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SK hynix (SKHY) pre-market analysis

Recap of yesterday’s view: Wait for a 3–4 hour timeframe to choose direction; the first target is the 165–167 zone

Last night, SK hynix surged to 165.33, precisely reaching the target zone we indicated

This rebound uptrend is still continuing. Today, focus on the rebound strength and whether it can break through the 165 resistance. If it successfully breaks above, the upside target is the 168–170 zone

⚠️Key reminder:
Once price reaches around 168, be highly alert to the risk of a pullback—there may be a relatively strong drop here

If you hold positions at this level, make sure to adjust your position sizing and do not get overly attached—don’t fight the move
#黄金较三个月高点下跌5.5%

BTC is currently at $77,966, and over the past three reporting days, the exchange net flow has turned positive for consecutive days.

This means that the amount of BTC entering exchanges has begun to exceed the amount being withdrawn, so the potential supply of sellable holdings in the short term may be increasing. However, the magnitude of the recent net inflows is not extreme, and the 7-day average is still negative—overall, the past week has remained in net outflows.

So for now, this looks more like a shift at the margin in capital flows, and it’s not enough to directly conclude that large holders are concentrating their selling. The BTC transferred into exchanges could also be used for market making, custody adjustments, or adding margin, and it doesn’t necessarily enter the spot market.

Next, two signals matter: whether the exchange net inflow continues to expand, and whether BTC can absorb these newly added coins when it approaches $80,000.

If net inflows keep rising while the price repeatedly fails to break above $80,000, that would be stronger evidence that selling pressure from above is building. If net inflows end quickly and the price continues to hold steady in the current range, it’s more likely that this is just normal post-rally capital reallocation.

While this data alone can’t directly support a bearish view, it’s time to start paying attention to these potential sell-pressure signals.

At the start of September, BTC has already gained a variable that needs to be watched closely: a rate hike.

As of the latest market pricing as of September 1, the probability of a 25-basis-point Fed rate hike in September has climbed to about 65%.

Right now, the federal funds target range is 3.50%—3.75%. If a hike really happens, the range would move back to 3.75%—4.00%.

For BTC, this is not a great change.

Once the market continues to price in rate hikes, Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar are more likely to stay at elevated levels, and the liquidity environment facing risk assets will become tighter.

BTC is currently hovering near $78,000. It has already rebounded quite a bit over the past stretch. If rate expectations keep moving upward and yields continue to rise, the main risk to watch for is a sudden pullback from the high level.

Of course, 65% is just what the market is forecasting—it does not mean September will definitely see a hike.

But at least it shows one thing:

The macro environment in September is no longer as comfortable as it was earlier.

So for now, I’d rather hedge first against a possible BTC pullback.

Hynix SKHY pre-market

Review of last Friday’s viewpoint: The market continues to trade in a box range. Resistance at the upper boundary is 167‑169, and support at the lower boundary is 150‑157.

Wait for the 3–4 hour timeframe to choose a direction, so we maintain the judgment that it will continue to range-bound.

Currently, the 3-hour sub-timeframe has already crossed above the zero line, and the pre-market price is at 160.8.

The key focus today is to watch for an upside push. The first target is the 165‑167 range.
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Oil prices have once again moved back above $90, and the market has another problem.

The conflict between the U.S. and Iran has escalated again. Brent crude oil briefly rose to around $90.6. At the same time, Fed Chair Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole was clearly hawkish, and market expectations for a 25-basis-point rate hike in September rose from about 35% to 57%.

Originally, the market only needed to worry about rate hikes. Now it also needs to worry that the war will keep pushing oil prices higher.

Put these two things together, and the logic is straightforward:

When oil prices rise, inflation becomes harder to bring down. If inflation can’t be brought down, the Fed has even more reason to raise rates. U.S. Treasury yields continue to move higher, and both U.S. stocks and BTC will face pressure.

Gold is also not as comfortable as people might imagine. War is a positive for safe-haven demand, but rate-hike expectations are also weighing on gold. So today, the gold price continued to fall instead.

At present, BTC is still holding around $78,000. Its performance has been more resilient than U.S. stock futures. But the truly key point going forward isn’t whether oil has touched $90—it’s whether it can keep sustaining levels above $90.

If oil keeps climbing, what the market is trading won’t just be the war anymore, but a new round of inflation pressure.
What does everyone think about where this market trend is headed?
#油轮在霍尔木兹海峡触雷起火

Xiaochao一波 bottom

SK hynix SKHY analysis

Revisiting yesterday’s view: Yesterday we pointed out that the key resistance above is 167–169; pre-market it was at 164. If price cannot hold above this resistance, it will still pull back. In the short term, upside potential is limited, so we do not recommend going long.

The market is in line with expectations. After gapping up and pushing higher, it pulled back. The current pre-market price is 158.

Currently, price is continuing to trade in a box range consolidation. The upper edge of the range is 167–169, and the lower edge is 150–157. It has not yet chosen a direction and started making a move.

At this stage, we maintain a range-trading approach and wait for a valid upside breakout. Only after the 167 box top is firmly held should we consider looking at higher targets. #英伟达开盘140分钟成交335亿美元

U.S. stock market opens and the dust settles—technology sentiment is fully ignited
Here’s a rundown of the key market directions right now. The tape doesn’t lie; some names have already issued clear signals.

Nvidia’s earnings beat expectations, lifting sentiment across the entire AI industry chain. The Nasdaq surged higher, and risk appetite spread outward. “Big Bitcoin/ETH” (the major crypto) then charged at a key psychological level, with the linkage effect amplified directly. Meanwhile, oil rebounded as a catalyst from geopolitical events kicked in. Gold and silver still have safe-haven logic to support them.

But you absolutely need to keep your eyes open—there is already internal divergence in the market.
Not all sectors are strengthening in sync. On the consumer and broad-index fronts, pressure signals have started to appear. Local upside can’t hide the sector fracture. When you see bullish voices everywhere, you can’t blindly follow along with everything.

Opportunities are right in front of you, but that doesn’t mean you can close your eyes and jump in.
Entry points and defensive floors—both are essential. With the market getting lively, you must still restrain your impulses, manage your position sizing well, and don’t let market sentiment push you around.

Hynix $SKHY Pre-market Analysis

Recap of yesterday’s view: In the past few days, pre-market price action kept consolidating around 158. Two hours showed weakening signals, so we anticipated a potential pullback risk. If it broke 154, it would likely further test the 147‑140 range.

Yesterday did not see a deep sell-off. The stock price went sideways near 158, and held the key 3–4 hour support level at 157.

Today, following the storage sector overall, it opened higher with a gap up. The pre-market price is 164.

The key overhead resistance is 167‑169. If it cannot hold above that resistance, it will still face pressure and pull back.

Near-term upside appears limited. Focus on whether the breakout above the resistance level is effective.

No need to rush, everyone—what should come will come.
　　No form—until forms appear.
　　Time appears, direction appears.
　　ETH shifts from the box range toward an ascending triangle; there are signs of strengthening.
　　And as the triangle consolidation reaches its end, a quick breakout/reversal is near.
　　Plus, tomorrow—Friday night—there’s the Jackson Hole annual symposium.
　　Ah Xin believes that before this weekend, it’s highly likely to see a directional move.
　　If last night’s ETH low in the 2410–2430 support zone holds and is not broken, then continuing upward to test the 2550–2700 resistance zone is very promising.
　　DYOR

Predict Successful Outcome
Next, BTC may break toward 82,000
As long as last night’s low of 77,600 is not broken
Later I will post a video for market analysis—please stay tuned

Hynix pre-market analysis

Review of yesterday’s view: Yesterday, we focused on the 154 defensive level. Over the past two hours, the indicators showed signs of weakening. The support at this level is relatively weak, and we still need consolidation to digest the positions. The support zone below is 147–140.

The trading rhythm of Hynix is wearing, making it hard to follow. The current pre-market price is 158, which is basically the same as yesterday’s level.

The two-hour weakening signals continue, and signs of a pullback are becoming increasingly clear. The 154 defensive level is unlikely to hold. The pullback range below remains unchanged at 147–140.

Once the price tests this support zone, I will update my judgment on the subsequent market action.

Over the next day, risk assets will go through two consecutive repricings.

At 20:30 Beijing time tonight, the U.S. will release, simultaneously, the July PCE and the second estimate of Q2 GDP.

PCE answers: whether inflation has continued to cool and whether the Fed has room to adjust policy.

GDP answers: whether the U.S. economy can continue to withstand high interest rates. If growth is strong while inflation is also high, U.S. Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar typically face upward pressure, and the valuations of tech stocks as well as BTC will be suppressed. If inflation is moderate and the economy does not show clear signs of stalling, risk assets will be more friendly.

Then at about 4:20 tomorrow morning Beijing time, Nvidia will report earnings.

This time, the market is concerned not only with how much Nvidia earned, but also whether AI capital expenditures can keep growing at a high pace, whether data-center revenue and gross margins can hold up, and whether the next-quarter guidance can support the valuations of the entire AI sector.

So the transmission order tonight is very clear:

Macro data → Interest rates and the U.S. dollar → Nvidia earnings → AI valuations → Overall risk appetite

From the daily K-line chart, the Nasdaq is still in a high-level range-bound move. The index has returned near the 20-day and 50-day moving averages, but it has not yet fully escaped the recent pullback. Tonight’s data will determine how high the market is willing to value tech stocks, and Nvidia will provide the validation: can AI growth actually sustain such lofty valuations? #加拿大对美加征最高50%反制关税

August’s value hits max directly
Traverse through volatility and consolidations step by step—the market rhythm stays firmly on track.
No gambling on luck—every profit comes from advance planning and strict execution.
The market never ends. Stay humble and composed, keep your emotions in check, and continue moving forward steadily.

Hynix $SKHY pre-market analysis

Revisiting yesterday’s view: Compared with Micron and SanDisk, Hynix’s trend has been relatively stronger—it hasn’t fallen back into the prior upward pullback range. The key defensive level is 154; once there is an effective break below, look toward the 147‑140 range.

Yesterday intraday, the low dipped to 151.53. Around the key defensive level at 154, there was repeated tug-of-war, but no further deep selloff. The current pre-market price is 160, which means it has returned to the support area.

Now the focus remains on whether 154 can hold. On the two-hour timeframe, indicators have already shown signs of weakening. Support at this level isn’t strong enough yet—it will need time to consolidate and digest positions.

The lower support range remains unchanged at 147‑140. Continue to track the strength of defenses on the chart.
#三星SK海力士杠杆ETF首现月度净流出

Done, brothers!

An easy little push!
#比特币周涨23.6%

80,000 level has already been directly broken through. The chart shows a forceful long bullish candle, violently pushing upward. It tested 81,270.5 during the spike; the current price is 80,653.3. The Bollinger Bands have fully opened upward, and the bulls’ strength has been completely released.

In this upswing, the market has broken through 80,000. The prior consolidation and shakeout ground down many people’s patience—many didn’t dare to go long. Now the price action is giving the answer directly. But after the spike, don’t get carried away and chase immediately. After the needle-like spike and high, the short term will likely need a pullback to digest.

Key levels are right in front of you: the near-term pressure above is 81,270.5. The first support below is 80,000, and the core defensive lifeline is 79,500.
If you’ve been holding the bottom position, continue holding to capture the benefits of the big uptrend. If you already have a position, you can take partial profits on the short-term spike and lock in what you’ve got. Don’t chase aggressively to fight for entry if you’re not in yet—wait for the pullback to the 80,000–80,200 zone before considering participation.

The long-cycle bullish structure has already been confirmed. However, the faster the acceleration rally, the more sudden and hard-to-anticipate the needle-like shakeouts become. Position control must be in place. Don’t bet with a heavy full allocation that it will keep surging—hold the defensive levels so your core position can withstand and hold on to the bigger行情.

8/25 2-bing (alt coin) Trading Strategy

A 4-hour cycle with a stepped upward lift: the price stabilizes above the 2489 level, with the trend moving in tandem with the big coin (BTC). The 2532–2549 area overhead is a strong resistance zone. If price holds above this resistance, follow the trend and look for a bullish continuation. If the market keeps failing to break through the highs while continuously being pressured, the short-term will enter a pullback and the market will weaken.

Trading suggestions:
Buy on dips with stabilization at 2460–2475. Place the stop-loss below 2430. Targets: 2520–2545;

If it faces resistance on the rebound at 2530 without breaking, you may open a small short position. Stop-loss: 2560. Targets: 2480–2450

In this kind of market volatility, if you still can’t make money, when there’s no volatility, you definitely won’t be able to either. In this kind of market, you don’t need to go study any charts like candlesticks. All you need is to keep an eye on the liquidity of the funds and the contract positions—this is more than enough. With just a little action, you can pick up money with a sack.

And on top of that, with the emergence of U.S. stock/crypto (American stock coins), there’s now one more indicator you can参考. Funds either go into the mainstream or into U.S. stock/crypto—these are conclusions you can reach without doing any research.

I’m Xiaodao, a trader who specializes in mainstream and U.S. stock/crypto. New and confused newcomers can come and learn my trading mindset. #加美贸易谈判破裂或引发新关税