategic partnership with Dunamu, the parent company of an exchange, focusing on cross-border stablecoin payments | $BTC (+1.53%)
In the longer term, this is a positive. Whether it rises in the near term still depends on capital flows. Looking at just one day of data can be misleading; a week-long view gives a clearer picture.

NFA, DYOR.

🔍 Market data snapshot: Former research head at an exchange appointed head of Ethereum Institutional in the U.S.
$ETH 2453.78, up 2.33% in 24h, with 24h trading volume of $585 million.
Large-fund data should be assessed across three dimensions: its share of daily trading volume, whether the activity is sustained, and whether other institutions follow suit. On its own, this signal has limited significance.

#ETH

Markets involve risk. Trade with caution.

I don’t predict tops or bottoms; I adjust based on the signals the structure provides.
There’s one right in front of us: a 6.2% plunge to 0.6772 over $BR 1 hours.

Markets carry risks. Enter with caution.

💡 $QNT falls below the 200 level!
Don’t rush—understand the key price levels before making a move 👇
The longer it’s been since the price last reached this level, the more the distribution of positions around it may have changed. The balance of bullish and bearish forces from the past may no longer hold.
When the price returns to a level after many days, people who bought around that level before may sell to break even or add to their positions, often making trading more active.
Don’t place an order during the sharpest moment of volatility. Wait for the price to stabilize before deciding.

Crypto markets are volatile, so don’t use too much leverage.

Today's market comedy is served: Injective has partnered with South Korea's BDACS, with plans to bring the KRW1 Korean won stablecoin into the RWA ecosystem.
$INJ is currently at 8.772. Send this to that friend who says they're going to buy the dip every day.

Whether to buy is up to you—I'm just sharing.

Intraday | Project Updates
Grvt conducts its first buyback and burns 1.1 million GRVT, nearly 1% of the circulating supply
$GRVT 0.2476｜1h -2.02%｜24h +7.93%
What’s next: Can the buzz around the community discussion continue?

Just a personal opinion; it may not be accurate. Please treat it with caution.

Let’s discuss an easily overlooked point:
Tx launched the USTX stablecoin to attract RWA liquidity to its blockchain.
$BTC is currently trading at 81578.01. Hype can build and fade quickly, so what matters more is whether it lasts. How do you interpret these figures?

The above is a compilation of publicly available information. Please refer to the original sources.

$BTW 15 minutes: +3.98%, at 1.7691.
Tempted? Calculate your stop-loss first.

Just my personal opinion; don't treat it as a basis for buying or selling.

Market Notes｜$JCT ｜Daily RSI(14) 75.3｜Overbought
First, the definition: RSI is calculated using closing prices only. It doesn’t take trading volume into account or reflect intraday price spikes.
Now, how to read it: During a one-way rally, RSI can stay above 70 for quite a while. During a sustained decline, it can also remain below 30 for a long time. Overbought or oversold doesn’t mean a reversal is imminent.
Understanding this indicator helps you avoid being misled by a single number—it’s not for predicting tops or bottoms.

DYOR, and trade within your means.

News update: The National Cryptocurrency Association (NCA) submitted a comment letter to the Treasury Department on rules for Title III of the GENIUS Act. Signed by NCA Chair and Ripple Chief Legal Officer Stuart Alderoty, the letter puts forward three key recommendations.
$CLO is currently at 0.04188. Asset security comes first. How do you usually manage your wallets?

Just my personal opinion—not financial advice.

Why does Bitcoin often say “wait for 6 confirmations,” while Ethereum talks about “finality”?
Probabilistic finality is like a stack of papers that gets taller and taller: the more papers piled on top, the harder it is to pull out the one at the bottom. Deterministic finality is more like a signed contract—you can’t go back on it once it’s signed.
On chains using Tendermint (CometBFT) consensus, such as Cosmos Hub, a block is final as soon as it’s committed; there’s no need to wait for subsequent blocks.
When I first got into crypto, I thought knowing how to read candlestick charts was enough. Turns out, learning the rules is the first lesson.
Markets are always uncertain, so think ahead about what you’ll do if you’re wrong.
$ETH 2382.12（-2.27%）

Markets change in an instant. Make your own decisions.

💔 $ICNT broke below 0.16!
If this level gives way, people on the platform may panic for a while. But it’s only a real breakdown if the price can’t get back above it—let’s see where it closes!
Would you buy or sit on the sidelines?

#ICNT

Data is from publicly available sources. Please verify it yourself.

$MSTR The yellow line is wave 1 or wave A, and the green line shows a correction of the yellow line. The current rise is relatively weak, so I think wave Z has not yet ended. A drop to 132.8 seems reasonable. Once the correction is complete, there should be an upward move at the same degree as the yellow line, with an initial target of 195–205.

$ZEC As mentioned earlier, a break above the blue upper band would signal that the decline shown by the green line had run its course, ushering in a rebound or a new uptrend. So far, things are unfolding exactly as expected: each time the price touches the blue upper band, it continues to fall. However, the bears are clearly losing steam. The gap between each new low and the previous low is getting smaller, suggesting the correction is in its final stages and a rebound or a new uptrend is about to begin.