Ka_卡卡

BP-127319391E62
Open Trade
BNB Holder
BNB Holder
High-Frequency Trader
2.6 Years
13 Following
72 Followers
54 Liked
Posts
Portfolio
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Tonight, the market is more likely to continue drifting lower or trade weakly sideways than to stage a strong rebound. BTC is currently trading roughly within the $63,800–$64,500 range. It briefly plunged to around $61,946 early in the session before rebounding above $65K, but has since fallen back significantly, with no sustained buying pressure emerging. Why a strong rebound tonight seems unlikely The nature of the rebound is questionable: The previous V-shaped recovery looked more like short covering after long liquidations, plus short-term dip buying, rather than a major influx of spot buyers. ETFs have seen net outflows for several consecutive days (the latest complete data still shows outflows), and there are no clear signs of institutional money flowing back in. Technical picture remains bearish: The daily chart is still in a clear downtrend, with most indicators showing strong sell or bearish signals. Although the RSI is oversold (around 19–23), oversold conditions can persist for a long time in a strong trend. Key resistance has not been broken: Several analysts see $65,000–$65,300 as an important short-term resistance level/pivot. If BTC cannot get above it, the rebound could easily be viewed as an opportunity to exit. Sentiment and liquidity: The Fear & Greed Index remains in the extreme fear zone (around 10–17). Sunday liquidity is relatively thin, which can amplify volatility, but there is no fresh buying catalyst to drive the market in either direction. Possible paths tonight (roughly ranked by likelihood) Further drift lower or a retest (relatively more likely): A move toward the $62,000–$63,000 area, or even another test of the early-session low. Choppy sideways trading: Back-and-forth movement within the $63,500–$65,500 range as the market digests the previous move. Strong rebound (relatively less likely): This would require a decisive break above and hold over $65,500–$66,000, accompanied by a clear increase in trading volume. Current conditions are not yet sufficient. Oversold conditions do create the potential for a rebound, but while institutional funds are still flowing out and spot buying support remains weak, any rebound is more likely to be short-lived and reversible than the start of a trend reversal. Price action near the weekly close is also worth watching; if BTC closes near the lows, pressure could be greater early next week. Note: This is an assessment based on current data and market structure, not a prediction or investment advice. Crypto markets are extremely volatile, and unexpected moves are especially common when weekend liquidity is thin. #BTC走势分析 #Market
Tonight, the market is more likely to continue drifting lower or trade weakly sideways than to stage a strong rebound.

BTC is currently trading roughly within the $63,800–$64,500 range. It briefly plunged to around $61,946 early in the session before rebounding above $65K, but has since fallen back significantly, with no sustained buying pressure emerging.

Why a strong rebound tonight seems unlikely

The nature of the rebound is questionable: The previous V-shaped recovery looked more like short covering after long liquidations, plus short-term dip buying, rather than a major influx of spot buyers. ETFs have seen net outflows for several consecutive days (the latest complete data still shows outflows), and there are no clear signs of institutional money flowing back in.
Technical picture remains bearish: The daily chart is still in a clear downtrend, with most indicators showing strong sell or bearish signals. Although the RSI is oversold (around 19–23), oversold conditions can persist for a long time in a strong trend.
Key resistance has not been broken: Several analysts see $65,000–$65,300 as an important short-term resistance level/pivot. If BTC cannot get above it, the rebound could easily be viewed as an opportunity to exit.
Sentiment and liquidity: The Fear & Greed Index remains in the extreme fear zone (around 10–17). Sunday liquidity is relatively thin, which can amplify volatility, but there is no fresh buying catalyst to drive the market in either direction.

Possible paths tonight (roughly ranked by likelihood)

Further drift lower or a retest (relatively more likely): A move toward the $62,000–$63,000 area, or even another test of the early-session low.

Choppy sideways trading: Back-and-forth movement within the $63,500–$65,500 range as the market digests the previous move.

Strong rebound (relatively less likely): This would require a decisive break above and hold over $65,500–$66,000, accompanied by a clear increase in trading volume. Current conditions are not yet sufficient.

Oversold conditions do create the potential for a rebound, but while institutional funds are still flowing out and spot buying support remains weak, any rebound is more likely to be short-lived and reversible than the start of a trend reversal. Price action near the weekly close is also worth watching; if BTC closes near the lows, pressure could be greater early next week.

Note: This is an assessment based on current data and market structure, not a prediction or investment advice. Crypto markets are extremely volatile, and unexpected moves are especially common when weekend liquidity is thin. #BTC走势分析 #Market
Withdrawals are now available. Give it a try!
Withdrawals are now available. Give it a try!
$VELVET Can it be launched? Can it become the next 100x coin?
$VELVET Can it be launched? Can it become the next 100x coin?
Partly True
The crypto world is just a huge patchwork crew. Yesterday, a sudden bug hit the Binance wallet—APY went as high as 3.7T%. The brothers who saved up get lucky!
The crypto world is just a huge patchwork crew. Yesterday, a sudden bug hit the Binance wallet—APY went as high as 3.7T%. The brothers who saved up get lucky!
$CRCLon will definitely be pulled back. The so-called opponent is like the Allied forces back then. The more partners a project has, the less clear the goal becomes. In the beginning, everyone comes together to set up a common enemy for their immediate interests. In reality, they each harbor ulterior motives, figuring things out for their own benefit. This initial phase looks quite grand. But in fact, making decisions is extremely difficult—it requires everyone to discuss together. Over time, it will surely turn bad.
$CRCLon will definitely be pulled back. The so-called opponent is like the Allied forces back then.

The more partners a project has, the less clear the goal becomes. In the beginning, everyone comes together to set up a common enemy for their immediate interests. In reality, they each harbor ulterior motives, figuring things out for their own benefit.

This initial phase looks quite grand. But in fact, making decisions is extremely difficult—it requires everyone to discuss together. Over time, it will surely turn bad.
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Bearish
Will someone really bottom fish A3's project at $SPACE ? Just short it and be done.
Will someone really bottom fish A3's project at $SPACE ? Just short it and be done.
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Bullish
$SENT now hedging. Feel like it will explode. Looking at the data on how to end the new issue. There are large accounts directly increased. Is it a dog dealer?
$SENT now hedging. Feel like it will explode. Looking at the data on how to end the new issue. There are large accounts directly increased. Is it a dog dealer?
Now the set is probably going to be blown up
Now the set is probably going to be blown up
天才久亿圆小劫匪
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$SENT If it starts at 0.05, it would be great. It's not too late to start now.
Feeling like there is a high probability to execute a contract attack
Feeling like there is a high probability to execute a contract attack
Bo-Fu
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$SENT Do you guys know when it can be sold? I'm afraid my hedging will be blown up.
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Bullish
Will it be able to pull up $XNY
Will it be able to pull up $XNY
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Bearish
$NIGHT is okay, selling fast enough, otherwise it would have gone back to zero.
$NIGHT is okay, selling fast enough, otherwise it would have gone back to zero.
Claiming $SUI I the leader of $MMT is this?
Claiming $SUI I the leader of $MMT is this?
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Bearish
Continue to be bearish
Continue to be bearish
$0G Just empty it out.
$0G Just empty it out.
Issue a notice for scientists to hurry up and modify the script?
Issue a notice for scientists to hurry up and modify the script?
Quoted content has been removed
Sincerely giving airdrops to the community is equivalent to dumping on the holders. This is also why the current project parties prefer to use Kaito while weakening the community.
Sincerely giving airdrops to the community is equivalent to dumping on the holders. This is also why the current project parties prefer to use Kaito while weakening the community.
加密韋馱Crypto Skanda
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Received a little $ASP airdrop, then went to eat

When I came back and looked at this chart, indeed, all those who sincerely airdrop to the community will basically encounter the same problem

I hope the project team can discover value when OKX launches, otherwise, if it continues like this, the airdrop track will really be gone.
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