Bykaranteli
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Bykaranteli
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Occasional Trader
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Long pressure, led by $FLOCK with OI down 22.65% and funding at -0.2321. OI build with one sided funding is crowding, OI drop with flat funding is deleveraging, and funding without OI build is positioning without new money; $PONS has OI up 141.4% with funding at 0.0362, while $USELESS has OI down 3.44% with funding at 0.0092.
Recorded $1M market order slippage is 0.1 bps on $ETH , versus 33.6 bps on $LINK , with $BTC at 0.4 bps on the deepest book set. Thin books leave less depth to absorb flow, so gaps can widen and cascade risk can spread through the book faster.
$BTC at 78,008: $70.2M of bids vs $45.0M of asks within 2%, imbalance +21.9%. Biggest bid wall 77,969 (0.1% below, $14.8M). Biggest ask wall 78,047 (0.1% above, $14.3M).
$ETH at 2,461: $40.2M of bids vs $29.6M of asks within 2%, imbalance +15.1%. Biggest bid wall 2,458 (0.1% below, $5.6M). Biggest ask wall 2,465 (0.1% above, $6.9M).
Resting orders across five spot venues at 13:57 UTC, binned per 0.1%. Depth can be pulled; this is resting size, not fills.
$ETH at 2,461: $40.2M of bids vs $29.6M of asks within 2%, imbalance +15.1%. Biggest bid wall 2,458 (0.1% below, $5.6M). Biggest ask wall 2,465 (0.1% above, $6.9M).
Resting orders across five spot venues at 13:57 UTC, binned per 0.1%. Depth can be pulled; this is resting size, not fills.
$ETH was priced at 2472 in the latest recorded stream. The nearest recorded liquidation band above is 2477, while the main bands below are 2456 and 2446. That leaves the recorded path clustered under price, with the tighter marker at 2456 doing most of the nearby work below spot. A move back through 2477 would invalidate this current read on the liquidation map.
$ETH at 2472, with 2477 above and 2456 and 2446 below in the latest recorded liquidation map. A move through 2477 would invalidate the current read.
$ETH at 2472, with 2477 above and 2456 and 2446 below in the latest recorded liquidation map. A move through 2477 would invalidate the current read.
Eight new perpetual contracts appeared in the last 24 hours across six venues, with $EURUSD and $GBPUSD first seen on Bybit. Fresh listings trade on thin books with wide slippage.
$DOGE added 2.17% OI with 0.01 funding while price was -0.33%, which reads as fresh positioning rather than covering. OI stacking into flat price means the level decides, and the clean long build was $AVAX at 1.62% OI, 0.0092 funding, and 2.3% price.
$BTC printed 78529 at 11:00 UTC, with recorded liquidity stacked at 79269 above and 78086 and 77790 below. The nearest pool sits at 78086, while the next lower mark is 77790. That leaves a recorded downside path into the lower side unless 79269 is reclaimed and the above side absorbs. If 79269 trades back through, this downside read is invalidated.
$BTC at 78529, with recorded liquidity at 79269 above and 78086 and 77790 below. Reclaiming 79269 would invalidate the downside read.
$BTC at 78529, with recorded liquidity at 79269 above and 78086 and 77790 below. Reclaiming 79269 would invalidate the downside read.
Stablecoin float is $310.6B, up $1.0B over 7 days and $4.4B over 30 days, with $BTC in focus. Fed funds is 3.63%, the 10 year yield is 4.77%, and reverse repo is $0.7B.
Since 2017, days in this very high band saw a median +0.0% BTC move over the next 7d (n=634, base +0.4%, 8y of records). History, not a forecast.
Since 2017, days in this very high band saw a median +0.0% BTC move over the next 7d (n=634, base +0.4%, 8y of records). History, not a forecast.
No dated futures settlements were recorded in the last 24 hours; 106 dated futures contracts expire in the next 7 days, with the nearest on Sep 9 at Bullish in $BTC for 1 contract. Footnote: venues with expiries total 17, and option contracts next 7 days total 4,451.
US traders have bid $BTC below the global price for 3 straight days even as it is down 1.27% over 24h and PsiCharge sits in GROUND STATE at 30. Positioning looks restrained, with BTC dominance at 58.91%, market cap at $2.7T, and order flow toxicity at 0.14. Watch the Coinbase Premium streak at day 3.
$BTC call premium bought was $6.7M versus put premium bought at $3.7M. The largest print was a buy for $1.5M expiring 30OCT26 at 75000 call, and blocks were 70% of the 24h prints.
Since 2021, days in this very low band saw a median +0.0% BTC move over the next 7d (n=392, base +0.2%, 5y of records). History, not a forecast.
Since 2021, days in this very low band saw a median +0.0% BTC move over the next 7d (n=392, base +0.2%, 5y of records). History, not a forecast.
1.6M dollars of BNC shorts were liquidated across major venues in the last 30 minutes. In past liquidation bursts like this, price action has often been followed by continued volatility as positioning resets, though that does not imply any specific outcome here.
On the 4h RSI scan across 586 names, 29 were overbought, 6 were oversold, and the average RSI was 53.11. It shows momentum is centered near neutral overall, with RSI serving as a directional gauge rather than a price level.
Today's $BTC Coinbase Premium is -0.025%, meaning US is bidding below the global price, and the same sign streak is 3 days. The 7 day average is -0.016%, and the carry yield is +4.22%.
Since 2017, days in this low band saw a median +0.0% BTC move over the next 7d (n=656, base +0.5%, 9y of records). History, not a forecast.
Since 2017, days in this low band saw a median +0.0% BTC move over the next 7d (n=656, base +0.5%, 9y of records). History, not a forecast.
3.9M dollars of XAN longs were liquidated across major venues in the last 30 minutes, while shorts were barely touched. Moves like this have historically aligned with forced selling pressure and can leave price behavior unstable afterward, though that is only a past pattern.
The median USDT borrow APR across the 3 venues was 4.39%, with OKX cheapest at 3.5% and Binance most expensive at 5.16%. Recorded best carry was $DOT on Binance at 10.24%, from a 0.71% borrow APR and 10.95% funding APR.
Bitcoin hashrate was 847.3 EH/s, down 17.9% over 7 day, with difficulty at 127.45 T. Mempool size was not supplied, average block fee was 1 sat/vB, and miner revenue was 517.8 $BTC .
Since 2017, days in this very high band saw a median +0.1% BTC move over the next 7d (n=624, base +0.5%, 8y of records). History, not a forecast.
Since 2017, days in this very high band saw a median +0.1% BTC move over the next 7d (n=624, base +0.5%, 8y of records). History, not a forecast.
DAI traded as low as 0.9902 in a 10 minute snapshot across 3 venues, with a highest print of 1.0000 and a median of 0.9998.
Historically, prints below the dollar peg have often reflected short lived market dislocations, though this does not imply the same outcome here.
Historically, prints below the dollar peg have often reflected short lived market dislocations, though this does not imply the same outcome here.
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