Minute-level MA25 changes form an accelerated downward breakthrough
Why did you stop selling? Bitcoin is showing an upward trend. There is uncertainty in the continued decline between 15min and 30min. Subjectively, I don’t want to wait any longer (getting out of the nest).
In fact, other levels (non-day, intraday medium and long) are handled the same way, purely because the personal window period is too short and the certainty cannot be judged.
Pay tribute to Sister K (don’t worry about the right and left sides, just tell me whether I learned like it or not hhhh)
I missed the opportunity of stroj ftm algo (pain mask) coti (pain mask) due to laziness, and the whole crazy Thursday was gone.
The trend of the big pie is not clear. I may have to save up to get a big pie up to 52k+, and let my friends on the other side of the ocean take a look at it on Monday to continue the upward trend.
However, the minute-to-minute level looks quite weak down to the 1-hour level, and the copycats are also taking action quietly (the small ones take advantage of the market’s inattention to rise a few points, the large ones rush higher and fall back, or are ready to go)
In short, one sentence: I don’t understand, take a break, see you next week
Still the minimum transaction amount is .003btc Recently, I have been obsessed with blowjobs in small groups. In the future, I may do a Pokémon analysis hhhh (with individual trading level analysis)
Personal views on leverage, long and short options, and retail investor positioning
1. The advantage of retail investors lies in flexibility (direction, multiple, time, chips, for example, bookmakers have to maintain the market, spread news, create hot spots, etc.) 2. The promotion of "go short, don't go short" actually restrains some retail investors by implication trading behavior, thereby creating favorable conditions for long spot and selling (some people like to use various weird doctrines to engage in pua XD) 3. Leverage is just a tool, just like altcoins will follow/amplify btc The trend/fluctuation (the 300% profit of ast spot overnight in that year was only regrettable without contract + leverage two-way operation). An excellent retail investor (trader), without being able to affect the market game, only needs to observe and predict the trend, and in a limited window It's enough to trade during the period (for example, don't keep your position until you sleep during day trading), use leverage to expand your profits when you are confident, and at the same time constantly optimize your strategy and pay attention to valuable news. In addition, you should eat and drink as you should, don’t stay up late and not be affected by market sentiment, and prioritize (before evaluating your own trading ability, you will waste too much time and energy in the secondary market for unpredictable trading profits or even It’s unwise to rely on capital) I’ll add more when I think of it later, it’s a bit full 2024.02.16
A guess about technical analysis, classic structure, and MA changes - team issues and price manipulation
This speculation came from my reminiscing about the game life of Earth 2: There is such a 6-player public dungeon. There are 3 buff discs in front of the final level, and players need to choose to stand on one of them (side with AorBorC) , after the countdown ends, a player standing on a random disc will receive a powerful buff. This is extended to the market. At the turning points of price changes such as triangle area breakthrough, box breakthrough, MA turning point, etc., is there the same problem of lining up? This gives rise to the game of banker-large-holder-small retail-leek, which further artificially triggers buying/selling at the turning point? (Why do I feel like I have to switch to the volume and price analysis method again?hhhhhh) I’m too lazy to give an analogy, so I’ll just leave it at that. I feel like I understand everything, and writing it down is in vain.
Spend 20u to summarize K’s road to liquidation, from 100% winning rate and +200% profit rate for one consecutive month to liquidation overnight (I forgot to take a screenshot of yesterday’s profit chart 2333). Reasons for liquidation: left-hand trading, resistance to orders, and all-or-nothing. (An additional 3500u was added to increase the sunk cost) 1. The lucky ones who trade on the left have to say that K’s left-hand trading strategy is something: by catching the overheated market that has risen for several consecutive times to kill the rise and chase the fall (K’s statement, rise Of course, getting profits is just a matter of admiration for skills and luck. It is not advisable to grab chestnuts from the fire and defy the trend (although there is a small amount of happiness in following the dealer's shipments to kill the rise. Oh, I am too gloomy. , squirming, squirming, crawling, crawling) 2. Limitations of intuition. The following is just a personal guess. It is estimated that the market has been in a state of small fluctuations for a long time (relative to the past two days), which has prolonged K’s thinking inertia, leading to subsequent resistance to orders and additional orders. Margin is an irrational behavior, so trading still needs to strip away emotions. As for intuition, it depends on the individual (maybe there is a genius hhh) 3. In summary, the market is unkind and treats everything as a stupid dog. Retail investors should not have the tendency to go long or short, and always reflect on themselves. proceed with caution
Typical following Bitcoin trends and highly controlling the market
At 10:21, sui fell before the pie moved. There is a high probability that the banker will take control of the market or be too smart to run away XD (What, I am also a market maker?)
Picture Yile, fix the breakfast money XD (sold early)
In general, there are two possibilities after the first stop loss is triggered: 1. Stupid big investors buy on highs 2. High signal before breakthrough
So I opened another x5 short order at 10.04x. After confirming the breakthrough, I opened 2 x5 short orders at the top of the distorted m. The total opening cost was almost 10.05.
As for closing the position, there is no certainty (MA25 may have support on the 5-min scale), so I closed it early and went to have breakfast. Of course, I can also choose to close part of the position and wait. It’s a matter of technique.
It’s still a dish, you still need to practice (bushi)
Remember the strange ultra-short line The test 20u magnification is about x10, and the income is 20%. In fact, it can be done higher (the inflection point is 1.70x), but people cannot extricate themselves from the game.
The basic principle is to draw lines in the triangle area to determine the upper and lower boundaries, and combine it with the MA line to determine the positions of the long and short orders (there is a staggered phenomenon at the flat orders).
However, the 30min tick mark is still unclear. It may look like it will fall in 2h, but the forecast result is indeed an increase, which is confusing.
*1. The decline refers to the 2h level decline *2. The forecast result is an increase in the day's closing price *3. Based on my personal experience (blind) test (guess), I estimate that it will take a long time to find out at 1.67 (that is, until the evening)
Entertainment positions are just for fun. This is to commemorate the end of 200u on the evening of January 23, 2024. Don't go all in in a zero-sum game, practice and see. Zero-sum games do not require courage, perseverance, or excessive diligence. What is needed is calculation, analysis, prediction, risk control, some technical and industry knowledge, and a lot of trading experience. Do subtraction before addition.
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