🚨 [Situation Update] The Middle East powder keg has been ignited—yet BTC is trading independently? With 🧧
In the past 72 hours, geopolitics has exploded into chaos:
🇮🇷🇺🇸 The US and Iran have clashed head-on in the Persian Gulf—US forces destroyed five Iranian oil tankers, and Iran fired back with missiles striking US bases in Jordan. Iran has announced it will declare the Strait of Hormuz a “no-go zone,” with daily passage volume falling from 130 ships to just 10. Brent crude has surged toward $100.
🇷🇺🇺🇦 After a brief 3-day ceasefire, fighting in Russia-Ukraine has reignited, with Kyiv again hit by multiple rounds of missile and drone attacks.
Traditional markets are trembling, but BTC is different this time.
In the past, BTC has been highly correlated with US stocks. But during this round of geopolitical conflict—oil prices broke above $100 and gold is rising, while BTC didn’t follow stocks down. Instead, it’s held steady in the $78,000–$80,000 range. The market is pricing in a new narrative: Bitcoin is shifting from a “risk asset” to “digital gold.”
Technical signals also back it up: on September 8, BTC’s 50-day moving average crossed above the 200-day moving average, forming a “golden cross”—the first time since November 2025. In the past three weeks, US spot Bitcoin ETFs saw net inflows of up to $3.8 billion, marking the strongest institutional buying record of 2026.
But don’t get too excited yet—the next 48 hours is the real battleground:
📅 September 10 PPI data 📅 September 11 August CPI data (key!) 📅 September 15–16 FOMC meeting
At present, CME pricing for September rate hikes has surged to 60–66%. If CPI runs hot → the probability of hikes rises further → BTC could jump to $75,000. If CPI is mild → rate-hike expectations ease → BTC may retest $82,000 and even $85,000.
Long vs. short showdown—where do you stand?
🧧 Share like comment: BTC
⚠️ The above does not constitute investment advice—DYOR!
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After watching the speech about quantum computing by @CZ , I feel particularly at ease. He was not swayed by anxiety but instead addressed the core issues from an industry perspective—quantum computing is not scary; cryptocurrencies just need to complete the post-quantum algorithm upgrade, and this will ensure a stable landing.
Indeed, the field of cryptocurrency has never been static. From the birth of Bitcoin to now, we have experienced countless technological iterations and consensus divergences; every seemingly tricky issue eventually became an opportunity for industry evolution.
The same goes for quantum resistance upgrades; the debates over upgrade coordination, algorithm selection in a decentralized world, the elimination of some dead projects, and the implementation of wallet migrations... these are all necessary steps toward the maturity of the industry, not a crisis, but an opportunity for ecological purification.
I strongly agree with what he said: encryption is always easier than decryption, and more computing power is always a good thing. This is the underlying logic of encryption and also our confidence to traverse cycles.
Quantum computing is not the end of the industry but a new starting point in the post-quantum era.
Thank you, CZ, for conveying confidence to all practitioners and investors with the vision of an industry leader, and I also look forward to Binance continuing to lead and work with global practitioners to implement post-quantum technology, making cryptocurrency progress more stable and further in technological iterations.
CZ
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Saw some people panicking or asking about quantum computing's impact on crypto.
At a high level, all crypto has to do is to upgrade to Quantum-Resistant (Post-Quantum) Algorithms. So, no need to panic. 😂
In practice, there are some execution considerations. It's hard to organize upgrades in a decentralized world. There will likely be many debates on which algorithm(s) to use, resulting in some forks.
And some dead project may not upgrade at all. Might be a good to cleanse out those projects anyway.
New code may introduce other bugs or security issues in the short term.
People who self custody will have to migrate their coins to new wallets.
This brings to the question of Satoshi's bitcoins. If those coins move, then it means he/she is still around, which is interesting to know. If they don't move (in a certain period of time), it might be better to lock (or effectively burn) those addresses so that they don't go to the first hacker who cracks it. There is also the difficulty of identifying all his addresses, and not confuse with some old hodlers. Anyway, it's a different topic for later.
Fundamentally: It's always easier to encrypt than decrypt. More computing power is always good.
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【Crypto Wild Wolf · Alpha First-Mover Profit Practical Edition】 1. What is first-mover profit? Not insider information, not private equity, not a Ponzi scheme It is: early detection, early layout, early realization
2. Three first-mover strategies that ordinary people can directly implement
1. On-Chain Data First-Move (Most Stable, Most Legal) Watch: Whale address movements Watch: New public chains / new ecosystem capital inflows Watch: Large amounts of stablecoins entering exchanges First-move action: Capital enters → Ambush → Sell when the price rises Do not chase high prices, just ambush
2. Hot Track First-Move (Highest Win Rate) Only do: When a new narrative just emerges Hasn't skyrocketed significantly yet The leader hasn't multiplied by 10 times First-move action: Look for tracks with small market caps and clean fundamentals, lightly ambush Wait for the heat to spread, then profit and exit
3. Pullback First-Move (Most Suitable for Contracts/Spot Trading) Do not guess the tops and bottoms of large coins, only do: Strong coins retracing to key support Volume stabilizes Small positions for trial and error First-move = Enter a step earlier than others, not betting on direction
3. True First-Move Discipline (Can Save Lives) 1. First-move is not going all-in 2. First-move must have stop-loss 3. First-move does not linger in battle, earn the difference in cognition and exit 4. Do not touch Ponzi schemes, do not touch insider schemes, do not touch private models
4. Summary in One Sentence Crypto Wild Wolf's Viewpoint: First-move is not about news, it's about rhythm. When capital is absent, I wait and see; when capital arrives, I enter; when capital is frantic, I exit. Earn certainty, do not gamble on luck.
Today's Binance Futures · Opening Suggestions: Current fluctuations are slightly strong, do not chase, do not hold, only do pullbacks Direction: Above MA20, only long trades, no shorts Entry: Wait for stabilization on pullback before entering, do not chase highs Risk Control: Always set a stop-loss, operate with light positions Conclusion: Observe and wait for pullbacks, do not open positions blindly ---Crypto Wolf
A person's greatest confidence is: No matter where they are No matter what situation they are in Unwaveringly certain of their strong creativity Creating relationships Creating health Creating money Creating resources Possessing strong learning and action capabilities Having the ability to create something from nothing
Encrypted Market Quotation | 2026.2.19 As of 9:00 on February 19, the current price of BTC is $68500, with a 24-hour fluctuation of ±1.8% and a withdrawal of about 18% in the past month; The current price of ETH is $1915, fluctuating by ±2.2% in 24 hours, falling by 37.68% in recent months, leading the mainstream currency in weakness.
In 24 hours, the whole network burst $310 million, and the contract market was bearish. Macroscopically, the US economic data is strong, interest rate cuts are expected to be delayed, and capital flows to gold and crude oil suppress risky assets.
Technical side: BTC is weak in the 68000–70000 range, and 67000 is strong support; the daily high point of ETH moves down, and 1880 is the key line of defense.
Short-term focuses on shaking the bottom, and the rebound is difficult to continue; medium-term waits for volume to stabilize the moving average and policy signals, it is recommended to strictly control leverage and mainly observe. Follow, forward, like and comment: 999 $BTC