比特币预言家

Pick a lucky fan for 100u

Is there any fair way? Leave a comment and recommend one

Also, regarding the market situation

I’m afraid what I said earlier wasn’t clear enough. And the details are too complicated, and I’m afraid I’ll mislead you.

This time I’ll be more explicit:

On the weekend, I only suggest staying in cash.

Because on the weekend it’s in a blind state.

If you really want to trade more, I only suggest trying an ultra-short-term trade with zec, uni, sol.

In any other case, I only suggest going short or staying in cash.

Open a short around $ETH 2694; later add to the position depending on the situation. It has already reached 2691—there is a lot of resistance.

Once it’s about 13–17% down from the highest point, you should run. Best is to exit early, or set limit orders.

Usually after this drop cycle, there will be another—an ultra-fast dump, a sharp V-shaped selloff. The drop is roughly 3–5% lower than the previous cycle, entering the next cycle’s startup. That means you can place a sufficiently low take-profit for a short entry and also open a long.

For longs, to be safe choose sol. For a larger selection choose uni; for balance choose zec.

If you’re worried you won’t get filled, you can place limit orders for ten mainstream coins for a long—there’s always one that will get filled with an oversell. Just be sure to control position sizing.

BTC has extra support. Any other coin has the risk of rebounding against the trend.

Because they already dare to drop 13–15% points randomly—they finished the washout in stages long ago.

If you want to be safe, wait until Monday to see the signal. Even if you miss by a little price, the accuracy will skyrocket.

The weekend outlook is for a sideways, slightly upward trend.

Unfortunately, I was late.
Today it's already halfway up the mountain.
Bitcoin still needs some upward movement.
Ethereum is currently in debt, so it'll probably consolidate for a while to offset it.

Actually, the day before the Fed rate hike, when everyone was panicking,

I figured it out. Even ordinary people knew that this meant it had been digested by morning.

Based on the data, I was bullish and opened my heaviest long position in two months. Unfortunately, I opened on XRP, which had the lowest price increase. It had already surged during the previous rally and was digesting the gains.

And it always starts a beat late.

Now, almost all mainstream traders agree that after three or four sharp drops, there will be a sudden plunge to around 21-23 for Ethereum, followed by a surge to 3500+.

I feel this drop cycle might become smoother and more grueling.

A longer-than-expected slow decline followed by a sharp plunge.

Because the negative news has been fully priced in without a market crash, the real bulls and bears are playing rock-paper-scissors. The big drop will only occur when both sides play scissors, meaning they start shorting. Currently, it's confirmed that the bulls haven't reached a consensus yet.

Although it's time for a drop... However, some major institutional investors haven't completed their own processes yet.

Therefore, my advice for Ethereum is not to rush. Wait patiently for a drop above 2710; there will still be opportunities to place short orders. If you're aiming for a swing trade, place short orders above 2710, targeting 2668 or 2635 for short-term trades.

If you have good position sizing and mindset control, place orders for a drop 3-5% below the recent low. If it drops more than 3% from the recent low in a short period, it's a signal of a bullish reversal.

For long-term trades, focus on two signals. The first one has been hedged; it's unclear if it will be reversed later.

But a single trade involves a very rapid drop from a low point, which is difficult to judge.

Actually, the drop before the sharp decline also appears very rapid to the average person.

What I can add is that if it breaks below the recent low, consolidates, and then continues to drop 3-5% at the latest low, 2-3 times faster than the previous plunge (around 4%), the closer the drop, the stronger the signal.

Then, the bulls are really bullish. For $SOL , if it drops 6-7% in a single day, and then drops another 3-4% the next day, buy at a lower price.

For $ZEC , open a long position near the lowest point in recent days, and then gradually add to the position if it breaks below.

For short positions, use $ETH .

Feel free to ask any questions in real time, as market analysis requires a systematic approach and cross-verification. Daily market analysis is relatively more accurate and provides a better understanding of the market.Then there's what happens 1-20 minutes later that you can't keep up with. How much earlier is random? You can leave a message asking for advice before opening a position.

Happy Mid-Autumn Festival, I’m taking a break with an all-cash position

After this round of sell-off, I bought over $300 million worth of ETH in order to hedge the downside after HK “stole the U”

Six times of heavy positioning: each time a 7–50% rise and a 7–50% drop
Accurately picked the cases that ended up being profitable at the very bottom—either the last one or among the last three
After that, I directly split my investment into five or more major coins
Originally, the profit was at least 30,000–50,000 U
In the end, after working myself to death and not sleeping, it came down to only about 8–9 thousand U total

All positions are already closed—at last night’s high, total unrealized profit was 4,800 U
In the end, the two accounts together made about 2,800 U in actual profit

In one night, I gave back more than 2,000 U

The downturn is supposed to end today, and there’s not much going on over the weekend
It’ll be a minor uptick + a three-day pullback

Next week is where the big divergence happens—I haven’t figured out yet how to play it
And I also have to factor in an additional debt from a “hacker laundering/mixing coins” xq that’s coming due—during this sell-off

$ETH Besides the current high point, there’s another high point coming up,
then it’ll turn into a waterfall
You can chase a short on a high with a small position,
but absolutely don’t bottom-fish.
As for when it’s done, I’ll tell you—it's still a bit far.
The big account is at this level below: 90000u position.
Then 46 shifted to a smaller account to save on fees.
The latest live trading for the small account—see the screenshot.
Right now, unrealized profit is 2000u.
It has given back half of yesterday’s peak unrealized profit of 3700u.
But there’s no rush at all.
Expect to cut 90% after tonight’s big drop.
After that, it still needs to pump a lot, then continue crashing.
Live trading shared: #ETH
Post edited an hour ago. Phone ran out of battery and shut down.

I really do have some core technologies,
but I still need to learn more—reverse engineering and testing—to fill in the gaps.
You can review my past posts for a recap.
Unfortunately, the luck was a bit off: in both big waves of surge, I went all-in on the wrong side.
They were all the worst-performing movers among the top 30 by market cap.
In the end, I took a loss of just a few thousand USD and ran.
If I had chosen differently, the returns would have been around 8,000–20,000 USD.

Last month, I started with 3,000 USD and netted 11,000 USD in profit.
I withdrew 9,500 USD to pay my sister’s tuition and for the surgery.
Then I stayed in cash for half a month without entering the market, because at the time the technical setup was still incomplete.
Only on the morning of the third day after the surgery did I finally manage to patch it up enough to play in a market with this level of difficulty.
This month I made four heavy-position trades. If I had bought all ETH, my profits would have been over 15,000 USD.
Luckily, after eating through this pullback market, I should have a return of 8,000+ USD.
And then I went back to being in cash,
because the market cycle has already played out—at the pullback, there’s still a major disagreement, and most are bearish.

Don’t say I didn’t warn you— the waterfall countdown is on already.
It’s only inevitable now.
If you hurry, you can make it by tonight before dawn.
$ETH

The waterfall is about to happen—$ETH
Chasing big moves and trying to trade the range is too expensive in fees.
In a single day, I lost nearly 300 US dollars to fees and costs.
So I decisively moved the operation to my friend's account.
The total position size across the two accounts is 90,000 USDT.
The principal is 4,500 USDT.
This one has already been closed, locking in a 450 USDT profit.
Then I thought I probably wouldn’t have a chance to trade the range again.
Luckily, the small account quickly topped up to catch up.
Right now, I’m up 945 USDT unrealized.
I expect a drop of 13–17%.
The potential profit is over 10,000 USDT.
I will share my live trading regularly.
From now on, I’ll open positions more cautiously—during cash-only periods I’ll focus on gaming and watching the data.
One rushed entry left me not resting well for two or three days.
But after my intense ongoing review—watching data and analyzing—I also found another solid, private technique that can be applied to cross-validate and confirm each other.

It hasn’t been long since returning, and the exclusive technology is still being refined.
The main issue is that the shortcomings of the technology can’t be proactively completed.
So it’s only possible to watch,悟, and test in large quantities.
It wasn’t until the third day after surgery that it barely rose from level 1 to around level 4.5.
Even after testing these days, it hasn’t broken through 5.

Actually, what’s needed is a private system that can show long-, medium-, and short-term trend data,
plus strict adherence to certain rules to avoid “going too far” and stepping into pitfalls.
There should be strict management of behavior and position sizing.
When I recover after the surgery,
my main job is actually working on AI and processing data using methods that can’t be disclosed.
I already have several really good ideas.
After resuming work, I should be able to use AI to rise to around level 7.
As for max level, I estimate it’s 20—not only does it depend on technology, it also depends on habits and solid logistics.

If my technical level is low, I’ll just wait for the market to be straightforward: take a fixed position size of one-third to one-fifth, and under no circumstances add to the position.
I’ll just build returns by relying on win rate.
Still, I need patience.

Never be lazy and try to steal orders anymore.
If it’s not analyzed by myself and I’m not confident, I won’t do it.
Both trades got back to even—then after closing flat, it turned into explosive profit.
After that, every time there’s a huge pump, I only trade the most exhausted coin.
Even though I know it’s in the script, I still get forced into opening and having to hold the position.
In the next 90% of the time, I stay in cash—only holding a fixed position and opening when the timing is right.
Recently my position sizing hasn’t been very rational; larger positions actually haven’t produced great returns.
Earlier, I opened a position of less than 50,000u when I had over 3,000; it ate up 10,000u.
In these two rounds of explosive pumps, no matter what I opened, even just opening anything else would have been 10,000u.
Or split it into four parts across Bitcoin, Ethereum, SOL, and ZEC.

In the end: the first trade, a 60,000u heavy-long on XRP, got absorbed halfway by its rise.
The second trade, 50,000u long on UNI, got absorbed for a large part of its move.

$ETH might be able to hold on until the end—going from 2800 all the way to 2166
and then breaking to a new high again

Still selling 150 square meters and closing 90%—
It’s still better to play the traditional way; these variables are too big.
$ETH $BTC
We’ll only consider it bearish after it rises another 3%.
Ethereum’s downward momentum should be even larger in the short term.
Down 15, up 7, then keep falling.

For Bitcoin and Ethereum: every time they rise 1.5%, add to the position by 30% of the single-coin position.
Every time they fall 1.3–1.5%, cut the position by 30%.
Slowly bring the entry price level out—even if I end up losing a bit, it’s fine. With this current position size, I’m not afraid of missing this week’s waterfall drop.

We’ve got to carry the load for a single day. Tomorrow might still make a new high.

Originally, the only time to place orders was Monday night to Tuesday morning—analyze it clearly.

Or, on Wednesday or Thursday, go in to catch a dip.

After surgery, it was just too boring—I couldn’t play games with an empty position like before.

I opened a few urgent orders.

Never opening urgent orders again. There’s basically no technical support.

It’s purely that I stole a position from someone who looks pretty capable.

Because I also watch US stocks independently—the small short gains, and the little “chicken-stealing” profits from the Monday open.

The risk-to-reward ratio simply doesn’t match at all.

sndk等下跌回去减持 eth我开了巨低的仓位
About equal to being out of the market
If ETH rises again and breaks new highs between 2730-2765, I will short there
Depends on the situation; I’ll decide within a week
Only sharing my live trades. During this stage, the market’s value-for-money isn’t great. I’m always in small positions
I’m even considering going fully flat next week to buy the dip

Share my live trading records,
mainly about the post-operative recovery period. I can’t use a computer to run the AI evolution system.
The mode is already half-mature, but it’s still not complete—there’s just nothing else I can do.
The truly useful things are all classified. I can only spot what matters, then steal it through analysis, deduction, testing, and verification—while also factoring in variables.

On the fourth day after my surgery—that is, the morning of the 15th—I finally found the missing pieces of a previously lost technique that I needed.
That app shut down, and there’s nowhere to view it. I searched Baidu and Google, and checked a lot of sites—none of them had this data.
Before the surgery, the market was good. Some trend-following techniques could net more than ten thousand U in a single trade.
After that, it was mostly luck: I set a trade to win by keeping 1000 U and ended up winning a few thousand.

This month, I’m completely unable to understand what’s going on. The real market determines how hard it is.
I was in cash for almost ten-plus days. During the surgery period, there wasn’t anything to do, so I had to research at high intensity nonstop.
Playing this requires real skills, real restraint, real reverence, and real patience.
You can see in my historical positions that after being flat for more than ten days, I opened a lot of small account-size test trades.
It’s not only real technical ability—you also have to have the anti-trap stuff, and remember all of it at all times.

In seven more days, I’ll be able to use a computer again, and the technology will be able to reach another level.

#红包 sndk In the evening you can only see the trend; I’ll notify you and you’re still holding.
Uni is also a gamble—this round can’t determine the progress bar.
That is, 1234567.
I don’t know if it’s stage 5 or stage 6.
You can only see the signal at night.
If you’ve claimed it, please give a like + a 15-character comment.

Bought the wrong one again $UNI
And fate in my business is the same
The tech and resources are so badass—two big shots who can make millions every day and earn over a hundred million a year have to call me “brother”
But when it comes to making big money, it was never my turn

Before the rate hikes, I was bullish the earliest, entered at the lowest point—yet when you look at any one of the top 30 by market cap, they all rose 30–50% more than the one I picked

Even this little uptick is the same—if it’s going to be like this, then I might as well just blindly buy Ethereum
The systemic risks of these coins are much higher

I opened a small position with $UNI by going in randomly
On Monday there’s a big divergence: if it breaks to new highs, I go short; if it falls, I short again—break below the thick support and it still needs to drop a few more points before I bottom-fish

The wound from last night's surgery started bleeding heavily—it was almost enough to make me quit the game early.
Looks like I still have to stay low-key; the secret must not be revealed.
That was terrifying.
Out of nowhere, it started bleeding heavily.
Today is already the ninth day after the surgery.
At its worst before, it only seeped through a single facial wipe.
It stopped completely within 15 minutes.
I really almost didn't make it. I'm still scared about it now.
Also, it seems like at 120 (the emergency hotline) everything has been outsourced.
There was absolutely no hands-on emergency treatment—the ones who came were just tattooing guys.

Last month: 3000 USD position, 10x leverage, net profit 10,000 USDT
This month: 500 USD position, various research and experiments, ended up at 4500; withdrew 2000
Now it’s at 6500
Follow me—after three months, I’ll put the real 1000 USDT into practice and turn it into 100,000 USDT
No business activities—don’t get involved or contact me; just watch and that’s it
Just watch me perform $XRP

$ETH $XRP $UNI #zec
I studied for a week. The day before yesterday it became clear I was bullish. I confirmed that it would break to new highs.
This month I put my biggest position on going long. The result: in every of the four choices, I still picked wrong.
Even picking any one of the top 30 by market cap wouldn’t be this dragged out.
For three days there was almost no movement.