交易员知阳

Babies: I’m changing to a new avatar $BTC
Reason: A lot of fans and baby friends love the practical volume-price talk / Naked K / technicals / key levels / strategies / livestream content that I share
📣Next: I’m going to try doing livestreams at fixed times
（Two sessions every Monday to Friday: morning and evening）
Morning session: 『7:30～9:30』Two-hour livestream
Evening session: 『20:30～22:30』Two-hour livestream

“Content posts from the same period and the chart analysis session will be released after the livestream. Every day I’ll analyze the big-market swing-trading行情; for a few popular altcoins, I’ll analyze them from time to time as well.”

📖To you baby who loves learning—I’ll explain everything I know to you with no reservations: techniques, market analysis. Welcome to follow, and thank you for your support!

(Give a man a fish; better to teach a man to fish)
(If you have questions, scan to add me as a friend and send me a message—I’ll help you solve it)
#SHIB上涨36%

Hey everyone: a little downside pressure—who’s scared if the market doesn’t have to go up?
We’re already on the bearish side; the trend direction hasn’t changed. No need to panic. Once you take your move, we just follow the trend.
Recently, the news flow hasn’t been able to drive big market swings. Where did the funds go? What about liquidity—it's not easy for retail traders to take a trade, really!!!
Sweeties, for the next short-term trades, it’s only: if you make a profit, take it off the table. Don’t worry about selling too early—keep winning, hahaha.#CPI数据 $GOOGL.US

$HYPE babies: for short-term HYPE, you can take a look
once the trading range breaks down, the lower support turns into resistance; if it can’t get back up, then it will go down. Right now, everyone inside the trading range is stuck in losing positions. The lower bound is suppressing any upward move—go short for the short term.
A trade with a risk-reward ratio of 1:1.5, to profit from the short term
#美联储9比3维持利率不变

Babes❤️
Tonight at 2 a.m., the news will arrive—the Fed interest-rate decision. Cut rates or raise rates?
According to the current situation, the U.S. (the old yellow-haired crowd over there) definitely hopes for a rate cut. But given the current conditions, it’s already pretty good if they don’t raise rates.
So, will the current market direction be affected by the news release? It will definitely. This time, the Fed’s decision is very likely to come with hawkish commentary, which is not very friendly to the overall environment. Even if there are some positive signals, it’s like a tiny spark in the dark—dawn is still far away.
So don’t be overly optimistic. “All-in” on longs—personally, my advice is: when the news hits, don’t go all out on position sizing. Strictly set and follow your stop-loss to guard against extreme market moves. #美联储会议

Dear babies: How to do Ether (ETH) orders?
First, congratulations to the babies who followed along yesterday and got some meat.
For short-term trades, you can take profit first. This morning at 1922–1930, you can enter again; the position is currently in profit. For the short-term, you can take profit first now $ETH

As for the later market: if price moves up to around 1942, you can consider shorting again. Watch the candlestick structure to see if an “inverted pin” (wick insertion) pattern appears—this indicates that the sell-off from trapped longs above can’t push through, so you can continue to short downwards. Make sure your risk control is in place.

If the price reaches around 1950 and isn’t broken through, continue holding the position. If the price doesn’t quickly drop and fall back below 1950, that shows the market is being pushed upward—then you need to see whether the candlestick shows a volume-increasing pin/wick pattern. If no volume-increasing pin/wick pattern appears, then close the order, exit quickly, and wait for the next signal before re-entering.
(So this is why you need to pay attention to how the candlestick closes and make a trading plan for your orders.)
#韩国KOSPI暴跌11%因中国DUV威胁
Thank you for your support and attention

“The Big Short” doubles down on shorting AI: four lights lit when the internet bubble bursts
Yesterday, U.S. stocks closed
Nvidia fell by nearly 5%, and Micron by 2.25%.
A few hours later
The entire wave of selling pressure surged into the Korean market. Yesterday, the Korean stock market was once again a disaster—major selling hit the leading stocks in particular.
Samsung Electronics fell 13.39%, SK Hynix fell 14.65%. Even SanDisk has kept falling. The KOSPI triggered a nationwide trading halt by circuit breaker.

In recent days, the global AI semiconductor sector has seen a sharp pullback. Nvidia and Micron have both weakened one after another, Samsung and SK Hynix have plunged, and South Korea’s market triggered a circuit breaker. The prototype of “The Big Short,” Michael Burry, has again increased his short position against leading AI names, comparing the current行情 to the internet bubble of 2000.

Back then, the four major warning signs of the internet bubble burst are now gradually emerging: tech giants’ AI-related capital expenditures are slowing at the margin; growth in orders for memory chips is decelerating; concerns about an oversupply of compute capacity are becoming apparent; and overvalued sectors are seeing profits taken.

There is a fundamental difference between the two periods: today’s AI leaders have genuine earnings support, and the depth of industrial implementation is far greater than in those days. The long-term development trend of AI has not ended—what has changed is that the market has shifted from hype-driven trading back to fundamentals-based pricing.
In the short term, sentiment in the semiconductor sector is cooling, and there is heavier sell pressure from elevated levels. Chasing a bottom blindly carries extremely high risk. Going forward, we should focus on compute demand and memory chip order data. The ability to deliver on earnings will become the key driver of differentiation within the sector.
$BTC Volatility in semiconductor sentiment will also indirectly affect risk appetite in the crypto market. Overall, investors should remain alert to the risk of a pullback from elevated levels.

重大消息！！！币安老用户也可以拥有返佣了
For previous users who did not register using an invitation code
There’s now a promotion— you can directly bind my account here to receive trading fee rebates!
We recommend that anyone who hasn’t received rebates should check whether they meet the requirements.
【Rebinding invitation code rules】
1. You have never bound an invitation code before.
2. Your trading volume in the past 3 months is less than 5000.$BTC
👇👇👇
点击重新绑定
Invitation code: ZX2026

Tuesday hits a new low
63600 breaks through to a new low
Trend breaks down within 4 hours
It continues the downtrend
I don’t see the short-term rebound getting much strength
Wait two more days and see how things unfold
For the short term, you can rebound a bit—then take a small-range short (follow the trend)
Longer-term, there’s no rush
The cycle structure isn’t fully in place yet
Not enough time

Second aunt’s short-term plays
When the big pie pulls back, it’s the chance to short into the rise
At present, the supply at the 2000 level is very sufficient
If it can’t go up, first look at the pullback. At this point, we can only wait for it to shake/oscillate a bit—we can do short-term trades
1922: build the initial position (short)
1931: add to the short position
1954: stop loss

Targets: look to take profit in batches near 1852 (share: $ETH )
#AI担忧致10只标普500成分股跌超40%

Does the big pancake have an opportunity?
Yesterday, news sentiment caused overall capital outflows
Today, the rebound in price action is short $BTC
#长鑫存储科创板IPO募资579亿元